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 Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. Also loves cats. All material herein is written and copyrighted by him, unless otherwise noted. twitter | facebook | pinterest | tumblr | letterboxd


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"My favorite movie about the theater is ALL ABOUT EVE, but then again that movie is my favorite movie about everything about movies and love and lust and life itself." - Jay

"TOPSY-TURVY perfectly captures the feeling of imminent failure that you get when you're in rehearsals." - Peggy


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87th Oscars. The Oscar Contenders of 2014 - For prediction, discussion and entertainment purposes only. This is not a endorsement of quality work, especially since no one has seen the pictures yet!

 discuss on the blog

Predictions as of October 24th

Emma Stone
never nominated
(Fox Searchlight)
Oct 17th

Patricia Arquette
never nominated
July 11th

Gotham nod

Meryl Streep
18 noms | 3 wins
Into the Woods
Dec 25th
Carmen Ejogo
never nominated
"Coretta Scott King"
 Keira Knightley
1 nomination
"Joan Clark"
The Imitation Game
(Weinstein Co)
Nov 21st


Oscar loves their young starlets and this feels like the right time to make a play for a first nomination. It doesn't hurt that it's a big showy role in a Best Picture threat.

She's the MVP of a highly regarded movie and brave enough to let herself age in one movie without any makeup but merely time.

The Witch is the marquee role even if it's not a true lead. They'll nominate Meryl for virtually anything... and this is a very cool role. Unless they just don't like the movie. We'll see.

She was terrific in the little seen Sparkle so she's a breakout waiting to happen. This role has previously been played by greats like Bassett and Tyson... but how big is the role in this telling?

She's great as the fiancee and friend to the gay lead but is the enthusiasm there for multiple nominations. Will Imitation Game rev up when it's finally in theaters?

Laura Dern
1 nomination
(Fox Searchlight)
Dec 5th
Anna Kendrick
1 nomination
Into the Woods
Dec 25th
Marion Bailey
never nominated
"Sophia Booth"
Mr Turner
Dec 19th
Rene Russo
never nominated
Oct 31st
Kristen Stewart
never nominated
Still Alice

She's playing a woman dying of cancer so that's baity enough. Plus Dern is adorable always so AMPAS might be happy to have her back, especially since she was all over the place last year fighting for her Dad's nomination.

The Cinderella role won Laura Benanti a Tony nomination in the last Broadway production. Kendricks will nail the singing and she's all over the place this year which should help visibility and "it's her time" feeling

Mike Leigh movies generally have amazing casts and she's the warmest character and most delightful in the movie. And yet, late December seems like a tough risk to win attention. It didn't work for Another Year

This fiery performance will make you furious that Hollywood has given her nothing to do lately. But will the Academy watch this weird dark indie even with all the buzzy performances?

I'm more surprised than anyone that she keeps making interesting movies with great actors who are upping her game. She's converting previous non-fans. If Oscar really loves Still Alice, and not just for Julianne, she could surprise.

Viola Davis
2 nominations
"Susie Brown"
Get On Up
Aug 1st
Jessica Chastain
2 nominations
Dec 12th
Lorraine Touissant
never nominated
"Amelia Boynton"
Dec 25th
Naomi Watts
2 nominations
(Fox Searchlight)
October 17th
Carrie Coon
never nominated
Gone Girl

Playing the mother who abandoned the rock star, Viola shines again. Since "How to Get Away With Murder" is a huge hit Hollywood might feel generous but this if Chadwick Boseman wins traction

It's been another big year for her and if they go wild for Interstellar (which they might) maybe they'll look at the actors? Chastain is important in the picture

Lorraine is having a great year, given what she did in Orange is the New Black. Will her role as a famous civil rights activist be large enough here to be noticed?

Actresses playing actresses is a trick that usually goes over pretty well for critics and Oscar voters. But will they be able to see past Emma Stone to think of Naomi's exasperated neurotic actress

If AMPAS members love Gone Girl they could do a lot worse than coronating Carrie Coon as the next big thing. Bonus points: how fabulous was she on The Leftovers this summer? 

...Vote Siphoning?

Katharine Waterston  - Inherent Vice
Naomi Watts - St. Vincent
Andrea Riseborough, Amy Ryan - Birdman
Marisa Tomei - Love is Strange
Kristin Scott Thomas - My Old Lady
Uma Thurman - Nymphomaniac
Imelda Staunton - Pride
Tilda Swinton - Snowpiercer 
Kim Dickens - Gone Girl