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JANE is the doc frontrunner

"Can we hav a tie w both Jane and Faces Places?" - Claran

"Jane was wonderful. Goodall's such a compelling presence that the talking heads even give off a freshness that that format has lacked in recent documentaries." - John T

What'cha Looking For?
Interviews

new Claes Bang Actor
(Sweden's Oscar Submission)
Nikolaj Lie Kaas Actor
(Denmark's Oscar Submission)
Hana Jusic Director
(Croatia's Oscar Submission)

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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

DECEMBER 14TH  PREDICTIONS

 

Tier 1 - Predictions
This contest narrowed down quickly but remains murky; Dafoe and Rockwell have so dominated discussions that the rest of the field has arguably never come completely into focus.

Willem Dafoe
62 yrs old | 95 films | 2 noms

THE FLORIDA PROJECT
Oct 6th

Role: The manager of a motel one step up from homeliness tries to watch over his tenants while also not being pushed over by them

Win: NBR, NY. LA
Noms: Gotham.Critics Choice, SAGGlobe

Rave reviews for his empathetic work. Career Oscar here?

Sam Rockwell

48 yrs old | 62 films | never nominated
THREE BILLBOARD
Nov 10th

Role: A dense racist cop struggles with learning to be less hateful as a forceful woman becomes the focus of his wrath

Win: --
Nom: Spirit , Critics ChoiceSAGGlobe

 

His racist and dense cop stole some MVP notices from McDormand herself. Career nomination as much as this role?

Richard Jenkins
70 yrs old | 77 films | 1 nomination
SHAPE OF WATER
Dec 8th

Role: A gay illustrator struggles to understand his mute best friend's new romance with... a fish man?

Wins: --
Noms: Critics ChoiceSAG, Globe

 

His narration is key to the fable like quality and he's great with Sally Hawkins in their scenes together

Woody Harrelson
56 yr old | 2 nominations
THREE BILLBOARDS
Nov 10th

Role: A sick police chief comes under intense scrutiny for an unsolved rape/murder case

Wins: --
Noms: SAG

Though Rockwell has gotten the bulk of the attention the film, he's as strong as usual in a crucial (and more importantly sympathetic) role.

Michael Stuhlbarg
49 yrs old | 24 films | never nominated
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
Nov 24th

Role: An art historian notices his son and his assistant getting very close one summer

Win:
Nom: Critics Choice

 That great late film monologue screams Oscar clip ! Though he hasn't caught fire in the precursors I'm going out on a limb to say he'll be a welcome surprise on Oscar nom morning.

 
Tier 2- SPOILER POSSIBILITIES...

Christopher Plummer

yrs old | films | 2 noms | 1 win
ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD
Dec 25th

Role: Getty the richest man in the world learns that his grandson has been kidnapped

Wins: --
Noms: Globe

This role comes with what might prove a hard-to-resist narrative given how quickly he filmed it to replace Spacey. On the other hand, unless he's great it might feel gimmicky to nominate him

Armie Hammer
31 yrs old | 17 films | never nominated
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
Nov 24th

Role: A research assistant falls for his mentor's son one summer in Italy

Wins: --
Noms: Spirit   , Critics Choice ,Globe

Winning "best work of his career" reviews but romantic nominations for men are tough to come by. That said, they do love a lead in the supporting category

Steve Carell
55 yrs old | 31 films | 1 nomination
BATTLE OF THE SEXES
Sept 29th

Role: Tennis pro Bobby Riggs and his quest to undermine women's tennis

Wins: --
Noms: SAG, Globe Nom

Despite Emma Stone's best in show performance as Billie Jean King, it's Carell's clown that's been winning precursor love. And they do love a lead role in the supporting category!

Ben Mendelsohn

48 yrs old | 43 films | never nominated
DARKEST HOUR
Nov 22nd

Role: King George VI has to adjust to a new unpredictable Prime Minister

Win: --
Nom: --

His voice is recognizably changed from his usual chill Aussie and he has great screen chemistry with Oldman. Oscar does love a royal and he steals one of the film's best scenes. Don't be *too* shocked if he's a come from nowhere spoiler

Tier 3 BETTER LUCK NEXT TIME

  • Mitchell or Hedlund - Mudbound
  • Romano - The Big Sick
  • Rylance - Dunkirk
  • Fishburne - Last Flag Flying
  • Elba -Molly's Game
  •  Ford - Blade Runner 2049
  • Waltz - Downsizing
  • Hoffman - Meyerowitz Stories
  • Birmingham - Wind River
  • Stewart - Logan Critics Choice Nom