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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

December 4th- Predictions

Tier 1 - Predicted 5
Only Ali and Bridges are locked up. As long as a combination includes them it looks plausible.

 

 

Mahershala Ali
MOONLIGHT
(never nom'ed)
Oct 21st
Reviewed 

Prizes
Spirit Ensemble Prize, Critics Choice Nom, NYFCC Winner, LAFCA Winner

  He's mesmerizing in the film but due to the triptych construction he's only in a third of it. That may be enough for the actors branch since it's already a hit and critics are also rallying

Jeff Bridges
HELL OR HIGH WATER
(6 noms | 1 win)
August 12th
Reviewed 

Prizes
NBR Winner,
Gotham Nom (Lead), Critics Choice Nom

Oscar loves themselves some Jeff Bridges. And as their favorite player in this sleeper hit, perhaps they'll want to throw him another round of applause?

Ben Foster
HELL OR HIGH WATER
(never nom'ed)
August 12th
Reviewed 

Prizes
Spirit Nom, Critics Choice Nom

Most of the buzz has been with Jeff Bridges but the Spirit nomination went toi Ben Foster a good sign to finally recognize this actor or a fluke?

Dev Patel
LION
(26 yrs old | 9th movie | never nominated)
Nov 25th 
Reviewed 

Prizes
APSA Nom (Lead), Critics Choice Nom

ARGUABLE CATEGORY FRAUD

 This lovely film will likely be a sleeper hit. Though Dev Patel plays the lead character he only shows up in the second half of the picture. It's a moving role

 

Hugh Grant
FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS
(never nom'd)
Aug 12th
Reviewed

Prizes
EFA nomination, Critics Choice (Comedy Only)

CATEGORY FRAUD

He got deservedly great reviews and wouldn't it be sweet to finally see him nominated? An undervalued enduring charmbomb. Seems like a slam dunk for a Globe Comedy Lead Actor nod

 

 

Tier 2 - Can They Rise?


 

Lucas Hedges
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA
(never nom'd)
Nov 18th
Reviewed 

Prizes
Gotham Breakthrough,  Spirit Nom, Critics Choice Nom

Getting great "discovery!" reviews for his turn as Casey Affleck's newly orphaned nephew in this acclaimed drama. He's very young for Oscar love and they can be stingy with young men. On the other hand his character is very likable

 

Ralph Fiennes
A BIGGER SPLASH
(2 nominations)
May 13th

Prizes
Spirit Nom

The question is not worthiness -- this uninhibited star turn was crazy good. But whether people will remember it? Campaign Campaign Campaign. It's been way too long since he was nominated.

Stephen Henderson
FENCES
(never nominated)
Dec 16th 

Prizes
tba 

 He was Tony nominated for playing Denzel's best friend in Fences. Will reprising the role get him an Oscar nom? I'm mystified that he's not getting attention thus far since he's obviously the third major Oscarable key to the movie's success

Michael Shannon NOCTURNAL ANIMALS
(1 nom)
Nov 18th
Reviewed 

Prizes
Critics Choice Nom 

 He's a detective investigating the strange goings on in the new Tom Ford film and he steals the whole show. Plus actors love him. Will they feel guilty for passing him over when he had such buzz last season?

 

Peter Sarsgaard
JACKIE
(never nominated)
Dec 9th
Reviewed 

Prizes
tba  

  Despite getting the only showy role besides Natalie Portman's bold title character work and performing a tetchy duet with her people haven't been talking about his work. A pity since he STILL has not been nominated despite a strong career.

 

Tier 3 - Longshots

Liam Neeson
SILENCE
(1 nom)
December 

Prizes
tba 

  Neeson is the mentor of the young priests searching for him in Japan. And he's a much bigger star now than he was with his first nomination. People haven't talked about him much since the film started screening

Tom Bennett
LOVE & FRIENDSHIP
(never nom'ed)
June 3rd 
Reviewed 

Prizes
tba 

 DESERVING BUT NO BUZZ

Why didn't Love & Friendship get the campaign it deserved? It wouldn't take that much to remind people how special this comic performance is

 

Issey Ogata - Silence
Alden Ehrenreich - Hail Caesar
Aaron Eckhart -
Bleed for This or Sully
Alan Rickman -
Eye in the Sky
Craig Robinson
- Morris From America Gotham (Lead),  Spirit Nom
Shia Labeouf - American Honey  Spirit Nom
Simon Helberg - Florence Foster Jenkins
Trevante Rhodes, Andre Holland - Moonlight
David Oyelow - Queen of Katwe
Ralph Ineson - The Witch
Sunny Pawar - Lion