The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. All material herein is written and copyrighted by Nathaniel or a member of our team as noted.

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Personal Ballot: Best Supporting Actress

"Must admit to not having seen "20th Century Women" yet. I'm already an Elle Fanning admirer. So I'm looking forward to seeing whether she or Greta Gerwig can shake up my list." - Ken


Pablo Larraín (Jackie)
Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane)
Gael García Bernal (Neruda)
Billy Crudup (20th Century Women)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival



 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

Final Predictions

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

 Manchester by the Sea
Kenneth Lonergan


NBR WINNER, Spirit Nomination, Critics Choice Nom, NYFCC Winner, Globe nom, WGA nominee BAFTA nom

 Hell or High Water
Taylor Sheridan



 Spirit Nomination, Critics Choice Nom, Globe nom, WGA nominee, BAFTA nom

La La Land
Damien Chazelle

Musicals historically have trouble in this category but it is the best picture frontrunners so...

Critics Choice NomGlobe winner, WGA nomineeBAFTA nom

The Lobster
Yorgos Lanthimos & Efthymis Filippou


If they're seeking originality this year

Critics Choice Nom, (wasn't eligible at WGA)


 Captain Fantastic
Matt Ross
Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Vote Siphoning From?
Daniel Blake
Paul Laverty BAFTA nom
Little Men Ira Sachs (Spirit Nomination)
Miss Sloane (Jonathan Perera)
Cafe Society (Woody Allen)
Morris From America (Chad Hartigan)
The Witch (Robert Eggers)  Spirit Nomination - FIRST screenplay
Hail Caesar (The Coen Bros)
Toni Erdmann (Maren Ade)


 20th Century Women
Mike Mills

 Spirit Nomination

Jared Bush & Phil Johnson

Noah Oppenheim




Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Barry Jenkins


As we predicted we've had a Whiplash - style switcheroo in classificaiton

 Spirit NominationCritics Choice Nom, WGA nomineeBAFTA nom


from the short story "The Story of Your Life" by Ted Chiang

Critics Choice NomWGA nomineeBAFTA nom

Hidden Figures
Theodore Melfi and Allison Schroeder adapting the book by Margot Lee Shetterly

Critics Choice NomWGA nomineeBAFTA nom


Luke Davies adapting the autobiography "Long Way Home" from Saroo Brierley

Critics Choice Nom , BAFTA nom, (wasn't eligible for WGA)

August Wilson could net a posthumous nomination but the living competition is campaigning hard and several films are surging. 

Critics Choice NomWGA nominee



Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Nocturnal Animals

Tom Ford adapting the novel "Tony and Susan" by Austin Wright

Critics Choice NomGlobe nomBAFTA nom

Based in part on the 2011 documentary "The Loving Story"

Critics Choice NomWGA nominee



Rhett Reese & Paul Wernick based on the comic books

WGA nominee

Jay Cocks adapting the novel by Shûsaku Endô




 Love & Friendship
Whit Stilman adapting from "Lady Susan" by Jane Austen
Tier 3 - Vote Siphoning from...

Julieta (Pedro Almodovar adapted short stories by Alice Munro)
(Todd Kormanicki based on Sully's autobiography)
The Light Between Oceans (Derek Cianfrance adapting the novel by ML Steadman)
Indignation James Schamus adpating Philip Roth
Elle David Birke adapting the novel "Oh..." by Philppe Djian
The Handmaiden Park Chan Work based on the novel "Fingersmith" by Sarah Waters