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"How is no one talking about the kids from IT????? They were amazing" - David

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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog 

NOVEMBER 24th PREDICTIONS

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY PREDICTIONS
Insanely crowded with top 'Best Picture' contenders this year. Anyone could be snubbed even if they have a ton of other nominations


Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Three Billboards...
Martin McDonagh
(1 nom for writing)

Venice Winner, Spirit Nominee  | Critics Choice Nom

Get Out
Jordan Peele
(never nom'ed)

Gotham Nominee, Spirit NomineeLAFCA Win  | Critics Choice Nom

Lady Bird
Greta Gerwig
(never nominated)


Gotham Nominee, Spirit Nominee  | Critics Choice Nom

The Post
Liz Hannah (0/0) and Josh Singer (1/1)

 | Critics Choice Nom


 

Darkest Hour
Anthony McCarten
(1 nom for writing)

Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

The Big Sick
Kumail Nanjiani & Emily V Gordon (0/0)


Gotham Nominee  | Critics Choice Nom

Phantom Thread
Paul Thomas Anderson
4 nominations for writing


NYFCC Win

Shape of Water
Guillermo del Toro (1 nom for writing), Vanessa Taylor, Daniel Kraus (0/0)

 | Critics Choice Nom

Downsizing
Alexander Payne (3/2 for writing) and Jim Taylor 
(2/1 for writing)
I Tonya
Steven Rogers
(never nominated)
Tier 3 - Longer Shots
  • The Florida Project (Sean Baker & Chris Bergoch, never nominated)
  • Wonder Wheel (Woody Allen 16 nominations, 3 wins for writing)
  • Battle of the Sexes (Simon Beaufoy, 3/1)
  • Dunkirk (Chris Nolan, 2 noms for writing)
  • Beatriz at Dinner (Mike White) Spirit Nominee
  • Killing of Sacred Deer (Yorgos Lanthimos & Efthymis Filippou (1 nom for writing) Cannes winner
  • Detroit Mark Boal (2 noms | 1 win for writing)
  • The Lovers Azazel Jacobs (never nominated) Spirit Nominee
  • All the Money in the World David Scarpa (0/0)
  • Brad's Status Mike White Gotham Nominee
 

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY PREDICTIONS
This category is usually Best Picture heavy but nearly all the major contenders are original this year. Makes you wonder if they'll get brave and honor scifi (Blade Runner) superheroes (Wonder Woman) or something that never caught on (Wonderstruck) or something populist (Wonder)


Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Call Me By Your Name
Luca Guadagnino, James Ivory, and Walter Fasano (never nominated for writing) Adapting the novel by André Aciman

Gotham Nominee  | Critics Choice Nom

 

Mudbound
Dee Rees and Virgil Williams
(never nominated)

 | Critics Choice Nom

 Adapting the book by Hillary Jordan

Last Flag Flying
Richard Linklater (3 nominations for writing), Darryl Ponicsan (never nominated)

Adapting the novel by Darryl Ponicsan

Molly's Game
Aaron Sorkin
(2 noms | 1 win) adapting the memoir by Molly Bloom

 | Critics Choice Nom

 

The Beguiled
Sofia Coppola
(1 nom | 1 win for writing) Adapting the novel by Thomas Cullinan

 

Tier 2 - Could Surprise

Disaster Artist
Scott Neustadter & Michael Weber Adapting from the book by Greg Sestero and Tommy Wiseau about the film "The Room"

 | Critics Choice Nom

Wonder Woman
Allan Heinberg adapting from the comics by William Moulton Marston

Stronger
John Pollono (never nominated) adapting Jeff Bauman's memoir

 

Wonder
Steve Conrad & Jack Thorne
(never nominated) adapting the novel by RJ Palacio

 | Critics Choice Nom

 

Victoria and Abdul
Lee Hall  (1 nomination) Adapting the book by Shrabani Basu

Tier 3 - Long Shots. Or Are They... This category is so strange this year.
  • Film Stars Dont... Matt Greenhaigh adapting the memoir by Peter Turner
  • Blade Runner 2049 Hampton Fancher & Michael Green (0/0) sequelizing the 1982 feature film
  • Lost City of Z James Gray (0/0)
  • My Cousin Rachel Roger Michell (0/0)
  • Zookeeper's Wife Angela Workman (0/0)
  • Wonder Steve Conrad and Jack Thorne (never nom'ed) Adapting the novel by RJ Palacio
  • Wonderstruck Brian Selznick adapting his own book
  • The Glass Castle Destin Daniel Cretton, Marti Noxon, Andrew Lanham adapting the memoir by Jeanette Walls
  • Logan Scott Frank (1/0), James Mangold (0/0) and Michael Green (0/0)