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87th Oscars. The Oscar Contenders of 2014 - For prediction, discussion and entertainment purposes only. This is not a endorsement of quality work, especially since no one has seen the pictures yet!

 discuss on the blog

SCREENPLAY CATEGORIES ARE MUCH MORE FLUID THAN THEY USED TO BE ...SO TAKE THE CATEGORIZATIONS WITH A GRAIN OF SALT FOR THE MOMENT.


Original Screenplay - October 26th Predictions
BOYHOOD
Richard Linklater
BIRDMAN
Alejandro Gonzáles Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo
GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
Wes Anderson
WHIPLASH
Damian Chazelle
A MOST VIOLENT YEAR
J.C. Chandor

 The movie has become an indie event but will its loose 'make it up as we go along' feel hurt it in this category while helping it in direction?

The writing branch is usually kind to this kind of stylistic meta feat. It's hard to imagine this not being nominated.
That "inspired by the writings of..." tag will give it some leeway in campaigning but I suspect this category is where they'll try it  Based on the short of hte same name but planning "original". Such a crowd pleaser that it seems likely to win early traction  
 Film #3 and he's shown such range that if this is a rich family crime drama it might take his career to the next level
Tier 2 - Other Strong Possibilities
FOXCATCHER
Bennett Miller & Dan E Futterman
INTERSTELLAR
Jonathan Nolan & Christopher Nolan
MR TURNER
Mike Leigh
SELMA
Paul Webb

PRIDE
Stephen Beresford

Like Budapest, another gray case, but it's going Original though it's based on Mark Schultz autobiography and other documents involving the case

Will this film have the same Oscar fate as previous Nolan family efforts?   The screenwriting branch loves Mike Leigh despite or maybe because of his rehearsal writing with the actors process If Oscar goes for this will they go for it in a big way or just a couple of elements?
Based on a true story but it deftly handles quite a juggling act of characters and themes. And it's loveable and quotable
Tier 3 - more options because you never know...

IDA - Pawel Pawlikowski & Rebecca Lenkiewicz
BIG EYES - Scott Alexander & Larry Karaszewski
BEGIN AGAIN -
John Carney
ST. VINCENT
- Theodore Melfi
THE DISAPPEARANCE OF ELEANOR RIGBY
Ned Benson
NIGHTCRAWLER - Dan Gilroy
LOVE IS STRANGE - Ira Sachs & Mauricio Zacharias

 

Best Adapted Screenplay -October 26th Predictions
GONE GIRL
Gillian Flynn
IMITATION GAME
Graham Moore
WILD
Nick Hornby
THEORY OF EVERYTHING
Anthony McCarten
INHERENT VICE
Paul Thomas Anderson

(based on the novel by Gillian Flynn)
(based on the nonfiction book by Andrew Hodges)
(based on the memoir by Cheryl Strayed)
(based on "“Travelling to Infinity: My Life with Stephen,”" by Jane Wilde)
(based on the novel by Thomas Pynchon)
Tier 2 - Other Strong Possibilities
AMERICAN SNIPER
Jason Dean Hall
UNBROKEN
Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, Richard LaGravenese, William Nicholson
INTO THE WOODS
James Lapine
STILL ALICE
Richard Glatzer & Wash Westmoreland

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY
James Gunn & Nicole Perlman

(based on the nonfiction book by Chris Kyle)
(based on the nonfiction book by Lauren Hillenbrand)
(based on the musical by Stephen Sondheim with book by James Lapine)
(based on the novel by Lisa Genova)
(based on the comic book by Dan Abnett & Andy Lanning)
Tier 3 - more options on account of you never know...

ANNIE - Aline Brosh McKenna, Will Gluck, and Emma Thompson (based on the stage musical)
ROSEWATER - john Stewart (based on the nonfiction book by Maziar Bahari & Aimee Molloy)
THE BOXTROLLS - Irena Brignull (based on the book by Alan Snow)
EXODUS: GODS & KINGS - Bill Collage, Adam Cooper, Steven Zaillain (based on characters in the Bible)
THE HUNDRED FOOT JOURNEY - Steven Knight
DAWN OF THE PLANET OF THE APES - Mark Bomback, Rick Jaffa, Amada Silver
SNOWPIERCER - based on the graphic novel Le Transperceneige)