Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress | Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation
91st Oscars. Predicted Nominees of 2018 (2019 Ceremony)- For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
OCTOBER 16TH PREDICTIONS
Ranked by likelihood of nomination in the categories (these charts are not about wins - that comes after nominations). Arrows indicate movement since last chart. "Lock" images are only possible once a film has opened in theaters and met eligibility requirements.
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Tier 1 - Predicted Frontrunners |
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A Star is Born
REVIEW | TRAILER | GAGA IN PINK |
Black Panther
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Roma (Alfonso Cuaron) A directorial achievement par excellence and emotionally moving too... as long as they stay with it. It won't play well on screeners given the very very slow build. But it's awesome. |
The Favourite Early reviews are ecstatic and Lanthimos cult has been building. Well loved triple actress threats should help, too. |
Green Book
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| Tier 3 - And a few of these but which... ? | ||||
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First Man
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BlacKkKlansman Can Focus keep this in the conversation despite the summer opening. It will surely (sadly) remain topical. We think it still has a good shot at a Best Pic nod given the mainstream appeal and Spike's shabby Oscar history that they surely feel guilty about. |
If Beale Street Could Talk A runner up for the People's Choice at TIFF which bodes well, since it doesn't play like a "crowd pleaser" but like a slow art piece drama. It's very beautiful to look at. |
Widows It's tough to tell if this will be a merely commercial hit or an Oscar player and could easily go either way since it's a strong suspenseful entertainment. |
Mary Poppins Returns Sure to be a hit when it opens but the question is 'how much of a hit?' If it's also instantly beloved you should expect some Oscar nominations but how many and will it be restricted only to technical fields or loved by each branch? |
| Tier 3 - Wild Cards | ||||
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Vice Is anyone in the mood for a Bush era movie right now? If they are, perhaps this will shake up the race at Christmas time. If not it could be a future 'this had Oscar buzz' episode. |
Can You Ever Forgive Me A wonderfully moving surprise with two terrific performances. That said the topic might be too niche for the larger Academy beyond the actors and writer's branches. |
The Mule
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Crazy Rich Asians
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A Quiet Place
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| Tier 4- Long Shots | ||||
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They Have Their Fans
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