OSCAR RACE 2008
commentary by Nathaniel R

Approximately days since Hollywood's High Holy Night

 

Best PICTURE
Slumdog Millionaire

Readers Choice Slumdog Millionaire
Nathaniel's Choice Rachel Getting Married

My best picture ballot has none of these films on it though Milk is on my top ten list.

Preference From the Nominees Milk

Final NOMINATION Predictions
4/5. I missed The Reader which I actually assumed would be in 9th place. I though The Dark Knight or WALL•E were good for the occasional blockbuster spot -- especially since both had that very rare combo of populist AND critical pull. I assumed Doubt and The Wrestler were the runners up. I forgot about the Holocaust rule. Never count Holocaust movies out. Even when the response is mixed and the precursor showing isn't great.

discuss @ THE BLOG
 
 
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
d. Fincher
Frost/Nixon
d. Ron Howard
Milk
d. Van Sant
The Reader
d. Daldry
Slumdog Millionaire
d. Boyle

Other Awards: St. Louis, Houston
Release: Dec
Box Office: $124
Company: Paramount/ Warner Bros

Genre: Epic (Romance)
Synopsis: A New Orleans man born under unusual circumstances (he ages backwards) loves a dancer his whole life

my grade:
B

Other Awards:Las Vegas, Detroit (ensemble)
Release: Dec
Box Office: $17
Company: Universal

Genre: Drama (Political)
Synopsis: A talk show host aims to take down Richard Nixon for his role in Watergate after he resigns the Presidency. Based on the Tony winning play

my grade: B
Other Awards:NYFC, NYFCO (ensemble), San Francisco, SEFCA
Release: Nov
Box Office: $28
Company: Focus Features

Genre: Biopic (Political)
Synopsis: The rise of gay activist icon Harvey Milk inn 70s era San Francisco and his eventual assassination after a historic civil rights victory

my grade: A-

Other Awards: None
Release: Dec

Box Office
$23

Company: MGM / Weinstein Co

Genre: Drama (Holocaust)
Synopsis: A teenage boy has a sexual affair with a mysterious German woman, in post War Germany. Years later, studying law, he sees her again at a war crimes trial. Based on the novel of the same name.

my grade: B

Other Awards: BAFTA, BIFA, NBR, AWFJ, Boston (tie), NYFCO, Satellites, Globe, PGA, SAG (ensemble) and 9 regional critics orgs
Release: Nov

Box Office
$98

Company: Fox Searchlight / Warner Bros

Genre: Drama (Triumph of the Human Spirit)
Synopsis: A mumbai orphan competes on Who Wants to be a Millionaire and searches for his childhood love

my grade: B-

Also Nominated In the Following Categories
Should Win / Will Win
Should Win: Milk. Hands down. It's the only film among the nominees that should feel as entitled to its nomination as Harvey Milk did about his civil rights.
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire. The scrappy foreign flavored hit has already won. A huge and non-stop campaign + public & critical hysteria = Done. Every once in a while there seems to be a case of mass hypnosis and this is one of those once in a whiles. An energetic movie certainly but I can't see how it fits any of the other labels it's won. And I think in a year's time people might be wondering what hit them?
What Got Robbed?

There's too many to mention. But I guess we should have seen the mediocrity coming. It's a pendulum with Oscar voters. 2007's list was absolutely stunning --I hope they're so proud of that one. Five terrific films? Together. No party crashers! How often does that happen??? Just about never. So to counterprogram this year we got a list of pretty good / solid efforts that either don't have big ambitions or don't really meet those big ambitions. It's a difficult Best Picture list to get excited about and you could feel the air going out of the room once people got a good look at it.

And think of it... they could have had two critical AND popular smashes in WALL•E or The Dark Knight that nobody would have been that angry about -- even if they personally disagreed with their merits. And if they wanted to embrace something small and lacking in populist appeal (as they did with Frost/Nixon and The Reader) why couldn't they have chosen something really daring and artful like Rachel Getting Married? This isn't one of those years that they're going to be proud of their lineup later like 2000, 2001 or 2007. This is going to be one of those years like 1999 where people will be like "you had THESE to choose from and you chose THOSE?" (sigh)

My ballot

 

MORE SOON

discuss the Best Pictures @ the blog

Last Year's Race