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Oscar Takeaways
12 thoughts from the big night

 

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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2022 / CEREMONY: March 12th, 2023
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

  

AND THE WINNER IS...  EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
(The Daniels)
A24
March 25th

REVIEW | SPLIT DECISION 

11 nominations / 7 wins

BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

(Martin McDonagh)
Searchlight
Oct 21st

REVIEW | SPLIT DECISION 

9 nominations

 ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
(Edward Berger)
Netflix
Oct 28th

REVIEW | SPLIT DECISION 

9 nominations / 4 wins *tying a record

ELVIS
(Baz Luhrmann)
Warner Bros
June 24th

SPLIT DECISION

8 nominations

 

THE FABELMANS
(Steven Spielberg)
Universal
Nov 23rd

REVIEW | SPLIT DECISION 

7 nominations

TÁR
(Todd Field)
Focus Features
Oct 7th

REVIEW | ENDING | MAHLER'S V
| SPLIT DECISION

6 nominations

TOP GUN MAVERICK
(Joseph Kosinski)
Paramount
May 27th

 

 

6 nominations / 1 win

AVATAR: THE WAY OF THE WATER
(James Cameron)
Disney
Dec 16th

SPLIT DECISION

 

4 nominations / 1 win

TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
(Ruben Ostlund)
NEON
Oct 7th

REVIEW  | SECOND OPINION | SPLIT DECISION | DOLLY DE LEON

3 nominations

WOMEN TALKING
(Sarah Polley)
United Artists
Dec 2nd

REVIEW |
SECOND OPINION

2 nominations / 1 win

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? (You can vote daily!)

 

WHAT WILL WIN?

Everything Everywhere All at Once and The Banshees of Inisherin both have 4 acting nominations, which is unusual and suggests major fandom from Oscar's largest branch. It's between the two of them. 

UPDATE: As the season wore on possibilities for a Banshees win faded, while All Quiet on the Western Front rose as a competitor. But in the end there was no topping EEAAO

 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

With 3 nominations each Babylon and The Whale were (maybe) close to the list. Or perhaps it was even Black Panther Wakanda Forever given its 5 nominations. We don't think The Batman was anywhere close but 3 noms is still good!

Other films which seemed to be in the running in some way or another definitely underperformed in the nominations like Aftersun, Glass Onion, RRR, and Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (1 nomination each) and The Woman King and She Said (both entirely shut out)


HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS?
9/10 Predicted The Whale over Triangle of Sadness. Delighted to have been wrong!
Longest to Shortest RT / MetaCritis Scores Do they pass the Bechdel Test? MPAA Ratings Nathaniels Preference
well over three hours
Avatar... (192)

around two ½ hours

Elvis (159)
Fabelmans (151)
TAR (148)
All Quiet (148)
Triangle of... (147)

still too long

EEAAO (139)
Top Gun... (130)

under two hours

Banshees (116)
Women Talking (104)

raves across the board
TÁR 91 / 92
Banshees 96/87
EEAAO 95 / 81

widely admired
Top Gun... 96 / 78
All Quiet on... 92 / 76
The Fabelmans 92 / 84
Women Talking 90/ 78

recommended but not always with enthusiasm
Elvis 77 / 64
Avatar... 76 / 67
Triangle of... 72 / 63

most definitely
Women Talking
EEAAO
Triangle of... 
TAR

just barely
Banshees

???
Avatar...
The Fabelmans

no
All Quiet on...
Elvis
Top Gun...

Hard R
All Quiet on...

R on account of all the  feckin? 
Banshees

Soft R
TAR
EEAAO
Triangle of...

PG-13
Avatar...
Elvis
Top Gun ...
Women Talking

PG-13 but why? shoulda been PG

The Fabelmans

loved
The Fabelmans
Banshees
TÁR
EEAAO
Triangle of Sadness

liked
Elvis
Avatar ...
All Quiet 

they're okay
Top Gun...
Women Talking

Ranked by Horniness Most likely to become a Broadway musical Death Count Ordered by US Release Date Ranked by Global Box Office

DTF
TÁR 
Elvis

up for anything under the right circumstances
EEAAO
Triangle of...

surprisingly freaky
The Fabelmans

age has dulled the libido
Avatar ...
Top Gun ...

too many other feckin' things to worry about, okay?
Banshees
All Quiet...

problematic to even rank in this way. apologies (but it's a tradition)!
Women Talking

 

Baz is often halfway there
Elvis

Doable with artistry
The Fabelmans
Women Talking

"a play with music"
TÁR
Banshees

They often try with smash hits, however ill-judged the attempt
Avatar ...
EEAAO

Extremely unlikely
Top Gun...
Triangle of Sadness
All Quiet...

utter carnage
All Quiet

dangerous waters!

Avatar ...
Triangle

death is lurking

Banshees

one or two fatalities

Top Gun ...
Elvis
TAR
Fabelmans

violent but not fatal

EEAAO
Women Talking

March
EEAAO

May
Top Gun...

June
Elvis

Oct
All Quiet
TAR
Banshees
Triangle

Nov
Fabelmans

Dec
Avatar...
Women Talking

1 Avatar... ($2.1 bil)

Top Gun ...($1.4 bil)

3
Elvis ($287.3)

4
EEAAO ($106.4)

5
Banshees ($37.7)

6
Fabelmans ($28.2)

7
Triangle of ...($23.2)

8
TÁR ($12)

9
Women Talking ($3.6)

10
All Quiet (n/a)
 
         

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2022 / CEREMONY: March 12th, 2023
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog