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First Time Oscar Nominees - who will be back first?

"Probably the last nomination for all of them." - Fred

"From this group, I'd say Ruth Negga, Lucas Hedges, and Dev Patel are likely to return again." - Aaron

"Out of all the nominees I think it's a little strange that Garfield was the least deserving but most likely to be nominated again. " - Tom

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INTERVIEWS

Oscar Nominee Interviews
Asghar Farhadi (The Salesman)
Martin Butler & Bentley Dean (Tanna)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival
Krystof Deak (Sing)
Robert Legato (The Jungle Book)
Rich Moore (Zootopia) 

 

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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

The Nominees Are...

  If you missed the Smackdown we did two whole days on this race

Viola Davis
FENCES
3rd nomination
Dec 25th

First Impression 

Wins
Critics Choice, Globe

Role
Rose Maxson, a frustrated housewife whose husband is cheating on her 

Michelle Williams
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA
4th nomination
Nov 18th
Reviewed

Wins
NYFCC, Globe

Role
The ex-wife of a man who hasn't recovered as well as she has from their shared tragedy 

Naomie Harris

MOONLIGHT
1st nomination!
Oct 21st 
Reviewed 

Wins
NBR,
Gotham Ensemble,

Role
The addict mother of a young gay black boy in Miami

Nicole Kidman
LION
4th nom\ | 1 win)
Nov 25th
Reviewed

INTERVIEW W/ NICOLE
INTERVIEW W/ SUE 

Role
Sue Brierley, an adoptive mother worred about her sons slipping away from her. 

Octavia Spencer
HIDDEN FIGURES
2nd nom | 1 win 
Dec 25th

Wins
NBR Ensemble, SAG Ensemble 

Role
A brilliant math mind at NASA who gets proactive about her career when computers arrive 

 

HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED?

50% Performance + Role. It's a great role and there's a reason she won a Tony for it already. She's just volcanic.
24% She's Viola Davis and they know they owe her.
15% That sneaky avoid the competition campaign. We do not approve of category fraud but it worked (sigh). Precursors co-signed
5% snot cry
1% Denzel
50% Sympathetic Role. Oscar has always loved grieving mothers and big tears
24% Performance + precursors. Critics jumped on it and precursors rallied
10% Her final scene is a cathartic release for the movie's huge fans
5% Oh, right. Michelle Williams. We love her.
47% Performance. It's hard to play a large poisonous memory and still garner sympathy.
23% Role. Oscar loves an addict.
18% People really love this movie and she's the through line.
7% Discovery factor even though she isn't "new"
3% Hey, it's Moneypenny!
2% Media loved the filmed in three days story
30% Performance She's sneakily brilliant, deepening a role that could have been flat.
30% Role. Oscar loves a supportive mom. And actors playing real people 
20% Lion is loved
10% She's Nicole Kidman. Even ugly wigs can't dull her screen charisma
8% Precursor support
2% Ensemble work. Everyone is so attuned to each other
33% Box office and critics. A very popular movie.
30% The central trio. She became the place to channel love of the cast as often happens with ensembles.
15% Role: True story appeal
10% Performance.
7% that story of her buying out theaters for poor families to see the movie
5% Minnie!

 

WHAT CLIP SHOULD THEY PLAY

Anything but the screaming tears. Please there's SO MUCH MORE to this performance Sick in bed. Her intro scene "You don't love me no more" The bathtub "I'll always listen to you" On the bus "I pay taxes"

 

WHO WILL WIN?

Viola Davis has this one locked up, 100%. No one has seen the key in months.

 

WHO WAS LEFT OUT?

Many, including me, were rooting for Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women) to nab her first nomination. Others wanted Janelle Monae (Hidden Figures), Lily Gladstone (Certain Women), or Molly Shannon (Other People) to appear.