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Oscar Predictions
FOR THE 89th ACADEMY AWARDS. 2016 FILM YEAR / 2017 OSCAR CEREMONY

APRIL FOOLISH PREDICTIONS COMPLETE
 (category titles take you to individual charts)

Best Actress - Overdue Narrative?
All Predictions Discussion
All Oscar Related Posts for the New Film Year 

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BEST PICTURE

 if five then...
FENCES
BIRTH OF...
SILENCE
LA LA LAND
STORY OF...

if 6 or more...
LOVING
BILLY LYNN
MANCHESTER
SULLY
LION


previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -3 of 8
2014 -???
2013 --6 of 9
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 - 5 of 10
2009 -3 of 10
2008 -2 of 5
2007 -3 of 5
2006 -0 of 5
2005 -2 of 5
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 2 of 5
2002 - 1 of 5 2001 - 0 of 5

 

BEST DIRECTOR 

CHAZELLE
La La Land
NICHOLS
Loving
PARKER
Birth of
VILLENEUVE
Story of
WASHINGTON
Fences

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -1 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --1 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---2 of 5
2009 - 1 of 5
2008 -2 of 5
2007 -1 of 5
2006 -0 of 5 
2005 -2 of 5
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 1 of 5
2002 - 1 of 5
2001 -info lost

BEST ACTOR

 

AFFLECK
Manchester
EDGERTON
Loving
KEATON
Founder
PARKER
Birth of
WASHINGTON
Fences

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -4 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --4 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 -1 of 5
2009 - 1 of 5 (*2 correct but one in supporting)
2008 -3 of 5 (* 4 ended up as nominees but 1 in supporting)
2007 -2 of 5
2006 -1 of 5
2005 -1 of 5
2004 - 2 of 5
2003 - 2 of 5
2002 - 2 of 5
2001 - 3 of 5 * (*all 5 ended up nominees -but not in that year)

BEST ACTRESS

BENING
20th Century
BLUNT
Girl on Train
DAVIS
Fences
NEGGA
Loving
PIKE
United Kingdom

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --3 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 --3 of 5
2009 - 1 of 5 (*2 correct but one for wrong film)
2008 -3 of 5
2007 -3 of 5
2006 -1 of 5*
(2 ended as nominees, 1 in supporting)
2005 -1 of 5
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 1 of 5
2002 - 2 of 5
2001 - 2 of 5

SUPPORTING ACTOR

 ASANO
Silence
ECKHART
Sully
MARTIN
Billy Lynn
NEESON
Silence
WILLIAMSON
Fences

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -1 of 5
2014 -???
2013 -- 2 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---2 of 5
2009 -2 of 5
(*3 if you count Plummer who I predicted in lead)
2008 -2 of 5
2007 -1 of 5
2006 -1 of 5
2005 -1 of 5
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 1 of 5
2002 - 2 of 5
2001 - 2 of 5

SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

FANNING
20th Century
MIRREN
Collateral Beauty STEWART
Billy Lynn
WEISZ
Light Between
WILLIAMS
Manchester

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --2 of 5* (+ 1 in lead category)
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 --1 of 5
2009 -1 of 5
(*2 ended up nom'ed, one in lead)
2008 -2 of 5*
(3 ended up nom'ed, one in lead)
2007 -1 of 5
2006 -1 of 5 *
(2 were nominated but 1 went lead)
2005 -1 of 5
2004 - 2 of 5
2003 - 1 of 5
2002 - 3 of 5
2001 - 0 of 5

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

 20th CENTURY
Mills
BIRTH OF
Parker
FOUNDER
Siegel
MANCHESTER
Lonergan
UNITED
Hibbert

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -0 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --2 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---3 of 5
2009 - 1 of 5
2008 -2 of 5
2007 -2 of 5
2006 -0 of 5 
2005 -0 of 5
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 1 of 5
2002 - 0 of 5
2001 - n/a

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

BILLY LYNN
Castelli
FENCES

Kushner
GIRL ON...
Wilson
SILENCE
Cocks
STORY OF...
Chiang

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -0 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --3 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 --2 of 5
2009 -2 of 5
2008 -3 of 5
2007 -2 of 5
2006 -1 of 5
2005 -1 of 5
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 2 of 5
2002 - 1 of 5* 2001 - n/a

CINEMATOGRAPHY  

 BILLY LYNN
Toll
LION
Fraser
PASSENGERS
Prieto
SILENCE
Prieto
STORY OF
Young

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -3 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --2 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---2 of 5* (1 more but the following year)
2009 -0 of 5
(worst ever. ouch)
2008 -1 of 5
2007 -2 of 5
2006 -2 of 5
2005 -2 of 5
2004 - 2 of 5
2003 - 2 of 5
2002 - 2 of 5 2001 - n/a

COSTUME DESIGN  

ALICE THRU
Atwood
ALLIED
Unknown
FLORENCE
Boyle
HOW TO
Powell
SILENCE
Unknown

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -3 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --2 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 -- 2 of 5
2009 - 2 of 5
2008 -3 of 5
2007 -3 of 5
2006 -2 of 5
2005 -1 of 5
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 1 of 5
2002 - 3 of 5 2001 - n/a

PRODUCTION DESIGN

BFG
Carter
BIRTH OF
Kirkland
FANTASTIC BEASTS
Craig
PASSENGERS
Dyas
SILENCE
Ferretti 

 

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -1 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --1 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---2 of 5
2009 - 2 of 5
2008 -1 of 5
2007 -4 of 5
2006 -2 of 5
2005 -2 of 5
2004 - 2 of 5
2003 - 2 of 5
2002 -3 of 5
2001 - n/a

 

FILM EDITING

BILLY LYNN
Sqyres
BIRTH OF
Rosenblum
LA LA LAND
Cross
PASSENGERS
Brandon
STORY OF
Walker

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -1 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --3 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 --1 of 5
2009 - 1 of 5
2008 -1 of 5
2007 -1 of 5
2006 -1 of 5
2005 -2 of 5
2004 - 2 of 5
2003 - 2 of 5
2002 - 2 of 5 2001 - n/a

VISUAL EFFECTS

BFG
DOCTOR STRANGE
JUNGLE BOOK
PASSENGERS
ROGUE ONE

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --3 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---2 of 5 *(but had only predicted 3 year it changed)
2009 - 1 of 3
2008 -1 of 3
2007 -2 of 3
2006 -2 of 3
2005 -2 of 3
2004 - 0 of 3
2003 - 1 of 3
2002 - 2 of 3
2001 - n/a

MAKEUP & HAIR

 DOCTOR STRANGE
SILENCE
SUICIDE SQUAD

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -0 of 3
2014 -???
2013 --0 of 3
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 --0 of 3
2009 - 1 of 3
2008 -2 of 3
2007 -0 of 3
2006 -1 of 3
2005 -1 of 3
2004 - 0 of 3
2003 - 0 of 3
2002 - 1 of 2 2001 - n/a

FOREIGN FILM

(Randomly picking 5 countries though we dont know any films yet...for completist predictions sake)

BRAZIL
FRANCE
ISRAEL
NETHERLANDS
SPAIN

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --???
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---???
2009 - 1 of 5
2008 -1 of 5
2007 -0 of 5
2006 -3 of 5
2005 -1 of 5
2004 - 2 of 5
2003 - 0 of 5
2002 -0 of 5 2001 - n/a

ORIGINAL SONG

 JUST WILD GUESSWORK AT THIS POINT - WE HAVE NO  INFO ON WHICH MOVIES WILL HAVE ORIGINALS

HAIL CAESAR
LION
MOANA
SING STREET
ZOOTOPIA

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 -1 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---2 of 4
2009 - 2 of 5
2008 -1 of 3
2007 -1 of 5
2006 -1 of 5
2005 -0 of 3
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 2 of 5
2002 -1 of 5 2001 - n/a

ORIGINAL SCORE

 BFG
Williams
LA LA LAND
Hurwitz
MOANA
Foa'i, Mancina, Miranda
ROGUE ONE
Desplat
STORY OF
Jóhannsson

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 - 2 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 --1 of 5
2009 - 2 of 5
2008 -2 of 5
2007 -2 of 5
2006 -0 of 5 
2005 -2 of 5
2004 - 1 of 5
2003 - 3 of 5
2002 -2 of 5 2001 - n/a

SOUND MIXING

JUNGLE BOOK
LA LA LAND
MOANA
ROGUE ONE
STORY OF
 

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --2 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---???
2009 - 2 of 5
2008 -1 of 5
2007 -0 of 5
2006 -2 of 5
2005 -1 of 5
2004 - 0 of 5
2003 -3 of 5
2002 - 2 of 5 2001 - n/a

 

SOUND EDITING

 CIVIL WAR
JUNGLE BOOK
PASSENGERS
ROGUE ONE
STORY OF

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --2 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---???
2009 - 2 of 5
2008 -2 of 5
2007 -1 of 5
2006 -2 of 5* allowing for my 4th and 5th choices before we knew there'd be 5 noms
2005 -1 of 3
2004 - 1 of 3
2003 - 1 of 3
2002 - 1 of 3 2001 - n/a

ANIMATED FILM

KUBO
LITTLE PRINCE
MOANA
RED TURTLE
ZOOTOPIA

previous year-in-advance scores
2015 -2 of 5
2014 -???
2013 --3 of 5
2012 --???
2011 --???
2010 ---3 of 3
2009 - 3 of 5
2008 -2 of 3
2007 -1 of 3
2006 -2 of 3
2005 -2 of 3
2004 - 1 of 3
2003 - 1 of 3
2002 - 3 of 5 2001 - n/a

DOCUMENTARY

 NO PREDICTIONS UNTIL LATER IN YEAR BUT YOU CAN CLICK FOR A LIST OF DOCS THAT HAVE MADE THEIR MARK

SHORTS, DOCUMENTARY

 NO PREDICTIONS UNTIL LATER IN YEAR


SHORTS, LIVE ACTION

NO PREDICTIONS UNTIL LATER IN YEAR 

SHORTS, ANIMATED

NO PREDICTIONS UNTIL LATER IN YEAR 

 

 

 

sound off on the Oscar race

Current Predicted Nominee Tally

8 noms
STORY OF YOUR LIFE

7 noms
SILENCE

6 noms
BILLY LYNN'S LONG HALFTIME WALK
BIRTH OF A NATION
FENCES

5 noms
LA LA LAND
PASSENGERS

4 noms
LOVING
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA
ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY

3 noms
THE BFG
JUNGLE BOOK
MOANA

2 nominations
20TH CENTURY WOMEN
DOCTOR STRANGE
THE FOUNDER
GIRL ON THE TRAIN
LION
SULLY
ZOOTOPIA

1 nom
ALLIED
ALICE THROUGH THE LOOKING GLASS
CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR
COLLATERAL BEAUTY
FANTASTIC BEASTS
FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS
HAIL CAESAR!
HOW TO TALK TO GIRLS AT PARTIES
KUBO AND THE TWO STRINGS
LIGHT BETWEEN OCEANS
LITTLE PRINCE
RED TURTLE
SING STREET
SUICIDE SQUAD
UNITED KINGDOM

 

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