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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R


 Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. Also loves cats. All material herein is written and copyrighted by him, unless otherwise noted. twitter | facebook | pinterest | tumblr | letterboxd

 

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COMMENT DU JOUR
Love Affair (1994) - as "A Year With Kate" nears its conclusion

A YEAR WITH KATE... 2 episodes left

 "A really beautiful look into the careers of one of my favorite actors, but it's made me consider the careers of so many different actors and how the great ones adapt to eras while still staying true to themselves. This is a special, lovely series. I both cannot wait for and am so sad for the end next week.-John T

 

Beauty vs. Beast

Rhett is all "as if i could lose this poll" - Have you voted?

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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp ActressSupp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural | Animation 

87th Oscars. The Oscar Contenders of 2014 - For prediction, discussion and entertainment purposes only. This is not a endorsement of quality work, especially since no one has seen the pictures yet!

 discuss on the blog

Predictions as of December 19th
Very competitive year but not much is currently happening since the last chart since all five of the men I had predict held strong through the Globe/SAG sifting and eventual Critics Choice nods. But given the stiff competition all year we could see surprises on Oscar Nom morning. Especially beyond Redmayne/Keaton who seem to be in it to win it.
Eddie Redmayne
never nominated
Theory of Everything
(Focus Features)
Nov 7th
Michael Keaton
never nominated
Birdman
(Fox Searchlight)
Oct 17th

 

David Oyelowo
never nominated
Selma
(Paramount)
Dec 25th

Spirit Nom

Benedict Cumberbatch
never nominated
Imitation Game
(Weinstein Co)
Nov 21st

BIFA nod

Jake Gyllenhaal
1 nomination
Nightcrawler
(Open Road)
Oct 31st

Spirit Nom,

Role
Theoretical physicist Stephen Hawking from the 60s through the 90s

In his corner:
Oscar loves nothing more than disabilities in the lead actor category... and biopics. It's a physically demanding role

awards
critics groups
nom:
SAGGLOBE
BFCA,

Role:
Riggan Thomson, a has been movie star best known for playing a superhero attempts a comeback on Broadway

In his corner:
Amazing fusion of actor, performance and role.
But...
Oscar doesn't always "get" meta. Consider that they didn't nominate John Malkovich for Being John Malkovich  

awards
NBR, Gotham, + critics groups
nom:
SpiritSAG
GLOBEBFCA, OFCS,

 

Role:
Martin Luther King leading the dangerous civil rights march in Alabama

In his corner:
It's a plum noble real person role for a rising actor and the movie is filled with Oscar clip speeches. That "lock" icon above might be pushing it -- he's definitely underfamous for this particular category -- but it's getting increasingly hard to imagine the category without him.

awards
critics groups
nom:
Spirit,  GLOBE
BFCA, Image

 Role:
Mathematician and secret World War II hero Alan Turing

In his corner:
It's a fine performance that is both unsentimental and (eventually) emotional. Oscar likes to rubber stamp stars that the general public already likes if they have the right opportunity. But competition is fierce and this doesn't have a "win" hook, if you ask me... Could he be a surprise miss?

awards
critics groups
nom:
 SAGGLOBE
BFCA,

Role:
Lou Bloom, a weirdo videographer of sensational crime scenes

In his corner: Everyone love a transformation and all of Jake's soulful sensitivity seems to have been shed with the lbs to play this sociopathic opportunist. He's memorable.

awards
critics groups
nom:
SpiritSAG
GLOBE

BFCA,OFCS,

The Dark Horses

Steve Carell
never nominated
Foxcatcher
(SPC)
Nov 17th

Ralph Fiennes
2 nominations
Grand Budapest Hotel
(Fox Searchlight)
March 28th 

Timothy Spall
never nominated
Mr Turner
(SPC)
Dec 19th

 

Chadwick Boseman
never nominated
Get On Up
(Universal)
Aug 1st

 

Miles Teller
never nominated
Whiplash
(Sony Pictures Classics)
Oct 10th

Roles:
Wealthy eccentric patron and murderer John DuPont

In their corner:
Steve has the showy "transformative role" as a schizophrenic with a prosthetic nose.
Response to the movie is polarizing and nobody has known quite what to do with Foxcatcher in general this awards season, have they?

awards
Gotham (Ensemble)
nom:
SAGGLOBE

Role:
The perfect concierge M Gustav

In his corner:
Fiennes pushes his inner prestige into silliness while maintaining his refined elegance and helped make this a surprise hit. Isn't it high time Fiennes was invited back? Why does it still (agonizingly) feel like a longshot?

awards
n/a
nom:
GLOBE
BFCA,OFCS,

Role
The titular landscape painter

In his corner:
Spall grunts out this eccentric painter role and Oscar likes Mike Leigh movies and sometimes the leads within them.

awards
Cannes, NYFCC, BIFA
nom:
OFCS,

Role:
Rock icon James Brown

In his corner:
Oscar worships biopics of music icons. Chadwick does some heavy lifting (and sweating) but
the movie's reviews weren't great enough to win him early steady traction. He needed the Globe nomination badly and they miscategorized his role.

awards
n/a
nom:
Image

Role
A young man wants to be the world's best drummer

In his corner
Whiplash
fans are passionate and JK Simmons seems like a done deal. Will they want the box set as s surprise? At 27 going on 28 he'd just miss the top ten youngest nominees ever in this category

awards
n/a
nom:
Gotham

The Longshots

Oscar Isaac
never nominated
A Most Violent Year
(A24)
Dec 31st

Jack O'Connell
never nominated
Unbroken
(Universal)
Dec 25th

Channing Tatum
never nominated
Foxcatcher
(SPC)
Nov 17th

Bradley Cooper
2 nominations
American Sniper
(Warner Bros)
Dec 25th 

Joaquin Phoenix
3 nominations
Inherent Vice
(Warner Bros)
Dec 12th

A rising star who has goodwill left over from his amazing work in Inside Llewyn Davis. He anchors this crime drama well. But that New Years Eve release was most definitely a weird move on A24's part. Still haven't quite managed to understand it.

awards
NBR
noms

Gotham

He's already won raves for Starred Up and '71 on the fest circuit and the Angelina Jolie WWII film will be widely seen. And, as a result, everyone will know what a great new movie star we have. But at 24 he'd be the 5th youngest nominee ever in this category. Too young perhaps.

awards
n/a
nom:
n/a

His turn as Olympic wrestling star Mark Schutlz locked in a codependent tragic spiral is his best work yet. Streep even called him a "monosyllabic mountain of grace" at the Gothams. But no awards heat for reasons that are both understandable and annoying

awards
Gotham (ensemble)
nom:
n/a

Another transformation as Legendary US Navy SEAL Chris Kyle. Cooper is very popular with Oscar right now and winning raves on Broadway too. But there's only so much room at the end of each calendar year and this one didn't ignite quick enough.

awards
n/a
nom:
n/a

 

He's so esteemed as an actor who follows his own muse now that he will always be considered -- and he is very funny in the movie. But funny only takes you to Golden Globes

awards
n/a
nom:
GLOBE

Vote Siphoning from...

Brad Pitt - Fury BFCA,
Bill Murray - St. Vincent GLOBEBFCA,
Matthew McConaughey - Interstellar
James Corden - Into the Woods
Ben Affleck - Gone Girl
Tom Hardy - Locke LAFCA
Tommy Lee Jones
- The Homesman
Alfred Molina - Love is Strange (Spirit Nom)
John Lithgow- Love is Strange (Spirit Nom)
Gael Garcia Bernal - Rosewater
Al Pacino - The Humbling
Bill Hader - The Skeleton Twins (Gotham Nod) 
Brendan Gleeson - Calvary (BIFA,OFCS, 1 regional group)