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92nd Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2019 (for the 2020 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

 

Tier 1 - Predictions

Marielle Heller
(never nominated)
A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD
Tri-Star
Nov 22nd

Momentum from last year + Oscar friendly genre + she's great with actors.

Kasi Lemmons
(never nominated)
HARRIET
Focus
Release TBA

Oscar friendly genre with a 'why'd this take so long' subject and she's had a long underrecognized career.

John Crowley
(never nominated)
THE GOLDFINCH
Warner Bros
Sept 13th

Retroactive love for Brooklyn (2015)? Will people finally realize how good he is?

James Mangold
(never nominated in this category)
FORD V FERRARI
Fox
Nov 15th

Career momentum. Oscar has liked but not quite loved many of his pictures.

Sam Mendes
(1 nom and 1 win in this category)
1917
Universal
Dec 25th

Comeback narrative? Freed from the Bond franchise, he takes on an ambitious auteur project within Oscar friendly genre

 
Tier 2 - Or maybe  these ? 

Taika Waititi
(never nominated in this category)
JOJO RABBIT
Fox Searchlight
Nov 27th

Considerable career momentum and a delight when campaigning / promoting.The film might prove a breath of fresh air/wild card.

Martin Scorsese
(8 noms and 1 win in this category)
THE IRISHMAN
Netflix
Release TBA

Legend. He'll be in contention for the nomination even if the film itself doesn't wow.

James Gray
(never nominated)
AD ASTRA
Fox
Release TBA

Critics have been in his corner for a long time. If this film meets its ambitions, perhaps?

Bill Condon
(never nominated in this category)
THE GOOD LIAR
Warner Bros
Nov 15th

Early buzz is strong and Oscar has liked his work before.

Scott Z Burns
(never nominated)
THE REPORT
Amazon
Release TB

Buzz strong out of Sundance and moving into directors chair after years as a screenwriter.

 
Tier 3 - We might be underestimating...

Chloe Zhao
(never nominated)
NOMADLAND
Fox Searchlight
Release TBA

Her tiny debut The Rider was hugely respected. This time she has a movie star in front of the camera. Could surprise.

Quentin Tarantino
(2 noms in this category)
ONCE UPON A TIME IN...
Columbia
July 26th

If the film is a smash hit, Tarantino could compete again. But we think screenplay is more likely.

Joe Wright
(never nominated)
WOMAN IN THE WINDOW
Fox
Oct 4th

Bizarrely he has yet to be nominated despite TWO Best Picture nominees (Atonement, Darkest Hour)

Pedro Almodóvar
(1 nom in this category)
PAIN & GLORY
SPC
Release TBA

A personal project for a legendary auteur. But he already has two Oscars (foreign film & screenplay). It'll have to wow.

Melina Matsoukas
(never nominated)
QUEEN & SLIM
Universal
Nov 27th

A fresh exciting talent in music video (Beyoncé's Lemonade) and on TV (Insecure). Can she transfer that magic to her big screen debut?

 
Tier 4- Too early to rule anyone out!

Todd Haynes
(never nominated in this category)
UNTITLED TODD HAYNES
Focus
Release TBA

One of the most overdue directors in the world. When will Oscar finally cave?

Jay Roach
(never nominated)
UNTITLED ROGER AILES
(Jay Roach) Lionsgate
Dec 20th

If the movie is a hit. He's already a four time Emmy winner so awards are not uncommon.

Steven Soderbergh
(2 noms and 1 win in this catgory)
THE LAUNDROMAT
Netflix
Release TBA

Respected director with a huge all star cast. But also a Netflix movie and they have a lot. Not everything will be Roma.

Lulu Wang
(never nominated)
THE FAREWELL
A24
July 12th

Her sophomore feature won raves at Sundance but Oscar too often ignores Asian talent. Which film will A24 focus on this year?

Dee Rees
(never nominated in this category)
THE LAST THING HE WANTED
Netflix
Release TBA

Career momentum via Mudbound but Netflix again. They won't push everything as hard as they pushed Roma.

 
Tier 4 - Other Directors of Possible Interest

ESTABLISHED PLAYERS / OSCAR NOMINATED* IN PAST

  • Danny Boyle (1 nom and 1 win in this category)YESTERDAY Universal June 28th
  • Greta Gerwig (1 nom in this category) LITTLE WOMEN Columbia Dec 25th
  • Tom Hooper (1 nom and 1 win in this category) CATS Universal Dec 20th
  • Hirokazu Koreeda (never nominated in this catgory) THE TRUTH IFC Films TBA (*Foreign Film Category previously)
  • Ang Lee (3 noms and 2 wins in this category) GEMINI MAN Paramount Oct 11th
  • Fernando Meirelles (1 nom) THE POPE Netflix tba

NEWISH DIRECTORS AND/OR NEVER NOMINATED

  • Gurinder Chadra BLINDED BY THE LIGHT Warner Bros Aug 14th
  • Robert Eggers THE LIGHTHOUSE A24 Release TBA
  • Dexter Fletcher ROCKETMAN May
  • Tom Harper THE AERONAUTS (Tom Harper) Amazon Release TBA
  • Noah Hawley LUCY IN THE SKY
  • Rian Johnson KNIVES OUT Warner Bros Aug 9th
  • Gavin O'Connor TORRANCE Warner Bros Oct 18th
  • Julius Onah LUCE Neon Aug 2nd
  • Todd Philipps JOKER Warner Bros Oct 4th
  • Joe Talbot LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO A24 June 14th