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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

JULY 30TH PREDICTIONS


Tier 1 - Predicted Powerhouses

Chris Nolan
never nominated in directing
DUNKIRK
(Warner Bros)
July 21st

He's surely been in 6th place often. A WW II drama should finally do the trick

Joe Wright
never nominated
DARKEST HOUR
(Focus)
Nov 24th

Curiously never nominated despite Oscar liking his films

Todd Haynes
never nominated in directing
WONDERSTRUCK
(Amazon)
TBA

Is there any genius alive who is more overdue? If this is a success (with mainstream interest) watch out.

Steven Spielberg
7 noms | 2 wins in directing
THE PAPERS
(Fox)
Dec 22nd

If this is completed in time (it's not filming until the summer) it could be a big deal.

Dee Rees
never nominated
MUDBOUND
(Netflix)
TBA

 Can the Sundance buzz build into real Oscar season buzz?

 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Luca Guadagnino
never nominated
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
(SPC)
Nov 24th

One of the most exciting directors working but still very "arthouse" if you will.

Jordan Peele
never nominated
GET OUT
(Universal)
Feb 24th

He's got a headstart. Genre pictures need that to settle in as viably "great"

Darren Aronofsky
1 nom in directing
MOTHER!
(Paramount)
Sept 15th

Said to be in the Black Swan psycho-horror vein. But can lightning strike twice?

Yorgos Lanthimos
never nominated in directing
KILLING OF A SACRED DEER
(A24)
Nov 3rd

His reputation is steadily building. Will he stay a niche favorite or will Oscar bite?

Paul Thomas Anderson
1 nom in directing
PHANTOM THREAD
(Focus)
Dec 25th

He'll automatically be considered. But how's the picture? Christmas seems like a really late start for this type of film

 
Tier 3 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Woody Allen
7 noms | 1 win in directing
WONDER WHEEL
(Amazon)
Dec 1st

The directors and writers branch love him more than other branches. But he comes with baggage. It might require a Midnight in Paris size hit

Garth Davis
never nominated
MARY MAGDALENE
(Weinstein Co)
Nov 24th

He was surely in 6th place last season for Best Director. If this is a critical hit, watch out.

Alexander Payne
3 noms in directing
DOWNSIZING}
(Paramount)
Dec 22nd

Oscar loves him but nobody is nominated every time.

Michael Gracey
never nominated
THE GREATEST SHOWMAN
(Fox)
Dec 25th

 Currently unknown but that will change if this is good / a success

Kathryn Bigelow
1 nom | 1 win in directing
DETROIT
(Annapurna)
Aug 4th

Can she become the first female director to be nominated more than once?

 
Tier 4 - Anyone Feels Possible This Early On...

Patty Jenkins
never nominated
WONDER WOMAN
(Warner Bros)
June 2nd

Likely to get a big FYC campaign but Oscar voters haven't been known to embrace this genre

Martin McDonagh
never nominated in directing THREE BILLBOARDS...
(Fox Searchlight)
Oct 13th

A unique voice but will they think of him as primarily a writer?

Tier 5 - Other Directors This Season

  • Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World
  • Dan Gilroy, Roman Israel Esq
  • Alfonso Gomez-Rejon, The Current War
  • Tomas Alfredson, The Snowman
  • Dominic Cooke, On Chesil Beach
  • Sofia Coppola, The Beguiled
  • George Clooney, Suburbicon
  • Simon Curtis, Goodbye Christopher Robin
  • Reginald Hudlin, Marshall
  • Paul McGuigan, Film Stars Don't Die...
  • Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049
  • Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird