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88th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2015 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

CHARTS AS OF APRIL 28th

 

 

Best Costume Design Predictions
The Danish Girl
Paco Delgado
(1 nomination)
Cinderella
Sandy Powell
(10 noms | 3 wins)
Carol
Sandy Powell
(10 noms | 3 wins) 
Brooklyn
Odile Dicks-Mireau
(never nominated)
MacBeth
Jacqueline Durran
(4 noms | 1 win)
This great designer will follow up his Les Miz designs by making Redmayne even prettier   Powell's costume design is always noteworthy and she's practically directing this thing her colors are so bold Powell's other big effort this year. Hey she's pulled off a double before (see 1998) and should have one other time (2002)   The dresses are gorgeous and really help to sell Saoirse Ronan's character arc from timid immigrant to new American woman With its vivid movie stars and what looks to be a potent visual approach, Durran will have opportunities to shine again
Other Major Possibilities
Joy
Michael Wilkinson
(1 nominations)
Suffragette
Jane Petrie
(never nominated)
Pan
Jacqueline Durran
(4 noms | 1 win)
Crimson Peak
Kate Hawley
(never nominated)
Untitled Warren Beatty
Albert Wolsky
(7 noms | 2 wins)
Wilkinson has been giving most of his time to the Man of Steel so it'll be a treat to see what he does with his second Jennifer Lawrence period piece   Jane Petrie isn't a costume designer most have heard of but that's about to change. She has not one but three high profile films this year (see also: Genius and Icon)  We may not have needed a prequel to Peter Pan (death to prequels!) but Joe Wright makes pretty movies and this will undoubtedly be flashy Will Oscar feel Goth enough for this starry haunted del Toro movie? We shall see.   Wolsky isn't working as much in his 80s but when he does it's a treat. He's chasing Birdman, with this Old Hollywood epic
Anything Could Happen

Previous Nominees: Tulip Fever - Michael O'Connor (3 noms | 1 win) | The Revenant - Jacqueline West (2 nominations) | Mad Max Fury Road - Jenny Beavan (9 noms | 1 win) | Far From Madding Crowd - Janet Patterson (4 nominations) | Avengers: Age of Ultron - Alexandra Byrne (4 noms | 1 win) | The Martian - Janty Yates (1 win) | Tomorrowland - Jeffrey Kurland (1 nomination)

Never Nominated: Trumbo - Daniel Orlandi | In the Heart of the Sea - Julian Day | Mr Holmes - Keith Madden | The Dressmaker - Marion Boyce & Margot Wilson | Tale of Tales - Massimo Cantini Parrini | Victor Frankenstein - Jany Temime | Freeheld - Stacey Battat | A Little Chaos - Joan Bergin | The Hateful Eight - Courtney Hoffman | Bridge of Spies - Kasia Walicka-Maimone | I Saw the Light - Lahly Poore | Star Wars: The Force Awakens - Michael Kaplan | The Walk - Suttirat Anne Larlarb | Jane Got a Gun - Catherine George | Fantastic Four - George L Little | Black Mass - Kasia Walicka maimone | Ex Machina - Sammy Sheldon | Icon -Jane Petrie | Genius - Jane Petrie | Self/Less - Shay Cunliffe

Costume Designers Unknown at this Writing (they don't go on the chart until we know who)
A Bigger Splash

 

 

Best Cinematography Predictions
The Revenant
Emmanuel Lubeszki
(7 noms | 2 wins)
Hateful Eight
Robert Richardson
(8 noms | 3 wins)
Carol
Edward Lachman
(1 nomination)
I Saw the Light
Dante Spinotti
(2 nominations)
Sicario
Roger Deakins
(12 nominations)
Lubeszki, always up for a challenge (see Gravity, Children of Men, Birdman, etcetera) will be using all natural light for this violent frontier drama  Oscar is kind of obsessed with Richardson so even if Hateful Eight doesn't quite hit (who knows) he could still be in play  Can the Far From Heaven team do it again? Lachman sure can paint a beautiful picture   Just a hunch that Spinotti, who hasn't been doing anything buzzy of late, will return to old Oscar baiting form for this music bio    Deakins can get nominated even when his film can't so...
Other Major Possibilities
In the Heart of the Sea
Anthony Dod Mantle 
(1 nom | 1 win) 
Bridge of Spies
Janusz Kaminski
(6 noms | 2 wins)
Mad Max Fury Road
John Seale
(4 noms | 1 win)
Suffragette
Eduard Grau
(never nominated)
Untitled Warren Beatty
Caleb Deschanel
(5 nominations)
Can Mantle grab their attention again? He's been given a big possibly expressive watery canvas here  Oscar loves the ongoing Spiellberg/Kaminski collaboration. Will they do impressive work again? He isn't nominated every time.    This could well be too outre for voters but damn if it doesn't look potent. Seale didn't have great luck in the desert w/ Prince of Persia but he did WIN his Oscar shooting scorched earth (English Patient) Grau made a lovely splash with A Single Man. If he keeps up that kind of hypnotic image-making Oscar will surely come around to him Deschanel paints with lovely light. But will this Beatty Howard Hughes bio be done in time? And will it be great? It'll probably need to be.  
Anything Could Happen

Previous Nominees
The Danish Girl - Danny Cohen (1 nomination) Untitl, Icon - Danny Cohen (1 nomination), Tomorrowland - Claudio Miranda (2 noms | 1 win), Jurassic World- John Schwartzman (1 nomination), Knight of Cups - Emmanuel Lubeszki (7 noms | 2 wins), Pan - John Mathieson (2 nominations) and Seamus McGarvey (2 nominations), Southpaw - Mauro Fiore (1 nom | 1 win)

Never Nominated
MacBeth - Adam Arkapaw, Everest - Salvatore Totino, Sea of Trees - Kasper Tuxen, Joy - Linus Sandgren, Brooklyn - Yves Belanger, Spectre - Hoyte Van Hoytema, The Walk - Dariusz Wolski, The Martian - Dariusz Wolski, A Bigger Splash - Yorick Le Saux, Concussion - Salvatore Totino, Freeheld - Maryse Alberti, Star Wars The Force Awakens - Daniel Mindel , Self/Less - Brendan Galvin | Steve Jobs - Alwin Kuchler, Ex Machina -Rob Hardy, Black Mass - Masanobu Takayanagi, The 33 - Checco Varese, Crimson Peak - Dan Laustsen, Mr Holmes -Tobias Schleisser, Ricki and the Flash - Declan Quinn,

Unknown
Genius, Beasts of No Nation,

 

 

Best Production Design Predictions
Cinderella
Dante Ferretti
(10 noms | 3 wins)
The Danish Girl
Eve Stewart (3 nominations)
Carol
Judy Becker
(1 nomination)
Tomorrowland
Scott Chambliss
(never nominated)
Pan
Aline Bonetto
(2 nominations)
Ferretti is an Oscar favorite and he did great work with this fairy tale  Ample opportunities for the sets here. We shall see.    Becker is undervalued so we're hoping she really shines again. Theme park beauty? Epic scales attract them    "Most" Production Design? It might well have it. 
Other Major Possibilities
Crimson Peak
Thomas E Sanders
(2 nominations)
The Revenant
Jack Fisk
(1 nomination)
Mr Holmes
Martin Childs
(2 noms | 1 win)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Rick Carter (4 noms | 2 wins) and Darren Gilford (never nominated)
Untitled Warren Beatty
Jeannine Oppewall (4 nominations)
 Production Design makes or breaks gothic horror so Sanders could be the MVP here  Fisk is one of the best Production Designers despite a bizarrely weak Oscar tally. Will this old Sherlock Holmes movie be beloved by voters?  A Star Wars epic hasn't been nominated in this category since Return of the Jedi. But if this wasn't isnt disappointing like the last trilogy, watch out Howard Hughes and Old Hollywood won plentiful tech nominations for Scorsese's Aviator. Will Beatty's treatment of the subject also be Oscar stamped?  
Anything Could Happen

Previous Nominees
Joy - Judy Becker (1 nomination), Star Wars: The Force Awakens - Rick Carter (4 noms | 2 wins) & Darren Gilford (never nominated), A Bigger Splash - Maria Djurkovic (1 nom), Bridge of Spies - Adam Stockhausen (2 noms | 1 win), The Martian - Arthur Max (2 nominations), Spectre -Dennis Gassner (5 noms | 1 win), Steve Jobs -Guy Hendrix Dyas (1 nomination), Victor Frankenstein -Eve Stewart (3 nominations), Sicario - Patrice Vermette (1 nomination)

Never Nominated
Hateful Eight - Yohei Taneda, uffragette - Alice Norrington, MacBeth - Fiona Crombie, In the Heart of the Sea -Mark Tildesley, Trumbo - Mark Ricker, Ex Machina - Mark Digby, Genius - Mark Digby, Jurassic World - Ed Verreaux, Black Mass - Stefania Cella, Brooklyn - Francois Seguin, Freeheld - Jane Musky, Mad max: Fury Road - Colin Gibson, The Sea of Trees - Alex DiGerlando

Unknown
I Saw the Light, The Walk, Ricki & The Flash,

 

Best Film Editing Predictions
The Revenant
Stephen Mirrione
(2 noms | 1 win)
Bridge of Spies
Michael Kahn
(8 noms | 3 wins)
In the Heart of the Sea
Daniel P Hanley & Mike Hill (4 noms | 1 win)
Sicario
Joe Walker
(1 nomination) 
The Walk
Jeremiah Driscoll
(never nominated)
 Frontier vengeance should have ample drama and action to show off its editing  Kahn is a favorite and if its a Best Picture nominee, expect it here.  Hanley & Hill, Howards go to editors, will be there if the film is  If Villeneuve is right that its his best and most accessible, major nominations could be happening Will this film be a mere curiosity or a hit? Too early to say. If it has people en masse catching their breath, tech nominations highly plausible
Other Major Possibilities
Steve Jobs
Elliott Graham
(1 nom)
Tomorrowland
Walter Murch
(6 noms | 1 win *in this category*) and Craig Wood (never nom'ed)
Suffragette
Barney Pilling
(1 nomination)
MacBeth
Chris Dickens (1 nom | 1 win)
Brooklyn
Jake Roberts
(never nominated)
 If it has best picture hit Murch is a genius. But will the movie be good?    If it has Best Picture heat  If it really grabs audiences and critics  If it has Best Picture heat
Anything Could Happen

Previous Nominees
Concussion - William Goldenberg (5 noms | 1 win), Joy - Jay Cassidy (3 noms), Trumbo -Alan Baumgarten (1 nom), Southpaw - John Refoua (1 nom), Sea of Trees (4 noms | 2 wins) , Spectre - Lee Smith (2 noms), Genius - Chris Dickens (1 nom | 1 win), The Martian - Pietro Scalia (4 noms | 2 wins), Black Mass - David Rosenblum (1 nomination), Cinderella - Martin Walsh (1 nom | 1 win), Freeheld - Andrew Mondsheim (1 nom),

Never Nominated
Star Wars - Maryann Brandon & Mary Jo Markey, Hateful Eight - Fred Raskin, Everest - Mick Audsley, Ricki & The Flash - Wyatt Smith, Pan - William Hoy & Paul Tothil, Icon - Valerio Bonelli, Jurassic World - Kevin Stitt, The 33 - Michael Tronick, A Bigger Splash - Walter Fasano, Crimson Peak - Bernat Vilaplana, Ex Machina - Mark Day, Mad Max Fury Road - Jason Ballantine & Margaret Sixel

Editors Unknown At This Writing (often the last player announced. They don't go on the chart until we know who) 
Untitled Warren Beatty Project, I Saw the Light, Mr Holmes, Carol, The Danish Girl,


Best Visual Effects Predictions
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Avengers: Age of Ultron
The Martian
Jurassic World
Tomorrowland
 Of the six Star Wars film only Revenge of the Sith was not honored here Looks set to repeat its predecessor   Cinema Con reaction was fairly strong The dinosaurs are back All four of Brad Bird's movies have looked incredible. We expect this to follow suit 
Other Major Possibilities
Pan Mad Max Fury Road Ex Machina Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation Furious 7
 Best sometimes equal Most and this will be showy  Can Oscar handle this much adrenaline? Or are there too many practical effects with cars? This would be a shoo-in if Oscar regularly went for subtle but superbly executed effects.  Can it live up to Ghost Protocol's visual impressiveness?    Given that it's a phenomenon - will they be like "sure"? Or are there too many practical effects with cars?
Anything Could Happen

Other Possibilities
Terminator Genisys, Jupiter Ascending, In the Heart of the Sea, Ant-Man, Crimson Peak, Everest, Chappie, Self/Less, Spectre, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2

Longshots:
Cinderella, The Walk, Midnight Special, Victor Frankenstein, Tale of Tales, Kingsman: The Secret Service, The Divergent Series: Insurgent, Spy, The Man From UNCLE, Fantastic Four, Self/Less

 

Best MakeUp and Hair Predictions
   
Black Mass
The Danish Girl
Pan
   Johnny Depp balding... and human again Eddie Redmayne as a trans woman   Hugh and Rooney as living cartoons  
Other Major Possibilities
Cinderella
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Crimson Peak
Jupiter Ascending
The Revenant
 If they want to honor all that hair on all those superbly costumed ladies  Could be an uphill struggle. The franchise has only won 1 nomination in this category  Oscar has only ever been wild for del Toro with Pan's Labyrinth but will they fall under this one's spell? Well this category loves werewolves and Chan's dog boy kind of applies.   There will be lots of rugged sweaty men, probably with wounds and probably with beards
Anything Could Happen

Other Possibilities: Ex Machina, Brooklyn, MacBeth, Trumbo, Victor Frankenstein, Mad Max: Fury Road, Tale of Tales, In the Heart of the Sea, The Walk, Steve Jobs, Freeheld, Carol, Suffragette, Joy, I Saw the Light, Untitled Howard Hughes Projects, The Hateful Eight, Trumbo, Ricki & The Flash, Self/Less, Southpaw, Spectre, Miles Ahead, Nina, Mr Holmes, The 33, A Little Chaos,