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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

91st Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2018 (for the 2019 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

Tier 1 - Prediction

 

Damiene Chazelle
(1 nom | 1 win in this category)
FIRST MAN
Universal
Oct 12th

His film seems the most traditionally Oscar ready on paper and Oscar has really taken to his style with major statues for two of his three pictures to date

Barry Jenkins
(1 nom in this category)
IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
Annapurna
Release TBA

He seems primed, post-Moonlight, to actually win this statue if he can capture lightning in a bottle a second time.

Adam McKay
(1 nom in this category)
BACKSEAT
Annapurna
Dec 21st

He surprised with The Big Short and he's mainstream accessible. Can he win their hearts again with another politically minded film?

Mike Leigh
2 noms in this category
PETERLOO
TBA
Release TBA

The directors branch admires him and if this one is slightly more accessible or epic than Mr Turner, it's definitely a film to keep an eye on.

Asghar Farhadi
films | never nom'ed in this category
EVERYBODY KNOWS
tba
Release TBA

Oscar voters love him and with international stars this time, might this be a director category breakthrough?

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Bradley Cooper

debut as director
A STAR IS BORN
TBA
Release TBA

It's always tough to know when the directors branch will welcome in actors. There will be a backlash to this film (it's a musical with a female pop star - a backlash is to be expected) but If this film is a huge hit, watch out.

Felix van Groenigen

(never nominated in this category)
BEAUTIFUL BOY
Amazon 
Oct 12th

He could surprise but it could be the case where he's too little known to vault over the problem of "oh, it's an actor's film"

Ryan Coogler
3 films | never nominated
BLACK PANTHER
Disney/Marvel
Feb 16th

People are in awe of this particular success and there's also goodwill from Fruitvale Station and Creed. But might there also be some Marvel dominance resentment, too?

Yorgos Lanthimos

7 films | never nom'ed in this category
THE FAVOURITE
Fox Searchlight 
Release TBA

He feels 'on the verge' to us with foreign film and screenplay nods behind him

Steve McQueen
4 films | 1 nom in this category
WIDOWS
Fox
Nov 16th

He has yet to make a film that was less than great. But will this crime drama have unexpected substance?

 
Tier 3 - We might be underestimating...

Josie Rourke
2 films | never nominated
MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
Focus Features
Nov 2nd

She's a reknowned in the theater but will her skills transfer to cinema? Different mediums. Some talents transfer. Others do not. Always hard to know.

Jacques Audiard

never nominated
THE SISTERS BROTHERS
Annapurna
Release TBA

One of France's greatest directors making an English language detour with a famous novel. But does Annapurna have too much on their plate this year?

Joel Edgerton
BOY ERASED
Focus
Sept 28th

Another actor turned director this year. But even if he succeeds the directors branch isn't always eager to reward directors solely for being great with actors. They like scale, too. 

Alfonso Cuarón
1 nom | 1 win in this category
ROMA
Netflix
Release TBA

If this return to Mexico feels like a passion project with depth, he could become a critical darling this year. That said he's already won and it's Netflix. 

Julian Schnabel
5 films | 1 nomination
AT ETERNITY'S GATE
Release TBA

Can he recapture that early magic he had with Before Night Falls and Diving Bell? If so, watch out. 

 
Tier 3 - Other Directors of Interest With Films This Year

FRESH VOICES FOR 2018?

  • Robin Bissell (debut feature) Best of Enemies
  • Bo Burnham (debut feature) Eighth Grade
  • Rachel Goldenberg (debut feature) Valley Girl
  • Marielle Heller (second feature) - Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • Steven Knight (third feature) - Serenity
  • John Krasinski (third feature) -A Quiet Place
  • Elizabeth Chomko (debut feature) - What They Had
  • Andy Serkis (second feature) - Mowgli

MORE FAMILIAR PLAYERS RETURNING IN 2018

  • Lasse Hallström (2 previous nods in this category) - The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
  • Spike Lee (never nominated in this category) - Blackkklansman
  • Sebastian Lelio (just won the foreign oscar) - Gloria
  • Richard Linklater (1 previous nod in this category) - Where'd You Go Bernadette?
  • Rob Marshall (1 previous nod in this category) - Mary Poppins Returns
  • Jason Reitman (2 previous nods in this category) -The Front Runner and Tully
  • Robert Rodriguez - Alita: Battle Angel
  • Robert Zemeckis (1 nom and win in this category) The Women of Marwen