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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

OFFICIAL SUBMISSIONS
most recent update: 10/05/2025
CHART 3: PALESTINE through VIETNAM
28 of 86 submissions

 

Palestine
2 nominations | + 1 finalist
submitting since 2003

PALESTINE '36
AnneMarie Jacir
no US distiribution yet

115 minutes
Arabic, Hebrew, English

This one is a historical drama about Palestine revolt against British colobnial rule. Oscar winner Jeremy Irons co-stars. 

Trivia: This is the fourth time Palestine has sent AnneMarie Jacir which makes her their more frequently submitted director. The honor was previously held by Hany Abu-Assad.

3 key submissions:
2017- Wajib
2013 - Omar
2005 - Paradise Now

Panama
never nominated | + 1 finalist | submitting since 2014)

BELOVED TROPIC
dir. Ana Endara
no US distribution yet

108 minutes
Spanish

A drama about the relationship between an elderly woman with dementia and her caregiver. It's been a prizewinner at multiple festivals and stars the great actress Paulina Garcia (Gloria, Little Men)

 3 key submissions:
2021 - Plaza Catedral
2019 - Everybody Changes
2014 - Invasion

 

 

Papa New Guinea
never nominated | submitting since 2025

PAPA BUKA
dir. Bijukumar Damodaron
no US distribution yet

70 minutes
Tok Pisin, Hindi, English, Bengali

A group led by the guide Papa Buka travels remote villages collecting WW II stories about battles with Japan.

THIS IS PAPA NEW GUINEA'S FIRST SUBMISSION

Paraguay
never nominated | submitting since 2015

UNDER THE FLAGS, THE SUN
dir. Juanjo Pereira
no US distribution yet

90 minutes
Spanish

This debut documentary premiered at Berlinale. It's a visual history of how the dictatorship used media propaganda to stay in power.

3 key submissions:
2022- Eami
2020 - Nothing But the Sun
2018 - The Heiresses

 

Peru
1 nomination |
submitting since 1967

MOTHERLAND
dir. Marco Panatonic
No US Distribution
Yet

157 minutes
Quecha & Spanish

This drama about a man who wants to become an engineer but doesn't want to leave his family behind has been gestating for over a decade. It won several awards at the Lima Film Festival and at the APRECI awards

Not Selected:
The other possibilities were:Ashes the MovieMistura
Nanito,
 Quadrilateral , and Zafari

3 key submissions:
2019 Retablo
2010 - Undertow
2009 - Milk of Sorrow

 

Philippines
never nominated |  submitting since 1956*

MAGELLAN
Dir. Lav Diaz
TBA in US
Janus Films

160 minutes
Spanish, Portuguese, Tagalog, English

A biographical picture about Magellan and his  wife in 1517 before his Spanish expedition

Not Selected:
The other six finalists for this honor were  Feed Delivery, Green Bones, Hello Love Again, Some Nights I Feel Like Walking, Song of the Fireflies, and Sunshine.

3 key submissions
2016 - Ma Rosa
2012 - Bwakaw
2006 - The Blossoming of Maximo Oliveros

*Philippines even submitted once in 1953 before the category was an official one and they were just giving discretionary Honorary Oscars

 

Poland
13 nominations | 1 win submitting since 1963

FRANZ
dir. Agniezska Holland
no US distribution yet

127 minutes
Czech, German

A biopic on the writer Franz Kafka.

This is Holland's 3rd submission from her native Poland (after the nominated In Darkness and Spoor  but her 5th submission overall. She's also been sent by Germany (the nominated Angry Harvest) and the Czech Republic (he fCharlatan).

3 must-see classic nominees:
2018 - Cold War
1981 - Man of Iron
1963.- Knife in the Water

 

Portugal
never nominated |  submitting since 1980

BANZO
dir. Margarida Cardosono US distribution yet

127 minutes
Portugueuse

A drama examining the legacy of Portugueese colonialism. Set in the 1900s it's about a doctor (Carlota Cotta of Diamantino fame) serving as a plantation physician who struggles to understand his patient's melancholia.

Not Selected:
The other four finalists for this honor: Dreaming of Lions, The Englishman's Papers ,  Hanami , and The Survivors

3 key submissions:
2024 - Grand Tour
2020 - Vitalina Varela
2015 - Arabian Nights Vol 2 - the Desolate Ones

 

 

 

Romania
1 nomination | +1 finalist | submitting since 1966

TRAFFIC
dir. Teodora Mihai
No US Distribution Yet

119 minutes
Romanian

A drama about Romanian immigrants in a big Flemish city. The film is written by Cristian Mungiu, of 4 Months 3 Weeks and 2 Days and Beyond the Hills fame. 

3 underdiscussed submissions
2024 - Three Kilometers to the End of the World
2015 - Aferim!
2013 -Child's Pose

Senegal
never nominated | + 3 finalists | submitting since 2017

DEMBA
dir. Mamadou Dia
no US distribution yet

119 minutes
Fula

A grief drama about a widower approaching the anniversary of his wife's death.

They've done very well with submissions thus far with a full half of them making the finalist list. How long until the first nomination?

3 excellent finalists:
2024 - Dahomey
2019 - Atlantics
2017 - Felicite

 

Serbia
never nominated | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1994

SUN NEVER AGAIN
dir. David Javonovic
no US distribution yet

72 minutes
Serbian

A directorial debut about a father struggling with industrialization who is inspired by his son's imagination.

not selected:
While there was no announcement of a finalist list we do know that they were also looking at Pearlescent Fog by Milorad Milinkovic (who was submitted two years ago for The Duke and the Poet

3 key submissions:
2020 - Dara of Jasenovic
2013 - Circles
2007 - The Trap

Singapore
never nominated |
submitting since 1959 and regularly since 2005 

STRANGER EYES
dir. Yeo Siew Hua
No US distribution yet

126 minutes
Mandarin, Hokkien

A psychological thriller about a man who begins receiving videos of himself after his daughter goes missing. Who is the culprit?

3 key submissions:
2022 - Ajooma
2020 - Wet Season2016 - The Apprentice

Slovakia
never nominated* | 
submitting since 1993

FATHER
dir. Tereza Nvotova
No US Distribution Yet

102 minutes
Slovak

A man's life is shattered when his wife calls revealing their baby has disappeared from daycare.

I BEG filmmakers to stop calling their films Father or Mother. Do you want it to be hard to find and instantly confused with 17 other films? 

3 key submissions:
2022 - Victim
2021 - 107 Mothers
2011 - Gypsy

 

Slovenia
never nominated | submitting since 1993

LITTLE TROUBLE GIRLS
dir. Urska Djukic
no US distribution yet - Cinematography Winner Tribeca

89 minutes
Slovene

Tells the story of a friendship between two girls at a Catholic girls school. 

3 key submissions:
2020 - Stories from the Chestnut Woods
2015 - The Tree
2013 - Class Enemy


South Africa
2 noms | 1 win | + 2 finalists |  submitting since 1989

THE HEART IS A MUSCLE
dir. Imran Hamdulay
no US distribution yet

89 minutes
Afrikaans & English

A directorial debut thriller about a man forced to confront his own violent tendencies when his son suddenly goes missing; he suspects a local gang.

3 key submissions
2017 -The Wound
2011 - Beauty
2010 - Life Above All

 

 

South Korea
1 nom | 1 win | + 2 finalists |  submitting since 1962

NO OTHER CHOICE
dir. Park Chan-wook
Dec 25th in US
NEON

139 minutes
Korean

Reviewed at Venice

In this dark socioeconomic thriller, a man decides to do away with more competent rivals when he loses his job. 

Park Chan-wook, one of South Korea's most acclaimed auteurs, made the finals with Decision to Leave (2022)

Not Selected
  18 other films were eligible for this honor 

3 amazing snubbed submissions:
2018 - Burning
2009 - Mother
2003 - Spring Summer Fall Winter and Spring

Spain
21 noms | 4 wins | + 3 finalists | submitting since 1956

SIRAT
dir. Oliver Laxe

115 minutes
Spanish

Cannes Review

Sergi Lopez (With a Friend Like Harry) stars in this twisty film about a father searching for his daughter in the deserts of Morocco.

Not Selected:
 From a long list of 23 eligibla contenders they chose three finalists. The other two were Deaf by Eva Libertad and the third feature from Carla Simon Romeria by Carla Simon (who was submitted for her first two)

3 best 21st century submissions:
2019 - Pain and Glory
2012 - Blancanieves
2006 - Volver

Sweden
16 noms | 3 wins | + 4 finalists | submitting since 1956

EAGLES OF THE REPUBLIC
dir. Tarek Salah
no US distribution yet

129 minutes
Arabic

Reviewed at TIFF

An Egyptian movie star, in trouble with the authorities is given an offer he can't refuse in this thriller. Salah's last submission Cairo Conspiracy made the finals but was not nominated. 

Not Selected: The other finalists were: a romcom  Dance Club, and a documentary called Israel Palestine on Swedish TV 1958-1989

3 brilliant snubbed submissions:
2019 - And Then We Danced
2015 - A Pigeon Sat on a Branch...
2014 - Force Majeure

Switzerland
5 noms | 2 wins | + 3 finalists | submitting since 1961

LATE SHIFT
Petra Volpe
no US distribution yet

92 minutes
German

A drama about a night nurse starring Leonie Benesch (September 5, Teacher's Lounge, Babylon Berlin). Switzerland hasn't been nominated since 1990 (when they won for Journey of Hope)

Not Selected: 
The other two finalists were the Spanish language Hanami (which is also a finalist for ) and the 1968 set drama The Safe House

3 Swiss finalists
2016 My Life as a Zucchini
2012 -Sister
2006 - Vitus

Taiwan
3 noms | 1 win | + 2 finalists | submitting since 1957

LEFT-HANDED GIRL
dir Shih-Ching Tsou
Nov 14 in US, Netflix

109 minutes
Mandarin, Taiwanese

Reviewed at TIFF

A single mother and her two daughters open a stall at the night market in Taipei in this drama

3 noteworthy snubbed submissions
2019 - Dear Ex
2015 - The Assassin
2003 - Goodbye Dragon Inn

 

Tajikstan
never nominated | submitting infrequently since 1999

BLACK RABBIT WHITE RABBIT
dir. Shahram Mokri
no US distribution yet

139 minutes
Tajik, Russian

An interconnected stories drama set off by a man dying during an illegal gun deal in an antique shop.

only previous submissions
2024 - Melody
2005 - Sex & Philosophy
1999 - Luna Papa

Thailand
never nominated | + 1 finalist| submitting since 1984

A USEFUL GHOST
Ratchapoom Boonbunchchachoke
TBD in US, Cineverse

130 minutes
Thai

In this dark comedy (which won Critics Week at Cannes) a dead wife's spirit takes residence in a vacuum cleaner to protect her widowed husband. This is a directorial debut.

Thailand scored their first finalst mention just last year with the charming How to Make Millions Before Grandma Dies.

3 key Thai submissions:
2024 - How to Make Millions...
2010 - Uncle Boonmee Who Can...
2003 - Last Life in the Universe

Tunisia
1 nomination |
submitting since 1995

THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB
dir. Kaouther Ben Hana
no US distribution yet despite its festival success

89 minutes
Arabic

A true story, told minute by minute, about a small Palestinian girl and the rescue workers who tried to send an ambulance to her while under fire from the IDF

3 previous Kaouther Ben Hana submissions:
2023 - Four Daughters
2020 - The Man Who Sold His Skin
2018 - Beauty and the Dogs

 

Turkey
never nominated | 1 finalist | submitting since 1964

ONE OF THESE DAYS WHEN HEMME DIES
Murat Firatoglu
no US distribution yet

83 minutes
Turkish

A drama about a man working in a tomato field who plans to kill his boss who hasn't paid him his wages. This is a directorial debut and Firatoglu also stars in the movie.

3 key submissions:
2022 - Kerr
2015 - Sivas
2011 -Once Upon a Time in Anatolia

Ukraine
never nominated | 
submitting since 1997

2000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
dir. Mstyslav Chernov
no US distribution yet

108 minutes
Ukrainian, English

A documentary about a journalist following a platoon towards Russian occupied Andriivka.  Chernov was previously submitted for 20 Days in Mariupol (2023) which made the finals.

Not Selected:
The other finalists were made up of five  docs DiviaFull Force
One Summer in
Ukraine
Timestamp
and Warning! Life Goes On. and two narrative features Bucha  and Stepne, the latter being the only finalist that wasn't about the current war with Russia. 

3 key submissions:
2023 - 20 Days in Mariupol
2020 - Atlantis
2018 - Donbass

 

 

Uruguay
noms

DON'T YOU LET ME GO
dir. Ana Guevara and Leticia Jorge
No US Distribution Yet

71 minutes
Spanish

A drama about a female friendship, recalled after one of them has died. (Leticia Jorge as a solo director was previously submitted for Aleli in 2020)

3 key submissions:
2018 - A Twelve Year Night
2009 - Bad Day to Go Fishing
2004 - Whisky

Venezuela
never nominated | 1 finalist | submitting since 1978

ALI PRIMERA
dir. Daniel Yegres
no US distribution yet

120 minutes
Spanish

A cradle to tomb biopic about the titular singer songwriter. 

3 key submissions:
2019 - Being Impossible
2016 - From Afar
2014 - The Liberator

Vietnam
1 nomination
(submitting since 1993)

RED RAIN
dir. Dang Thai Huyen
no US distribution yet

124 minutes
Vietnamese & English

A historical war epic about a squadron of soldiers during the Vietnam war. It's the highest grossing film ever in Vietnam (outgrossing even the Hollywood blockbusters)

3 key submissions
2019 - Furie
2005 - The Buffalo Boy
2000 - Vertical Ray of the Sun

Current International Feature Predictions

Pt 1 AFGHANISTAN to GUATEMALA

Pt 2 HAITI to  NORWAY

PAKISTAN
RUSSIA
SAUDI ARABIA
SUDAN
UNITED KINGDOM
and
UZBEKISTAN

apparently did not submit this year. 

 

 

 

 

STATS and PREDICTIONS

• Chart 1 - ALABANIA through GREENLAND  
• Chart 2 - HAITI through NORWAY