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Personal Ballot: Best Supporting Actress

"Must admit to not having seen "20th Century Women" yet. I'm already an Elle Fanning admirer. So I'm looking forward to seeing whether she or Greta Gerwig can shake up my list." - Ken

INTERVIEWS

Pablo Larraín (Jackie)
Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane)
Gael García Bernal (Neruda)
Billy Crudup (20th Century Women)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival

 

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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

Final Predictions

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Tier 1 - Predicted 5

 Manchester by the Sea
Kenneth Lonergan

 

NBR WINNER, Spirit Nomination, Critics Choice Nom, NYFCC Winner, Globe nom, WGA nominee BAFTA nom

 Hell or High Water
Taylor Sheridan

 

 

 Spirit Nomination, Critics Choice Nom, Globe nom, WGA nominee, BAFTA nom

La La Land
Damien Chazelle

Musicals historically have trouble in this category but it is the best picture frontrunners so...

Critics Choice NomGlobe winner, WGA nomineeBAFTA nom

The Lobster
Yorgos Lanthimos & Efthymis Filippou

 

If they're seeking originality this year

Critics Choice Nom, (wasn't eligible at WGA)

 

 Captain Fantastic
Matt Ross
 
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Vote Siphoning From?
Daniel Blake
Paul Laverty BAFTA nom
Little Men Ira Sachs (Spirit Nomination)
Miss Sloane (Jonathan Perera)
Cafe Society (Woody Allen)
Morris From America (Chad Hartigan)
The Witch (Robert Eggers)  Spirit Nomination - FIRST screenplay
Hail Caesar (The Coen Bros)
Toni Erdmann (Maren Ade)

 

 20th Century Women
Mike Mills

 Spirit Nomination

Zootopia
Jared Bush & Phil Johnson

Jackie
Noah Oppenheim

 

 

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY  
Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Moonlight
Barry Jenkins

 

As we predicted we've had a Whiplash - style switcheroo in classificaiton

 Spirit NominationCritics Choice Nom, WGA nomineeBAFTA nom

 

Arrival
from the short story "The Story of Your Life" by Ted Chiang

Critics Choice NomWGA nomineeBAFTA nom

Hidden Figures
Theodore Melfi and Allison Schroeder adapting the book by Margot Lee Shetterly

Critics Choice NomWGA nomineeBAFTA nom

 

Lion
Luke Davies adapting the autobiography "Long Way Home" from Saroo Brierley

Critics Choice Nom , BAFTA nom, (wasn't eligible for WGA)

Fences
August Wilson could net a posthumous nomination but the living competition is campaigning hard and several films are surging. 

Critics Choice NomWGA nominee

 

 

Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong


Nocturnal Animals

Tom Ford adapting the novel "Tony and Susan" by Austin Wright

Critics Choice NomGlobe nomBAFTA nom

Loving
Based in part on the 2011 documentary "The Loving Story"

Critics Choice NomWGA nominee

 

  

Deadpool
Rhett Reese & Paul Wernick based on the comic books

WGA nominee

Silence
Jay Cocks adapting the novel by Shûsaku Endô

NBR WINNER

 

 

 Love & Friendship
Whit Stilman adapting from "Lady Susan" by Jane Austen
Tier 3 - Vote Siphoning from...

Julieta (Pedro Almodovar adapted short stories by Alice Munro)
Sully
(Todd Kormanicki based on Sully's autobiography)
The Light Between Oceans (Derek Cianfrance adapting the novel by ML Steadman)
Indignation James Schamus adpating Philip Roth
Elle David Birke adapting the novel "Oh..." by Philppe Djian
The Handmaiden Park Chan Work based on the novel "Fingersmith" by Sarah Waters