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"I loved Clarke's scenes with Edgerton in The Great Gatsby. I thought, oh now I'm watching men not boys, and now I'm watching actors not movie stars.-Adri

"He has become someone I look for in films because he always comes across with such honesty." -Henry

 

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87th Oscars. The Oscar Contenders of 2014 - For prediction, discussion and entertainment purposes only. This is not a endorsement of quality work, especially since no one has seen the pictures yet!

 discuss on the blog

Predictions as of November 14th
J.K. Simmons
never nominated
Whiplash
(SPC)
Oct 10th
Ed Norton
2 nominations
Birdman
(Fox Searchlight)
Oct 14th
Mark Ruffalo
1 nomination
Foxcatcher
(SPC)
Nov 14th

 

Ethan Hawke
3 noms | (1 for acting)
Boyhood
(IFC)
July 18th

 

Tom Wilkinson
2 nominations
Selma
(Paramount)
Dec 25th

It seems like the right time to honor him for years of good work. Oscar loves a stern mentor and the film and this performance are already very  popular

This very meta picture which cast former Batman star Michael Keaton as former Birdman star also cast Norton in the role of an apparently difficult actor. Hmmm. Still he looks funny in it.

Ruffalo is having a good year (see: The Normal Heart), he's excellent in Foxcatcher as well as playing the film's most likeable character. Should be an easy get given the dearth of competition thus far. But winning will be tough.

 

The parents anchor this long journey through a young boy's life. But Hawke makes this type of role look effortless. And despite the Best Picture boost, effortlessness is tricky to get noticed for.

Tom is Presidential! He has several good negotiation scenes as stressed out president Lyndon B Johnson, presiding over the nation during a very turbulent time. At times maddening (for his inaction) but his character arc is engaging.

But Watch Out For...
Josh Brolin
1 nomination
Inherent Vice
(Warner Bros)
Dec 12th
Robert Duvall
6 noms | 1 win
The Judge
(Warner Bros)
Oct 10th
Christoph Waltz
2 noms | 2 wins
Big Eyes
(Weinstein Co)
Dec 25th
John Goodman
never nominated
The Gambler
(Paramount)
Dec 25th
Martin Short
never nominated
Inherent Vice
Dec 12th
 

He has the largest supporting role in the film and he's quite great/funny in it. But will voters know what to make of the film at all? It's love it or hate it material

He hasn't been nominated in 16 years but title characters are often a boon to actors with Oscar. Though this father/son drama wasn't been well reviewed, legendary actors sometimes don't need that to mount successful campaigns EGREGIOUS CATEGORY FRAUD ALERT. Oscar loves him. Still, isn't two actual statues more than enough until he gives another undeniable performance like the one he gave in Basterds?


As he did recently with Flight and Argo and Inside Llewyn Davis, Goodman steals his scene(s) with abandon. Oscar loves a scene stealer so why haven't they yet honored him?

It would take critics going bonkers for this one at year's end like a Wolf of Wall Street situation for this glorified madcap cameo to take but you never know. It's a crowd pleasing jolt of dark zaniness

The Longshots
Tyler Perry
never nominated
Gone Girl
October 3rd
Alec Baldwin
1 nomination
Still Alice
(SPC)
Qualifier

VOTE SIPHONING FROM?

Jason Clarke, Andy Serkis, Toby Kebell - Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Michael Caine - Interstellar
Charlie Cox - Theory of Everything
Tim Roth, Giovanni Ribisi - Selma
Albert Brooks, David Oyelowo - A Most Violent Year
Billy Magnussen, Johnny Depp, Chris Pine - Into the Woods
Takamasa Ishihara, Jai Courtney, Garret Hedlund, Domnhall Gleeson or Finn Finn Wittrock - Unbroken
Joel Edgerton & Ben Kingsley - Exodus: Gods and Kings
Paul Jesson - Mr Turner
Logan Lerman or Shia Labeouf - Fury 
Andrew Scott - Pride (BIFA nod)
Ben Schnetzer - Pride (BIFA Nod + BIFA Newcomer Nod) 
Bill Nighy - Pride 

 He'd be a surprise nominee but it's a crowd pleasing role from an unexpected actor in a very popular movie. But how does Oscar feel about this movie? I hear conflicting reports.

If they really go crazy for Julianne Moore's alzheimer's patient, he could pop up as the supportive husband (a less common trope with Oscar but every once in awhile-- think Broadbent in Iris)