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"They're saying this is for Adam Driver what Kramer vs Kramer was for Dustin Hoffman. More about him than about her.  Scarlett, to me, is the open question. By now it's Driver vs Phoenix for best actor." - Melchiades - Andrew

"Mini-shutout to Alda, whom I loved and thought did absolute wonders in his what, 3 or 4 scenes. Great review!" -Alex

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92nd Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2019 (for the 2020 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog 

SEPTEMBER 22nd CHARTS 

(SCROLL DOWN FOR ADAPTED)


Tier 1 Original Screenplay Predictions

 

 Marriage Story

Noah Baumbach
(1 nomination)
Nov 6th

 

 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Quentin Tarantino
(3 noms and 2 wins in this category)
July 26th

 Parasite

Bong Joon-ho & Han Jin-won
(never nominated)
Oct 11th

 

The Farewell
Lulu Wang
(never nominated)
July 12th

Bombshell

Charles Randolph
(1 nom | 1 win)
Dec 20th

 
Tier 2 - Or maybe these? 
  • 1917
  • Ad Astra
  • Booksmart
  • Harriet
  • Hidden Life
  • Honey Boy
  • Last Black Man...
  • Late Night
  • Lighthouse
  • The Report
  • Yesterday
  • Us

 Waves

Trey Edward Shults
(never nominated)
Nov 1st

Pain & Glory
Pedro Almodóvar
(1 nom | 1 win in this category)
Oct 4th

Queen & Slim
James Frey & Lena Waithe
(never nominated)
Nov 27th

 Knives Out

Rian Johnson
(never nominated)
Nov 27th 

 

 

 

 

Tier 1 Adapted Screenplay Predictions

 

JoJo Rabbit
Taika Waititi
(never nominated *in this category)
Nov 27th

Based on the novel by Christine Leunens

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Michal Fitzerman-Blue and Noah Harpster
Nov 22nd

Based on the Esquire profile by Tom Junod

The Irishman

Steven Zaillian
(4 noms | 1 win)
Nov 1st

Based on the book "I Heard You Paint Houses" by Charles Brandt

 

The Two Popes

Anthony McCarten (1 nomination *for writing*)
Nov 27th

Based on McCarten's own play "The Pope"

 

Joker

Todd Phillips & Scott Silver
Oct 4th

Based on the character from DC comics

 
Tier 2- Or maybe these ? 
  • Avengers Endgame
  • Cats
  • Downhill
  • Downton Abbey
  • Gloria Bell
  • Judy
  • The Laundromat
  • Luce 
  • Motherless Brooklyn

 

 

Little Women

 

 

Greta Gerwig 

(1 nom for writing)
Dec 25th

Based on the book by Louisa May Alcott

 Ford v Ferrarri

Jez and John-Henry Butterworth, Jason Keller (never nom'ed), and James Mangold (1 nomination)
Nov 15th

Based on the book "Go Like Hell: Ford, Ferrari, and Their Battle for Speed and Glory at Le Mans" by AJ Baime

 Just Mercy

 

Destin Daniel Cretton & Andrew Lanham
(never nominated)
Dec 25th

Based on the memoir by Bryan Stevenson

The Good Liar 

 

Jeffrey Hatcher
(never nominated)
Nov 15th

Based on the novel by Nicholas Searle