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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. All material herein is written and copyrighted by Nathaniel or a member of our team as noted.

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91st Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2018 (for the 2019 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes

 discuss on the blog

87 OFFICIAL SUBMISSIONS
coverage of this Oscar race:
Afghanistan through Georgia | Germany through Norway | Pakistan through Yemen |
 all the trailers | all the debut directors | all 20 female directors
| Nathaniel's rankings  | 12 international hunks | LGBT entries and Trivia

There are 87 official submissions in this category, chosen in a host of different ways by the various countries around the world (each country gets one submission only each year). The list  will be narrowed down to 9 finalists by the nominating committees and the executive committe in early January. After that all 9 are screened again and the Academy votes to determine the 5 nominees which will be announced on January 22nd, 2018. 

 

TIER 1 - Current Predictions

LEBANON
Capernam

Noms: GlobeCritics Choice
Wins: --

POLAND
Cold War
REVIEW 

Noms: 5 EFA Categories, Critics Choice
Wins: NYFCC (Foreign Film)

JAPAN
Shoplifters
INTERVIEW | PODCAST 

Noms: SpiritNBR Top 5, GlobeCritics Choice
Wins: Cannes

MEXICO
Roma
REVIEW | YALITZA

GERMANY
Never Look Away
REVIEW

Noms: Globe

TIER 2 -- Other Strong Contenders
We wouldn't be surprised to see them make the finalist list

SWEDEN
Border
REVIEW

Noms: 4 EFA Categories
Wins: -- 

BELGIUM
Girl

Noms: 3 EFA CategoriesGlobe
Wins: Cannes (Camera d'Or)

BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA
Never Leave Me

COLOMBIA
Birds of Passage

PARAGUAY
The Heiresses

TIER 3 -- Perhaps We Shouldn't Underestimate These... (Or Really Any of The Others!)
This particular competition is notoriously hard to predict.

SOUTH KOREA
Burning
REVIEWED | PODCAST 

Noms: Spirit, NBR Top 5 Critics Choice 
Wins
: --

ITALY
Dogman

Noms: 4 EFA Categories
Wins: -- 

DENMARK
The Guilty

Noms3 EFA CategoriesNBR Top 5
Wins: -- 

ICELAND
Woman at War
REVIEW
Noms1 EFA Category
Wins: -- 

UNITED KINGDOM
I Am Not a Witch

 

87 FILMS ARE COMPETING FOR THE NOMINATIONS

CHART #1 Afghanistan through Georgia - 29 Official submissions
CHART #2 Germany through Norway - 29 Official submissions
CHART #3 Pakistan through Yemen -29 Official Submissions

Countries that did not submit this year: Albania, Ethiopia, Guatamela, Haiti, Honduras, Ireland, Ivory Coast, Jordan, Laos, Malaysia, Malta, Mauritania, Moldova, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Senegal and Syria
Countries that announced submissions but that somehow didn't make the final list: Cuba (Sergei & Sergio), and Kyrgyzstan (Night Accident)

Statistics for the Foreign Film Race

The Category began officially in 1956 but 8 honory Oscar were presented to foreign films before it was an annual regular category.

Statisticis, Blindspots, and Curiousities

Top 10 All Time Leaders (1947-2017)

 

Ten Countries Oscar Has Been Kindest To In Past 12 Years (2006-2017)
1. DENMARK - 6 noms / 1 win
2. ISRAEL - 4 nominations
3. AUSTRIA - 3 noms / 2 wins
4. (tie) GERMANY / POLAND - 3 noms / 1 win
6. RUSSIA / FRANCE -3 nominations
8. IRAN - 2 noms / 2 wins
9. (tie) CHILE / HUNGARY / ARGENTINA- 2 noms / 1 win

Runners Up: Algeria, Mexico, Canada, and Sweden all with 2 nominations in that time frame. The only countries from the all time top ten not represented in this "currently favored" are Spain and Japan which both haven't been nominated since their last winning years (2004 and 2008 respectively).

Oscar Is Annoyingly Resistant To...
Asian cinema as a whole. Japan and Taiwan have been honored most frequently but in both cases the reason is one particular filmmaker (Akira Kurosawa and Ang Lee, respectively). China, Hong Kong, South Korea, India... they all have prolific and strong film industries but they are very rarely nominated for Foreign Language Oscars.

Most Noms Without a Win
The countries that have received the most nominations without a win to date are

  1. Israel (10 noms)
  2. Mexico (8 nom)
  3. Belgium (7 noms)
  4. [TIE] Norway and Greece (with 5 each)

Top Ten Persistent Shut-Outs. Never Nominated
The countries that have submitted the most w/out receiving a single nomination (the * means they made the finals once)... are:

1. Portugal (34 times)
2. Romania* (33 times)
3. Egypt (32 times)
4. (tie) The Philippines and South Korea (29 times each)
6. Bulgaria* (28 times)
7. Venezuela* (27 times)
8. Croatia (26 times)
9. (tie) Serbia* and Turkey* and Thailand (24 times)

Good luck to them all...and quickly! This is getting ridiculous. Note that only one of them is a Western European country and Oscar has always been Eurocentric.

CURRENT ARTICLES ON FOREIGN FILM ARE LOCATED HERE.

#1
ITALY
28 noms / 11 wins / 3 honoraries

#2
FRANCE
37 noms / 9 wins / 3 honoraries

#3
SPAIN
19 noms / 4 wins

#4
GERMANY (+ EAST/WEST)
19 noms / 3 wins

#5 (tie)
JAPAN & RUSSIA (15 noms / 4 wins each... though only 1 of Japan's wins is competitively and Russia includes the USSR stats)

#7
SWEDEN
16 noms / 3 wins

#8
DENMARK
15 noms / 3 wins

#9
HUNGARY
10 noms / 2 wins

#10
POLAND
10 noms / 1 win

Runners Up:
Czech Republic (8 noms / 3 wins), Israel (10 noms), The Netherlands (7 noms / 3 wins), Argentina (7 noms / 2 wins) , Canada (7 noms / 1 win), Mexico (8 nominations)

 
WINNERS THIS CENTURY
   
2019
TBA
2018
TBA
2017
A Fantastic Woman
Chile
2016
The Salesman
Iran
2015
Son of Saul
Hungary

2014
Ida
Poland

1 additional nomination
(Cinematography) 

2013
The Great Beauty
Italy

2012
Amour
Austria 

4 additional noms
(including Best Picture) 

2011
A Separation
Iran

1 additional nomination (Screenplay)

2010
In a Better World
Denmark
2009
Secret In Their Eyes
Argentina
2008
Departures
Japan 
2007
The Counterfeiters
Austria 
2006
The Lives of Others
Germany 
2005
Tsotsi
South Africa 

2004
The Sea Inside
Spain 

1 additional nomination (Makeup)

2003
Barbarian Invasions
Canada 

1 additional nomination
(Screenplay) 

2002
Nowhere in Africa
Germany 
2001
No Man's Land
Bosnia & Herzegovina 

2000
Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon
Taiwan 

9 additional noms (including Best Picture)