Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Dir
Screenplays | Visual | Aural | Animation | International Feature
94th Oscars. The Predicted Nominees of 2021
CEREMONY: March 27th, 2022
AND THE OSCAR GOES TO... WILL SMITH
AND THE NOMINEES WERE
Oscar stats below reflect acting categories only
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
Javier Bardem Role: TV star and bandleader Desi Arnaz during a crisis filled week during the taping of I Love Lucy |
Benedict Cumberbatch wins: NYFCC
Role: An educated hyper masculine rancher makes life hell for his new sister-in-law but is fascinated by her college student son. |
Andrew Garfield wins: Globes and a handful of critics groups
Role: The composer of Rent struggles to make his mark on Broadway |
Will Smith WINNER wins: Globes, NBR. and a few critics groups
Role: The father of two young girls raises them as tennis prodigies and his faith never waivers. The rest is history |
Denzel Washington wins: 1 critics group
Role: The ambitious murderous Duke who became King. |
| READER'S CHOICE POLL - VOTE DAILY | ||||
|
|
||||
| HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS? | ||||
| 4/5 Missing Bardem. I thought a complete SAG Five transfer was too easy a call and thought DiCpario or Cage might surprise. | ||||
| WHO WAS LEFT OUT? | ||||
| Globe nominees Leonardo DiCaprio (Don't Look Up), Peter Dinklage (Cyrano), Mahershala Ali (Swan Song) for one. Though we're sadder to have lost the critical darlings Simon Rex (Red Rocket) and Nicolas Cage (Pig) | ||||
| WHO WILL WIN? | ||||
| This has been Will Smith's to lose for some time and the overall nomination tally of King Richard, hitting in all the right categories, suggests that he won't. But if there's an upset it'll be Benedict Cumberbatch as it would be a good time in his career to honor him and the performance is special. | ||||
| WHO SHOULD WIN? | ||||
| You can see my own ballot here. | ||||
|
HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED? |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
| 30% Role. They love stars playing other stars 14% Nicole Kidman. His & Hers nominations 13% His competition was either in little seen films or non-Oscary roles 12% Performance. 11% Precursor support + Recency Bias 10% He's Javier Bardem. They've even honored him twice for subtitled work. 4% The novelty of his musical numbers 3% I Love Lucy nostalgia 2% Penélope Cruz. His & Hers nominations 1% The Good Boss |
35% Performance. It's major and also benefits from against-type surprise 19% Role / Bait. Meaty and complex. Oscar loves men in 'love to hate him' roles. And straight actors playing gay. 15% Steady Campaign / Frontrunning Film. 11% Unfailing Precursor support + Critical raves 8% "Bronco Henry" memes 7% Kodi Smit-McPhee 4% Jane Campion's mystique rubs off 1% Doctor Strange |
33% Performance / Super high energy, emotionally charged 20% Role: Oscar loves biopics about showbiz 18% Campaign. He's a charmer and works hard in promo efforts 10% Precursor support + Critical raves 8% Film. That editing nomination suggests it was close to a Best Picture nod 6% Spider-Man mania 3% Passionate movie-musical fanbase 2% Chemistry with Robin De Jesus |
25% Role: Oscar loves biopics. 23% Performance: Entertaining. Heartfelt. Dimensional personality. 19% He's Will Smith. Superstar Overdue Narrative 'it's time' 13% Film. Best Picture heat goes a long way. 10% Precursor support. Unwavering. 8% Lively screen partners in Aunjanue Ellis and Jon Bernthal and Saniyaa Sidney hardly letting him coast through any scene 2% Venus & Serena fandom |
54% He's Denzel Washington. He literally gets nominated every time he challenges himself outside of B genres like his many man with a gun action/crime films. 21% Performance/Role: Oscar is fickle about Shakespeare but it's meaty prestige stuff for actors 10% Precursor support 9% Recency bias. Fresh in their minds during voting. 5% Film / Director. Voters always pick the Coens from their overwhelming screening pile. 1% Kathryn Hunter |
|
TRIVIA TRIVIA TRIVIA |
||||
|
• Star Sign Pisces • Birthplace: Las Palmas, Spain • Married to Penélope Cruz. They have two kids • He has won an incredible 7 Goyas (the Spanish Oscars essentially). He has the most nominations and wins of any male actor (12/7)... though one of those is for producing a Documentary • He is descended from a showbiz family and his mother, Pilar (who died last year) was also a Goya Award winning actor. • He's the only one of these five men to be in a Bond film. |
• Star Sign Cancer • Birthplace: London, UK. His parents were actors. • Married, with three children • He is vegan • Co-starred with his fellow nominee Andrew Garfield in this year's top grossing film Spider-Man No Way Home • Has been in five Shakespeare plays but coincidentally, none of the same ones as fellow nominee Denzel who has done 3 Shakespeares on stage and 2 on film) |
• Star Sign Leo • Birthplace: Los Angeles, California --his father is American and his mother British. He moved to England whe he was three. He has dual citizenship • Single • He was nominated for an Olivier and won the Tony Award as the lead of the most recent revival of Angels in America • The shortest of the lead actor nominees this year at 5'10" |
• Star Sign Libra • Birthplace: Philadelphia, PA • Married to Jada Pinkett Smith. He has three kids, two of whom pursued showbiz themselves • He is the tallest of the lead actor nominees this year at 6'2" • All three of his nominations come from playing real life men. |
• Star Sign Capricorn • Birthplace: Mount Vernon, New York • Married with four children, the eldest of whom John David Washington is now also in the movies. • With this 9th acting nod he is now one of Oscar's all time top six • He is the only one of these five nominees who has never played a gay role • Has won a Tony Award but has yet to triple crown since he rarely does TV • He's the only one of these five to have never played either a superhero or a supernatural villain |
Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Dir
Screenplays | Visual | Aural | Animation | International Feature