Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
99th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2026/ CEREMONY: March 14, 2027
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
and the predicted nominees (as of June 21) are...
| Tier 1 - The Biggest Deals? | ||||
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Tom Cruise Pundits wanted to give him the competitive Oscar the second this film was announced, sight unseen. Will the Honorary complicate things? |
John Malkovich Can you believe it's been 33 years since his last nomination? Will the acting branch jump at this opportunity or not? We're guessing yes given the writer/director. |
John Turturro He emerged as the strongest contender out of Sundance. But January is very early to assume anything. Still if SPC can mount a strong campaign... |
Adam Driver Listen readers. I keep predicting him for all the new projects and I keep being wrong. You'd think I learn but this does sound like a very showy role and response to his work was good. |
Pedro Pascal I'm intrigued by the buzz for this film about a musician in LA. Pascal has had a meteoric rise and he's old enough for Oscar to not make him wait. Will his ubiquity help or hurt? |
| Tier 2 - Potential Spoilers | ||||
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Ryan Gosling While the acting branch doesn't generally nominate Movie Star turns like this (no matter how skilled) if the movie turns into a real Best Picture heavyweight.. |
Anthony Ippolito Playing Sly Stallone in the story of the struggle to get Rocky made. Oscar's acting branch worships mimicry but will the film be able to rise above hagiography? |
Sebastian Stan While he'll certainly be in the conversation, I am skeptical that the film's style will translate to acting nods even if it scores in Picture / Director. |
Sam Rockwell I refuse to demote one of the two leads until official confirmation of category fraud shenanigans force me to. (But he is second-billed, so...) |
Matt Damon While I personally struggle with Damon in period pieces, Oscar voters might feel differently. Especially if the film is the Oscar powerhouse people expect. |
| Tier 3 - Long Shots or Real Threats? | ||||
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Rami Malek If the distributor is strong, this could happen given the response at Cannes. Although it would be super weird to be Oscar nominated twice for playing 1980s AIDS victims. |
Dominic Sessa Oscar loves biographical pictures but A24 releases so many movies. Will they amply promote Sessa's work as the young Anthony Bourdain. How's the quality of the film overall? |
Channing Tatum Some pundits are suggesting supporting. That may be what the studio plans but until we see it we'll assume he's lead given the story and the billing. |
Josh O'Connor He feels like he's been on the cusp of Oscar attention for a couple of years now. Will this Coen mystery be the film to make it happen? |
Javier Bardem He won rave reviews for a "volcanic" performance in this Spanish drama but since the response to the film itself was muted, we're doubtful. But Bardem is a favourite so he could rise. |
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Tier 4 - Other Leading Roles This Year |
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Other leading men in 2026 cinema for context ... though of course some of the films that have not yet opened could be pushed to 2027.
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