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96th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2023 / CEREMONY: March 10th, 2024
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

  

And the Nominees Are...


Emily Blunt

(40 yrs old | first nomination!)
Oppenheimer

July 21
Universal

Danielle Brooks
(34 yrs old | first nomination!)
The Color Purple

Dec 25
Warner Bros

America Ferrera

(39 yrs old | first nomination!)
Barbie

July 21
Warner Bros

Jodie Foster

(61 yrs old | 5th nom | 2 wins)
Nyad

Oct 20
Netflix

Da'Vine Joy Randolph
(37 yrs old | first nomination!)
The Holdovers

Nov 10
Focus
Who Should Win (Vote Daily)
 
How'd I Do on Predictions?
 I got 5/5... whoohoo -- correctly guessing that America Ferrera would land here despite little precursor love for the phenomenon of "Barbie" 
Who Was Left Out?
 One imagines that Penelope Cruz came close for Ferrari given the SAG nod. The precursors, beyond LAFCA, did Rachel McAdams dirty as she should plainly have been in contention. Two more contenders that probably received some votes were  Julianne Moore for her leading role in May December and Rosamund Pike for Saltburn as it was surging a bit during the nomination period (though no nominations actually materialized so perhaps the enthusiasm was "internet only". 
Who Will Win?
 Da'Vine Joy Randolph is a sweeper.

 

How'd They Get Nominated?
 It helps to be in the Best Picture frontrunner! Also the Academy knows they're late to the Emily Blunt party.  It helps to be the very-obvious MVP of your movie. Especially if that movie has pedigree of some kind and is being "considered" Her monologue was endlessly discussed and the campaign was relentless and EVERYONE saw the movie. Plus she's very likeable!  WELCOME BACK!  It helps to get a juicy role in a film by a director who is good at leading actors to nomination. Her career momentum with a lot of recent work surely helped too.
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