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92nd Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2019 (for the 2020 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes

 discuss on the blog

 

LAST CHART UPDATE: SEPTEMBER 16TH, 2019
Part One: Afghanistan through Georgia
Current predictions |  Germany through Norway | Pakistan through Yemen

Afghanistan
never nominated
(submitting spottily since 2002)

TBA
TBA

More to come 

Albania
never nominated (subitting since 1996)

TBA
TBA

More to come 

Algeria
5 noms | 1 win (submitting since 1969)

PAPICHA
Mounia Messoud
Official Site

106 minutes
French & Arabic 

no US distribution yet

An 18 year old woman tries to live a normal life in the 1990s despite the civil war. She wants to stage a fashion show in spite of conservative bans.The film premiered at Cannes in Un Certain Regard.

More on Algeria and the Oscar Race...

Argentina
7 noms | 2 wins (submitting since 1961)

TBA
TBA

Most recent nominee: Wild Tales (2014)

Armenia
never nominated
(submitting spottily since 2001)

TBA
TBA

More to come 

 

Australia
1 nomination (submitting since 1996)

TBA
TBA

More to come 

 

Austria
never nominated
(submitting since 2007)

JOY
Sudabeh Mortezai

99 minutes
English & German 

Netflix in the US. Date TBA

The title character is a Nigerian woman who is to supervise a teenage girl prisoner in this sex-trafficking drama.

Bangladesh
never nominated (submitting since 2002)

TBA
TBA

More to come 

Belarus
never nominated (submitting infrequently since 1994)

TBA
TBA

More to come 

Belgium
7 noms | 0 wins (submitting since 1967)

OUR MOTHERS
Cesar Diaz

78 minutes
Spanish

No US Distribution Yet

In a change of pace Belgium is submitting a film that takes place in Guatemala. It involves an anthropologist trying to find clues as to what happened to his father who went missing during the civil war. It won the Camera d'Or at Cannes.

Not Selected: The Young Ahmed, which took Best Director at Cannes

 

 

Bolivia
never nominated
(submitting spottily since 1995)

I MISS YOU
Rodrigo Bellott

105 minutes
Spanish

This is an adaptation of a hit stage play about a man visiting the boyfriend of his dead son. The film stars Oscar Martinez, Fernando Barbosa, and Rossy de Palma.

 

Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 nom | 1 win
(submitting since 1994)

THE SON
Ines Tanovic

??? minutes
Bosnian

Family drama about a troubled adopted son and his younger brother. This is Ines Tanovic's second feature and the second to be submitted for the Oscar. She is the cousin of Oscar winner Danis Tanovic (No Man's Land, 2001)

 

Brazil
4 noms | 0 wins (submitting since 1960)

THE INVISIBLE LIFE OF EURIDICE GUSMAO
Karim Anouz

139 minutes
Portuguese

Amazon will release the film in the US. No date yet announced

This period melodrama won Un Certain Regard at Cannes and stars Fernanda Montenegro (among others) who led Brazil's most recent nomination (Central Station, way back in 1988). More on Brazil & Oscar here.

Not Selected
Bacurau was considered a dark horse but in the end it lost to Invisible Life by 1 vote.

Bulgaria
never nominated (submitting since 1971)

ÁGA
Milko Lazarov
Official Site

96 minutes
Yakut

Currently in US Release

This is a drama about an old couple in the snowy North whose traditional ways of life are dying. They decide to seek out their long estranged daughter.

Bulgarian has had one finalist but is still waiting on a nomination. 

Cambodia
1 nomination (submitting since 1994)

IN THE LIFE OF MUSIC
Caylee So & Sok Visal
Official Site 

92 minutes
Khmer & English

No US Distribution Yet

This one's a triptych narrative taking place in three different decades all involving a famous song "Champa Battambang"

Cambodia's sole nomination is from the brilliant Rithy Panth documentary The Missing Picturel.

 

Canada
7 noms | 1 win
(submitting since 1971)

TBA
TBA

Canada had an incredible run with Oscar from 2006 through 2012 (lots of finalists or nominees). Two early possibilities though neither feels truly likely we'd say: Matthias et Maxime (Xavier Dolan) and A Brother's Love (Monia Chokri)

Chad
never nominated
(submitting rarely since 2002)

TBA
TBA

They've only submitted twice, both were films by Mahamat-Saleh Haroun who lives and works in France

Chile
2 noms | 1 win
(submitting since 1990)

SPIDER
Andres Wood

??? minutes
Spanish

No US Distribution Yet

Three friends separated by a political crime in the early 1970s in Chile.

Not selected: There were four other finalists including Pablo Larraín's adoption drama Ema with Gael Garcia Bernal

China
2 nominations
(submitting since 1979)

TBA
TBA

Oscar is terribly averse to Asian cinema which is a real shame. China has had success twice with Zhang Yimou, though. Sadly they can't submit him this year though since Shadow was a finalist they didn't select last year. 

Colombia
1 nomination
(submitting since 1980)

MONOS
Alejandros Landes
Official Instagram

102 minutes
Spanish & English

Just Opened in the US. Distributed by Neon

Julianne Nicholson stars as a doctor taken hostage by eight kids on a mountain in this drama that made the festival rounds this past winter/spring

 

Costa Rica
never nominated
(submitting since 2005)

THE AWAKENING OF THE ANTS
Antonella Sudasassi
Official Facebook 

94 minutes
Spanish 

No US Distribution Yet

Drama about a young seamstress rebelling against the expectations of her to be only a mother raising children.

Croatia
never nominated*
(submitting since 1992)

MALI
Antonio Nuic

90 minutes
Croatian 

No US Distribution Yet

An ex-con, who served time for drug dealing wants to keep custody of his son in this drama.

* Two Croatian language films were nominated back when Croatia was a part of Yugoslavia

Cuba
1 nomination
(submitting since 1978)

A TRANSLATOR
Rodrigo & Sebastian Barriuso
Director's Site

??? min
Spanish & Russian

Film Movement has US rights. Date TBA

A drama about a Russian literature professor working with child victims off Chernobyl who have been sent to Cuba 

Strawberry and Chocolate a gay arthouse hit in the 1990s remains their sole nominee. They only submit about once every two or three years though.

Czech Republic
3 noms | 1 wins
(submitting since 1994 as Czech Republic)

THE PAINTED BIRD
Varclav Marhoul

169 minutes
Interslavic

A young Jewish boys experiences during World War II

* If you include the days of Czechoslovakia before it became two separate countries, the number is 8/2 

 Denmark
13 nominations | 3 wins (submitting since 1956)

TBA
TBA

There are three finalists: Queen of Hearts, Before the Frost, and Do You See the Moon, Daniel? Though the press outside of TFE hasn't really caught on to this, Denmark is actually Oscar's fav country (of the right now) with 2 finalists, 5 nods, and a winner all in the last 10 years! 

 

 

Dominican Republic
never nominated (submitting since 1983)

THE PROJECTIONIST
José Maria Cabral

94 minutes
Spanish

No US Distribution Yet

This is about a projectionist who falls in love with a woman he sees on a film reel and seeks to find her in the real world.

Ecuador
never nominated (submitting since 2000)

THE LONGEST NIGHT
Gabriela Calvache
Facebook Page 

95 minutes
Spanish 

No US Distribution Yet

This film, which played at SXSW this year is also known  as La Mala Noche. It's a sex-trafficking thriller.

 

 

Egypt
never nominated (submitting since 1958)

POISONOUS ROSES
Fawzi Saleh
Facebook Page 

70 minutes
Arabic 

No US Distribution Yet

Egypt has had a documentary nomination (The Square in 2013) but no luck yet in foreign film. They hold the frustrating distinction of having the second most submissions without a nominee to date.

Estonia
1 nomination
(submitting since 1992)

TRUTH OR JUSTICE
Tanel Toom
Official Site 

165 minutes
Estonian 

No US Distribution Yet

A nearly three hour drama about a farmer in 1872. This is the feature debut of 36 year old Tanel Toom who has previously directed shorts, one of them an Oscar nominee !!!

Ethiopia
never nominated (submitting spottily since 2010)

RUNNING AGAINST THE WIND
Jan Philipp Weyl

112 minutes
Amharic

No US Distribution Yet

A drama about two runners. This is a directorial debut which just opened in Ethiopia.

 

Finland
1 nom | 0 wins
(submitting since 1973)

STUPID YOUNG HEART
Selma Vilhunen

102 minutes
Finnish & Somali 

No US Distribution Yet

A drama about an unexpected teen pregnancy and the extreme right views which start affecting suburban teenagers.

France
3 Honoraries | 37 noms | 9 wins (submitting since 1956)

TBA
TBA

They will have abundant choices (as usual) but three major possibilities already clear: Cannes Queer Palm / Screenplay winner  Portrait of a Lady on Fire, Cannes Jury prize winner Les Miserables and Berlinale's Silver Bear winner By the Grace of God. France rarely goes more than a few years without a nomination but they haven't won in 27 years!

A lot more on France and the Oscars here.

 

 Georgia
1 nom | 0 wins
(submitting since 1996)

SHINDISI
Dito Tsintsadze

105 minutes
Georgian

No US Distribution Yet

A true story about 17 Georgians who died in the village of Shindisi during the Russo-Georgia war of 2008. More here

 

Continue on to

GERMANY through NORWAY

and

PAKISTAN through YEMEN

or

PREDICTION / STATS PAGE