Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress | Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation
90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
JULY 30TH PREDICTIONS
|
Tier 1a - Predicted Frontruners |
||||
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
Dunkirk
Nolan is surely the most beloved (by audiences) filmmaker Oscar still keeps at somewhat of an arms length. This war epic without genre trappings should fix that. |
Darkest Hour Wright makes classy dramas but they're usually more feminine than this Churchill war pic and Oscar likes masculine drama. A good bet sight unseen |
The Papers
This true journalism story from Spielberg could be huge. But on the other hand: Spielberg + Hanks + Streeps feels too easy. Like created in a lab for this type of 'before we see it' chart |
Wonderstruck If he can build on the Carol esteem (a masterful reminder of his gifts after years away from movie theaters) and if this is a success with audiences, it could be a big Oscar breakthrough |
Get Out Hear me out. Genre pics need time to settle in as "great". This one's got it. Think Silence of the Lambs slow build. It's already shown true staying power. But will Universal give it the campaign it deserves? |
| Tier 1b - More Predicted Nominees | ||||
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
Call Me By Your Name
Another Sundance sensation but will Oscar really embrace two gay dramas in a row? Especially one that's way more sexual than Moonlight? |
The Greatest Showman
If it builds on the people love musicals momentum and it's actually good, watch out. Hugh Jackman is due for some industry love, isn't he in his Wolverine wrap up year
|
Wonder Wheel
It might be time for another Oscar play. Is it as good as people are saying or already overhyped? Woody is notoriously hit and miss both with critics and Oscar |
Mudbound It was all the rage at Sundance but Netflix as distributor may actually hurt it since you need theatrical feel for Oscar. We'll see how well they campaign.
|
Mother!
Reportedly psychological horror in the Black Swan vein. It's been so secretive we can only speculate about...well... everything about it. Will it be too genre, or just the right blend of drama and thriller? |
| Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be | ||||
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
Blade Runner 2049 Will the original film's now classic status help or hinder this one being recognized? Can it possibly live up to the hype or will it be a craft play only? Oscar has somewhat warmed to sci-fi lately |
Phantom Thread
Christmas seems like a late call for a sober period drama. And Anderson doing a fashion related film? What to make of this? But Daniel Day-Lewis's retirement will generate excitement |
The Killing of a Sacred Deer (A24) Can Lanthimos graduate from critical darling and niche Oscar player (foreign film / screenplay) to something more across-the-board? |
The Current War
Oscar likes a true story about inspirational men. But will Gomez-Rejon be able to vault into the big leagues with this electricity battle or will it be too dry? |
Detroit
|
| Tier 3 - But it's too early to rule any of these out | ||||
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
Mary Magdalene If Davis can build on that Lion success with this Biblical drama, it could have a shot. But will it prove too controversial or strange? |
All the Money in the World
It's always tough to know if Scott films will be mere box office players or critical / Oscar hits. We'll see. This is a true story kidnapping drama with Michelle Williams, Mark Wahlberg, and Kevin Spacey (among others) |
Wonder Woman
True box office smashes (with world of mouth legs) tend to excite Oscar campaigns. Warner Bros might push hard. |
The Snowman
Alfredson is an amazing serious filmmaker. Will Oscar finally come around with this murder mystery? |
The Big Sick
Contemporary romantic comedies aren't Oscar bait but this one resonates with people. If the campaign is great, can it catch on? Globes might help. |
| Tier 4 - This early anything feels possible depending on box office, critical respect, precursor love, and zeitgeist fever | ||||
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
||||
