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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

91st Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2018 (for the 2019 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog 

APRIL FOOLISH PREDICTIONS  IN BOTH WRITING CATEGORIES
(SCROLL DOWN FOR ADAPTED)

Tier 1 - Prediction

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Backseat
Adam McKay
1 nomination for writing

He was previously nominated in adapting for The Big Short but I believe this film about Dick Cheney's rise to power, is an original?

The Favourite
Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara

Yorgos Lanthimos is directing someone else's writing for a change. So perhaps this prediction is foolhardy! But the story opportunities are there in this historical piece for rich work.

Everybody Knows
Asghar Farhadi
(1 nomination in this category)

Oscar voters have already handed him two statues (for Best Foreign Film). He's primed to break through in a bigger way and his screenplays are marvelous. The trailer looks great.

Eighth Grade
Bo Burnham
(never nominated)

Let's throw caution to the wind and say this little middle school film will be one of the top critical darlings of the year and people will fall in love.

Peterloo
Mike Leigh
(4 nominations for writing)

Oscar loves true stories... and the writers branch loves Mike Leigh's unique writing process of rehearsals with actors

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Roma
Alfonso Cuarón

The Oscar winning auteur returns to Mexico City for this drama about a family in the 1970s

On the Basis of Sex
Daniel Stiepleman

Oscar loves a true story and this film could be well timed in terms of gender politics. 

Red Joan
Lindsay Shapero

Judi Dench plays the KGB's longest serving British spy in this true story.

At Eternity's Gate
Jean Claude Carriere (3 noms for writing & 1 honorary) & Julian Schnabel
(never nom'ed for writing)

Willem Dafoe plays Vincent van Gogh.

The Happytime Murders
Todd Berger and Dee Austin Robertson

If this comedy about a world where puppets and people co-exist is any good, could be the comedy nominee...?

 
Tier 3 - Too early to rule anyone out!

Isle of Dogs
Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Jason Schwartzman, Kunichi Nomura

Wes Anderson's whimsical animated feature, currently in theaters.

Under the Silver Lake
David Robert Mitchell
(never nominated)

A noir from the director of It Follows

Destroyer
Phil Hay & Matt Manfredi

A detective reconnects with people from her undercover past in this crime drama starring Nicole Kidman and directed by Karyn Kusama

Tully
Diablo Cody
(1 nom | 1 win)

Exhausting child-rearing from the team behind Juno and Young Adult. Yay!

The House That Jack Built
Lars von Trier
never nominated in this category

A serial killer drama from Denmark's most notorious auteur

 
Tier 4 - Other Originals Due in 2018

(Alphabetical Order) Colette, Death and Life of John F Donovan, A Quiet Place, Sorry to Bother You, What They Had, and The Women of Marwen (if it's considered original)

 

 

Tier 1- Prediction

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

First Man
Josh Singer (1 nom & win) and Nicole Perlman (never nominated)

Based on the 2005 biography by James R Hansen "First Man: The Life of Neil A. Armstrong"

If Beale Street Could Talk
Barry Jenkins (1 nom for writing)

Based on James Baldwin's 1974 novel about a young pregnant woman in Harlem whose fiance is accused of rape.

Beautiful Boy
Felix van Groenigen (never nominated for writing) and Luke Davies (1 nomination)

Based on the 2008 memoir by David Sheff "Beautiful Boy: A Father's Journey Through His Son's Addiction". Davies was nominated for Lion and van Groenigen directed the foreign film nominee Broken Circle Breakdown

Widows
Gillian Flynn (never nominated) and Steve McQueen (never nominated for writing)

Adapted from the characters created by Lynda La Plante for the TV miniseries Widows. But Gillian Flynn and Steve McQueen are both incredible talents so we're excited.

Boy Erased
Joel Edgerton (never nominated)

Based on the book by Garrard Conley about a preacher's son sent to a conversion camp for gay kids. Could be a tearjerker and the cast is A list.

 

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Nicole Holofcener & Jeff Whitty (never nominated)

Based on "Can You Ever Forgive Me?: Memoirs of a Literary Forger" by Lee Israel. Melissa McCarthy stars.

Where'd You Go Bernadette?
Richard Linklater (3 nominations for writing), Holly Gent Palmo and Vincent Palmo JR (never nomianted)

Based on the novel of the same name by Maria Semple. Cate Blanchett is Bernadette.

The Kindergarten Teacher

Sara Colangelo

An adaptation of the 2014 Israeli film by Nadav Lapid. Maggie Gyllenhaal's performance wowed audiences at Sundance.

The Sisters Brothers
Jacques Audiard and Thomas Bidegain (never nominated)

Based on the novel by Patrick Dewitt and being adapted by one of France's most powerful filmmakers.  

Mary, Queen of Scots
Beau Willimon (1 nomination)

Based on the biography "My Heart is My Own: The Life of Mary, Queen of Scots" by John Guy. Saoirse Ronan and Margot Robbie headline.

 
Tier 3 - Too early to rule anyone out.

Blackkklansman
Spike Lee (1 nom for writing), David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel, and Kevin Willmott (never nominated)

An adaptation of the memoir by Ron Stallworth about being a black officer undercover in the Klu Klux Klan

Best of Enemies
Robin Bissell

An adaptation of Osha Gray Davidson's book about the friendship of sorts between Ann Atwater (a black activist) and Claiborne Paul Ellis (a klu klux klan member)

The Front Runner
Matt Bai, Jay Carson, and Jason Reitman

Based on the book by Matt Bai about the sex scandal that destroyed Gary Hart's (Hugh Jackman)  career.

The Land of Steady Habits
Nicole Holofcener

Based on the book by Ted Thompson. Holofcener has never been nominated (!). She's always written about women previously but this film centers on a man having a crisis in his 50s (Ben Mendelsohn)

Gloria
Alice Johnson Boher (never nominated) & Sebastian Lelio (never nominated for writing)

An English language remake of Sebastian Lelio's Chilean movie of the same name about a divorcee (Julianne Moore) dating in her 50s

 
Tier 4 - Other Adaptations Due in 2018

(Alphabetical Order) The Aftermath, Black Panther, Disobedience, The Miseducation of Cameron Post, Incredibles 2, The Little Strangers, Mary Poppins Returns,  The Nutcracker and the Four Realms, Old Man and the Gun, A Star is Born, Valley Girl, Wildlife, and The Women of Marwen (if it's considered adapted)