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Beauty vs. Beast

Nancy, what would the coven do to a reader who doesn't vote on Beauty vs. Beast?

they would kill her"

Comment Fun

Cannes Red Carpet 
Out of (literal) competition. Still competing

"The Best-Julianne (If for nothing else making that crimson work with her hair but her whole look is striking)" Joel6

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88th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2015 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

April Foolish Predicted Five

Tom Hiddleston
never nominated
I Saw the Light

Bryan Cranston
never nominated
(Bleecker Street)

Eddie Redmayne
1 nom | 1 win
The Danish Girl
Nov 27th

Leonardo DiCaprio
4 noms for acting
The Revenant
Michael Fassbender
1 nomination
Steve Jobs
Oct 9th

Real Life Role Alert: He's playing Hank Williams

Playing music legends never hurt any actor with Oscar. He's been doing good unheralded work for a few years now. Could it finally be his time?

Real Life Role Alert: He's playing Blacklisted screenwriter Dalton Trumbo

Hollywood enjoys Hollywood history and they also like to vote for retro causes via proxy. They'll always feel guilty (as well they should) about the blacklist

Real Life Role Alert: He's playing trans pioneer Lili Elbe

Oscar loves actors who "transform" and they just handed him an Oscar for doing just that. Now, a new challenge: playing before & after of an historic gender reassignment surgery

Real Life Role Alert: He's playing legendary fur trapper frontiersman Hugh Glas

With Leo it all comes down to the countdown. Everyone (including unfortunately Leo) knows he's going to win one eventually so they wait... will it be this time?

Real Life Role Alert: He's playing computer genius Steve Jobs

The last time this bio wasa attempted (with Ashton Kutchner in Jobs) it didn't go so well. But this is a pedigree team... but if Fassbender is still against campaigning this could be tough to land

Tier 2 - Also Look Like Good Bets This (Too) Early
Sir Ian McKellen
2 noms
Mr Holmes
(Roadside Attractions)
July 17th
Bradley Cooper
3 noms for acting
Adam Jones
(Weinstein Co)
Oct 2nd
Jake Gyllenhaal
1 nomination
(Fox Searchlight)
Jake Gyllenhaal
1 nomination
(Weinstein Co)
Jul 31st
Tom Hanks 
5 noms | 2 wins 
Bridge of Spies 
Oct 16th
Roadside isn't Oscar strong and its a summer release ...on the other hand, coming out early can work wonders in settling in as a presumptive nominee, if you're great AND people love the film. They say the script is good and his role as a chef with addiction trouble sounds good. But can he really get four consecutive nominations?  Gyllenhaal is on a roll and surely, if this film is a strong actor's piece, he'll have a good shot. Oscar owes him after Nightcrawler Gyllenhaal is on a roll and surely, if this film is great, he'll get in. They love boxers and they owe him  after Nightcrawler. Vote splitting with himself?  Bridge of Spies will undoubtedly be taken seriously given its powerhouse team but is it an "actor's movie"? We shall see. 
Tier 3 - or maybe ?
Antonio Banderas
never nominated
The 33
Michael Fassbender
1 nomination 
(Weinstein Co) 
Will Smith
2 nominations
Johnny Depp
3 nominations
Black Mass
(Warner Bros)
Sept 18th
Don Cheadle
1 nomination
Miles Ahead
 Much depends on who distributes this one and how much of an awards push it gets. Will people be bawling or will they feel manipulated? He'll be ubiquitous in theaters this year. But which role will Oscar be interested in? It's tough to get nominated for Shakespeare these days.   This true story doesn't sound, from a distance, like a real actor's showcase but you never know. Will they want to reward his career reevaluation?  Hey, he was once an actor that everyone eagerly awaited each time to see what he would do with a role. An artistic comeback could happen. And he's playing a real person, not a cartoon. Much depends on whether this gets distribution and if it's good. Directing yourself can be tricky with Oscar but lord knows they love a music bio.
Tier 4 - Other Leads This Year
Tom Courtenay - 45 Years; Warren Beatty - Untitled Howard Hughes Project; Joseph Gordon-Levitt - The Walk, Joseph Gordon-Levitt - Snowden; Michael Fassbender The Light Between the Oceans; Tom Hiddleston Crimson Peak; Dane DeHaan  Tulip Fever; George Clooney Tomorrowland; Robert Redford Truth; Javier Bardem The Last Face; Joaquin Phoenix Irrational Man; Matthew McConaughey -The Sea of Trees; George Clooney - Money Monster; Colin Firth - Genius; Chris Hemsworth - In the Heart of the Sea; Chiwetel Ejiofor - The Secret in Their Eyes; Matt Damon - The Martian; Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation; Sylvester Stallone & Michael B Jordan - Creed; Michael Shannon Midnight Special; Bradley Cooper - Aloha