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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

SEPTEMBER 26th PREDICTIONS

Animated Feature Predictions
Last year 16 films were eligible, just barely triggering a 5 wide nominee field. Things won't be so tight this year with nearly that many US films already scheduled. You can generally assume a few foreign entries will be eligible as well (and 1 or 2 nominated) though it's difficult to know which a year ahead of time

Zootopia
(Disney)
CG
March 4th

REVIEWED

The Red Turtle 
(Wild Bunch / Studio Ghibli)
Traditional
TBA

REVIEWED

Moana
(Disney)
CG
Nov 23rd

Kubo and the Two Strings
(Laika/Focus)
Stop Motion
Aug 19th

REVIEWED

Finding Dory
(Disney/Pixar
CG
June 17th

REVIEWED

Already the frontrunner for the Oscar having debuted to massive box office, audience love, and critical hosannas (the magic trifecta).

more on Zootopia

Studio Ghibli, still in flux post-Miyazaki, stepped in to help finish this French production - it's a dialogue free film about a man stranded on an island. And it's amazing. 

more on The Red Turtle

 

As Disney's first musical since their gargantuan Frozen hit and their big release post the already beloved Zootopia, and Miranda's first project since Hamilton, the stakes (and expectations) are sky high.

more on Moana

One of these years the US's most unique animation studio is going to win the top prize right? It's unlikely that Kubo will be the one but it's as gorgeous as ever from this essential studio

more on Kubo

It might seem crazy to doubt a lock for this one but Pixar's new sequel craze has been disheartening and this is a simple retread of the original

more on Dory

Could Also Be Contenders...

Sing!
(Illumination / Universal)
CG

Opens Dec 21st


The Little Prince  
(Netflix)
Mixed Medium

REVIEWED

Miss Hokusai
Oct 14th
(GKids)
Traditional

REVIEWED

April & the Extraordinary World
April 8th 
(GKids)
Traditional

REVIEWED

Phantom Boy
TBD
(GKids)
Traditional

REVIEWED

Reviews were joyous from its festival bow arguing that the last act is something special even if its just a jukebox musical

Whlie this is screening on Netflix, they also secured a qualifying theatrical engagement. It was popular abroad. Might Oscar like it too? GKids has proven formidable at snagging nominations but it's not entirely easy to suss out which foreign entries they'll champion If they want one of their foreign picks and Red Turtle is too untraditional for them.  GKids sometimes has more than they can handle. This French delight may be too tiny to be noticed. But I, for one, loved it.
Other Possibilities (Should They Qualify / Get US Release)

Also Possible

  • My Life as a Courgette  (Switzerland) Reviewed
  • Ratchet and Clank (Rainmaker/Sony) 
  • Kung Fu Panda 3 (Dreamworks)
  • Angry Birds (Sony Imageworks) 
  • Sausage Party (Sony)  Reviewed
  • Ice Age: Collison Course (Blue Sky)
  • The Secret Life of Pets (Illumination)
  • Storks (Sony Imageworks) Sept 23
  • Trolls (Dreamworks) Nov 4

No US Release Date Yet

  • Adama (France César Nominee) tbd
  • Animal Crackers (Blue Dream Studios) tbd
  • Henchmen (Bron Studios) tbd
  • The Last Prince of Atlantis (Russia) tbd
  • Little Door Gods (China) tbd
  • Master Jiang and the Six Kingdoms (China) tbd
  • Mune: Guardian of the Moon (France) tbd
  • Sly Cooper (Rainmaker) tbd
Probably or Definitely Next Year (2017)

Loving Vincent, The Lego Batman Movie, Smurfs: The Lost Village, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Coco, The Croods 2, Astrid Silverlock, and The Wild Bunch

 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE POSSIBILITIES
These are not predictions as it takes time to hear about eligibility (very complicated category for its selection process) but rather documentaries that we've covered so far this year. Will any of them compete?

Zero Days
Alex Gibney

Reviewed

Camera Person
Kirsten Johnson

Reviewed

Tickled

Reviewed

My Love Don't Cross That River
Jin Mo-Young

Reviewed 

Weiner
Josh Kriegman & Elyse Steinberg

Reviewed

Cyber Crime / Politics  Filmmaking / Memoir Web / Culture Biography / Marriage Politics / Scandal

Miss Sharon Jones
Barbara Kopple

Reviewed

Kate Plays Christine
Robert Greene

Reviewed

The 13th
Ava DuVernay

I Am Not Your Negro
Raoul Peck

The Event
Sergei Loznitsa

Reviewed

Showbiz / Music Acting / Experimental Race / Politics / Prison  Race / Literature / History Politics / Russia

Trapped 
Dawn Porter

Reviewed

In Transit
Albert Maysles (& more)

Reviewed

The Music of Strangers: Yo Yo Ma & Silk Road Ensemble
Morgan Neville
(1 nom | 1 win) 

Life Animated
Roger Ross Williams 
(1 nom | 1 win) 

One More Time With Feeling
Andrew Dominik

Reviewed

Abortion / Politics Culture / Society  Culture / Music Culture / Family Showbiz / Music

No Home Movie 
Chantal Akerman

Reviewed

A Guy From Fenyang
Walter Salles 

Reviewed

Strike a Pose
Ester Gould & Reijer Zwaan

Interview | Reviewed 

Norman Lear: Just Another Version of you 
Heidi Ewing & Rachel Grady

Reviewed

Fire at Sea
Gianfranco
Rosi

Reviewed

Memoir Filmmaking Showbiz / Dance / LGBT Showbiz / TV Immigration / Europe

 

SHORTS CHART BEGIN IN SUMMER