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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

DECEMBER 13TH PREDICTIONS

Tier 1 Predictions

Gary Oldman
59 yrs old | 54 films | 1 nomination
DARKEST HOUR
Nov 24th

Role: Winston Churchill becomes Prime Minister during World War II

Wins: --
Noms: Critics Choice, SAG,  Globe

It's an awards magnet role (see also the Emmys and Globes in other iterations) and Oscar loves a showy "transformation." Plus many feel he's due for a win. The obstacle is that the film is losing heat as a Best Picture contender.

Timothée Chalamet
21 yrs old | 9 films | never nominated
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
Nov 24th 

Role: Elio, a 17 year old young man in Italy falls for his father's summer research assistant

Wins: Gotham (Bkthu), NBR (Bkthu) , NY LA
Noms: Spirit, Critics Choice SAG,  Globe

 Despite the proven resistance of awards bodies to actors this young, he won the kind of raves that feel like once in a lifetime hosannas. They'd be crazy to deny him and he could make history!

James Franco

39 yrs old | 82 films | 1 nomination
THE DISASTER ARTIST
Dec 1st

Role: Delusional filmmaker Tommy Wiseau makes legendary bad movie "The Room"

Wins: Gotham
Noms: SpiritCritics Choice SAG,  Globe

Though the film's appeal seems quite limited on paper enthusiasm proved more robust than that and a well timed comic biographical performance is perhaps enough to stand out in this year's crop. Could be a last minute snub but looking strong.

 

 

Daniel Kaluuya
28 yrs old | 8 films | never nominated
GET OUT
Feb 24th

Role: A young man meets his white girlfriend's parents. But something is very wrong in their home and town. But what...?

Wins: Boston
Noms:Gotham, Spirit Critics ChoiceSAG, Globe

 He's excellent as the wary watchful protagonist but for a long time this was not imaginable. But best picture heat counts for a lot and the precursors have embraced him. On to his first Oscar nod?

 

Daniel Day-Lewis

59 yrs old | 21 films | 5 noms | 3 wins
PHANTOM THREAD
Dec 25th

Role: A fashion designer

Wins: Toronto
Noms: Globe Critics Choice

That retirement announcement may just be enough to push him over the edge in a fifth spot contest (?) with two other mutiple Oscar winners (Hanks & Denzel). Or will they ignore the late breaking film?

 
Tier 2 - POTENTIAL SPOILERS...

Denzel Washington
62 yrs old | films | 7 noms | 2 wins *in acting
ROMAN ISRAEL, ESQ
Nov 3rd

Role: an idealistic lawyer struggles with his new firm

Wins: --
Noms: GlobeSAG

He won his usual top-notch reviews but response has been otherwise surprisingly muted... even from audiences who love Denzel. Will his acting alone be enough without a boost from the film?

Tom Hanks
60 yrs old | 5 noms | 2 wins
THE POST
Dec 22nd

Role: Newspaper editor Ben Bradlee pursues an incredible Government coverup story in this true story

Wins: NBR
Noms: Critics Choice, Globe

 Oscar has passed him over for more central star turns recently. With tough competition it might happen again, especially since Streep is this film's obvious MVP and carries the arc with her.

Jake Gyllenhaal

36 yrs old | 33 films | 1 nomination)
STRONGER
Sept 22nd

Role: Jeff Bauman loses both his legs in the Boston Marathon bombing and struggles to get his life back thereafter

Wins: --
NomsCritics Choice

Oscar owes Jake (when will he get his due as one of the best working actors?) but this true story didn't generate much interest despite his superbly vulnerable star turn.

 

Tier 3
EXTREME  LONG SHOTS

Christian Bale (3/1) Hostiles

Hugh Jackman (1/0) Logan or The Greatest Showman Globe Nom

Jamie Bell Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool BIFA nom

Robert Pattinson Good Time Gotham Nom | Spirit Nom

 

 
Tier 4 - Maybe next time...


They had their devout fans this season

Looked good on paper OR on screen. Traction somehow never took

  • Jeremy Renner - Wind River
  • Andrew Garfield - Breathe
  • Matt Damon - Downsizing
  • Sam Elliott - The Hero
  • Bryan Cranston and Steve Carell - Last Flag Flying
  • Adam Sandler - The Meyerowitz Stories - Gotham Nom