Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / 2026 Ceremony
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
FIRST PREDICTIONS - JULY 11
NOMINATION VOTING: January 12-16, 2026
NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCEMENT: Thursday January 22, 2025
FINAL VOTING: February 26, 2025
OSCAR NIGHT: Sunday March 15, 2026
TIER 1 - The Biggest Deals These are the five films we're feeling best about (mostly) sight unseen. Are you also confident that they'll be major players? |
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WICKED FOR GOOD Jon M Chu (Universal) Nov 21 |
MARTY SUPREME Josh Safdie (A24) Dec 25 |
SENTIMENTAL VALUE Joachim Trier (Neon) Aug 20 |
SINNERS |
HAMNET Chloe Zhao (Focus) Nov 27 |
TIER 2- Also Likely to be Significant Players Though it's too early to know how far they'll soar or whether they'll be discarded from lukewarm reviews or lack of interest... or even an abrupt move to 2026 |
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ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER |
DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE Scott Cooper (20th Century) Oct 24 |
AFTER THE HUNT |
JAY KELLY Noah Baumbach (Netflix) Nov 14 |
BLUE MOON |
TIER 3 - POTENTIAL SPOILERS Though the race often narrows down to just 11 or 12 films it's way too early for that shallow of a pool. We shall see. |
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BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER Edward Berger (Netflix) Date TBA |
FRANKENSTEIN Guillermo del Toro |
THE SMASHING MACHINE |
F1 THE MOVIE Joseph Kosinski (Warner Bros) June 27 |
BUGONIA |
TIER 4 - Other Spoilers and Wild Cards. Will Any of These Films Catch On in Terms of Awards? Which films that we haven't yet even heard of explode at a fall film festival? |
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AVATAR FIRE AND ASH James Cameron (Disney) Dec 19 |
THE LOST BUS Paul Greengrass (Apple TV+) Date TBA |
ELLA MCKAY James L Brooks (20th Century) Dec 12 |
TRAIN DREAMS Clint Bentley (Netflix) Date TBA |
SONG SUNG BLUE Craig Brewer (Focus) Dec 25 |
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KISS OF THE SPIDER-WOMAN Bill Condon (Lionsgate) Oct 10 |
ANN LEE Mona Fastvold (Distributor TBA) Date TBA |
CAUGHT STEALING Darren Aronofsky (Sony) Aug 29 |
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MOVIES BY DISTRIBUTOR |
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A24
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Amazon MGM
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Apple TV+
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Bleecker Street
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Disney
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Focus Features
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IFC Films
Janus Films / Sideshow
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Lionsgate
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Magnolia
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MUBI
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NEON
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Netflix
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Paramount
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Searchlight
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Sony
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Sony Pictures Classics
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Universal
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Warner Bros
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No US Distributor Yet - Early in Year Festivals
No US Distributor Yet --Fall Festivals?
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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film