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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

APRIL FOOLISH PREDICTIONS

COSTUME DESIGN


Tier 1 - Predicted 5

How to Talk to Girls at Parties
Sandy Powell (12 noms | 3 wins)

Powell in the glam rock era again. Hello Velvet Goldmine!

Florence Foster Jenkins
Consolata Boyle (1 nom)

One of the only traditional Oscar bait costume dramas (comedies) in the mix this year

Allied
Designer Unknown

World War II marital espionage drama. Cotillard and Pitt look great in costumes

Silence
Designer Unknown

If it's Powell, who Scorsese uses alot, it could be a shoo in. 17th Century Japan and Jesuit missionary garb

Alice Through The Looking Glass
Colleen Atwood (11 noms, 3 wins)

Atwood already won the Oscar for this franchise. Can she do it twice?

 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Fantastic Beasts and...
Colleen Atwood (11 noms | 3 wins)

Atwood adds another fantasty franchise to her resume. Only the first Potter film was nominated in this category, though

Miss Peregrine's Home...
Colleen Atwood (11 noms | 3 wins

Tim Burton's filmography is no stranger to Costume Design nominations.

The Birth of a Nation
Francine Jamison-Tanchuck
(never nom'ed)

Civil war era dramas are often nominated in this category: 12 Years, Lincoln Beloved  & Amistad; but sometimes not (Django, Cold Mountain)

The Legend of Tarzan
Ruth Myers (2 noms)

If they don't object to pants on Tarzan (wtf?) there's plentiful opportunities for good costumes in this story

The Founder
Daniel Orlandi 
(never nom'ed)

Fast food isn't exactly a glamourous topic but it is the 1950s so there'll be a lot of period costumes on extras and principles alike.

 

Tier 3 - But Watch Out For...

Doctor Strange -Alexandra Byrne (4 noms | 1 win), Fences - Sharen Davis (2 nominations),  Suicide Squad - Kate Hawley (never nom'ed), La La Land (Mary Zophres - 1 nom), Passengers (Jany Temime - never nom'ed), Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (Joseph G Aulisi - never nom'ed), Lion (Cappi Ireland - never nom'ed), The Zookeeper's Wife (Bina Daigeler - never nom'ed), The Girl on the Train (Michelle Matland & Ann Roth), 20th Century Women (Jennifer Johnson), Assassin's Creed (Sammy Sheldon), The BFG - Joanna Johnston (1 nom), Captain Fantastic (Courtney Hoffman), The Huntsman: Winter's War (Colleen Atwood - 11 noms, 3 wins), A United Kingdom (Anushia Nieradzik), Wild Oats (Lena Mossum & Gypsy Taylor), Rogue One (David Crossman & Glyn Dillon), The Lost City of Z (Sonia Grande), Warcraft (Mayes C Rubeo), Tulip Fever (Michael O'Connor - 3 noms, 1 win)

 

Tier Extra - The Conscientous Voter
The following films, of interest in costume design though these are not endorsements per se, have already been released. The conscientous voter will "Consider" early and throughout the year.

Batman v Superman
Michael Wilkinson
(1 nom)

Wilkinson loves his techno-enhanced costumes (see also Tron: Legend)

The Boss
Wendy Chuck
(never nom'ed)

Fun consistent character work. Plus that TV sweater!

Hail, Caesar!
Mary Zophres
(1 nomination)

Darling and Suave and Swell  and every Old Hollywood adjective. Plus Tilda's hats!

High-Rise
Odile Dicks-Mireaux
(never nom'ed)

Slim fit white shirts have never looked so pornographic as they do on Hiddleston. Also: plentiful costumes in this one.

The Witch
Linda Muir
(never nom'ed)

Puritan plainness. But not without detail or the occassional pop of color (red)

 

 

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Silence
Rodrigo Prieto
(1 nom)

17th century Japan will give Prieto plenty of beauty to work with - and he's superb in the outdoors (see; Brokeback Mountain)

Story of Your Life
Bradford Young
(never nom'ed)

One of our Best DPs. Will Oscar notice him now that he's got a bigger budget film?

Lion
Greig Fraser
(never nom'ed)

Australia and India should offer plenty of sun baked eye candy. Fraser is a wonder.

Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
John Toll
(3 noms | 2 wins)

Toll was once an Oscar darling. Can he recapture it with a high frame rate?

Passenger
Rodrigo Prieto
(1 nom)

Another opportunity for Prieto. Oscar likes visual fx films in this category nowadays

 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

La La Land
Linus Sandgren
(never nom'ed)

He's done fine work in the past but this should be showier.

The Birth of a Nation
Elliot Davis
(never nom'ed)

If it's a powerhouse any nomination could happen

Fantastic Beasts and...
Phillipe Rousselot
(3 noms | 1 win)

Once an Oscar darling. If they want to spend more time in this world...

Nocturnal Animals
Seamus McGarvey
(2 noms)

A Single Man WASN'T nominated. But will they go for the second presumed Tom Ford directed beauty

The BFG
Janusz Kaminski
(6 noms | 2 wins)

Oscar likes the Kaminski & Spielberg pairing. And heavily processed visual fx work.

 

Tier 3 - Or Maybe...

Beat-Up Little Seagull (Bradford Young), Fences (Charlotte Bruus Christensen), The Girl on the Train (Charlotte Bruus Christensen), The Zookeeper's Wife (Andrij Parekh), Loving (Adam Stone), Sully (Tom Stern - 1 nom), Allied (Don Burgess), The Founder (John Schwartzmann - 1 nom), Assassin's Creed (Adam Arkapaw), Captain Fantastic (Stéphane Fontaine), The Legend of Tarzan (Henry Braham), A United Kingdom (Sam McCurdy), Wild Oats (Jose Luise Alcaine), Rogue One (Greig Fraser), Alice Through Looking Glass (Stuart Dryburgh - 1 nom), Miss Peregrine (Bruno Delbonnel - 4 noms), The Lost City of Z (Darius Khonjdi, 1 nom)

 

Tier Extra - The Conscientous Voter
The following films, of interest in cinematography though these are not endorsements, have already been released. The conscientous voter will "Consider" early and throughout the year.

Hail, Caesar!
Roger Deakins
(13 noms)

He still hasn't won; its a crime.

High-Rise
Laurie Rose
(never nom'ed)

Gorgeous

Jungle Book
Bill Pope
(never nom'ed)

Getting strong reviews.

Knight of Cups
Emmanuel Lubezki
(3 wins)

Always reliable.

The Witch
Jarin Blaschke
(never nom'ed)

Eerie and just right.

 

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Silence
Dante Ferretti
(10 noms | 3 wins)

17th century Japan. And Ferretti is popular

Passengers
Guy Hendrix Dyas (1nom)

Which sci-fi drama will have the most showy sets. This one or Story of Your Life?

Birth of a Nation
Geoffrey Kirkland
(1 nom)

Seems likely if the film is popular

The BFG
Rick Carter (4 noms | 2 wins)

They like Carter and visual fx enhanced environments

Fantastic Beast and...
Stuart Craig (10 noms | 3 wins)

They're kinda obsessed with Craig doing JK Rowling

 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Alice Through the Looking Glass
Dan Hennah (5 noms | 1 win)

If they wanna go back

The Founder
Michael Corenblith
(2 noms)

Lots of opportunities to shine given the 50s restaurant recreations

Story of Your Life
Patrice Vermette
(1 nom)

What kind of visual opportunities will this story afford.

The Zookeeper's Wife
Suzie Davies
(1 nom)

It's a zoo. She did amazing work on Mr. Turner recently.

Fences
David Gropman
(2 noms)

50s era poor neighborhood in Pittsburgh

 

Tier 3 - But Watch Out For...

La La Land (David Wasco, never nom'ed), Snowden (Mark Tildesley); Loving (Chad Keith), Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (Mark Friedberg), Sully (James J Murakami, 1 nom), Allied (Gary Freeman), The Girl on the Train (Kevin Thompson), Assassin's Creed (Andy Nicholson - 1 nom), Captain Fantastic (Russell Barnes), The Legend of Tarzan (Stuart Craig -10 noms, 3 wins), A United Kingdom (Simon Bowles), Rogue One (Doug Chiang & Neil Lamont), Miss Peregrine's (Gavin Bocquet), Doctor Strange (Charles Wood)

 

Tier Extra - The Conscientous Voter
The following films, of interest in production design those these are not endorsements, have already been released. The conscientous voter will "Consider" early and throughout the year.

Everybody Wants Some !!
Bruce Curtis
(never nom'ed)
Hail, Caesar!
Jess Gonchor
(1 nom)
High Rise
Mark Tildesley
(never nom'ed)
Miles Ahead
Hannah Beachler (never nom'ed)
The Witch
Craig Lathrop
(never nom'ed)
 

 

FILM EDITING

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

The Birth of a Nation
Steven Rosenblum (3 noms)
La La Land
Tom Cross (1 nom | 1 win)
Story of Your Life
Joe Walker (1 nom)
Passengers
Maryann Brandon
(1 nom)
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
Tim Squyres (2 noms)
 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong
Silence
Thelma Schoonmaker
(7 noms | 3 wins)
The Girl on the Train Michael McCusker
(1 nom)
Rogue One
Jabez Olssen
(never nom'ed)
The BFG
Michael Kahn
(8 noms | 3 wins)
Sully
Blu Murray
(never nom'ed)

 

Tier 3 - But Watch Out For...

Loving (Julie Monroe),Lion (Alexandre de Francheschi), The Zookeeper's Wife (David Coulson), Allied (Jeremiah O'Driscoll), The Founder (Robert Frazen), Snowden (Alex Marquez & Lee Percy)

We don't know who is editing yet

Fences, Assassin's Creed, A United Kingdom

 

Tier Extra - The Conscientous Voter. What's Already Out There?
The following films, of interest in editing those these are not endorsements per se, have already been released. The conscientous voter will "Consider" early and throughout the year.

Demolition
Jay M Glen
(never nom'ed)
Everybody Wants Some!!
Sandra Adair
(1 nomination)
Hail, Caesar!
Roderick Haynes
Midnight Special
Julie Monroe (never nom'ed)
The Witch
Louise Ford
(never nom'ed)
 

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Star Wars films score here

Doctor Strange

Inception inspired for some reason

The BFG

Giants! Fantasy !!

Passengers

Sci-fi with two popular stars (Pratt & Laurence)

Jungle Book
those photorealistic animals

 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Captain America: Civil War

supersized superhero mayhem

Story of Your Life

scifi

Fantastic Beasts and...

fantasy world they love... though not really in this category

Star Trek Beyond

perhaps

Suicide Squad

if they go more superhero than they usually go here.

 

Tier 3 - Which other films might survive the initial bake off?

Warcraft, X-Men Apocalypse, The Legend of Tarzan, A Monster Calls, Max Steel, Batman v Superman, Deadpool, The Jungle Book, Midnight Special, The Witch, Story of Your Life, Alice Through the Looking Glass, Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children, Deepwater Horizon, Ghostbusters, Star Trek Beyond, The Huntsman Winters War, Assassin's Creed

 

Tier Extra - The Conscientous Voter. What's already out there?
The following films, of interest in costume design those these are not endorsements, have already been released. The conscientous voter will "Consider" early and throughout the year.

Batman v Superman Deadpool The Jungle Book Midnight Special The Witch
 

 

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Tier 1 - Predicted 3

   
  Doctor Strange Suicide Squad Silence  
 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong
Star Trek Beyond Deadpool How to Talk to Girls at Parties Fantastic Beasts and... Miss Peregrine's Home...

 

Tier 3 - But Watch Out For

Fences, The BFG, Rogue One, Allied, The Birth of a Nation, Alice Through the Looking Glass, Hands of Stone, The Legend of Tarzan, The Huntsman Winter's War, Miles Ahead, Hail Caesar, Assassin's Creed

 

Tier Extra - The Conscientous Voter. What's already out there
The following films, of interest in makeup and hairstyling though these are not endorsements per se, have already been released. The conscientous voter will "Consider" early and throughout the year.

Deadpool Hail Caesar High-Rise Miles Ahead The Witch