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"I loved it! Simple, but by no means dumb. Light, but with enough emotional beats and such attention to character detail to keep it from being fluff." - Val 

"If Michelle Yeph actually gets an Oscar nomination for this, I'll probably cry. (Tears of joy, of course.)" -Cash"

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91st Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2018 (for the 2019 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog 

JULY 7TH PREDICTIONS IN ALL MUSIC AND SOUND CATEGORIES...


ORIGINAL SCORE

Oscar's music branch, once notoriously averse to new composers has been loosening up a bit these past few years. But they're still more likely to honor previous members of the club. 

Tier 1 - Prediction

FIRST MAN
Justin Hurwitz
(3 noms | 2 wins)

He's scored all four of Chazelle's movies and broke through with the La La Land score. Can he win Oscar's favor again?

ISLE OF DOGS
Alexandre Desplat
(9 noms | 2 wins)

He doesn't have as many films as usual out this year but one is enough if the score is strong. But he actually has three: other possibilities are Operation Finale and The Sisters Brothers

IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
Nicholas Britell
(1 nomination)

One of the most gifted young composers, previously nominated for Moonlight and doing great work consistently, could factor in again.

MARY POPPINS RETURNS
Marc Shaiman (5 noms) & Scott Wittman
(never nominated)

Shaiman and Wittman are a wonderful team. But will they just opt for them in Song instead?

WIDOWS
Hans Zimmer
11 noms | 1 win

He wasn't nominated for his last score for McQueen but we're predicting him this time around

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

INCREDIBLES 2
Michael Giacchino
(2 noms | 1 win)

Giacchino is often compared to John Williams so it's odd that Oscar hasn't totally fallen for him, despite plentiful work.

EVERYBODY KNOWS
Alberto Iglesias
(3 nominations)

One of our favorite composers. Previously nominated for Tinker Tailor, Kite Runner, and Constant Gardner (and those weren't even his best scores!

PETERLOO
Gary Yershon
(1 nomination)

His aggressive score for Mr Turner surprised to a nomination. Can he do it again for another Mike Leigh period drama?

BLACK PANTHER
Ludwig Göransson (never nominated)

High profile films help so he could be looking at nomination #1. He also scored Venom this year (previously he scored Fruitvale Station, and Creed.)

WELCOME TO MARWEN
Alan Silvestri
(2 nominations)

It's been 14 years since his last nomination. Can he catch their attention again? Also scored Infinity War and Ready Player One for 2018.

 
Tier 3 - Other Possible Scores of Note...
Alpha - Unknown, Backseat - Nicholas Brittell (1/0), Best of Enemies - Marcelo Zavros (0/0), BlacKkKlansmen - Terrence Blanchard (0/0), Boy Erased -Danny Bensi & Saunders Juriiaans (0/0), Death and Life of John F Donovan - Gabriel Yared (3/1), The Happytime Murders - Rupert Gregson Williams (0/0), The Favourite -Unknown, Kursk - Desplat (9/2),  The Land of Steady Habits - Marcelo Zavros (0/0). The Little Stranger -Unknown, Operation Finale - Desplat (9/2), Ready Player One -Alan Silvestri (2/0), Solo: A Star Wars Story - John Powell (1/0), Suspiria - Thom Yorke (0/0), Valley Girl - Roger Neill (0/0), White Boy Rick - Max Richter (0/0)

MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
Max Richter
(never nominated) 

This amazing German composer who has been Emmy nominated was responsible for one of Arrival's most memorable pieces of music but he hasn't quite broken through in cinema just yet.

A QUIET PLACE
Marco Beltrami 
(2 nominations)

The film relies heavily on its aural components and it's a big hit. Will that be enough for an Oscar campaign a year from now?

 

 

 

SOUND MIXING

This category is chiefly the domain of the three following types of pictures: musicals (or music heavy pictures), action or genre blockbusters, and best picture players with lots of technial prowess. 

Tier 1 - Prediction

FIRST MAN

Astronauts, moon travel, and Best Picture heat?

MARY POPPINS RETURNS

Major musical and sequel to a huge Oscar hit.

A STAR IS BORN

Another musical. There's room for two if they're both well liked.

BLACK PANTHER

It'll be tough to ignore the year's biggest hit.

A QUIET PLACE

The sound really makes the movie but will they give it a solid campaign?

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

READY PLAYER ONE

Oscar likes tech heavy pictures but is it well liked enough to factor in a year from now?

INCREDIBLES 2

The original film was nominated in both sound categories. Could the sequel repeat that trick?

BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY

A third music-heavy picture could factor in - especially if the concert scenes rock.

WIDOWS

Crime dramas aren't a sure thing but anything with Best Picture heat has a shot.

MOWGLI

It's tough to know when they'll go for cgi mo-cap movies. They weirdly ignored Planet of the Apesand Jungle Book in these categories

 
Tier 3 - Other possibilities for the bake-offs

Alpha, Aquaman, Alita Battle Angel, Annihilation, Ant Man and the Wasp, Avengers: Infinity War, Blackkklansman, Deadpool 2, Fantastic Beasts 2, Hereditary, If Beale Street Could Talk, Incredibles 2, Mary Queen of Scots, Mission Impossible Fallout, Mortal Engines, The Nutcracker and the Four Realms, Solo, The Sisters Brothers, Widows

 

 

 

SOUND EDITING

This category generally favors best picture players with obvious technical prowess, action or genre blockbusters, and the occassional animated film.

Tier 1 - Prediction

FIRST MAN

BLACK PANTHER

A QUIET PLACE INCREDIBLES 2 READY PLAYER ONE
 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be
MOWGLI SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY

AVENGERS INFINITY WAR

MORTAL ENGINES

ALITA BATTLE ANGEL

 
Tier 3 - Other possibilities for the bake-offs

Aquaman, Alpha, Annihilation, Ant Man and the Wasp, Blackkklansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, Deadpool 2, Fantastic Beasts 2,  If Beale Street Could Talk, Mary Queen of Scots, Mary Poppins Returns, Mission Impossible Fallout, Mortal Engines, The Nutcracker and the Four Realms, A Star is Born, The Sisters Brothers, Widows

 

 

 

ORIGINAL SONG

This early in the year we don't yet know which movies will have songs... but the safest bets to actually include songs  are usually musicals or animated films. The category also enjoys it when major musicians moonlight as film composers (see Lady Gaga and Mary J Blige in recent years). Lately documentaries have also frequently competed though we rarely hear about those songs ahead of time. So we're just guessing five films randomly for now. The chart will grow throughout the year.

Tier 1 - Prediction

MARY POPPINS RETURNS

MARY POPPINS RETURNS

A STAR IS BORN

SMALLFOOT A WRINKLE IN TIME
Tier 2 - More possibilities
BLACK PANTHER BLACK PANTHER A STAR IS BORN BOY ERASED DEADPOOL 2
 

Other Possibilities To Be Announced

Any guesses or insider info as to which movies might have songs this year? Send us tips here!