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92nd Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2019 (for the 2020 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

AUGUST 10TH PREDICTIONS

 

Tier 1 - Predictions

Sam Mendes
(1 nom and 1 win in this category)
1917
Universal
Dec 25th

Comeback narrative? Freed from the Bond franchise, he takes on an ambitious auteur project within Oscar friendly genre

Quentin Tarantino
(2 noms in this category)
ONCE UPON A TIME IN...
Columbia
July 26th

Tarantino is always more likely in screenplay but if conversation keeps up we could see him here again as well. 

Marielle Heller
(never nominated)
A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD
Tri-Star
Nov 22nd

Momentum from last year + Oscar friendly genre + she's great with actors.

Lulu Wang
(never nominated)
THE FAREWELL
A24
July 12th

Oscar too often ignores Asian talent but this is turning into such a sleeper hit that that may be hard to do. Wonderful film.

Taika Waititi
(never nominated in this category)
JOJO RABBIT
Fox Searchlight
Nov 27th

Considerable career momentum and a delight when campaigning / promoting.The film might prove a breath of fresh air/wild card.

 
Tier 2 - Or maybe  these ? 

Martin Scorsese
(8 noms and 1 win in this category)
THE IRISHMAN
Netflix
Release TBA

Legend. He'll be in contention for the nomination even if the film itself doesn't wow. And that trailer didn't.

Kasi Lemmons
(never nominated)
HARRIET
Focus
Release TBA

Oscar friendly genre with a 'why'd this take so long' subject and she's had a long underrecognized career. But the trailer played kind of generic. We'll see.

James Mangold
(never nominated in this category)
FORD V FERRARI
Fox
Nov 15th

Career momentum. Oscar has liked but not quite loved many of his pictures.

Pedro Almodóvar
(1 nom in this category)
PAIN & GLORY
SPC
Oct 4th

A personal project for a legendary auteur. But he already has two Oscars (foreign film & screenplay). It'll have to wow.

Bong Joon-Ho
(never nominated)
PARASITE
Neon
Oct 11th

If that Palme d'Or transfers into excitement stateside.

 
Tier 3 - We might be underestimating...

John Crowley
(never nominated)
THE GOLDFINCH
Warner Bros
Sept 13th

Retroactive love for Brooklyn (2015)? Will people finally realize how good he is?

Melina Matsoukas
(never nominated)
QUEEN & SLIM
Universal
Nov 27th

A fresh exciting talent in music video (Beyoncé's Lemonade) and on TV (Insecure). Can she transfer that magic to her big screen debut?

Destin Daniel Cretton
(never nominated)
JUST MERCY
Warner Bros
Dec 25th

Short Term 12 was marvelous but he had trouble on his sophomore outing. We're rooting for a great film. Will this legal drama be it?

James Gray
(never nominated)
AD ASTRA
Fox
Sept 30th

Critics have been in his corner for a long time. If this film meets its ambitions, perhaps?

Greta Gerwig
(1 nom in this category)
LITTLE WOMEN
Columbia
Dec 25th

People are excited to see what she'll do with this classic.

 
Tier 4- Other directors to consider

ESTABLISHED PLAYERS / OSCAR NOMINATED IN PAST

  • Noah Baumbach (1 nom in writing) MARRIAGE STORY Netflix
  • Bill Condon (1 win in writing) THE GOOD LIAR Warner Bros Nov 15th
  • Tom Hooper (1 nom and 1 win in this category) CATS Universal Dec 20th
  • Hirokazu Koreeda (never nominated in this catgory) THE TRUTH IFC Films TBA (*Foreign Film Category previously)
  • Ang Lee (3 noms and 2 wins in this category) GEMINI MAN Paramount Oct 11th
  • Fernando Meirelles (1 nom) THE TWO POPES Netflix tba
  • Jordan Peele (1 nom in this category) US Universal March 22nd
  • Steven Soderbergh (2 noms/1 win in this category) THE LAUNDROMAT Netflix tba

NEWISH DIRECTORS AND/OR NEVER NOMINATED

  • Scott Z Burns THE REPORT Amazon Nov 15th
  • Gurinder Chadra BLINDED BY THE LIGHT Warner Bros Aug 14th
  • Robert Eggers THE LIGHTHOUSE A24 Oct 18th
  • Dexter Fletcher ROCKETMAN May 31st
  • Tom Harper THE AERONAUTS (Tom Harper) Amazon Dec 6th
  • Noah Hawley LUCY IN THE SKY Oct 4th
  • Julius Onah LUCE Neon Aug 2nd
  • Todd Philipps THE JOKER Warner Bros Oct 4th
  • Jay Roach UNTITLED ROGER AILES Lionsgate Dec 20th


Moved to 2020 definitively OR we think they will.

  • Todd Haynes - Untitled Todd Haynes Picture
  • Dee Rees - The Last Thing He Wanted
  • Joe Wright - Woman in the Window