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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog



Tier 1a - Predicted Frontruners

(Warner Bros)
Chris Nolan
July 21st

Nolan is surely the most beloved (by audiences) filmmaker Oscar still keeps at somewhat of an arms length. This war epic without genre trappings should fix that.

Darkest Hour
Joe Wright
Nov 24th

Wright makes classy dramas but they're usually more feminine than this Churchill war pic and Oscar likes masculine drama. A good bet sight unseen

The Papers
Steven Spielberg)
Dec 22nd

This true journalism story from Spielberg could be huge. But on the other hand: Spielberg + Hanks + Streeps feels too easy. Like created in a lab for this type of 'before we see it' chart

Todd Haynes

If he can build on the Carol esteem (a masterful reminder of his gifts after years away from movie theaters) and if this is a success with audiences, it could be a big Oscar breakthrough

Get Out
Jordan Peele
Feb 24th

Hear me out. Genre pics need time to settle in as "great". This one's got it. Think Silence of the Lambs slow build. It's already shown true staying power. But will Universal give it the campaign it deserves?

Tier 1b - More Predicted Nominees

Call Me By Your Name
Luca Guadagnino
Nov 24th

Another Sundance sensation but will Oscar really embrace two gay dramas in a row? Especially one that's way more sexual than Moonlight?

The Greatest Showman
Michael Gracey
Dec 25th

If it builds on the people love musicals momentum and it's actually good, watch out. Hugh Jackman is due for some industry love, isn't he in his Wolverine wrap up year


Wonder Wheel
Woody Allen
Dec 1st

 It might be time for another Oscar play. Is it as good as people are saying or already overhyped? Woody is notoriously hit and miss both with critics and Oscar

Dee Rees

It was all the rage at Sundance but Netflix as distributor may actually hurt it since you need theatrical feel for Oscar. We'll see how well they campaign.



Darren Aronofsky
Sept 15th

Reportedly psychological horror in the Black Swan vein. It's been so secretive we can only speculate about...well... everything about it. Will it be too genre, or just the right blend of drama and thriller?

Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Blade Runner 2049
(Warner Bros)
Denis Villeneuve
Oct 6th

Will the original film's now classic status help or hinder this one being recognized? Can it possibly live up to the hype or will it be a craft play only? Oscar has somewhat warmed to sci-fi lately

Phantom Thread
PT Anderson 
Dec 25th

Christmas seems like a late call for a sober period drama. And Anderson doing a fashion related film? What to make of this? But Daniel Day-Lewis's retirement will generate excitement

The Killing of a Sacred Deer

Yorgos Lanthimos
Nov 3rd

Can Lanthimos graduate from critical darling and niche Oscar player (foreign film / screenplay) to something more across-the-board?

The Current War
(Weinstein Co)
Alfonso Gomez-Rejon
Dec 22nd

Oscar likes a true story about inspirational men. But will Gomez-Rejon be able to vault into the big leagues with this electricity battle or will it be too dry?

Kathryn Bigelow
Aug 4th

Oscar likes a true story and they even like racial tension dramas but given the divisiveness inherent in the topic and the complications of a white filmmaking team with reception, this could get tricky for Oscar love

Tier 3 - But it's too early to rule any of these out

Mary Magdalene
(Weinstein Co)
Garth Davis
Nov 24th

If Davis can build on that Lion success with this Biblical drama, it could have a shot. But will it prove too controversial or strange? 

All the Money in the World
Ridley Scott
Dec 8th

It's always tough to know if Scott films will be mere box office players or critical / Oscar hits. We'll see. This is a true story kidnapping drama with Michelle Williams, Mark Wahlberg, and Kevin Spacey (among others)

Wonder Woman
(Warner Bros)
Patty Jenkins
June 2nd

True box office smashes (with world of mouth legs) tend to excite Oscar campaigns. Warner Bros might push hard.

The Snowman
Tomas Alfredson
Oct 13th

Alfredson is an amazing serious filmmaker. Will Oscar finally come around with this murder mystery?

The Big Sick
Michael Showalter
June 23rd

Contemporary romantic comedies aren't Oscar bait but this one resonates with people. If the campaign is great, can it catch on? Globes might help.

Tier 4 - This early anything feels possible depending on box office, critical respect, precursor love, and zeitgeist fever
  • Goodbye Christopher Robin (Fox Searchlight, Simon Curtis, Oct 13th)
  • Roman Israel, Esq. (Sony, Dan Gilroy, Nov 3rd)
  • The Children Act (TBA, Richard Eyre, TBA)
  • Breathe (Bleecker Street, Andy Serkis, Oct 13th)
  • Battle of the Sexes (Fox Searchlight, Dayton & Faris, Sept 22nd)
  • Beguiled (Focus, Sofia Coppola, June 13th)
  • Downsizing (Paramount, Alexander Payne)
  • Film Stars Dont Die in Liverpool (SPC, Paul McGuigan, TBA)
  • Logan (Fox, James Mangold, March 3rd)
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney, Rian Johnson, Dec 15th)
  • Marshall (Open Road, Reginald Hudlin, Oct 13th)
  • Murder on the Orient Express (Fox, Kenneth Branagh, Nov 22nd)
  • On Chesil Beach (TBA, TBA, Dominic Cooke)
  • Shape of Water (Fox Searchlight, Guillermo del Toro, Dec 8th)
  • Stronger (Lionsgate, David Gordon Green, Sept 22)
  • Suburbicon (Paramount, George Clooney, Nov 3rd)
  • Thank You For Your Service (Universal, Jason Hall, Oct 27th)
  • Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri (Fox Searchlight, Martin McDonagh, October 13th)
  • Victoria and Abdul (Focus, Stephen Frears, TBA)
  • Glass Castle (Lionsgate, Destin Daniel Cretton, Aug 11th)
  • Lady Bird (A24, Greta Gerwig, TBA)