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92nd Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2019 (for the 2020 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

October 18th, 2019

(scroll down for documentaries)

 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

32 films will compete for the nominations this year which means we'll have 5 nominees again. This year's race offers a major test in how many sequels the Animation Branch will put up with. The most they've ever nominated at once is two (just last year with Ralph Breaks the Internet and Incredibles 2) but most of the high profile American films are sequels. We shall see.

Tier 1 Predictions

Klaus

Netflix/Sergio Pablos Animation
Dec 25th

 Sergio Pablos is a buzzy rising star in animation, and people love the mix of CGI light and handdrawn animation. But with Netflix you never know. Could be delayed or not sufficiently pushed or...

Toy Story 4

Disney/Pixar
June 21st

Though we still don't know why it had to exist, enough people loved it that it seems like a sure thing in this category. But could it really win when it hasn't made a big cultural mark and is a fourth sequel?

Frozen 2

Disney
Nov 27th

 The original Frozen was a phenomenon but the story felt more than complete and the first sequel short was sub-par. Still it's probably a threat surely from being an inevitable box office behemoth.

Missing Link

UA/Laika
April 12th

 With Disney and Pixar only doing sequels or remakes this would have been a great year for Laika to finally win but Missing Link was not popular. Still we think a nomination is quite possible.

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden Kingdom

Universal / DreamWorks
Feb 22nd

They could justify handing it the trophy as a cumulative "trilogy" prize. But doesn't it feel as if it's already forgotten?

 
Tier 2 - Or maybe these... 

Abominable
Universal/Pearl
Sept 27th

 This was once called Everest and is about a young girl and a yeti. It won good reviews but are people excited about it?

Spies in Disguise 

Fox / Blue Sky Studios 
Dec 25th

 Blue Sky has managed two nominations (Ferdinand,and Ice Age). If this is a hit it could be a third, since it's not a sequel or remake and might feel fresh

I Lost My Body

Netflix (Qualifying Release Only)

 A severed hand tries to find the body it was once attached to in this acclaimed picture. Could get lots of eyeballs on Netflix.

Ne Zha

WellGo
August 29th

 It's a massive hit in China and did well in specialty release in the US. But they tend to go for "art" fare when they're looking at international titles rather than blockbuster style mainstream adventure

Bunuel in the Labyrinth of the Turtles

GKids
Aug 16th

 Could manage the 'foreign / serious' slot this year but will they like its movie-making story? Didnt make waves in release

 
Tier 3 - Or maybe these... 

Okko's Inn

GKids
April 22nd

 An orphaned girl living at her grandmother's inn discovers friendly ghosts and plays gracious host to them. GKids has been pretty successful at snagging nods.

Funan

GKids
June 7th

A film about a woman trying to survive the Khmer regime. Could manage the 'foreign / serious' slot this year... if there is one. Didnt make waves in release

Weathering With You

GKids
Release 2020

 High profile but it's not as strong as its predecessor Your Name, which didn't land a nomination here. (But it's also up for International Feature, Japan's submission)

This Magnificent Cake!

GKids
March 1st

If voters tire of all the CGI this one will defintiely stand out visually. a very short Belgium feature with stop motion.

Genndy Tartakovsky's Primal

Adult Swim (Qualifying Release Only)

Animators admire Tartakovsky but some will surely balk at the notion that this TV series is actually a movie.

 

TIER 4 - All the other Longshot possibilities

Article about the 32 submissions

  • The Addams Family (US)
  • Angry Birds Movie 2 (US)
  • Another Day of Life (International)
  • Away (Latvia)
  • Children of the Sea (Japan)
  • Dilili in Paris (France)
  • The Last Fiction (Iran)
  • The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part (US)
  • Marona's Fantastic Tale (France)
  • Pacamama (France/Luxembourg)
  • Promare (Japan)
  • Rezo (Russia)
  • The Secret Life of Pets 2 (US)
  • The Swallows of Kabul (France)
  • The Tower (France)
  • Upin & Ipin The Lone Gibbon Kris (Malaysia)
  • White Snake (China)

Not Submitted: Disney's The Lion King... because they're still pretending it's not animated. Curiously Farmageddon the Shaun the Sheep movie sequel is not in contention either.

 

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

It's far too early to do this since we don't yet know which films will be eligible (complicated rules) and that whole finalist of 15 films list. But here are some titles we're keeping an eye on and have reviewed.

Tier 1 Predictions

One Child Nation
Amazon
Aug 4th

CCDA nominee, DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW

Maiden
Sony Pictures Classics
June 28th

CCDA nominee

REVIEW

American Factory
Netflix

CCDA nominee, DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW

Apollo 11
Neon
March 1st

CCDA nominee, DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW

For Sama
July 26th

DOC NYC shortlist

INTERVIEW

 
Tier 2 - Or maybe these... 

The Cave

CCDA nominee, DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW

Honeyland

Neon
July 26th

CCDA nominee, DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW

The Great Hack
Netflix
August

DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW

 

Biggest Little Farm
Neon
May 10th

CCDA nominee, DOC NYC shortlist

The Edge of Democracy
Netflix
July

DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW


 
Tier 3 - So many titles to consider... 

Halston
Orchard
May 24th

REVIEW

The River and the Wall
Gravitas
May 3rd

REVIEW


The Russian Five
Lucky Hat
March 21st

REVIEW

Knock Down the House
Netflix

CCDA nominee, DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW

Ask Dr Ruth
Magnolia

DOC NYC shortlist

REVIEW

 

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

  • Pavarotti
  • Cold Case Hammerskjold
  • Advocate
  • The Fourth Kingdom
  • Hope Frozen
  • Marianne & Leonard, Words of Love
  • Midnight Family
  • Midnight Traveler
  • Sea of Shadows
  • Diego Maradona - DOC NYC shortlist
  • The Elephant Queen - DOC NYC shortlist
  • The Kingmaker - DOC NYC shortlist
  • Echo in the Canyon
  • Hail, Satan? (REVIEW)
  • Meeting Gorbachev (REVIEW)
  • The Proposal (REVIEW)
  • They Shall Not Grow Old
  • Toni Morrison: The Pieces I Am

NOT ELIGIBLE THIS YEAR (DESPITE 2019 THEATRICAL RELEASE) BECAUSE THEY WERE ACTUALLY ON THE 166 CONTENDER LIST FOR 2018 :

  • Amazing Grace
  • Be Natural: The Untold Story of Alice Guy Blache
  • The Silence of Others