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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R


 Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. Also loves cats. All material herein is written and copyrighted by him, unless otherwise noted. twitter | facebook | pinterest | tumblr | letterboxd

 

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COMMENT DU JOUR
Love Affair (1994) - as "A Year With Kate" nears its conclusion

A YEAR WITH KATE... 2 episodes left

 "A really beautiful look into the careers of one of my favorite actors, but it's made me consider the careers of so many different actors and how the great ones adapt to eras while still staying true to themselves. This is a special, lovely series. I both cannot wait for and am so sad for the end next week.-John T

 

Beauty vs. Beast

Rhett is all "as if i could lose this poll" - Have you voted?

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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp ActressSupp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural | Animation 

87th Oscars. The Oscar Contenders of 2014 - For prediction, discussion and entertainment purposes only. This is not a endorsement of quality work, especially since no one has seen the pictures yet!

 discuss on the blog


Best Costume Design - Predictions as of Dec 19th

Into the Woods
Colleen Atwood
(10 noms / 3 wins)

BFCA nom

Grand Budapest Hotel 
Milena Canonero
(8 noms / 3 wins)

BFCA nom

Mr Turner
Jacqueline Durran
(3 noms / 1 win)

BFCA nom

Selma
Ruth E Carter
(2 nominations)

Maleficent
Anna B Sheppard
(2 nominations)

BFCA nom

Oscar loves few things more than Atwood's whimsical designs for Burton's gothic tales or other such genre trips. A collection of fairy tale icons should thrill them. Oscar can be stuffy about stylized work but few did it better than Canonero and from the hotel staff to the filthy rich baddies, this is memorably designed   Winning all sorts of raves at Cannes, the only true precedent in Leigh's filmography is Topsy Turvy (1999) which Oscar loved in this category. Durran is really something.  We haven't seen much visual evidence of the film yet but if it's a seriously well regarded the civil rights drama could attack on several fronts including this one.

This fast rising designer is going to score sooner or later. Lovely period work lately.

Tier 2 - Other Strong Possibilities
Theory of Everything
Steven Noble
(never nominated)
Noah
Michael Wilkinson
(1 nomination)
Big Eyes
Colleen Atwood
(10 noms | 3 wins)
The Imitation Game
Sammy Sheldon
(never nominated)
Get On Up
Sharen Carter
(2 nominations)
She's had terrible luck with Oscar despite plentiful work but if this film goes over well, it could finally happen If this film is successfully revived in campaigning, we could see his ingenious era-free designs and organic fabrics surface Going more restrained than usual for this biopic, a double nod might be hard to pull off. And surely they'll notice Into the Woods first
If it's a best picture type of year, this former BAFTA nominee could win her first nod. Everyone looks spiffy Lots of fun showpieces and the costumes are often discussed within.
Tier 3 - This branch sometimes really thinks for themselves so...
Here are 14 more possibilites

Unbroken - Louise Frogley (never noinated) she's had terrible luck getting nominated despite plentiful prestige films
Birdman -Albert Wolsky (7 noms | 2 wins)
Exodus: Gods & Kings Janty Yates (1 nom | 1 win)
Fury - Anna B Sheppard (2 nominations)
A Most Violent Year - Kasia Walicka-Maimone (never nominated)
The Boxtrolls -Deborah Cook
Guardians of the Galaxy - Alexandra Byrne (4 noms / 1 win)
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies Ann Maskrey and Bob Buck (never nominated)
The Homesman - Lahly Poore (never nominated)
Hunger Games: Mockinjay Part One - Kurt & Bart (never nominated)
The Immigrant - Patricia Norris (6 nominations)
Inherent Vice -Mark Bridges (1 nom / 1 win) BFCA nom
Snowpiercer Catherine George (never nominated
Beloved Sisters - Barbara Grupp (never nominated)


Best Cinematography - Predictions as of Dec 19th

Birdman
Emmanuel Lubezki
(6 noms | 1 win)

BFCA

Mr Turner
Dick Pope
(1 nomination)

Unbroken
Roger Deakins
(11 nominations)

BFCA

Interstellar
Hoyt Van Hoytema
(never nominated)

BFCA

Ida
Ryszard Lenczewksi & Lukasz Zal (never nominated)
 Lubezki finally won last year for Gravity. Can the reigning champ be back again? Gravity aside, Lubezki has a habit of elevating the films he works on considerably. Birdman is in good hands... Fantastic work. Pope makes a film about art into one of its subjects paintings. A nomination would be sweet acknowledgement of his long collaboration with Leigh. This legendary DP is still waiting for his Oscar win though he's already cemented his name in history and been hugely influential from both his films and the studio consulting.  Hoytema is a rising star DP but this is the first time that Nolan's gone without Wally Pfister. But lately has shown that they like almost nothing more in this category than visual effects pictures

They occasionally go foreign in this category and this one has gorgeous use of black and white and framing.

Tier 2 - Other Strong Possibilities
A Most Violent Year
Bradford Young
(never nominated)
 Selma
Bradford Young
(never nominated
Theory of Everything
Benôite Delhomme
(never nominated)
Wild
Yves Bélanger (never nominated)
Grand Budapest Hotel
Robert Yeoman
(never nominated)

BFCA

Young is an extraordinarily gifted DP but he's been working on such small films so focused on the black experience in America that he needs a major spotlight... like either of these? AMVY is showier  AMVY is a showier piece for this gifted rising star behind the camera BUT Selma has most of the Oscar heat. I could see either happening or neither. But not both because the craft branches are always slow to recognize the fresh talent  Oscar sometimes loves purposefully handsome golden glossy biopics. And this is Delhomme's best shot yet at a nomination.   Beautiful shots of nature and "the landscape of the human face". Great use of (only) natural light throughout on Cheryl's outdoor trek. This movie is having such a srong precursor season it looks like they may finally stop ignoring its entire team!

Tier 3 - With so many fine DPs working. Here are 11 more possibilities...

Noah - Matthew Libatique (1 nomination)
The Immigrant - Darius Khondji (1 nomination)
Gone Girl - Jeff Cronenwerth (2 nominations)
Into the Woods
- Dion Beebe (2 noms | 1 win)
Maleficent - Deam Semler (1 nomination)
Godzilla -Seamus McGarvey (2 noms)
Fury
- Roman Vasyanov
The Imitation Game - Oscar Faura
Inherent Vice - Robert Elswit (2 noms / 1 win)
Tracks - Mandy Walker
The Homesman - Rodrigo Prieto (1 nom)

 

Best Production Design - Predictions as of Dec 19th

Into the Woods
Dennis Gassner
(4 noms / 1 win)

BFCA

Grand Budapest Hotel
Adam Stockhausen
(1 nomination) 

BFCA

Interstellar
Nathan Crowley
(2 nominations)

BFCA

Birdman
Kevin Thompson
(never nominated

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
James Chinlund (never nominated) 
Gassner is one of the greatest production designers alive. Just ask several A list directors. But can he keep this on the safe side of fanciful without being tacky? (Not that Oscar hates tacky. ) We already know this one is worthy. Will Oscar choose to believe so? They've yet to honor a Wes Anderson film in this category which is the most ridiculous stat ever, you must agree.  Will the desolate food-starved earth and the spaceships win them over? How about those... No, Sorry. No Spoilers! Will they go for the technical complications of this all takes place inside a theater movie. Or will they want something more CG extravagant as they sometimes do?

Wishful thinking? Aside from visual effects this seems like the most likely area for a strong shot and the ape world is very well realized

Tier 2 - Other Strong Possibilities
Noah
Mark Friedberg
(never nominated)
The Imitation Game 
Marja Durjovic
(never nominated)
Big Eyes
Rick Heinrichs
(3 noms / 1 win)
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - Dan Hennah
(5 noms / 1 win)
Maleficent
Dylan Cole & Gary Freeman
(never nominated)
It sure looks distinct and maybe they'll love the ark? It's a blight on this category that Friedberg's never been nominated. If there's a surprise, couldn't this be it? They surely can't keep ignoring the designer of Billy Elliott, The Hours and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy can they? She'll need love for the film to help her along but the spaces are memorable.    Heinrichs has been an off and on collaborator with Burton for some time. It all depends on whether they like the flim and Heinrichs visual detours like that crazy post-wealth property Are they done with Middle Earth or...  ?I Oscar has, for whatever reason, a strong preference for computer generated fantasies in this category so you never know
Tier 3 - Longshots?

Exodus: Gods & Kings Arthur Max (2 nominations_)
Selma - unknown
Foxcatcher - Jess Gonchor (1 nomination)
Unbroken - Jon Hutman (never nominated)
Gone Girl
- Donald Graham Burt (1 nom / 1 win)
Theory of Everything
- John Paul Kelly (never nominated)
Inherent Vice - David Crank BFCA
Snowpiercer
-Ondrej Nekvasil BFCA
Fury
-Andrew Menzies (never nominated)
Exodus: Gods & Kings - Arthur Max (2 nominations)
The Immigrant - Happy Massee (never nominated)
Mr Turner
- Suzie Davies (never nominated)
The Homesman - Meredith Boswell (2 nominations)

 

Best Film Editing - Predictions as of December 19th
Boyhood
Sandra Adair
(never nominated)
Whiplash
Tom Cross
(never nominated)
Gone Girl
Kirk Baxter
(3 noms | 2 wins)
The Imitation Game
William Goldenberg
(4 noms | 1 win)

Selma
Spencer Averick
(never nominated)

If they appreciated that 12 year commitment (or maybe less in this case?) and it's winning lots of critics prizes in this category If they go wild for it. As they might and want to honor its energy If they like the movie at all (Fincher often scores here) If they like its trifurcated structure and metronome urgency

If they go for it in Best Picture

Tier 2 - Other Possibilities ?
Birdman
Douglas Crise
(1 nomination)
Grand Budapest Hotel
Barney Pilling
(never nominated)
Wild
Martin Pensa & Jean-Marc Vallée
Unbroken
Tim Squyres 
(2 nominations)
American Sniper
Joel Cox (2 noms | 1 win) and Gary Roach
If they like the hidden cuts trickery If they realize how crucial the rhythms are to this one If they fall for his contemplative moods and internal immediacy. But it's been struggling in precursors If the movie has unexpected strength in tech categories It they find it exciting and the heat is on during voting
Tier 3 - Other Options They Could Look At...


Interstellar - Lee Smith (2 nominations) | American Sniper - Joel Cox (2 noms | 1 win) and Gary Roach | Dawn of the Planet of the Apes William Hoy & Stan Salfas (never nominated) |  Big Eyes - Joseph C Bond IV (never nominated) | Captain America: The Winter Soldier - Jeffrey Ford & Matthew Schmidt (never nominated) | Exodus: Gods & Kings - unknown | Godzilla - Bob Ducsay (never nominated) | Foxcatcher - Stuart Leevy & Conor O'Neill (never nominated) | Guardians of the Galaxy - Fred Raskin (never nominated) & Hughes Winborne (1 nom | 1 win) | Inherent Vice- Leslie Jones (1 nomination) | Into the Woods - Wyatt Smith (never nominated) | A Most Violent Year - Ron Patane (never nominated) | Nightcrawler - John Gilroy (never nominated) | Noah - Andrew Weisblum (1 nomination) | Mr Turner - Jon Gregory (never nominated) | Selma -Spencer Averick (never nominated) | Snowpiercer - Steve M Choe & Changju Kim (never nominated) | Theory of Everything - Jinx Godfrey (never nominated) | Wild (unknown) | Fury - Dody Dorn (1 nomination)

 

Best Visual Effects - Predictions as of December 19th
See finalist list discussion here.
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Interstellar
Guardians of the Galaxy
Godzilla
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
This surely can't miss given the reviews and that they're not actually going to honor Andy Serkis for motion capture work which is also an "effect"
It's not wise to vote again Chris Nolan features in the blockbuster categories like this one.
room for one Marvel Heroes film, and assuming "Most" still equals "Best" this edges out the earthbound Captain America

The classy sober sheen this umpteenth Godzilla film is taking should help it earn respect

This series has never missed a nomination in this category but fatigue could be setting in (the Academy abandons all franchises at some point)
Tier 2 - Other Strong Possibilities
Transformers: Age of Extinction
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
Maleficent
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb
Transformers films always get a least one Oscar nod, but it's safer over in sound They ignored the first Captain. But this film is better and the effects more impressive. We shall see. If they want to honor its success, there are effects all over the place The X-Men films haven't ever scored here but there's a first time for everything Huh. Over the movies that were eliminated?
ELIMINATED

Edge of Tomorrow | Exodus: Gods & Kings | Hunger Games | Into the Woods | Lucy | Noah | The Maze Runner | Snowpiercer | Under the Skin

 

Best MakeUp and Hair - Predictions as of Dec 19th
We have to ask the Academy again why this is the only category left with 3 instead of 5 nominees See finalist list and history discussion here.

Guardians of the Galaxy
Grand Budapest Hotel
Foxcatcher

 

if the crazy love transfers to AMPAS from the public this is where it scores outside of Visual FX ancient Tilda, tattooed jailbirds, and more fake noses - Oscar loves 'em!
Tier 2 - Other Strong Possibilities
Noah
Maleficent
Theory of Everything
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
  Again? or sit this one out? pointy cheeks, spock ears, and that skintone Old age makeup! Elektro + The Rhino + more supervillainry
ELIMINATED

Into the Woods -- no love for the witch's transformation?
Exodus: Gods & Kings -guyliner
Get On Up - old age makeup and lotsa wigs
Hobbit: Five Armies - we're finally free of the franchise!
Unbroken - sunburns & ravages of war
Birdman - unfortunately bloody theatrics
The Homesman - plain janes and crazy women
Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 -The Capitol Theatrics
Inherent Vice + Snowpiercer + Only Lovers Left Alive
all had funky hairwork and fake teeth madness

It's probably wishful thinking that I'm NOT predicting MALEFICENT and the team did a fine job. But i still object to it on aesthetic grounds. As I said on Twitter...