The Producers Guild of America has spoken and has named these ten pictures as nominees for its top category.
Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures
This is great news for Judas and the Black Messiah as a late breaking contender as well as Sound of Metal which has had a lot of buzz for Riz Ahmed but less so for other awards categories. The PGA choices are a tough break for News of the World and The Father. But all is not lost for the latter two hopefuls as Oscar does often change things up a bit. Stats and more PGA nominations after the jump...
Differences in PGA to Oscar in recent Best Picture years. Oscar will usually dump at last one or two of the PGA titles and replace one. In the last five years though the choices have had less variety with Oscar voters usually only selecting from the PGA titles and not adding any of their own. Generally speaking Oscar has better taste if you look at omissions and substitutions but there have been a few outlier years where the PGA was wiser.
2019: (PGA only): Knives Out
Oscar replaced with: All other nominations matched
Difference of opinion: PGA chose 1917 for its top prize and Oscar went with Parasite.
2018: (PGA only) Crazy Rich Asians and A Quiet Place
Oscar replaced with: All other nominations matched
2017: (PGA only) The Big Sick, I Tonya, Molly's Game, and Wonder Woman
Oscar replaced with: Darkest Hour and Phantom Thread
2016: (PGA only) Deadpool
Oscar replaced with: All other nominations matched.
Difference of opinion: PGA chose La La Land for its top prize and Oscar went with Moonlight
2015: (PGA only) Ex Machina, Sicario and Straight Outta Compton
Oscar replaced with: Room
Difference of opinion: PGA chose The Big Short for its top prize and Oscar went with Spotlight
2014: (PGA only) Foxcatcher, Gone Girl and Nightcrawler
Oscar replaced with: Selma
2013: (PGA only) Blue Jasmine and Saving Mr Banks
Oscar replaced with: Philomena
Difference of opinion: NOT REALLY given Oscar outcomes but there was a tie and the PGA chose both Gravity (which won the most Oscars) for its top prize AND 12 Years a Slave which won Best Picture at the Oscars.
2012: (PGA only) Moonrise Kingdom and Skyfall
Oscar replaced with: Amour
2011: (PGA only) Bridesmaids, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, and The Ides of March
Oscar replaced with: The Tree of Life and Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
2010: (PGA only) The Town
Oscar replaced with: Winter's Bone
2009: (PGA only) Invictus and Star Trek
Oscar replaced with: The Blind Side and A Serious Man
BEFORE 2009 BOTH BOTH OSCAR AND PGA HAD 5 NOMINATIONS FOR THE TOP CATEGORY (though PGA allows ties so sometimes there were 6).
AFTERWARDS OSCAR HAD BETWEEN 8-10 NOMINEES DEPENDING ON THE YEAR AND PGA STAYED WITH A TOP TEN EACH YEAR (unless there was a tie in which case they had 11)
2008: (PGA only) The Dark Knight
Oscar replaced with: The Reader
2007: (PGA only) The Diving Bell and Butterfly
Oscar replaced with: Atonement
2006: (PGA only) Dreamgirls
Oscar replaced with: Letters from Iwo Jima
Difference of opinion: PGA chose Little Miss Sunshine for its top prize and Oscar went with The Departed
2005: (PGA only) Walk the Line
Oscar replaced with: Munich
Difference of opinion: PGA chose Brokeback Mountain for its top prize and Oscar went with Crash
2004: (PGA only) The Incredibles
Oscar replaced with: Ray
Difference of opinion: PGA chose The Aviator for its top prize and Oscar went with Million Dollar Baby
2003: (PGA only) Cold Mountain and The Last Samurai (6 nominees that year)
Oscar replaced with: Lost in Translation
2002: (PGA only) Adaptation, My Big Fat Greek Wedding, and Road to Perdition (6 nominees that year)
Oscar replaced with: The Hours and The Pianist
2001: (PGA only) Harry Potter and the Sorceror's Stone, Shrek
Oscar replaced with: Gosford Park and In the Bedroom
Difference of opinion: PGA chose Moulin Rouge! (which shocked and delighted awards-fanatics) for its top prize and Oscar went with A Beautiful Mindzzz
2000: (PGA only) Almost Famous and Billy Elliott
Oscar replaced with: Chocolat and Traffic
We could go back further but let's stop at just the last twenty years of stats since there are still more PGA nominations to discuss.
BACK TO THE NEW PGA NOMINATIONS
Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures
It's interesting that PGA went with Over the Moon which missed the top category at the Annie Awards. The Annies preferred both The Willoughbys and Trolls World Tour to Over the Moon when it came to the American pictures.
Dont ink anything in beyond Soul and Wolfwalkers with Oscar as these nomination fields almost never exactly match. It's happened just once and it was in a year with only three nominees: 2008's nominees WALL•E, Bolt, and Kung Fu Panda. There was one other year where every PGA nominee was also nominated for the Oscar category but that was a year (2006) wherein the PGA chose 5 nominees and Oscar had only 3. Generally speaking PGA will only nominate American pictures for this prize whereas Oscar will often select one or two overseas entries as nominees. So hope is not lost yet for Annie nominees from overseas: Shaun the Sheep Farmageddon, Calamity, Ride Your Wave, or On-Gaku.
Otherwise it's most common to only match 60%. Years with PGA/Oscar 4/5 matches: 2018, 2012, 2009; Years with PGA/Oscar 3/5 matches: 2019, 2017, 2016, 2014, 2013, 2011; Years with PGA/Oscar 2/5 matches: 2015; Years with PGA/Oscar 2/3 matches: 2010, 2005; Years of PGA/Oscar matches 1/3: 2007
Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television – Drama
Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television – Comedy
Outstanding Producer of Limited Series Television
Outstanding Producer of Televised or Streamed Motion Pictures
Outstanding Producer of Non-Fiction Television
Outstanding Producer of Live Entertainment & Talk Television
Outstanding Producer of Game & Competition Television
Outstanding Producer of Documentary Motion Pictures (previously announced)
Dick Johnson, Time, My Octopus Teacher and Truffle Hunters ar still possibilities for the Oscar nomination but the rest are no longer in contention or were never eligible.