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92nd Oscars. Predicted Nominees of 2019 (2020 Ceremony)- For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
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Tier 1a Predictions |
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A Beautiful Day in the Nieghborhood Their favourite genre (kind of) plus two well loved actors. Plus its past time for Hanks to be back. |
The Good Liar Advanced buzz is unexpectedly strong but is it hype or the real thing? Great leads and ideal release date. |
Harriet Their favourite genre + a much-needed big screen treatment of a legendary American. |
The Goldfinch If Brooklyn was indication he has an amazing career ahead. People love the book but will it transfer? |
The Report Good buzz out of Sundance and Hollywood is pissed off about GOP politics of late so the timing could be strong. |
| Tier 1b - And some of these ? | ||||
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1917 An Oscar winning director with a big war epic. Oscar has liked those in the past. |
JoJo Rabbit Could be a fresh wild card and the right mix of comedy and drama. Fox Searchlight knows how to push their movies. |
Ford v Ferrarri Oscar prefers movies about men (sigh) and this and The Irishman are the biggest 'manly' spectacles on tap. Mangold has been rising of late. |
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Tarantino is hit and miss with Oscar voters but there's often one summer movie that goes the distance. Will this one be it? |
Queen & Slim Advance buzz is strong and the topic (police violence against black people) is all too timely. Could be a hot button zeitgeist choice. |
| Tier 2 - We might be underestimating... | ||||
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The Irishman Netflix will want this to be their next Roma but will it? Scorsese has been to this well multiple times. Too many times? If DeNiro and Pacino return to their former greatness though, watch out. |
Pain & Glory Advance reviews are very strong but will Oscar come around to Pedro again? It's been awhile. They do like movies about movies, though and Banderas and Cruz will bring the glamor. |
Nomadland (Chloé Zhao) If she can capitalize on The Rider and if McDormand is sensational again this could be a surprise contender. |
Ad Astra It's unlikely to make its summer release date (goes the rumor due to the vfx) but if it's great, Gray is due for a breakthrough.
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Untitled Roger Aisles Film (Jay Roach) Lionsgate A timely topic and the all star cast might prove delicious and media-friendly as Oscar contenders go. |
| Tier 3- Too early to rule anything out! | ||||
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Woman in the Window Wright's films are often good but this one feels iffy, genre-wise for Oscar. A bit Rear Windowish. Will Oscar be in the mood for a thriller? Great release date, though. |
Untitled Todd Haynes Project He faltered with Wonderstruck but he's one of the all time greats and long past due for a Best Picture/Best Director Oscar breakthrough. |
The Farewell A rave-reviewed breakthrough and one of several options for those voters seeking diverse artists in their awards hopefuls. But Sundance raves and real world campaigns are different. |
Little Women It's biggest test will be how necessary it feels, given that the story has been filmed several times. Could be more commercial than awards friendly but who knows. |
The Last Black Man in San Francisco Another Sundance hit that's trying summer counterprogramming. Will critics get behind this in release? Will it find an appreciative audience? |
| Tier 4 - Other Movies of Interest | ||||
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(ALPHA ORDER)
WE'RE ASUMMING NOT UNTIL 2020
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