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First Best Actress Predix of the Year !

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"I hope Streep and McDormand sit this one out. " - JJM

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92nd Oscars. Predicted Nominees of 2019 (2020 Ceremony)- For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

 

Tier 1a Predictions

A Beautiful Day in the Nieghborhood
(Marielle Heller)
Tri-Star
Nov 22nd

Their favourite genre (kind of) plus two well loved actors. Plus its past time for Hanks to be back.

The Good Liar
(Bill Condon)
Warner Bros
Nov 15th

Advanced buzz is unexpectedly strong but is it hype or the real thing? Great leads and ideal release date.

Harriet
(Kasi Lemmons)
Focus
Release TBA

Their favourite genre + a much-needed big screen treatment of a legendary American.

The Goldfinch
(John Crowley)
Warner Bros
Sept 13th

If Brooklyn was indication he has an amazing career ahead. People love the book but will it transfer?

The Report
(Scott Z Burns)
Amazon
Release TBA

Good buzz out of Sundance and Hollywood is pissed off about GOP politics of late so the timing could be strong.

 
Tier 1b - And some of these ? 

1917
(Sam Mendes)
Universal
Dec 25th

An Oscar winning director with a big war epic. Oscar has liked those in the past.

JoJo Rabbit
(Taiki Waititi)
Fox Searchlight
Nov 27th

Could be a fresh wild card and the right mix of comedy and drama. Fox Searchlight knows how to push their movies.

Ford v Ferrarri
(James Mangold)
Fox
Nov 15th

Oscar prefers movies about men (sigh) and this and The Irishman are the biggest 'manly' spectacles on tap. Mangold has been rising of late.

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
(Quentin Tarantino)
Columbia
July 26th

Tarantino is hit and miss with Oscar voters but there's often one summer movie that goes the distance. Will this one be it?

Queen & Slim
(Melina Matsoukas)
Universal
Nov 27th (?)

Advance buzz is strong and the topic (police violence against black people) is all too timely. Could be a hot button zeitgeist choice.

 
Tier 2 - We might be underestimating...

The Irishman
(Martin Scorsese)
Netflix
Release TBA

Netflix will want this to be their next Roma but will it? Scorsese has been to this well multiple times. Too many times? If DeNiro and Pacino return to their former greatness though, watch out.

Pain & Glory
(Pedro Almodóvar)
SPC
Release TBA

Advance reviews are very strong but will Oscar come around to Pedro again? It's been awhile. They do like movies about movies, though and Banderas and Cruz will bring the glamor.

Nomadland

(Chloé Zhao)
Fox Searchlight
Release TBA

If she can capitalize on The Rider and if McDormand is sensational again this could be a surprise contender.

Ad Astra
(James Gray)
Fox
May 24th

It's unlikely to make its summer release date (goes the rumor due to the vfx) but if it's great, Gray is due for a breakthrough.

 

Untitled Roger Aisles Film (Jay Roach) Lionsgate 
Dec 20th

A timely topic and the all star cast might prove delicious and media-friendly as Oscar contenders go.

 
Tier 3- Too early to rule anything out!

Woman in the Window
(Joe Wright)
Fox
Oct 4th

Wright's films are often good but this one feels iffy, genre-wise for Oscar. A bit Rear Windowish. Will Oscar be in the mood for a thriller? Great release date, though.

Untitled Todd Haynes Project
(Todd Haynes)
Focus
Release TBA

He faltered with Wonderstruck but he's one of the all time greats and long past due for a Best Picture/Best Director Oscar breakthrough.

The Farewell
(Lulu Wang)
A24
July 12th

A rave-reviewed breakthrough and one of several options for those voters seeking diverse artists in their awards hopefuls. But Sundance raves and real world campaigns are different.

Little Women
(Greta Gerwig)
Columbia
Dec 25th

It's biggest test will be how necessary it feels, given that the story has been filmed several times. Could be more commercial than awards friendly but who knows.

The Last Black Man in San Francisco
(Joe Talbot)
A24
June 14th

Another Sundance hit that's trying summer counterprogramming. Will critics get behind this in release? Will it find an appreciative audience?

 
Tier 4 - Other Movies of Interest

(ALPHA ORDER)

  • The Aeronauts (Tom Harper) Amazon Release TBA
  • Avengers: Endgame (Joe & Anthony Russo) Disney April 26th
  • Aladdin (Guy Ritchie) Disney May 24th
  • Blinded by the Light (Gurinder Chadha) Warner Bros Aug 14th
  • Cats (Tom Hooper) Universal Dec 20th
  • Downhill (Nat Fazon & Jim Rash) Fox Searchlight Release TBA
  • Downton Abbey (Michael Engler) Focus Sept 20th
  • Gemini Man (Ang Lee) Paramount October 11th
  • It: Chapter Two (Andy Muschietti) Warner Bros Sept 6th
  • Joker (Todd Philipps) Warner Bros Oct 4th
  • Judy (Rupert Goold) Roadside Attractions Sept 27th
  • The Kitchen (Andrea Berloff) Warner Bros August 9th
  • Knives Out (Rian Johnson) Lionsgate November 27th
  • Late Night (Nisha Ganatra) Amazon June 7th
  • The Lighthouse (Robert Eggers) A24 Release TBA
  • The Lion King (Jon Favreau) Disney July 19th
  • Last Christmas (Paul Feig) Universal November 15th
  • The Laundromat (Steven Soderberg) Netflix Release TBA
  • Long Shot (Johnathan Levine) Lionsgate May 3rd
  • Luce (Julius Onah) Neon Aug 2nd
  • Lucy in the Sky (Noah Hawley)
  • Midway (Roland Emmerich) Lionsgate Nov 8th
  • Motherless Brooklyn (Edward Norton) Warner Bros November 1st
  • Normal People (Lisa Barros D'Sa & Glenn Leyburn) Bleecker Street Release TBA
  • Personal History of David Copperfield (Arnando Iannucci) Distributor Release ?
  • The Pope (Fernando Meirelles) Netflix Release TBA
  • Radioactive (Marjane Satrapi) Amazon Release TBA
  • Rocketman (Dexter Fletcher) Paramount May 31st
  • Star Wars Episode IX (JJ Abrams) Disney Dec 20th
  • Terminator Dark Fate (Tim Miller) Fox/Paramount Nov 1st
  • Tolkien (Dome Karukoski) Fox Searchlight May 10th
  • Torrance (Gavin O'Connor) Warner Bros Oct 18th
  • The Truth (Hirokazu Kore-eda) IFC Release TBA
  • Wendy (Benh Zeitlin) Release TBA
  • Where'd You Go Bernadette? (Richard Linklater) UA August 9th
  • Yesterday (Danny Boyle) Universal June 28th

WE'RE ASUMMING NOT UNTIL 2020

  • The Glorias: A Life on the Road (Julie Taymor)
  • Chaos Walking (Doug Liman sci-fi)
  • Promising Young Woman (Focus Features. Carey Mulligan stars)
  • West Side Story (SPEILBERG remake)
  • Z (joana cuaron gael garcia
  • George & Tammy (Tate Taylor directs Jessica Chastain again)
  • The Good Nurse (Jessica Chastain)
  • Lamborghini: The Legend (Antonio Banderas stars)
  • Untitld Christopher Nolan Film