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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

91st Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2018 (for the 2019 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

 

PREDICTIONS IN ALL THE VISUAL CATEGORIES
(SCROLL DOWN FOR ADDITIONAL CHARTS)

 

COSTUME DESIGN

Tier 1 - Prediction

MARY POPPINS RETURNS
Sandy Powell
(12 noms | 3 wins)

Sandy Powell is sure to put a colorful lux spin on this classic property. 13th nomination? Could she even win?

BLACK PANTHER
Ruth E Carter
(2 nominations)

People have been chanting "Wakanda Forever" all year and her costumes are deliciously bold. If she receives a third nomination she'll tie Octavia and Viola as most Oscar nominated woman of color

THE SISTERS BROTHERS
Milena Canonero
(9 noms | 4 wins)

The great Italian designer hasn't worked much since her Grand Budapest Hotel win. But she is in her 70s. Her work is always an event if you ask us. Can this western catch Oscar's eye if it's released in time?

THE FAVOURITE
Sandy Powell
(12 noms | 3 wins)

Queen Anne's court should give Powell plenty to work with and Academy voters L-O-V-E films about royalty in costume design. That said we're still surprised Lanthimos is doing a costume drama!

THE NUTCRACKER AND THE FOUR REALMS

Jenny Beavan
10 nominations | 2 wins

She's certainly on a tear lately. British royal dramas, Post apocalypse desert wear, and now Disney ballet fantasy. Most Costumes often helps.

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

FANTASTIC BEASTS 2
Coleen Atwood
(12 noms | 4 wins)

Her win for the first entry in this Harry Potter spinoff was a surprising Oscar choice. Newt never changes costumes but she has some new characters to work with. Will they go for it a second time?

MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
Alexandra Byrne
(4 noms | 1 win)

Speaking of do-overs. This story (albeit in subplot form) has already won the Oscar for the very same designer for Elizabeth: The Golden Age (2007). Will the costume branch feel its a retread or go for it?

FIRST MAN
Mary Zophres
(2 nominations)

Zophres's Oscar record isn't half what it should be but her work is often arguably too subtle for Oscar's love of MOST. But if this one is a frontrunner she could surface for dressing astronauts and their wives in the 1960s

PETERLOO
Jacqueline Durran
(6 noms | 1 win)

Double nominated just last year for Darkest Hour and Beauty and the Beast, she's returning to Mike Leigh's filmography where  she always does terrific work. She was previously nominated for his film Mr Turner.

BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
Julian Day
(never nominated)

His best Oscar shot to date was probably the race car driver biopic Rush (2013). Now he's recreating Freddie Mercury looks for Rami Malek's take on the rock star.  

 
Tier 3 - Other Possible Costumes of Note...

Backseat -Susan Matheson (0/0), Best of Enemies - JR Hawbaker (0/0), Blackkklansman - Marci Rodgers (0/0), Colette - Andrea Flesch, Crazy Rich Asians -Mary E Vogt (0/0), Girl in the Spider's Web - Carlos Rosario (0/0), How to Talk to Girls -Sandy Powell (12/3), The Little Stranger -Steven Noble (0/0), Oceans 8 -Sarah Edwards (0/0), Suspiria -Guilia Persanti (0/0), Valley Girl -Maya Leiberman (0/0), Vita and Virginia - Lorna Marie Mugan (0/0), White Boy Rick - Amy Westcott (0/0)

IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
Caroline Eselin
(never nominated)

Eselin is a rising talent but so far she's worked in contemporary indies (Moonlight) or eccentric pieces Oscar wouldn't touch (The Paperboy). Could the 1970s do it for her? 

ALPHA
Sharen Davis
(2 nominations)

Previously nominated for Dreamgirls and Ray but this time she's left the period musicals for furs and survival. If she receives a third nomination she'll tie Octavia and Viola as most nominated woman of color.

 

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Tier 1 - Prediction

FIRST MAN
Linus Sandgren
(1 nom | 1 win)

Reteaming with Chazelle (he won for La La Land) on this man goes to the moon bio

IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK James Paxton
(1 nomination)

His work on Moonlight was something else. Can he and Jenkins pull it off again?

BEAUTIFUL BOY
Ruben Impens
(never nominated)

He's done very expressive work in the past (see Broken Circle Breakdown). Can this be his breakthrough?

MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
John Mathieson
(2 nominations)

Plenty of opportunity to shine here?

A STAR IS BORN
Matthew Libatique
(1 nomination)

This singular DP has only been nominated once (Black Swan) but surely there's a second nomination in his future.

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

THE SISTERS BROTHERS
Benoit Debie
(never nominated)

He's kind of a genius but his astonishing work has often been in films too outre for Oscar (Enter the Void, Spring Breakers, etcetera)

BOY ERASED
Eduard Grau
(never nominated)

This DP from Spain has yet to be recognized but he's done memorable work before (A Single Man)

MARY POPPINS RETURNS
Dion Beebe
(2 noms | 1 win)

Reteaming with Rob Marshall with whom he snagged his other nods (Chicago, Memoirs of a Geisha)

WIDOWS
Sean Bobbit (never nominated)

He's done breathtaking work on all of McQueen's pictures but still waiting for awards bodies to notice.

PETERLOO
Dick Pope
(2 nominations)

Working with Mike Leigh again on another period canvas

 
Tier 3- Other Possibilities

Best of Enemies - David Lanzenberg (0/0), Backseat -Greig Frasier (1/0), Black Panther -Rachel Morrison (1/0), Colette -Giles Nuttgens (0/0), Girl in the Spider Web - Pedro Luque (0/0), BlacKkKlansmen -???, Mortal Engines -Simon Raby (???), Where is Kyra? - Bradford Young (1/0),  A Quiet Place -Charlotte Bruus Christensen (0/0), Suspiria - Sayombhu Mukdeeprom (0/0)

THE FAVOURITE
Robbie Ryan
(never nominated)

Amazing DP (see Fish Tank, American Honey, etc) but generally not working in the kind of films Oscar has gone for. We shall see...

THE NUTCRACKER AND THE FOUR REALMS
Linus Sandgren
(1 nom / 1 win)

Can the La La Land winner return quickly to the shortlist? Or will First Man be more than enough on its own to get him nomination #2

 

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Tier 1 - Prediction

FIRST MAN
Nathan Crowley
(4 noms)

The year's Most Likely To film in so many categories. If it's any good of course. 

MARY POPPINS RETURNS
John Myhre
(5 noms | 1 win)

The original film was a box office smash and major Oscar hit. Can the sequel follow suit? 

FANTASTIC BEASTS 2
Stuart Craig 
(11 noms | 3 wins)

Oscar voters never tire of this series in this category. Time for a break or just more of the same?

BLACK PANTHER
Hannah Beachler
(never nominated)

At least we hope they'll be saying "Wakanda Forever" in this category

PETERLOO
Suzy Davies
(1 nomination)

"Worldbuilding" is a hot skill in Hollywood but they usually mean genre pics. But for worldbuilding Mike Leigh flicks are where it's at!

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

THE NUTCRACKER AND THE FOUR REALMS
Guy Hendrix Dyas
(2 nominations) 

If it's a critical and commercial hit, you might see a campaign. 

MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
James Merifield
(never nominated)

Oscar loves royalty porn. But then again oscar is moving away from Oscar Bait this past decade. 

THE FAVOURITE
Fiona Crombie
(never nominated)

Oscar loves royalty porn. But then again oscar is moving away from Oscar Bait this past decade. 

BEST OF ENEMIES
Jeannine Oppewall
(4 nominations)

It's been a while since she was nominated. Return time with this 1960s story? Previous highlights include LA Confidential, Seabiscuit, and Catch Me If You Can

 

MORTAL ENGINES
Dan Hennah
(5 nominations) 

Hennah will have plentiful room to impress here but will the film stand out in such a crowded marketplace of potential franchises? 

 
Tier 3 - Other Possibilities

Aquaman - Bill Brzeski (0/0), Annihilation -Mark Digby (0/0), Backseat -Patrice Vermette (2/0), Blackkklansman - Curt Beech (0/0),Colette - Michael Carlin (0/0), House With a Clock In Its Walls - ??? (?), On Basis of Sex -Nelson Coates (0/0), A Quiet Place - Jeffrey Beecroft (1/0), Ready Player One - Adam Stockhausen (3/1), Suspiria - Inbal Weinberg (0/0), Widows - Adam Stockhausen (3/1), A Wrinkle in Time - Naomi Shohan

IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
Mark Friedberg
(never nominated)

He's one of Hollywood's most reliable production designer but can't seem to get arrested with Oscar!

THE SISTERS BROTHERS
Michel Barthelemy
(never nominated)

His past triumphs have included Rust and Bone and Frantz. Can this western be a surprise contender in multiple categories? 

 

 

FILM EDITING

Tier 1 - Prediction

FIRST MAN
Tom Cross
(2 noms | 1 win)

IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
Joi McMillon & Nat Sanders (1 nomination)

BEAUTIFUL BOY
Stephen Mirrione (3 noms | 1 win)

BACKSEAT
Hank Corwin
(1 nomination)

A STAR IS BORN
Jay Cassidy
(3 nominations)

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

WIDOWS
Joe Walker
(2 nominations)

BLACKk KLANSMEN
Barry Alexander Brown (never nominated in this category)

PETERLOO
Jon Gregory
1 nomination

THE SISTERS BROTHERS
Juliette Welfling
(1 nomination)

THE FAVOURITE
Sam Sneade
(never nominated)

 
Tier 3 - Other Possibilities

Alita: Battle Angel - Stephen Rivkin (1/0), Avengers: Infinity War - Jeffrey Ford & Matthew Schmidt (0/0), Best of Enemies - Harry Yoon (0/0), Everybody Knows - Hayedeh Safiyari (0/0), Mary Poppins Returns - Wyatt Smith (0/0), Mortal Engines - unknown, Mowgli - Jeremiah O'Driscol (0/0) and Mark Sanger (1/1), A Quiet Place - Christopher Tellefsen (1/0), Suspiria - Walter Fasano (0/0), Where'd You Go, Bernadette? - Sandra Adair (1/0)

MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
Unknown
BLACK PANTHER
Debbie Berman & Michael Shawver (never nominated)
 

 

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

Tier 1 - Prediction

BLACK PANTHER

I'm hesistatn to call it a lock only because competition is so stiff in this category each year but on the other hand, it's a lock. ;) 

ALITA: BATTLE ANGEL

We'll see if audiences take to the animated feel but they didn't seem to mind in Ready Player One or [insert many other films here]

AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR

For epic scale it'll be tough to beat. But though the effects work is > than Black Panther, it won't be as well loved which could hurt it here. 

MOWGLI

Why is word so quiet on this Jungle Book mocap acting bonanza feature? Nevertheless if it's decent it could easily make its way into this category. 

SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY

Believe it or not Oscar HAS skipped Star Wars films before in this category. But still that franchise is a safer bet than most.  

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

MORTAL ENGINES

If people like the film?

ANNIHILATION

If they remember it exists?

READY PLAYER ONE

If they want this category to be Animated Film friendly

FIRST MAN

If the moon landing gets lots of time. 

FANTASTIC BEASTS 2

If they're feeling super generous.

 
Tier 3 - Other possibilities for the bake-offs

Alpha, Aquaman, Annihilation, Ant Man and the Wasp, Bumblebee, Christopher Robin, Mary Poppins Returns, Mission Impossible Fallout, The Nutcracker and the Four Realms, A Quiet Place, Paddington 2, Skyscraper, Suspiria, Venom, A Wrinkle in Time, and X-Men Dark Phoenix

JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM

If they like it more than the last one

DEADPOOL 2

If they like it more than the last one. 

 

 

 

MAKEUP AND HAIR

This category is notoriously difficult to foresee so consider this stabbing in the dark. 

Tier 1 - Prediction

 

BLACK PANTHER

THE NUTCRACKER AND THE FOUR REALMS MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be
MARY POPPINS RETURNS FANTASTIC BEASTS 2

DEADPOOL 2

BEST OF ENEMIES THE FAVOURITE
 
Tier 3 - Other possibilities for the bake-offs?

 

Alpha, Aquaman, Avengers Infinity War, Backseat, The House with a Clock In Its Walls, Mortal Engines, Oceans 8, Peterloo, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Suspiria, A Wrinkle in Time, and X-Men Dark Phoenix