Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress | Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation
90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
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Tier 1a - Predicted Frontruners |
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Darkest Hour Wright makes classy dramas but they're usually more feminine than this Churchill war pic and Oscar likes masculine drama. A good bet sight unseen |
Dunkirk Nolan is surely the most beloved (by audiences) filmmaker Oscar still keeps at somewhat of an arms length. Will a war drama without super powers fix that? |
The Greatest Showman If it builds on the people love musicals momentum and it's actually good, watch out. Hugh Jackman is due for some industry love, isn't he in his Wolverine wrap up year |
Detroit The only female director winner is back with another hot button drama, this one taking on the Detroit Riots. Sure to be a feature of innumerable editorials. |
Wonderstruck If he can build on the Carol esteem (a masterful reminder of his gifts after years away from movie theaters) and if this is a success with audiences, it could be a big Oscar breakthrough |
| Tier 1b - More Predicted Nominees | ||||
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Get Out Hear me out. Genre pics need time to settle in as "great". This one's got it. Think Silence of the Lambs slow build. It's already shown true staying power. |
The Current War Oscar likes a true story about inspirational men. But will Gomez-Rejon be able to vault into the big leagues with this electricity battle or will it be too dry? |
Mudbound It was all the rage at Sundance but Netflix as distributor may actually hurt it since you need theatrical feel for Oscar. We'll see how well they campaign. |
The Killing of a Sacred Deer (A24) Can Lanthimos graduate from critical darling and niche Oscar player (foreign film / screenplay) to something more across-the-board? |
The Snowman Alfredson is an amazing serious filmmaker. Will Oscar finally come around with this murder mystery? |
| Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be | ||||
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Call Me By Your Name Another Sundance sensation but will Oscar really embrace two gay dramas in a row? Especially one that's way more sexual than Moonlight? |
The Post If it's finished in time this true journalism story from Spielberg could be huge. But on the other hand: Spielberg + Hanks + Streeps feels too easy. Like created in a lab for this type of 'before we see it' chart |
Blade Runner 2049 Will the original film's now classic status help or hinder this one being recognized? Can it possibly live up to the hype or will it be a craft play only? Oscar has somewhat warmed to sci-fi lately |
Mother! Reportedly psychological horror in the Black Swan vein. It's been so secretive we can only speculate about...well... everything about it. Will it be too genre, or just the right blend of drama and thriller? |
Breathe If Oscar is feeling the sentimental true inspirational stories this year, here's another in the Theory of Everything vein. |
| Tier 3 - But it's too early to rule any of these out | ||||
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Mary Magdalene If Davis can build on that Lion success with this Biblical drama, it could have a shot. But will it prove too controversial or strange? |
Wonder Will they be in the mood for inspirational drama? We shall see. |
Goodbye Christopher Robin This AA Milne biopic might be a bit old fashioned for new crazier Oscar lineups -- but you never know. Good release date. |
Glass Castle Short Term 12 was awesome. Will the reunion of Cretton and Brie Larson be as wonderful as we hope? |
Untitled PT Anderson Christmas seems like a late call for a sober period drama. And Anderson doing a fashion related film? What to make of this? |
| Tier 4 - This early anything feels possible depending on box office, critical respect, precursor love, and zeitgeist fever | ||||
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