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New Q & A - Actors who should be more famous and more...


"For the life of me I will never understand why Audra McDonald isn't bigger outside of Broadway." - Brian

"I will add to that list Irfhan Khan; he gets roles steadily, but in my mind he should be a household name." -Rebecca

"I'll also echo that Rosemarie DeWitt is one of the most talented working actresses, full stop. There is no other Best Supporting Actress of 2008." - Hayden


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Oscar Predictions
for the 91st Academy Awards
2018 FILM YEAR
/ 2019 OSCAR CEREMONY

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CURRENT DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS RACE

the april foolish predictions are complete!

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ALL OSCAR RACE ARTICLES

 

BEST PICTURE
 

Backseat

Beautiful Boy

Black Panther

Everybody Knows

The Favourite

First Man

If Beale Street...

Peterloo
• 
A Star is Born

I always foresee at least 3 nominees correctly this early since the expanded era began. But the trick is getting the number higher! My best year was 2016 with 5 of the 9 predicted in April.

BEST DIRECTOR 

Damien Chazelle
First Man

Asghar Farhadi
Everybody Knows

Barry Jenkins
If Beale Street

Mike Leigh
Peterloo

Adam McKay
Backseat

I've never scored better than 2 of 5 this early. My goal is 3 of 5 one of these years this far in advance. 

BEST ACTOR

Christian Bale
Backseat

Steve Carell
Women of Marwencol

Willem Dafoe
At Eternity's Gate

Ryan Gosling
First Man

Hugh Jackman
The Frontrunner

I usually get 2 of the 5 correct this early. But in 2015 I guessed an incredible 4 of the 5 correctly a full year in advance.

BEST ACTRESS

Emily Blunt
Mary Poppins Returns

Glenn Close
The Wife

Penelope Cruz
Everybody Knows

Kiki Lane
If Beale Street...

Saoirse Ronan
Mary Queen of Scots

Last year I correctly guessed 2 of the 5 nominees this early. But I've scored as high as 3 before in April Foolish.

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Timothée Chalamet
Beautiful Boy

Russell Crowe
Boy Erased

Sam Elliott
A Star is Born

Richard E Grant
Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Sam Rockwell
Backseat

Last year I face-planted in this category with the April Foolish predictions seeing none of the eventual nominees. Can I recover and get back to my usual 1 or 2 correct this early?

 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

Amy Adams
Backseat

Olivia Colman
The Favourite

Claire Foy
First Man

Nicole Kidman
Boy Erased

Regina King
If Beale Street...

Last year I face-planted in this category with the April Foolish predictions seeing ZERO of the eventual nominees. Can I recover and get back to my usual 1 or 2 correct this super-early?

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Backseat

Eighth Grade

Everybody Knows

The Favourite

Peterloo

The last couple of years I've correctly guessed 2 of 5  titles this far in advance. It's MUCH harder to do than it sounds (for Original in particular)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Beautiful Boy

Boy Erased

First Man

If Beale Street Could Talk

Widows  

The last couple of years I've correctly guessed 2 of the 5 titles this far in advance

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Beautiful Boy
Impens

First Man
Sandgren

If Beale Street...
Laxton

Mary Queen of Scots
Mathieson

A Star is Born
Libatique

For the past three consecutive years I've correctly guessed 3 of the 5 nominees this far in advance so take this seriously ;) 

COSTUME DESIGN  

 Black Panther
Carter

The Favourite
Powell

Mary Poppins Returns
Powell

The Nutcracker
Beavan

Sisters Brothers
Canonero

I've scored 3 of 5 this year in advance in multiple years but last year biffed with only 1 correct guess

PRODUCTION DESIGN

 Black Panther
Beechler

Fantastic Beasts 2
Craig

First Man
Crowley

Mary Poppins Returns
Myhre

Peterloo
Davies

10 years ago I correctly guessed 4 of the 5 nominees this early but lately my crytal ball has been faltering in this category (this early). 1 of 5 last year. oops.

FILM EDITING

Backseat
Corwin

Beautiful Boy
Mirrione

First Man
Cross

If Beale Street
McMillon & Sanders

A Star is Born
Cassidy

One of the hardest categories to predict a year early since it's so tied to Best Picture. But I usually get 2 correct in April anyway.

VISUAL EFFECTS

Alita: Battle Angel

Avengers infinity War

Black Panther

Mowgli

Solo

Last year was my best year in advance year ever in this category, predicting 4 of the 5 eventual nominees. Can I repeat?

MAKEUP & HAIR

 Black Panther

Mary Queen of Scots

The Nutcracker

Another tough category to suss out early. My best year was 2 of 3 ten years ago but usually it's 0 or 1 this early. Such a strange unpredictable Oscar branch!

FOREIGN FILM

Denmark

France

Mexico

Poland

Spain

Since we never know what will be submitted until the fall, I generally don't score well at all this early in this category as it's blindly pointing out a map with hundreds of possibilities. Best year recently was 2 of the 5 correct (2015) this early

ORIGINAL SONG

Mary Poppins Returns

Mary Poppins Returns

Smallfoot

A Star is Born

A Wrinkle in Time

I usually guess a couple of them right this early. The musicals help in this regard!

 

ORIGINAL SCORE

 First Man
Hurwitz

If Beale Street Could Talk
Brittel
• 
Mary Queen of Scots
Richter

Mary Poppins Returns
Shaiman & Wittman

Sisters Brothers
Desplat

Correctly guessed 2 of the 5 this early last year. That's fairly standard. More than 2 is difficult!

 

SOUND MIXING

Black Panther

First Man
• 
Mary Poppins Returns

A Quiet Place

A Star is Born

Last year was my best predictive year ever in the sound categories for April prediction, correctly guessing 3 of the eventual 5.

SOUND EDITING

Black Panther

First Man
• 
Incredibles 2

Mowgli

A Quiet Place

Last year was my best predictive year ever in the sound categories for April prediction, correctly guessing 3 of the eventual 5.

ANIMATED FILM

Early Man

Incredibles 2

Isle of Dogs

Ralph Breaks the Internet

Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse

I often score 3 out of 5 in this category this far in advance. But that's not as hard as it sounds given the shallow pool of eligibility

 

DOCUMENTARY

 NO PREDICTIONS UNTIL LATER IN YEAR

SHORTS, DOCUMENTARY

 NO PREDICTIONS UNTIL LATER IN YEAR

 

SHORTS, LIVE ACTION

NO PREDICTIONS UNTIL LATER IN YEAR 

SHORTS, ANIMATED

NO PREDICTIONS UNTIL LATER IN YEAR 

 

 

 

sound off on the Oscar race

 NOMINATION TALLIES PREDICTED THUS FAR

11 NOMINATIONS
FIRST MAN

8 NOMINATIONS
IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK

7 NOMINATIONS
BLACK PANTHER
MARY POPPINS RETURNS

6 NOMINATIONS
BACKSEAT
A STAR IS BORN

5 NOMINATIONS
BEAUTIFUL BOY
EVERYBODY KNOWS

4 NOMINATIONS
THE FAVOURITE
MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
PETERLOO

3 NOMINATIONS
BOY ERASED

2 NOMINATIONS
INCREDIBLES 2
MOWGLI
THE NUTCRACKER
A QUIET PLACE
THE SISTERS BROTHERS

1 NOMINATION
ALITA BATTLE ANGEL 
AT ETERNITY'S GATE
AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR
CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?
EARLY MAN 
EIGHTH GRADE
FANTASTIC BEASTS 2
THE FRONTRUNNER
ISLE OF DOGS
RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET
SMALLFOOT
SOLO
SPIDER-MAN INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE
WIDOWS
THE WIFE
WOMEN OF MARWENCOL
A WRINKLE IN TIME

 

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