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92nd Oscars. Predicted Nominees of 2019 (2020 Ceremony)- For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

AUGUST 10TH PREDICTIONS

 

Tier 1a Predictions - The Frontrunners

1917
(Sam Mendes)
Universal
Dec 25th

 

An Oscar winning director with a big ambitious war epic with a cast filled with great actors. Oscar has liked those in the past.

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
(Marielle Heller)
Tri-Star
Nov 22nd

Their favourite genre (kind of) plus two well loved actors. Plus its past time for Hanks to be back. On the other hand where is the conflict?

The Farewell
(Lulu Wang)
A24
July 12th

 

Its Sundance raves and blissful reviews actually translated into being an arthouse smash. How about that. Now a march toward Oscar nominations. Let's hope the campaign is strong.  

JoJo Rabbit
(Taiki Waititi)
Fox Searchlight
Nov 27th

Could be a fresh wild card. Fox Searchlight knows how to push their movies but their parent company is in disarray due to Disney acquisition and satire can be tough for viewers to "get"

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
(Quentin Tarantino)
Columbia
July 26th

 

Tarantino is hit and miss with Oscar voters but this one will have long legs in conversation so we say "hit". There's often one summer movie that goes the distance. 

 
Tier 1b - And a few of these ? 

Harriet
(Kasi Lemmons)
Focus
Nov 1st

Their favourite genre + a much-needed big screen treatment of a legendary American.

The Irishman
(Martin Scorsese)
Netflix
Release TBA

 

Netflix will want this to be their next Roma but will it? Scorsese has been to this well multiple times. Too many times? If DeNiro and Pacino return to their former greatness though, watch out.

Queen & Slim
(Melina Matsoukas)
Universal
Nov 27th (?)

The topic (police violence against black people) is all too timely. Could be a hot button zeitgeist choice. It'll need to be a sleeper hit first though.

Just Mercy
(Destin Daniel Cretton)
Warner Bros
Dec 25th

 

In ye olden times this would have been called "Oscar bait" but Oscar has been getting friskier. Still they might make room for a legal drama if its very well acted

Little Women
(Greta Gerwig)
Columbia
Dec 25th

It's biggest test will be how necessary it feels, given that the story has been filmed several times. Could be more commercial than awards friendly but who knows.

 
Tier 2 -Or maybe a couple of these?

Ford v Ferrarri
(James Mangold)
Fox
Nov 15th

Oscar prefers movies about men (sigh) and this and The Irishman are the biggest 'manly' spectacles on tap. Mangold has been rising of late... so why are we still suspicious of this one?

The Good Liar
(Bill Condon)
Warner Bros
Nov 15th

Advanced buzz was unexpectedly strong but perhaps it's more of a commercial thing. Great leads and an ideal release date. If it catches on with audiences it could surprise

Pain & Glory
(Pedro Almodóvar)
SPC
Oct 4th

Advance reviews are very strong but will Oscar come around to Pedro again? It's been awhile. They do like movies about movies, though and Banderas and Cruz will bring the glamor.

The Goldfinch
(John Crowley)
Warner Bros
Sept 13th

If Brooklyn was indication he has an amazing career ahead. People love the book but will it transfer to the screen. Warner Bros always has multiple options to push.

The Report
(Scott Z Burns)
Amazon
Nov 15th

Had Oscar buzz out of Sundance and Hollywood is pissed off about GOP politics of late so the timing could be strong. But Amazon keeps getting nervous about release plans...

 
Tier 3- Other movies to consider...

(ALPHA ORDER)

  • Ad Astra (James Gray) Fox Sept 20th
  • The Aeronauts (Tom Harper) Amazon December 6th
  • Avengers: Endgame (Joe & Anthony Russo) Disney April 26th
  • Blinded by the Light (Gurinder Chadha) Warner Bros Aug 14th
  • Cats (Tom Hooper) Universal Dec 20th
  • Downton Abbey (Michael Engler) Focus Sept 20th
  • A Hidden Life (Terence Malick) Fox Searchlight Dec 13th
  • Joker (Todd Philipps) Warner Bros Oct 4th
  • Judy (Rupert Goold) Roadside Attractions Sept 27th
  • Last Black Man in San Francisco (Joe Talbot) A24 June 14th
  • The Laundromat (Steven Soderbergh) Netflix Release TBA
  • The Lighthouse (Robert Eggers) A24 Oct 18th
  • Luce (Julius Onah) Neon Aug 2nd
  • Lucy in the Sky (Noah Hawley) Fox Searchlight Oct 4th
  • Marriage Story (Noah Baumbach) Netflix
  • Motherless Brooklyn (Edward Norton) Warner Bros November 1st
  • Parasite (Bong Joon-ho) Neon Oct 11th
  • Personal History of David Copperfield (Arnando Iannucci) Distributor Release ?
  • Portrait of a Lady on Fire (Celine Sciamma) Neon December 6th
  • Radioactive (Marjane Satrapi) Amazon Release TBA
  • Rocketman (Dexter Fletcher) Paramount May 31st
  • Star Wars The Rise of Skywalker (JJ Abrams) Disney Dec 20th
  • The Truth (Hirokazu Kore-eda) IFC TBA
  • The Two Popes (Fernando Meirelles) Netflix TBA
  • Untitled Roger Aisles Film (Jay Roach) Lionsgate Dec 20th
  • Us (Jordan Peele) Universal

NOT EXPECTED UNTIL NEXT YEAR... OR THE FACT THAT WE STILL HAVEN'T SEEN A SCHEDULED FESTIVAL BOW SUGGESTS NEXT YEAR

  • The Glorias: A Life on the Road (Julie Taymor)
  • Woman in the Window (Joe Wright)
  • Chaos Walking (Doug Liman sci-fi)
  • Promising Young Woman (Focus Features. Carey Mulligan stars)
  • West Side Story (Spielberg remake)
  • Z (joana cuaron gael garcia)
  • George & Tammy (Tate Taylor directs Jessica Chastain again)
  • The Good Nurse (Jessica Chastain)
  • Lamborghini: The Legend (Antonio Banderas stars)
  • Tenent (Christopher Nolan)
  • Nomadland (Chloe Zhao)
  • Untitled Todd Haynes Project (Todd Haynes)