SAG Predictions
Saturday, April 3, 2021 at 9:32PM
NATHANIEL R in Minari, SAG, Trial of the Chicago 7, precursor awards

by Nathaniel R

The Screen Actors Guilds are on Easter Sunday this year. How bizarre right? Blame the Grammys which moved into their previous date sending SAG scrambling. What will win this year? Who knows but here are off the cuff predictions in each category will, could, and should wins just for the hell of it. Do share your own feelings in the comments, won'cha? 

BEST ACTRESS

WILL WIN: This is actually tough to guess...

Only one of the women is in a film with a cast nomination (Viola Davis) and while she might win, we're going to guess that that's too much of the Chadwick honoring party to pull this win off. In the absence of competition from Andra Day this is between Frances McDormand and Carey Mulligan. With McDormand winning recently at SAG (for Three Billboards) we think this is Carey's to lose.

COULD WIN: Frances McDormand obviously.

SHOULD WIN: Undecided. No seriously. I keep shifting my gold silver and bronze medals around in my own Best Actress list. Oscar night is going to be so tense in this category! SAG does not finish this particular conversation since Andra Day is up for the Oscar and might well win given their obsession with musician biopics.

BEST ACTOR


WILL WIN: It's the exact same lineup as the Oscars and the result will be the same: Chadwick Boseman to honor his career. 

COULD WIN: Anyone. But only if they have a collective stroke of inspiration and give Boseman supporting instead to open us this field.

SHOULD WIN: Anthony Hopkins since he's never won this prize and this is his seventh nomination. It will be sad if he doesn't win *anything* for this majestic performance and this would be the perfect place since Chadwick did already win a SAG trophy unlike the other showbiz awards which have their first and last opportunity to honor him. ("Outstanding Cast" for Black Panther)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

WILL WIN: A very interesting contest. Maria Bakalova won the Critics Choice, the unnominated Jodie Foster won the Globe, and now who will it be? We're tempted to say Close for career honors but she JUST won the SAG (which we think they will remember since it was just two years ago as a "career" style tribute for The Wife. So we think this is Bakalova's to lose

COULD WIN: Glenn Close if they didn't feel that The Wife was tribute enough. 

SHOULD WIN: Youn Yuh-Jung.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

WILL WIN: Daniel Kaluuya is a sweeper. (it always helps to have a leading role in supporting contests)

COULD WIN: Chadwick Boseman. But only if they decide to reward him here instead of in lead which would be strange but theoretically possible

SHOULD WIN: Sacha Baron Cohen since it's actually a supporting role.

STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE 

WILL WIN: This award is so new it's tough to say which way it might swing. The last three winners have all been superhero pictures which gives Wonder Woman 1984 the edge. On the other hand people really don't like that movie very much. We're going to guess Da 5 Bloods as it's the only picture (other than Chicago 7 which is a very confusing nominee in this category) that's also up for Outstanding Cast.

COULD WIN: Wonder Woman 1984

SHOULD WIN: Our vote would go to Mulan which feels like it has actual human beings flying around rather than CGI's sorta humans in WW1984

BEST CAST OF A MOTION PICTURE


WILL WIN: I've heard a lot of people saying Minari due to the surge of love for that movie. Which is real. But I'm choosing to be pessimistic and say "most cast" will equal "best cast" to SAG voters and this will be Chicago 7's big win since it won't be taking Best Picture at the Oscars.

COULD WIN: Minari if the love is intense and real. And wouldn't that be something for Korean casts to win two years consecutively!!!

SHOULD WIN: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom or One Night in Miami because the casts are so very strong across the board... even in the minor roles. Neither of which feel all that likely to win. Go figure.

 

TELEVISION PRIZES


Best Male Actor in a Drama Series

WILL WIN: We're going to guess that overall sentiment is with Bridgerton and with the Regé-Jean Page leaving the series in season 2 as the attention shifts to another eligible bachelor they'll want to reward him.

COULD WIN: Josh O'Connor since The Crown has been doing very well at awards shows. Bateman and Brown have both won for these roles before at SAG and if they're torn they could also return to an old favourite.

 

Best Female Actor in a Drama Series

WILL WIN: Anderson and Corrin have both picked up trophies for this show already at other awards shows. We think it's between them so let's say Gillian Anderson as she's more widely known among voters.

COULD WIN: Olivia Colman is the only returning nominee from last season (and she lost last season). But also... when is it going to be The Lovely Laura Linney's turn? This is her third nomination for Ozark and ninth overall at SAG. She's won once before for the miniseries John Adams.  

 

 

Best Male Actor in a Comedy Series

WILL WIN: SAG is *very* fond of repeat wins in this particular category but this year all of the nominees are new! So our guess is Jason Sudeikis with Ted Lasso the new hot comedy series and giving them a chance to have a new frequent winner.

COULD WIN: One of the Levys if they want to say goodbye to Schitt's Creek

 

 

Best Female Actor in a Comedy Series

WILL WIN: Catherine O'Hara is the only holdover nominee from last year (and she lost) and this is their last chance to honor her or the show. They'll take it. 

COULD WIN: Kaley Cuoco if they're tired of Schitt's Creek being honored. But we doubt it.

 

 

Best Male Actor in a TV Movie or Limited Series

WILL WIN: Tough to predict. So let's say goodwill for Mark Ruffalo's career makes the difference.

COULD WIN: Bill Camp IF they get brave and want to honor a supporting role in this category and really love that series which they might. 

 

 

Best Female Actor in a TV Movie or Limited Series 

WILL WIN:  Anya Taylor-Joy has the heat for The Queen's Gambit and we don't see that heat cooling any time soon.

COULD WIN: Michaela Cole if they're feeling adventurous.

 

 

Best Ensemble in a Drama Series

WILL WIN: Against our better judgment because The Crown is so well loved and keeps winning prizes we're going to predict that Bridgerton surprises to take this group trophy. 

COULD WIN: The Crown which is the only previous winner in this category. It probably will. We just want to look super prescient if Bridgerton surprises. 

 

 

Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series 

WILL WIN: The Marvelous Mrs Maisel has won this category the past two years but wasn't nominated this time making this an easy get for... Schitt's Creek in its last season.

COULD WIN: Ted Lasso if they want to just move on to their NEXT perennial winner.

 

Best Stunt Ensemble in a TV Series 

WILL WIN: This one is very difficult to predict with so little info about what voters like in this category. You see for 8 out of the past 9 years this award went to Game of Thrones. Westworld is the only returning nominee. People love Cobra Kai but do they love it seriously or just nostalgically. People love Mandalorian but will they feel the need to give it this? Throwing caution to the wind we're going to say that here is where they stump for the brilliant messy busy crazy riveting Lovecraft Country. 

COULD WIN: The Mandalorian. 

Article originally appeared on The Film Experience (http://thefilmexperience.net/).
See website for complete article licensing information.