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98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / 2026 Ceremony
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

FIRST PREDICTIONS - JULY 11

 

NOMINATION VOTING: January 12-16, 2026
NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCEMENT: Thursday January 22, 2025
FINAL VOTING: February 26, 2025
OSCAR NIGHT: Sunday March 15, 2026

 

TIER 1 - The Biggest Deals

These are the five films we're feeling best about (mostly) sight unseen. Are you also confident that they'll be major players?

WICKED FOR GOOD
Jon M Chu
(Universal)
Nov 21
MARTY SUPREME
Josh Safdie
(A24)
Dec 25
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
Joachim Trier
(Neon)
Aug 20

SINNERS
Ryan Coogler
(Warner Bros)
April 18

HAMNET
Chloe Zhao
(Focus)
Nov 27

TIER 2- Also Likely to be Significant Players

Though it's too early to know how far they'll soar or whether they'll be discarded from lukewarm reviews or lack of interest... or even an abrupt move to 2026

ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
Paul Thomas Anderson
(Warner Bros)
Sept 26

DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
Scott Cooper
(20th Century)
Oct 24

AFTER THE HUNT
Luca Guadagnino
(Amazon MGM)
Oct 10

JAY KELLY
Noah Baumbach
(Netflix)
Nov 14

BLUE MOON
Richard Linklater
(Sony Pictures Classics)
Oct 17

 

TIER 3 - POTENTIAL SPOILERS

Though the race often narrows down to just 11 or 12 films it's way too early for that shallow of a pool. We shall see.

BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER
Edward Berger
(Netflix)
Date TBA

FRANKENSTEIN Guillermo del Toro
(Netflix)
November TBA

THE SMASHING MACHINE
(Benny Safdie
(A24)
Oct 3

F1 THE MOVIE
Joseph Kosinski (Warner Bros)
June 27

BUGONIA
Yorgos Lanthimos
(Focus)
Oct 24

 

TIER 4 - Other Spoilers and Wild Cards.

Will Any of These Films Catch On in Terms of Awards? Which films that we haven't yet even heard of explode at a fall film festival? 

AVATAR FIRE AND ASH
James Cameron
(Disney)
Dec 19
THE LOST BUS
Paul Greengrass
(Apple TV+)
Date TBA
ELLA MCKAY
James L Brooks
(20th Century)
Dec 12
TRAIN DREAMS
Clint Bentley
(Netflix)
Date TBA
SONG SUNG BLUE
Craig Brewer
(Focus)

Dec 25
KISS OF THE SPIDER-WOMAN
Bill Condon
(Lionsgate)
Oct 10
ANN LEE
Mona Fastvold
(Distributor TBA)
Date TBA
CAUGHT STEALING
Darren Aronofsky
(Sony)
Aug 29

 

 

 

MOVIES BY DISTRIBUTOR

 

A24

  • Eddington (Aster)
  • If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (Bronstein)
  • Materialists (Song)
  • Marty Supreme
    (Safdie)
  • Mother Mary (Lowery)
  • Smashing Machine (Safdie)
  • Pillion (Lighton)
  • Sorry Baby (Victor)

 

Amazon MGM

  • After the Hunt (Guadagnino)
  • Hedda (DaCosta)

 

Apple TV+

  • Highest 2 Lowest (Lee)
  • The Lost Bus (Greengrass)
  • Outcome (Hill)

Bleecker Street

  • Rebuilding (Walker-Silverman)
  • Relay (Mackenzie)

Disney

  • Avatar Fire and Ash (Cameron)
  • Elio
  • Fantastic Four
  • Freakier Friday
  • Thunderbolts*
  • Tron Ares (Rønning)
  • Zootopia 2

Focus Features

  • Anemone (Day-Lewis)
  • Ballad of Wallis Island (Griffiths)
  • Downton Abbey 3
  • Phoenician Scheme (Anderson)
  • Song Sung Blue (Brewer)

 

IFC Films

  • Hot Milk

Janus Films / Sideshow

  • The Love That Remains (Palmason)
  • Magellan (Diaz)
  • Peter Hujar's Day (Sachs)
  • Resurrection (Bi Gan)

Lionsgate

  • Everything Going to be Great (Baird)
  • Good Fortune (Ansari)
  • The Housemaid (Feig)
  • Kiss of the Spider-Woman (Condon)
  • The Long Walk (Lawrence)
  • Twinless (Sweeney)

Magnolia

  • Plainclothes (Emmi)

MUBI

  • Die My Love (Ramsay)
  • Father Mother Sister Brother (Jarmusch)
  • History of Sound (Hermanus)
  • Lurker (Russell)
  • Mastermind (Reichardt)
  • Sound of Falling (Schilinski)

NEON

  • Alpha (Ducournau)
  • It Was Just an Accident (Panahi)
  • Life of Chuck (Flanagan)
  • Sentimental Value (Trier)
  • The Secret Agent (Filho)
  • Sirat (Laxe)
  • Splitsville (covino)

Netflix

  • Ballad of a Small Player (Berger)
  • Jay Kelly (Baumbach)
  • Nouvelle Vague (Linklater)
  • Train Dreams (Bentley)
  • Wake Up Dead Man (Johnson)

Paramount

  • Roofman (Cianfrance)
  • Running Man (Wright)

=

Searchlight

  • In the Blink of an Eye
  • Is This Thing On? (Cooper)
  • Rental Family (Hikari)
  • The Roses (Roach)

Sony

  • 28 Years Later (Boyle)
  • Big Bold Beautiful Journey (Kogonada)

Sony Pictures Classics

  • Blue Moon (Linkater)
  • The Choral (Hytner)
  • Don't Lets Go to the Dog Tonight (Davidtz)
  • Eleanor the Great (Johansson)
  • Magnificent Life (Chomet)
  • Oh, Hi! (Brooks)
  • The Presidents Cake (Hadi)

Universal

  • Black Bag (Soderbergh)
  • How to Train Your Dragon (DeBlois)
  • Jurassic World Rebirth (Edwards)
  • Megan 2.0 (Johnstone)
  • Wicked For Good (Chu)

 

Warner Bros
  • Mickey 17 (Bong)
  • Minecraft Movie (Hess)
  • Sinners (Coogler)
  • Superman (Gunn)
  • Weapons (Cregger)
No US Distributor Yet - Early in Year Festivals
  • DJ Ahmet (Unkovski)
  • Dragonfly (Williams)
  • Ricky (frett)
  • Rosemead (Lin)
  • Tow (Laing)
  • Vie Privee (Zlotowski)
  • The Wave (Lelio)

No US Distributor Yet --Fall Festivals?

  • An Affair (Despleschin)
  • Ann Lee (Fastvold)
  • At the Sea (Mundruczo)

 

  • Bucking Fastard (Herzog)
  • Couture (Winocur)
  • Dead Man's Wire (van sant)
  • In the Hand of Dante (Schnabel)
  • Last Disturbance...
    (Branagh)
  • No Other Choice (Park)
  • Rosebush Pruning (Ainouz)
  • Silent Friend (Enyedi)
  • Untitled Chrissy Marin Biopic (Michod)

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film