For those of you who have been asking. Yes, the Oscar charts will go up soon with first predictions of the year. I'll confess right up front that this year is mighty confusing. That's partially because we're still in pandemic mode and a lot of the big studios are playing it coy about release dates and there are surely numerous sales still to happen. One assumes the studios are all watching each week's box office reports and other much more vague indicators (like streaming numbers which are rarely public and always unverifiable even when they are) to decide on the best way forward in this tough time for the industry.
Another reason this year feels confusing is that A24 has a truckload of promising films but very few with actual release dates (and they've been known to really only focus on one once things heat up). Meanwhile MGM/UA, not usually a big player, has multiple promising titles...
Apple TV+ has a potential sleeper success which was big at Sundance but they've still got that "TV" problem in their name that is going to make it hard to make Oscar inroads even though it's basically the same business model as Amazon and Netflix. Speaking of... Netflix, which has been growing in Oscar strength, doesn't feel as formidable this year but that could change rapidly. Paramount and Universal and Fox (now redubbed 20th Century) used to be intermittently big players but their release schedules are depressingly sparse.
Do you see any films missing from the following list that you're hopeful about... (This is just a cheat sheet to keep track as we work on the charts.)
Key films from various distributors though Oscar fates will depend on reviews, what the studio focuses on in campaigning, and actual release dates (several of these films don't yet have them) | ||||
A24 After Yang |
Amazon Annette |
Apple TV+ CODA |
Bleecker Street Mass |
Disney Cruella |
Focus Belfast |
IFC Films Benedetta |
MGM/UA Cyrano |
Neon Memoria |
Netflix Blonde |
Paramount A Quiet Place 2 |
Searchlight Eyes of Tammy Faye |
Sony Journal for Jordan |
SPC Carmen |
20th Century The Last Duel |
Universal Dear Evan Hansen |
Warner Bros Cry Macho |
Distribution ??? Electrical Life of Louis Wain |
Not Until Early 2022 so Next Year's Race Bullet Train |
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