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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. All material herein is written and copyrighted by Nathaniel or a member of our team as noted.

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If Beale Street Could Talk

"Thank you ! Did we all read "Giovanni's Room" when we were teens ... and were slightly baffled and taken ?? Now I'm curious .. about this movie" - Martin

"We don’t deserve something this beautiful in 2018..." - Margaret

"I thought it was a terrific, lovely film but with some flaws. I don't think the voiceovers work well in the film and nor was it necessary since the film was already so infused with Baldwin's voice. " - Raul 

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GLENN CLOSE (The Wife)

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Hirokazu Koreeda (Shoplifters)

Ofir Raul Grazier (The Cakemaker)
Jeremiah Zagar (We the Animals)

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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

91st Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2018 (for the 2019 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog 

DEC 9TH PREDICTIONS
PREDICTIONS  IN BOTH WRITING CATEGORIES
(SCROLL DOWN FOR ADAPTED)

Tier 1 - Prediction

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Favourite

Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara

Gotham nominationBIFA WinnerGlobe nomination, Critics Choice nomination

Seems like a done deal unless something weird goes awry

 

Green Book
Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayed Currie, Peter Farerely
(never nom'ed)

Globe nomination Critics Choice nomination

 Never underestimate a funny crowd pleaser with a mainstream message - even if it has detractors.

 

Roma

Alfonso Cuarón (2 noms for writing)

Globe nomination Critics Choice nomination Critics Choice nomination

Even though it's strength is more in the sucession of images, than it's observational year-in-the-life writing, the writer's branch does loves Cuaron

 

 

First Reformed
Paul Schrader
(never nominated if you can believe that)

Spirit nomination, Gotham Winner, NYFCC Winner, NBR Winner , Chicago winnerCritics Choice nomination

If they want to correct past slights of Schrader for this sophisticated success

Vice
Adam McKay
1 nomination for writing

Globe nomination Critics Choice nomination

Whether or not it shakes up multiple races, it feels like a strong contender here for its humor and wildness

 

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

 

Eighth Grade
Bo Burnham
(never nominated)

Spirit (1st Screenplay) Critics Choice nomination

Here's a perfect place to reward this funny fresh wholly contemporary take on the coming of age genre... but the competition is mostly Best Picture players so., OUCH.

At Eternity's Gate
Jean Claude Carriere (3 noms for writing & 1 honorary) & Julian Schnabel
(never nom'ed for writing)

The writers branch loves Carriere so if there's a major surprise, it's this one.

 

Isle of Dogs
Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Jason Schwartzman, Kunichi Nomura

If there's a campaign to revive interest

Sorry to Bother You

Spirit nomination

If the precursors and top ten lists are kind.

 

Tully
Diablo Cody

If only people would realize its brilliance en masse. 

 
Tier 3 - Other Originals

ALSO RECEIVED AWARDS ATTENTION
American Animals BIFA Winner (Debut Screenplay)
Private Life Gotham nominationSpirit nomination
Collette Spirit nomination
Support the Girls Gotham nomination
Blame Spirit (1st Screenplay)
Nancy Spirit (1st Screenplay)
Thoroughbreds Spirit (1st Screenplay)Gotham nom 

OTHER ORIGINALS
Stan & Ollie
What They Had
Hereditary
The Mule
On the Basis of Sex
A Quiet Place
Shoplifters

Awards profile but not eligible for Oscar:
The Tale Spirit (1st Screenplay)

 

 

Tier 1- Prediction

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Blackkklansman

Spike Lee (1 nom for writing), David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel, and Kevin Willmott (never nominated)

Critics Choice nomination, AAFCA Winner

 An adaptation of the memoir by Ron Stallworth about being a black officer undercover in the Klu Klux Klan

 

If Beale Street Could Talk
Barry Jenkins (1 nom for writing)

NBR Winner, Globe nomination Critics Choice nomination Chicago winner

 Based on James Baldwin's 1974 novel about a young pregnant woman in Harlem whose fiance is accused of rape.

 

Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Nicole Holofcener & Jeff Whitty (never nominated)

Spirit nominationCritics Choice nomination

Based on "Can You Ever Forgive Me?: Memoirs of a Literary Forger" by Lee Israel. Melissa McCarthy stars.

Death of Stalin
Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, and Ian Martin 

Based on the comic book by Fabien Nury and Thierry Robin

Wildlife

Paul Dano and Zoe Kazan (never nominated)

Based on Richard Ford's novel about a young man seeing his parent's marriage fall apart in the 1950s.

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Widows

Gillian Flynn (never nominated) and Steve McQueen (never nominated for writing)

Adapted from the characters created by Lynda La Plante for the TV miniseries Widows. 

Crazy Rich Asians
Peter Ciarelli and Adele Lim (never nominated)

Occassionally the writers branch likes to honor big hits. Here's a chance to do that.

A Star is Born
Bradley Cooper, Eric Roth, Will Fetters

Critics Choice nomination

Based on the earlier films of the same name.

First Man

Josh Singer (1 nom & win) and Nicole Perlman (never nominated) 

Critics Choice nomination

Based on the 2005 biography by James R Hansen "First Man: The Life of Neil A. Armstrong"

Black Panther
Ryan Coogler and Joe Robert Cole

Critics Choice nomination

Based on the Marvel characters

 
Tier 3 - Other Key Adaptations

Leave No Trace
Beautiful Boy
Boy Erased
Disobedience
The Frontrunner
Incredibles 2
The Kindergarten Teacher
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots 
Miseducation of Cameron Post
Old Man and the Gun