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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. All material herein is written by our team. (This site is not for profit but for an expression of love for cinema & adjacent artforms.)

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Oscar Predictions
for the 96th Academy Awards
2023 FILM YEAR
/ 2024 OSCAR CEREMONY
CURRENT DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS RACE

 

AND THE OSCARS GO TO...

UPDATED WITH WINNERS 03/11/2024

OSCAR NIGHT: March 10th, 2024

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discuss on the blog

BEST PICTURE

AMERICAN FICTION
•
ANATOMY OF
•
BARBIE

•
HOLDOVERS
•
KILLERS OF THE...
•
MAESTRO
•
★ OPPENHEIMER
•
PAST LIVES
•
POOR THINGS
•
ZONE OF INTEREST

predicted 10/10


OPPENHEIMER

BEST DIRECTOR 

Jonathan Glazer
ZONE OF INTEREST
•
Yorgos Lanthimos
POOR THINGS
•
★ Chris Nolan
OPPENHEIMER
•
Martin Scorsese
KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
•
Justine Triet
ANATOMY OF

predicted 4/5

Nolan

 BEST ACTRESS

Annette Bening
NYAD
•
Lily Gladstone

KILLER OF THE...
•
Sandra Hüller
ANATOMY OF...
•
Carey Mulligan
MAESTRO
•
★ Emma Stone
POOR THINGS

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
Gladstone

BEST ACTOR

Bradley Cooper
MAESTRO
•
Colman Domingo
RUSTIN
•
Paul Giamatti
HOLDOVERS
•
★ Cillian Murphy
OPPENHEIMER
•
Jeffrey Wright
AMERICAN FICTION

predicted 5/5

PREDICTED WINNER
Murphy

SUPP ACTRESS

Emily Blunt
OPPENHEIMER
•
Danielle Brooks
COLOR PURPLE
•
America Ferrera
BARBIE
•
Jodie Foster
NYAD
•
★ Da'Vine Joy Randolph
THE HOLDOVERS

predicted 5/5

PREDICTED WINNER
Randolph

SUPP' ACTOR 

Sterling K Brown
AMERICAN FICTION
•
Robert De Niro
KILLERS OF FLOWER...
•
★ Robert Downey Jr

OPPENHEIMER
•
Ryan Gosling
BARBIE
•
Mark Ruffalo
POOR THINGS

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
Downey Jr

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

★ ANATOMY OF A FALL
Triet
•
THE HOLDOVERS

Hemingson
•
MAESTRO
Cooper & Singer
•
MAY DECEMBER

Burch & Mechanik
•
PAST LIVES
Song

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
ANATOMY OF A FALL

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

★ AMERICAN FICTION
Jefferson
•
BARBIE
Baumbach & Grerwig
•
OPPENHEIMER
Nolan
•
POOR THINGS
McNamara
•
ZONE OF INTEREST
Glazer

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
AMERICAN FICTION

CINEMATOGRAPHY

EL CONDE
Lachman
•
KILLERS OF

Prieto

•
MAESTRO
Libatique
•
★ OPPENHEIMER
Hoytema
•
POOR THINGS
Ryan

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

COSTUME DESIGN

BARBIE
Durran
•
KILLERS OF...
West
•
NAPOLEON
Yates
•
OPPENHEIMER
Mirojnick
•
★ POOR THINGS
Waddington

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
POOR THINGS

PRODUCTION DESIGN

BARBIE
Greenwood
•
KILLERS OF THE...
Fisk
•
NAPOLEON

OPPENHEIMER
De Jong
•
★ POOR THINGS
Heath & Price

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
POOR THINGS

FILM EDITING

ANATOMY OF A FALL
Senechal
•
HOLDOVERS
Tent
•
KILLERS OF THE...
Schoonmaker
•

★ OPPENHEIMER
Lame
•
POOR THINGS
...

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

CREATOR
•
★ GODZILLA MINUS ONE
•
GUARDIANS VOL 3
•
MISSION IMPOSSIBLE
•
NAPOLEON

predicted 3/5

PREDICTED WINNER
MISSION IMPOSSIBLE

MAKEUP & HAIR

GOLDA
•
MAESTRO

•
OPPENHEIMER
•
★ POOR THINGS
•
SOCIETY OF THE SNOW

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

INTERNATIONAL FILM 

IO CAPITANO
Italy
•
PERFECT DAYS
Japan
•
TEACHERS LOUNGE
Germany
•
SOCIETY OF THE SNOW
Spain
•
★ ZONE OF INTEREST 
UK

predicted 2/5

PREDICTED WINNER
THE ZONE OF INTEREST

ORIGINAL SCORE

AMERICAN FICTION
Karpman
•
DIAL OF DESTINY

Williams
•
KILLERS OF THE...
Roberston
•
★ OPPENHEIMER
Goransson
•
POOR THINGS
Fendrix

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

ORIGINAL SONG 

"It Never Went Away"
AMERICAN SYMPHONY
•
"I'm Just Ken"
BARBIE
•
★ What Was I Made For?"

BARBIE
•
"Fire Inside"
FLAMIN' HOT
•
"Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)"
KILLERS OF...

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
BARBIE

SOUND

THE CREATOR
•

MAESTRO
•
MISSION IMPOSSIBLE
•
OPPENHEIMER

•
★ ZONE OF INTEREST

predicted 3/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

ANIMATED FILM

★ BOY AND THE HERON
•
ELEMENTAL

•
NIMONA
•
ROBOT DREAMS
•
SPIDER-MAN ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

predicted 3/5

PREDICTED WINNER
THE BOY AND THE HERON

DOCUMENTARY

BOBI WINE
•
ETERNAL MEMORY
•
FOUR DAUGHTERS
•
TO KILL A TIGER
•
★ 20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL

predicted 3/5

PREDICTED WINNER
20. DAYS IN MARIUPOL

   

 

SHORTS, DOCUMENTARY

ABCS OF BOOK BANNING
•
BARBER OF LITTLE ROCK
•
ISLAND IN BETWEEN
•
★ LAST REPAIR SHOP
•
NAI NAI & WAI PO

predicted 1/5

PREDICTED WINNER
LAST REPAIR SHOP

SHORTS, LIVE ACTION

THE AFTER
•
INVINCIBLE
•
KNIGHT OF FORTUNE

•
RED WHITE AND BLUE
•
★ WONDERFUL STORY OF HENRY SUGAR

predicted 2/5

PREDICTED WINNER
WONDERFUL STORY OF HENRY SUGAR

SHORTS, ANIMATED

LETTER TO A PIG
•
NINETY-FIVE SENSES
•
OUR UNIFORM
•
PACHYDERME
•
★ WAR IS OVER...

predicted 2/5

PREDICTED WINNER
WAR IS OVER

 

 

sound off on the Oscar race

 

ACTUAL NOMINATION TALLIES
(number in parenthesis is what we predicted for the film)

13 nominations
OPPENHEIMER (13)

11 nominations
POOR THINGS (10)

10 nominations
KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (11)

8 nominations
BARBIE (12)

7 nominations
MAESTRO (7)

5 nominations
HOLDOVERS (5)
AMERICAN FICTION (4)
ANATOMY OF A FALL (4)
ZONE OF INTEREST (4)

3 nominations
NAPOLEON (0) in a shock -- the most nominations for a non Best Picture nominee

2 nominations
THE CREATOR (1)
MISSION IMPOSSIBLE: DEAD RECKONING PT 1 (0) first nominations EVER for this franchise
PAST LIVES (2)  least nominations for a Best Picture nominee as predicted
SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (2)

single nomination
20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL (2)
ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (3)
AMERICAN SYMPHONY (2)
THE COLOR PURPLE (2)
ELEMENTAL

(1)
INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY (2)
MAY DECEMBER (1)
RUSTIN (1)
THE BOY AND THE HERON (1)
ETERNAL MEMORY (1)
FALLEN LEAVES (1)
FLAMIN' HOT (1)
GOLDA (0)
GODZILLA PLUS ONE (1
GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 (1)
IO CAPITANO (0)

THE BOY AND THE HERON (1)
PERFECT DAYS (0)
TEACHERS LOUNGE (0)
TO KILL A TIGER (1)

 

 

shut out
ALL OF US STRANGERS (0)
ASTEROID CITY (0)
ARE YOU THERE GOD IT'S ME MARGARET (0)
BEYOND UTOPIA (1)
CHICKEN RUN DAWN OF THE NUGGET (1)
IRON CLAW (0)
SALTBURN (3)
SUZUME (1)
THE TASTE OF THINGS (
1)
WISH (0)

WONKA (0)

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