[Secret Guest Post]
Awkwafina announcing the nominees last season. I think she'll be nominated this year.Hello again to readers of The Film Experience! I previously shared a few reactions from our SAG nominating committee screenings including The Farewell and The Irishman and Bombshell and Little Women. The following are my predictions for tomorrow, NOT who I nominated (I nominated only 8 of these 30 predictions.)
LEAD ACTOR
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
LEAD ACTRESS
Akwafina, The Farewell
Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Lupita Nyong’o, Us
Renee Zellweger, Judy
I’m skeptical about Ronan, Theron and Woodard in Best Actress since their screeners came relatively late...
POTENTIAL SURPRISE: Her Smell was one of the first screeners to arrive, so I would keep my eye on Elisabeth Moss. If you watched it (and made it through it), she’s difficult to forget.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
I’m just going with the Globe nominees here. Boring (and at least 40% category fraud), but boring is usually right.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Thomasin McKenzie, Jojo Rabbit
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell
I’m going out on a little bit of a limb with this category. Bombshell, Little Women and (especially) The Report all came relatively late. Richard Jewell was only available for streaming, which (with its app downloads, passwords, etc.) is less user-friendly than DVDs. And as for Lopez…well, I really disliked the movie, but who knows; maybe others didn’t, though I have a hard time imagining actors voting for her in droves. Jojo Rabbit came early and it seems like the kind of movie everyone would have checked out.
ENSEMBLE
The Farewell
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Knives Out
Marriage Story
Knives Out came late, but it seems tailor-made for this category. Could also be Once Upon a Time…or even A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. Unfortunately, many of the films with large African-American casts—The Last Black Man in San Francisco, Luce, and Queen & Slim—never sent out screeners.
STUNT ENSEMBLE
The Avengers: Endgame
Ford v. Ferrari
Hustlers
Joker
Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
Who knows. I have no idea why they ask us to nominate for this, since most of the eligible movies don’t send screeners or hold screenings—and who knows if anything is real or CG these days, anyway? I’m predicting movies that actually campaigned —including, yes, Hustlers. I voted for it myself, because I think they’re referring to the strippers here, which is hilarious.
P.S. Well I was way off!