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99th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2026/ CEREMONY: TBA, 2026
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
First Predictions for the 99th Academy Awards
Films of 2026 / Ceremony in 2027
| Tier 1 - The Biggest Deals in Best Picture? | ||||
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Digger Pro: A director that's as big of an Oscar magnet as it gets (all of his films since 2000 have received high profile nominations.) |
The Odyssey Pro: An adaptation of the ancient epic poem by Homer. Nolan isn't quite a default Oscar player but he's close. |
Wild Horse Nine Pro: Dark comedy from Banshees of Inishirin auteur. The trailer promises morbid fun with acclaimed actors. Con: But it's all about execution.
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Project Hail Mary The sci-fi adventure was a huge hit but will its fans remain passionate in a year's time? Will voters take it seriously when it's sci-fi (a genre they struggle with) and when it's good hearted (awards voters often mistake heavy/dark for "important")? |
The Black Ball Pro: The hottest title out of Cannes and presumably Netflix' big push. Word is that it has the goods to score in major categories. Con: Gay! |
| Tier 2 - Other Possible Oscar Heavyweights | ||||
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Dune Part Three (Villeneuve) Pro: Another trip to the violent religious sci-fi desert. They nominated the other two so unless there's a sharp dive in quality... |
Fjord Thematic drama about a religious Romanian / Norwegian family starring Sebastian Stan & Renate Reinsve. I'm suspicious that it might be too dry for voters but the Palme hype will help. |
Behemoth! A music driven drama about a cellist and his emotional drift. The early buzz is that it's bold and ambitious. |
All of a Sudden It's fans are already very passionate which could put it above the actual Palme winner for votes but it's a three hour talky French drama... and the year is still young! |
The Debut Eisenberg's last film surely came close to the Best Picture field. Will this new one, centered on a woman (Julianne Moore) getting involved in community theater, be notifed before performance? |
| Tier 3 - Potential Spoilers for the Top Ten? | ||||
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Paper Tiger (Gray) Johansson, Driver, and Teller star in a drama about brothers mixed up with Russian mafia. The festival response was somewhat confusing in variety of opinions but doesnt it feel like Gray will eventually break through? |
Cry to Heaven While Ford hasn't quite excited awards voters outside of performances within his films, the films are lush enough to eventually break through if the output continues and the overall quality improves. Will this epic castrati drama "play" as they say? |
Sense & Sensibility (Oakley) While it might have a tough time getting around memories of Ang Lee's classic take in 1995, 1995 was quite a long time ago now. We shall see. |
The Social Reckoning (Sorkin) Sequel to The Social Network. I'm personally suspicious (Sorkin is no David Fincher and Jeremy Strong is no Jessie Eisenberg) but it the mainstream loves it... |
I Play Rocky Farrelly is hardly a sure thing and this true story of the making of 1976 Best Picture winner Rocky would hardly be the cool choice. But there's always a dad movie that does well. Perhaps this is it for 2026? |
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Tier 4 - Five More Wild Cards |
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The Adventures of Cliff Booth Sequel to Once Upon a Time in Hollywood with Pitt reprising his Oscar winning role from a Tarantino script. David Fincher in the director's chair |
Club Kid Jordan Firstman's unexpected Cannes sensation. But the subject matter doesn't sound like Oscar's cuppa. But you never know. |
Bunker SPC is trying that damn qualifying one week thing again for this dramatic thriller about an architect, his wife, and a billionaire client. Argh. I guess we'll need about a decade of that tactic failing to get distributors to give up on it. |
Jack of Spades Gothic mystery set in 1880s Scotland. Can Joel Coen recapture the Coen Bros magic while solo? If he does, watch out.
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Primetime Robert Pattinson in the true story of the origins of "To Catch a Predator" |
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A look by distributor (thus far) - it's too early to rule anything out Some of these movies will be delayed. Some will die quick deaths upon release. Some will break out big. Some will be passed on to other distributors. Some will be released but hardly supported. At this point no one knows anything unless they're psychic... |
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20th Century
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A24
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Amazon/MGM
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Apple
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Black Bear
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Blcecker Street
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Briarcliff
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Disney
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Fathom
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Focus
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GKids
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IFC
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Janus Films
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Lionsgate
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Magnolia
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MUBI
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Music Box
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NEON
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Netflix
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Obscured Releasing
Oscilloscope
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Paramount
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Row K
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Searchlight
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Sony
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Sony Pictures Classics
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Strand
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Sumerian
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Universal
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Vertical
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Warner Bros
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Seeking Distribution or Distributor Unknown at this writing
Some of these movies will be delayed. Some will die quick deaths upon release. Some will break out big. Some will be passed on to other distributors. Some will be released but hardly supported. At this point no one knows anything unless they're psychic... |
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