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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

OCTOBER 14th UPDATED CHARTS


Tier 1 - Predicted Powerhouses

Guillermo del Toro

never nominated in directing
THE SHAPE OF WATER 
(Fox Searchlight)
Dec 8th

It'd be sweet to see another Mexican director honored AND a rare fantasy and given the response to the film, it's likely to happen

Chris Nolan

never nominated in directing
DUNKIRK
(Warner Bros)
July 21st

 

He's surely been in 6th place often. A WW II drama will finally do the trick

Steven Spielberg
7 noms | 2 wins in directing
THE PAPERS
(Fox)
Dec 22nd

Assuming it becomes a powerhouse --he hasn't been in the lineup since Lincoln -- he'll robably return. If it disappoints, make room for a less abundantly rewarded auteur

Joe Wright
never nominated
DARKEST HOUR
(Focus)
Nov 24th

Curiously never nominated despite Oscar liking his films. This one's got enough cinematic energy that he's probably in if the film is in.

Dee Rees
never nominated
MUDBOUND
(Netflix)
TBA

 Can the Sundance buzz build into real Oscar season buzz? Or will the Academy balk at Netflix pushing for top categories?

 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Luca Guadagnino
never nominated
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
(SPC)
Nov 24th

One of the most exciting directors working but still very "arthouse" if you will. Can he charm up enough votes?

Sean Baker

never nominated
THE FLORIDA PROJECT
(A24)
Oct 6th

He's been doing amazing work in little seen indies for quite a solid chunk of years now. Can A24 boost his cache quickly?

Martin McDonagh
never nominated in directing THREE BILLBOARDS...
(Fox Searchlight)
Oct 13th

A unique voice but will they think of him as primarily a writer? The film is off to a great pre-release start.

Jordan Peele
never nominated
GET OUT
(Universal)
Feb 24th

He's got a headstart and Universal plans a big campaign. Genre pictures need that to settle in as viably "great" - that said he's more likely for a screenplay nomination

Alexander Payne
3 noms in directing
DOWNSIZING}
(Paramount)
Dec 22nd

 

Oscar's directing branch really loves him but nobody is nominated every time. That said, this is his most ambitious picture and his branch might appreciate that.

 
Tier 3 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Patty Jenkins
never nominated
WONDER WOMAN
(Warner Bros)
June 2nd

Getting a big FYC campaign but Oscar voters haven't been known to embrace this genre (or women in general apart from a few exceptions)

Todd Haynes
never nominated in directing
WONDERSTRUCK
(Amazon)
TBA

Is there any genius alive who is more overdue? Unfortunately the cards have never aligned for him with Oscar or when they did, Oscar put blinders on (Far From Heaven, Carol)

Greta Gerwig
never nominated
LADY BIRD
(A24)

Nov 10th

 

Likely to be seen as an actors film whether that's fair or not

 

Ridley Scott

3 nominations in directing
ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD
(Amazon)
Dec 8th

He's one of the most famous directors alive who has yet to win. His just-miss for The Martian could help -- if people love the film they'll think it's past time to honor him.

 

Darren Aronofsky
1 nom in directing
MOTHER!
(Paramount)
Sept 15th

 

If the director's branch regains their intermittent "we'll do whatever we feel like" mojo, he could be the perfect back your fellow auteur vote for ambition, passion, go-for-broke flair.

 
Tier 4 - Anyone Feels Possible This Early On...
 

 

 

Tier 5 - Other Directors This Season

  • Kathryn Bigelow, Detroit
  • Yorgos Lanthimos, Killing of a Sacred Deer
  • Sofia Coppola, The Beguiled
  • Simon Curtis, Goodbye Christopher Robin
  • Reginald Hudlin, Marshall
  • Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049
  • Woody Allen, Wonder Wheel
  • Michael Gracey, Greatest Showman
  • P.T. Anderson Phantom Thread (starting to feel like an imaginary movie)