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Saoirse Ronan as Mary, Queen of Scots

"With only a few scenes at her disposal, Samantha Morton was an amazing, amazing Mary Queen of Scots in "Elizabeth: The Golden Age". Don't expect that portrayal of the lady will ever be topped." -Ken

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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog 

JULY 31ST PREDICTIONS


ORIGINAL SCORE
After a gloriously unique year in which most of the composers nominated were newbies, we expect a retreat to their favorites this year with lots of big name composers behind prestige or blockbuster films.  


Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Shape of Water
Alexandre Desplat
(8 noms | 1 win)

Dunkirk
Hans Zimmer (10 nominations | 1 win)

 

 Darkest Hour

Dario Marianelli
(3 nominations | 1 win)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
John Williams (50 nominations | 5 wins)

 

 The Papers

John Williams (50 nominations | 5 wins)
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong
Wonderstruck
Carter Burwell (1 nomination)
Blade Runner 2049
Johann Johannson (2 nominations)
mother!
Johann Johannson (2 nominations)
Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool
J Ralph (3 nominations)
 Suburbicon
Alexandre Desplat
(8 noms | 1 win) 
Tier 3 - Or Maybe...

Tier 4 -Who Knows...

  • Battle of the Sexes Nicholas Britell (1 nomination)
  • Current War (Voker Bertelman & Dustin O'Halloran, 1 nomination)
  • Downsizing (unknown)
  • Goodbye Christopher Robin (Carter Burwell, 1 nomination)
  • Greatest Showman (unknown but Pasek & Paul are doing the songs)
  • Marshall (Marcus Miller)
  • Mary Magdalene (Hildur Gudnadottir)
  • Mountain Between Us (unknown)
  • Mudbound (unknown)
  • On Chesil Beach (Dan Jones, 0/0)
  • The Snowman (unknown)
  • Valerian... (Desplat, 8/0)
  • Victoria and Abdul (unknown)
  • Woman Walks Ahead (unknown)
  • Wonder Woman (Rupert Gregson-Williams)

 

 

 Murder on the Orient Express

Patrick Doyle (2 nominations)
Breathe
Nitin Sawhney
(never nominated)
 

 

 

ORIGINAL SONG
Wild guesswork. The only film we KNOW has songs at this point in the year is The Greatest Showman. The composer of Film Stars... is J Ralph who has three song nominations so we hope there's a song! And rounding out the wild guesswork, two animated features. 

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Coco
Greatest Showman Greatest Showman Beauty and the Beast The Star
 
Tier 2 - Other Possibilities?

 

 

  • Film Stars Don't...?
  • Beauty and the Beast "Evermore"
  • Beauty and the Beast "Days in the Sun"
  • Beauty and the Beast "How does a moment last forever"

If you know of any films with original songs please share the details! The contenders can be very hard to track before the official list of 70-90 or so songs is released each year

 

 

SOUND MIXING
The mix is what you hear in theaters, all the sound elements working together like dialogue, effects, score. The Academy likes war pictures, best pic nominees, action/genre blockbusters, and musicals in this category most of all and in roughly that order. But guessing which from those umbrella groups is difficult this early. 

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Dunkirk
Gregg Landaker (8 noms | 3 wins), Mark Weingarten (3 noms)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
David Parker (8 noms | 2 wins), Stuart Wilson (4 nominations)
Blade Runner 2049
Mac Ruth (2 noms)
The Greatest Showman
Todd A Maitland
(3 nominations)

 

 Wonder Woman
Chris Munro (4 noms/2 wins) Chris Burdon (1 nom, 0 wins)
 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong
The Current War
Chris Munro 
(4 noms | 2 wins)

 

 

 Detroit
Ray Beckett
(1 nom | 1 win)
 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
David Acord (1 nom), Christopher Boyes (14 noms, 4 wins)
Wonderstruck
Drew Kunin
(2 nominations)

 

 
Darkest Hour
John Casali (never nominated)
Tier 3 - Or Maybe

Tier 4 So many possibilities

  • Spider-Man Homecoming (Kevin O'Connoll (21 noms, 1 win)
  • Alien Covenant (Paul Massey, 7 noms)
  • Atomic Blonde (Mac Ruth, 2 noms, Frank A Montaño, 8 noms)
  • Baby Driver
  • Coco
  • Fate of the Furious (Jon Taylor, 3 noms, Frank A Montaño, 8 noms)
  • Get Out (Jeffree Bloomer, Trevor Gates - never nom'ed)
  • Mother!
  • Shape of Water (Glen Gauthier & Paul Gosse, never nomed)
  • The Snowman
  • War for Planet of the Apes (Chris Duesterdiek,1 nom)

 

Pirates of Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales 
Paul Massey (7 noms)
Transformers: The Last Knight
Greg P Russell (16 noms, 0 wins), Gary Summers (11 noms, 4 wins)
 

 

SOUND EDITING
More of the same as sound mixing, but with more of a focus on effects and the creation of sounds - wouldn't it be cute if BABY DRIVER got the exact same single nomination as DRIVE (2011)

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Dunkirk Star Wars: The Last Jedi Blade Runner 2049 Detroit

 

 Baby Driver

 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong
Darkest Hour Guardians of Galaxy Vol 2

 

 Atomic Blonde

 

 Wonder Woman
Spider-Man Homecoming
Tier 3 - Or Maybe

Tier 4 So many possibilities

  • The Beguiled
  • The Current War
  • mother!
  • Murder on the Orient Express
  • Greatest Showman
  • The Snowman
  • Valerian and the City of...

 

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales Shape of Water