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Review: QUEEN OF KATWE

"LOVED this move. If the Academy could be convinced to see this, I could absolutely see it sneaking into BP." -Eurocheese

"I would love to see 'Oscar winning director, Mira Nair' written somewhere someday" -Choog

 

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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

SEPT 20th - POST FESTIVAL UPDATE. LOTS OF MOVEMENT

Tier 1 - Predicted 5
No frontrunner yet and not even anything that looks like a lock. Which makes supporting actor unusually exciting. At least for now. Oscar voters have a way of turning this category into the dullest one each year somehow, though. We shall see.

Michael Shannon NOCTURNAL ANIMALS
(1 nom)
Nov 18th
Reviewed 

 He's a detective investigating the strange goings on in the new Tom Ford film and he steals the whole show. Plus actors love him. Will they feel guilty for passing him over when he had such buzz last season? 

 

 

Stephen Henderson
FENCES
(never nominated)
Dec 16th 

 He was Tony nominated for playing Denzel's best friend in Fences. Will reprising the role get him an Oscar nom? If the film does the play justice it will surely be up for acting Oscars. 

 

Peter Sarsgaard
JACKIE
(never nominated)
Dec 9th

 He's got the only showy role besides Natalie Portman's bold title character work. Their tetchy duet could work wonders for both.

Plus isn't it about time with Peter? Never nominated. That's bizarre.

 

Hugh Grant
FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS
(never nom'd)
Aug 12th
Reviewed

CAREER HONORS / CATEGORY FRAUD

He got deservedly great reviews and wouldn't it be sweet to finally see him nominated? An undervalued enduring charmbomb But it's a lead role that you know they'll try to push into this category.


Liam Neeson
SILENCE
(1 nom)
TBA 

Neeson is the mentor of the young priests searching for him in Japan. And he's a much bigger star now than he was with his first nomination 

But this film is starting to feel imaginary. Will it even open?

 

 

 

Tier 2 - Can They Rise?


Aaron Eckhart
BLEED FOR THIS
(never nom'd)
Nov 23rd 

Burgess Meredith and Sly Stallone were both nominate for playing boxing mentors and the bald look will grab attention - they like actors to go unrecognizable. Good early reviews for his work.

Steve Martin
BILLY LYNN'S LONG...
(never nom'ed | 1 honorary)
Nov 11th 

 He's the charming fictional owner of the Dallas Cowboys in this story which mostly takes place on a Thanksgiving day game. It'd be so sweet to finally see him nominated. (Why is the film not showing for critics though at NYFF?)

 

Mahershala Ali
MOONLIGHT
(never nom'ed)
Oct 21st

 He's mesmerizing in the film but due to the triptych construction he's only in a third of it. Will that be enough for the actor's branch?

 

Lucas Hedges
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA
(never nom'd)
Nov 18th

Getting great "discovery!" reviews for his turn as Casey Affleck's newly orphaned nephew in this acclaimed drama. But he's very young for Oscar love and they can be stingy with young men.

Tom Bennett
LOVE & FRIENDSHIP
(never nom'ed)
June 3rd 
Reviewed 

 *EARLY BIRD SPECIAL*

If Love & Friendship gets the campaign it deserves, it wouldn't take that much to remind people how special this comic performance is. But does Amazon know what they have here?

 

 

Tier 3 - Longshots

Vin Diesel
BILLY LYNN'S LONG...
(never nom'ed)
Nov 11th 

WILD CARD

 

The actors branch loves to be surprised by really familiar faces. His role, in flashbacks, has potential. Depends on how well he does and how much people love the film.

Alden Ehrenreich
HAIL, CAESAR!
(never nom'ed)
Feb 1st 

EARLY BIRD SPECIAL

The question is not worthiness -- people went nuts for this charismatic funny film-stealing turn. But whether people will remember it? Campaign Campaign Campaign. He deserves it.

 

Jeff Bridges
HELL OR HIGH WATER
(6 noms | 1 win)
Feb 1st 
Reviewed 

Oscar loves themselves some Jeff Bridges. And as their favorite player in this sleeper hit, perhaps they'll want to throw him another round of applause?

 

Ralph Fiennes
A BIGGER SPLASH
(2 nominations)
May 13th

EARLY BIRD SPECIAL

The question is not worthiness -- this uninhibited star turn was crazy good. But whether people will remember it? Campaign Campaign Campaign. It's been way too long since he was nominated.

 

Timothy Spall
DENIAL
(never nom'ed)
Sept 30th 

He probably came close to a nomination for Mr Turner and villains are popular in this category. His Holocaust denier could be showy enough to get him attention. And even if it's too big, Oscar likes Most Acting as much as Best Acting

 

Tier 5 Vote Siphoning From?
Craig Robinson - Morris From America
Jovan Adepo, Mykelti Williamson - Fences
Matthew Broderick, Warren Beatty - Rules Don't Apply
Mark Strong - Miss Sloane
George Mackay, Frank Langella - Captain Fantastic
John Goodman - 10 Cloverfield Lane
Tadanobu Asano - Silence
Simon Helberg - Florence Foster Jenkins
Trevante Rhodes, Andre Holland, Alex Hibble, Ashton Sanders - Moonlight
David Oyelow - Queen of Katwe
Ralph Ineson - The Witch
Armie Hammer & Jackie Earle Haley - Birth of a Nation
Nick Offerman and John Carroll Lynch - The Founder
Sunny Pawar - Lion

Falling Off
JK Simmons -La La Land (cameo)
David Wenham - Lion
Forest Whitaker - Arrival
Jeremy Renner - Arrival
Michael Shannon -Loving (cameo)
Aaron Eckhart -Sully
Kyle Chandler - Manchester by the Sea