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91st Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2018 (for the 2019 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog


Tier 1 - Prediction

We're going with a "no newbies" field this year... and a rare case of most of the Best Actor nominees NOT coming from Best Pciture. We just follow where the imaginary narratives in our head take us... even if it is a little confusing. But there are atypical years.

Steve Carell

55 yrs old | 1 nomination
Release TBA

Carell is headlining two could-be tearjerkers this year between the addiction drama Beautiful Boy and this film about a man dealing with his PTSD after a brutal attaack by creating an elaborate WW II era Belgian town in his backyard. His fantasy wold and his real world begin to mix.

Ryan Gosling
37 yrs old | 2 nominations
Oct 12th

Gosling waited nearly a decade from his first nomination to his second but we suspect number three won't take as long. That said, will there be enough inherent emotional drama in this story of Neil Armstrong to let him work his magic? 

Christian Bale
44 yrs old | 3 noms | 1 win
Dec 21st

Oscar voters and critics love him. But there is one worry: will people really want to see a political film about Dick Cheney, even one with a darkly comic bent, in this year when the earth is on fire with our democracy collapsing via the perpetual moral vacuum of the GOP?

Hugh Jackman
49 yrs old | 1 nomination
Release TBA

Now that he's finally free of that adamantium skeleton he can make musicals (last year's hit The Greatest Showman) and go on the hunt for an Oscar -- as he might here playing disgraced politician Gary Hart.

Willem Dafoe

62 yrs old | 3 nominations
Release TBA

He's playing Vincent van Gogh in one of the most dramatic periods of his life (deteriating health, the ear incident, etcetera)

Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Steve Carell
55 yrs old | 1 nomination
Oct 12th

A sure to be touching role as the father to an addict (Timothee Chalamet) but will they like him subtle as we expect he'll be here or more tic-filled as we expect he'll be in The Women of Marwen. Either way he's our strongest hunch in Best Actor for one of these two roles. 

Lucas Hedges

21 yrs old | 1 nomination
Sept 28th

If he were to be nominated he'd already pushed   Timothée Chalamet down a notch on the Youngest To... history books. He plays a gay boy sent to a conversion camp.

Also leads Ben is Back this year

Bradley Cooper

43 yrs old | 3 noms *in acting*
Oct 5th

It's hard to direct yourself into Oscar contention but the acting branch does enjoy his work and if this hews close to the other films he'll get to play a suicidal alcoholic has-been so he'll have a lot to work with!

Rory Kinnear

40 yrs old | never nominated
Release TBA

Mike Leigh's films are notoriously fluid in the making. For all we know he could be a mere cameo, depending on how the writing process with the actors went. But Kinnear's character has potential as he was a famous radical speaker in this era and was involved in the incident that the film is about.

Rami Malek
36 yrs old | never nominated
Nov 2nd

He's playing Freddie Mercury. He looks perfect in stills but this production was troubled given what what going on on set and off with Bryan Singer. That's not Malek's fault but lots of people side with their anger towards directors these days when it comes to evaluated an unrelated person's art. We'll see.

Tier 3 - We might be underestimating...

Ben Mendelsohn
49 yrs old | never nominated
Release TBA

Midlife crisis dramas are a dime a dozen but Mendelsohn is not just any actor and Nicole Holofcener is not just any writer/director so we're exciting about it. 

Sam Rockwell
49 yrs old | 1 nom | 1 win
Release TBA

Rockwell continues his strange and discomfitting niche of playing racists in this true story about a member of the Klu Klux Klan who endd up friends with a rival. a woman of color (Taraji P Henson) in the polarized South

Robert Redford
81 yrs old | 1 nomination *for acting
Fox Searchlight
Release TBA

Redford acted for director David Lowery in Pete's Dragon and they're together again for this dramedy about an elderly bank robber. It's weird that Robert Redford only has 1 acting nomination.

Javier Bardem
49 yrs old | 3 noms | 1 win
Release TBA

Bardem and his wife Penelope Cruz have the same Oscar track record and they're co-starring again for two time Oscar winner Asghar Farhadi in a dramatic mystery when unexpected events bring secrets out into the open.

Jeffrey Wright
52 years old | never nominated
Distributor TBA
Release TBA

He won rave reviews and a prize at Tribeca for this film about a convict in the last days of 25 year sentence. Can the film get a strong distributor?

Tier 4- Too early to rule anyone out!

Joaquin Phoenix

43 yrs old | 3 noms
Release TBA 

People love the book but with co-leads you never know who gets to be "lead" in Oscars eyes. Though you can guess. 

John C Reilly

52 yrs old | 1 nomination
Release TBA  

People love the book but with co-leads you never know who gets to be "lead" in Oscars eyes. Though you can guess.

Garret Hedlund
33 yrs old | never nominated
Distribrutor TBA
Release TBA

He received strong reviews for playing a member of the Klu Klux Klan trying to leave his hateful past behind (there's at least three films about the KKK this year -- yikes) 

Michael Shannon
43 yrs old | 2 nominations
Oct 12th

He plays the son of a woman suffering from Alzheimers but it's said that the movie is mostly focused on the adult children (Hilary Swank plays his sister) 

Matt Dillon

52 years old | 1 nomination
Release TBA

IFC is not an Oscar player but this still should be an interesting part as Dillon tackles the serial killer genre with notorious LVT (Lars von Trier.) in the director's chair.

Tier 5 - Other Male Leads in 2018

(Alphabetical Order) Chadwick Boseman -Black Panther, Andrew Garfield - Under the Silver Lake, Oscar Isaac - Life Itself, Michael B Jordan - Creed 2, John Krasinski - A Quiet Place, Matthew McConaughey - Serenity, Matthew McConaughey - White Boy Rick, Richie Merrit - White Boy Rick, Ed Oxenbould - Wildlife, Robert Pattinson High Life,  Joaquin Phoenix - Don't Worry He Wont' Get Far On Foot, Brad Pitt -Ad Astra, Charlie Plummer - Lean on Pete, Alexander Skarsgård - the Aftermath, LaKeith Stanfield - Sorry to Bother You, Jacob Tremblay - The Death and Life of John F Donovan, John David Washington - Blackkklansman