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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

MID JULY PREDICTIONS!

Animated Feature Predictions
Last year 16 films were eligible, just barely triggering a 5 wide nominee field. Things won't be so tight this year with nearly that many US films already scheduled. You can generally assume a few foreign entries will be eligible as well (and 1 or 2 nominated) though it's difficult to know which a year ahead of time

Zootopia
March 4th
(Disney)
CG

REVIEWED

The Red Turtle 
TBD
(Wild Bunch / Studio Ghibli)
Traditional
Moana
Nov 23rd
(Disney)
CG
Kubo and the Two Strings
(Laika/Focus)
Aug 19th
Stop Motion

Finding Dory
June 17th
(Disney/Pixar)
CG

REVIEWED

Already the frontrunner for the Oscar having debuted to massive box office, audience love, and critical hosannas (the magic trifecta).

more on Zootopia

Studio Ghibli, still in flux post-Miyazaki, is stepping in to help finish this French production - it's a dialogue free film about a man stranded on an island.

 

As Disney's first musical since their gargantuan Frozen hit and their big release post the already beloved Zootopia, the stakes are high.

more on Moana

One of these years the US's most unique animation studio is going to win the top prize right? Could Kubo be the one? We'll see this summer.

more on Kubo

It might seem crazy to doubt a lock for this one but Pixar's new sequel craze has been disheartening and this is a simple retread of the original

more on Dory

Could Also Be Contenders...
Loving Vincent 
TBD
(TBD)
Painted
The Secret Life of Pets
July 8th
(Illumination)
CG
April & the Extraordinary World
April 8th
(GKids)
Traditional

Phantom Boy
TBD
(GKids)
Traditional

REVIEWED

Kung Fu Panda 3 (Dreamworks) Jan 29

I'm doubtful this unusual biopic will be ready but if it is, watch out! An entirely oil painted film about Van Gogh!

If they want to lean into massive hits Illumination could get its second Oscar nod. On the other hand a lot of people don't think it's that good. GKids has proven formidable at snagging nominations but it's not entirely easy to suss out which foreign entries they'll champion GKids sometimes has more than they can possibly handle. This French delight may be too tiny to be noticed. But I , for one, loved it. People already seem to have forgotten about this early bird hit. Will the Academy? They enjoyed the first two films in this franchise.
Other Possibilities (Should They Qualify / Get US Release)

Currently Scheduled

  • Ratchet and Clank (Rainmaker/Sony) April 16
  • Angry Birds (Sony Imageworks) May 20
  • Sausage Party (Sony) June 3
  • Ice Age: Collison Course (Blue Sky) Jul 22
  • Storks (Sony Imageworks) Sept 23
  • Miss Hokusai (GKids) Oct 14
  • Trolls (Dreamworks) Nov 4
  • Sing (Illumination/Universal) Dec 21

Eligible?

  • The Little Prince - i give up keeping track of this one

No US Release Date Yet

  • Adama (France César Nominee) tbd
  • Animal Crackers (Blue Dream Studios) tbd
  • Henchmen (Bron Studios) tbd
  • The Last Prince of Atlantis (Russia) tbd
  • Little Door Gods (China) tbd
  • Master Jiang and the Six Kingdoms (China) tbd
  • Mune: Guardian of the Moon (France) tbd
  • Sly Cooper (Rainmaker) tbd

 

Probably or Definitely Next Year (2017)

Monster Trucks, The Lego Batman Movie, Smurfs: The Lost Village, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Coco, The Croods 2, Astrid Silverlock, and The Wild Bunch.

And beyond? More sequels from Pixar in 2018 and 2019. Meanwhile the 3D Popeye looks like it's delayed substantially if not cancelled altogether in the wake of Genndy Tartakovsky's departure.

 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE POSSIBILITIES
These are not predictions as it takes time to hear about eligibility (very complicated category for its selection process) but rather documentaries that we've covered so far this year. Will any of them compete?

Zero Days
Alex Gibney

Reviewed

Norman Lear: Just Another Version of you 
Heidi Ewing & Rachel Grady

Reviewed

Tickled

Reviewed

My Love Don't Cross That River
Jin Mo-Young

Reviewed 

Weiner
Josh Kriegman & Elyse Steinberg

Reviewed

Cyber Crime / Politics Showbiz | TV Web / Culture Biography / Marriage Politics

No Home Movie 
Chantal Akerman

Reviewed

A Guy From Fenyang
Walter Salles 

Reviewed

Strike a Pose
Ester Gould & Reijer Zwaan

Interview | Reviewed 

In Transit
Albert Maysles (& more)

Reviewed

Trapped 
Dawn Porter

Reviewed

Memoir Filmmaking Showbiz / Dance Culture / Society Abortion

 

 

SHORTS CHART BEGIN IN SUMMER