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87th Oscars. The Oscar Contenders of 2014 - For prediction, discussion and entertainment purposes only. This is not a endorsement of quality work, especially since no one has seen the pictures yet!

 discuss on the blog

Predictions as of Aug. 7th
Channing Tatum
never nominated
Nov 17th
Mark Ruffalo
1 nomination
Nov 17th
Robert Duvall
6 noms | 1 win
The Judge
(Warner Bros)
Oct 10th
Tom Wilkinson
2 nominations
Dec 25th

Ed Norton
2 nominations
(Fox Searchlight)
Oct 14th

Though we're probably looking at a three-lead or at least a two-lead picture, chances are Category Fraud roars its ugly head again. Ruffalo is having a good year (see: The Normal Heart) and Channing Tatum is on top of Hollywood now. Expect all three Foxcatcher men to be nominated in some formation or another
He hasn't been nominated in 16 years but title characters are often a boon to actors with Oscar. And father/son dramas are often well received by critics.

Presidential! Will Oscar respond to his portrayal of Lyndon B Johnson? He seems like the type of actor who'll come back around to the nominee circle once a decade

This very meta picture which cast former Batman star Michael Keaton as former Birdman star also cast Norton in the role of an apparently difficult actor. Hmmm. Still he looks funny in it.

Albert Brooks
1 nomination
A Most Violent Year
Nov 12th
Josh Brolin
1 nomination
Inherent Vice
(Warner Bros)
Dec 12th
J.K. Simmons
never nominated
Oct 10th
Logan Lerman
never nominated
Nov 14th
James Corden
never nominated
Into the Woods
Dec 25th
Pity about that Drive snub but if he continues to get good roles from stylish filmmakers than won't he back at some point? I have yet to read the novel but *every* character sounds amazing and rife for actorly showing-off (on paper). So let's throw our darts blindly and point to Brolin. Early raves from Sundance don't guarantee Oscar traction for indies but it seems like the right time for years of good work to get Simmons his due. Oscar loves a stern mentor.

From the looks of the trailer he's our proxy into the world of this tank troop. Lerman is a rising star and if this part challenges him enough maybe Oscar will notice. Still, he's probably too young for the male acting race. They like 'em weathered.

This gifted actor hasn't made much of a mark in the movies yet but The Baker and his wife are good roles, the heart of the piece really (at least on stage) and he's got a fine screen partner in Blunt and his profile was just significantly raised with The Late Show news

Paul Jesson
never nominated
Mr Turner
Christoph Waltz
2 noms | 2 wins
Big Eyes
(Weinstein Co)
Dec 25th
Dominic West
never nominated
(CBS Films)
Sept 12
Ethan Hawke
3 noms | (1 for acting)
July 18th
Takamasa Ishihara
never nominated
The artist's doting father. Reviews from Cannes made it sound like a one man show for Spall but you never know when they really love a movie. Oscar sure does love him. But he's been amply rewarded and that might matter if he's only "good" - This will probably be Amy & Burton's show
He's apparently a scene stealer as the boyfriend of a bookshop owner in this crowd-pleasing comedy about a miner strike in the UK

The parents anchor this long journey through a young boy's life. But Hawke makes this type of role look effortless. And effortlessness is tricky to get noticed for.

He's the main antagonist but the trailer isn't promising in terms of acting traction for this movie. And Oscar extremely rarely nominates Asian actors
Also Supporting This Year
...and you never know...

Multiples. Who wins MVP reviews?
Tim Roth, Giovanni Ribisi, Cuba Gooding Jr -Selma
Jai Courtney, Garret Hedlund, Domnhall Gleeson or Finn Wittrock - Unbroken
Charles Dance, Matthew Goode or Mark Strong - Imitation Game
Jason Schwartzman, Terence Stamp or Danny Huston - Big Eyes
Owen Wilson or Benicio del Toro - Inherent Vice
Rupert Friend or Ben Mendehlsonn - Starred Up
Aaron Paul, Joel Edgerton or Ben Kingsley - Exodus: Gods and Kings (I'd have Edgerton in the chart because Ramses is such a potent part... but an actor that white playing him?)
David Oyelowo or Alessandro Nivola - A Most Violent Year
Oscar Isaac - Two Faces of January

2014 or 2015 - the murky or nonexistent release dates ???
Carol, Dark Places, A Little Chaos, Far from the Madding Crowd, Queen of the Desert, The Water Diviner, Pawn Sacrifice, True Story