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88th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2015 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog


Early November - Predicted Five

No one seems like a winner yet which makes this quite exciting

Michael Fassbender
1 nomination
Steve Jobs
Oct 9th

Michael Caine
6 noms | 2 wins
(Fox Searchlight)
Dec 4th

Matt Damon
2 noms for acting
The Martian
Oct 2nd

Leonardo DiCaprio
4 noms for acting
The Revenant
Eddie Redmayne
1 nom | 1 win
The Danish Girl
Nov 27th

Real Life Role Alert: He's playing computer genius Steve Jobs. Bonus points: also trying his hand at Shakespeare this year in MacBeth

If Fassbender is still against campaigning this could be tough to land but he's electric in the film.



Oscar has always had a jonesing for Michael Caine when he's got a juicy role. And this one definitely is. They also like movies about movies so don't bet against this one, however quiet the online buzz will continue to be given that the movie skews older audiences.

Despite the "he might die!" drama in this sci-fi survival blockbuster, this would be an atypically light nominee in this category. But Damon has often generated goodwill and he's a lot of fun in a movie he truly carries. They'll want to reward him for an undeniable success.


Real Life Role Alert: He's playing fur trapper frontiersman Hugh Glass

With Leo it all comes down to the countdown. Everyone (including unfortunately Leo) knows he's going to win one eventually so they wait... will it be this time?


Real Life Role Alert: He's playing trans pioneer Lili Elbe

Oscar loves actors who "transform" and they just handed him an Oscar for doing just that. But there's a problem... Vikander has been stealing the Best in Show thunder

Tier 2 - Other Strong Contenders
Johnny Depp
3 nominations
Black Mass
(Warner Bros)
Sept 18th
Sir Ian McKellen
2 nominations
Mr. Holmes
July 17th
 Tom Hanks
5 noms | 2 wins
Bridge of Spies
Oct 16th 
Michael B Jordan
never nominated
Nov 25th
 Jake Gyllenhaal
1 nomination
(Weinstein Co)
Jul 31st / TBA

He was once an actor that everyone eagerly awaited each time to see what he would do with a role. Reviews suggested an artistic comeback but the movie didn't seem to really stick in release. They may want to welcome him back only if this sticks in case he just returns to wacky cartoon characters?



Though Mr Holmes seemed too modest for Oscar play (and Oscar has been resistant to out leading men -- even McKellen who easily should've won already) the movie performed well with legs at the arthouse. The campaign is stepping up with tributes now for McKellen.


 Bridge of Spies will be taken seriously given its team and success with the public but they passed over Hanks for an even better performance in Captain Phillips. Will Rylance be the only acting nominee or can Hanks finally return to the fold?


He's a young actor that the public and critics seem excited about and Oscar attention generally follows if those two groups agree. Will they take this reigniting of the Rocky franchise seriously or is this strictly a commercial play?



Gyllenhaal is on a roll and he's overdue for nomination #2. Oscar loves boxers and they owe him after Nightcrawler. But he might have to wait yet again unless Oscar surprises by not being interested in some of the usual suspects like Leo or Eddie


Tier 3 - Long Shots
Bryan Cranston
never nominated
(Bleecker Street)
Nov 6th
Tom Hardy
never nominated
Oct 2nd


Tier 4 - Other Leads. Someone Could Surprise

Christopher Abbot - James White Gotham NomineeAbraham Attah - Beasts of No Nation Venice New Actor;  Jesse Eisenberg - End of the Tour; Will Smith - Concussion; Joaquin Phoenix Irrational Man; Chris Hemsworth - In the Heart of the Sea;  Antonio Banderas - The 33; Chiwetel Ejiofor - Secret in Their Eyes; Paul Dano - Love & Mercy; Geza Rohring - Son of Saul; Tom Courtenay - 45 Years BIFA Nominee



Real Life Role Alert: He's playing Blacklisted screenwriter Dalton Trumbo

Hollywood enjoys Hollywood history and they also like to vote for retro causes via proxy. But TIFF didn't generate any buzz for this

BIFA Nominee

Real Life Role Alert: He's playing twin gangsters Reggie & Ronnie Kray

This might be too outre and low profile for the Academy's acting branch and when was the last time someone playing twins was nominated? But his reviews are sensational and it's the right time in his career for Oscar to take note