It's almost Christmas! Our Christmas that is, when we open our beautiful presents and occassional lumps of coal from the Academy. What will go in the history books tomorrow as Oscar nominees? Here's a run down of my final predictions in case you missed them (with three alterations) since the charts are being pulled tonight for reconstruction tomorrow once we have the official nominations.
All predictions are after the jump...
PICTURE
if there were still only five nominees
Arrival
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
if 6 then...
Lion
if 7 then
Hidden Figures
if 8 then
Hacksaw Ridge
if 9 then
Fences
if 10 then
Nocturnal Animals
alt. Loving and Jackie
If you check out the chart at Gurus of Gold that top nine above appears to be consensus with people disagreeing on which film is running in 10th. Will we have a significant surprise tomorrow morning?
DIRECTOR
Chazelle, La La Land
Davis, Lion
Jenkins, Moonlight
Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Villeneuve, Arrival
alt. Tom Ford or Martin Scorsese * CHANGED PREDICTION TO REINSTATE GARTH DAVIS
ACTOR
Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Gosling, La La Land
Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Washington, Fences
alt. Hanks or Edgerton
ACTRESS
Adams, Arrival
Huppert, Elle
Portman, Jackie
Stone, La La Land
Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
alt. Bening or Negga * Part of me really believes that Bening is getting nominated (though I've tried to stamp that part of me out for fear of depression -- if they saw that miracle performance they won't deny it -- but can't figure out who to be the surprise omission.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ali, Moonlight
Bridges, Hell or High Water
Grant, Florence Foster
Hedges, Manchester
Patel, Lion
alt. Ben Foster or Aaron Taylor-Johnson
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Davis, Fences
Harris, Moonlight
Kidman, Lion
Spencer, Hidden Figures
Williams, Manchester
alt. Gerwig or Monae
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Captain Fantastic
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea
alt. 20th Century Women
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Arrival
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight
Nocturnal Animals
alt. Fences *CHANGED PREDICTION TO INCLUDE NOCTURNAL ANIMALS
FOREIGN FILM
Tanna, Australia
Land of Mine, Denmark
Toni Erdmann, Germany
The Salesman, Iran
A Man Called Ove, Sweden
alt. My Life as a Courgette or The King's Choice
COSTUME DESIGN
The Dressmaker
Florence Foster Jenkins
Hidden Figures
Jackie
La La Land
alt. Fantastic Beasts or Silence *Predictions for this category are all over the place if you look around the web. Exciting!
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Fantastic Beasts
The Handmaiden
Jackie
La La Land
Nocturnal Animals
alt. Arrival or Florence Foster Jenkins
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence
alt. Nocturnal Animals or Hell or High Water
FILM EDITING
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Moonlight
alt. Manchester by the Sea or OJ Made in America
VISUAL EFFECTS
Arrival
Doctor Strange
Jungle Book
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One
alt. Passengers
HAIR AND MAKEUP
Deadpool
Florence Foster Jenkins
Star Trek Beyond
alt. A Man Called Ove
ORIGINAL SCORE
The BFG
Florence Foster Jenkins
Kubo and the Two Strings
La La Land
Lion
alt. Rogue One or Moonlight *I love looking at predictions for this around the web. People are ALL OVER THE PLACE with their guesswork.
ORIGINAL SONG
Jim: The James Foley Story
La La Land
La La Land
Miss Sharon Jones
Moana
alt. Po or Trolls or Sing Street * CHANGED PREDICTION TO DUMP SING STREET WHICH WILL MAKE ME FURIOUS BUT YOU CAN'T ALWAYS HAVE NICE THINGS
SOUND MIXING
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully
alt.
Rogue One or Doctor Strange
SOUND EDITING
Arrival
Deadpool
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
Sully
alt. Dr Strange or La La Land
ANIMATED FEATURE
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Courgette
The Red Turtle
Zootopia
alt. Your Name or Finding Dory
ANIMATED SHORT
Blind Vasha
Happy End
The Head Vanishes
Inner Workings
Piper
alt. Pearl or Pear Cider
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
13th
Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
Life Animated
OJ Made in America
alt. Tower or Weiner
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Extremis
Joe's Violin
The Mute's House
Watani: My Homeland
White Helmets
alt. Frame 394 or 4.1 Miles
LIVE ACTION SHORT
Bon Voyage
Graffiti
Nocturne in Black
Silent Night
Sing
alt. La Femme et le TGV or Domestic Enemies