Oscar Predictions
for the 98th Academy Awards
2025 FILM YEAR / 2026 OSCAR CEREMONY
CURRENT DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS RACE

final predictions from the team -click here

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AND THE OSCARS GO TO...

PICTURE

BUGONIA
•
F1: THE MOVIE
•
FRANKENSTEIN
•
HAMNET
•
MARTY SUPREME
•
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
THE SECRET AGENT
•
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
•
SINNERS
•
TRAIN DREAMS

❌

I got swept up in the idea that Sinners was surging when it really wasn't beyond the sudden push for Jordan to win.

ACTRESS

BUCKLEY
Hamnet
•
BYRNE
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
•
HUDSON
Song Sung Blue
•
REINSVE
Sentimental Value
•
STONE
Bugonia

✅

Locked for months.

ACTOR

CHALAMET
Marty Supreme
•
DICAPRIO
One Battle After Another
•
HAWKE
Blue Moon
•
JORDAN
Sinners
•
MOURA
Secret Agent

❌

I predicted Chalamet thinking that recent "scandals" were insuffienct to dethrone him

DIRECTOR 

ANDERSON
One Battle After Another
•
COOGLER
Sinners
•
SAFDIE
Marty Supreme
•
TRIER
Sentimental Value
•
ZHAO
Hamnet 

✅

Locked for months despite the Coogler surge at the end. 

CASTING

HAMNET
Gold
•
MARTY SUPREME
Venditti
•
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
Kulukundis
•
SECRET AGENT
Domingues
•
SINNERS
Maisler

❌

This was my dumbest moment of over-confidence. I assumed there was no chance for Sinners to lose this. Oops.

SUPPORTING
ACTRESS

FANNING
Sentimental Value
•
LILLEAAS
Sentimental Value
•
MADIGAN
Weapons
•
MOSAKU
Sinners
•
TAYLOR
One Battle After Another

✅

Very pleased. Winning for horror is so rare.

SUPPORTING
ACTOR 

DEL TORO
One Battle After Another
•
ELORDI
Frankenstein
•
LINDO
Sinners
•
PENN
One Battle After Another
•
SKARSGÅRD
Sentimental Value

❌

Apparently it was Penn all along. This is also where I predicted a Sinners surprise.

ORIGINAL
SCREENPLAY

Kaplow
BLUE MOON
•
Panahi
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
•
Bronstein & Safdie
MARTY SUPREME
•
Trier
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
•
Coogler
SINNERS

✅

Locked for months.

ADAPTED
SCREENPLAY

Tracy
BUGONIA
•
Del Toro
FRANKENSTEIN
•
O'Farrell & Zhao
HAMNET
•
Anderson
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Bentley & Kwedar
TRAIN DREAMS

✅

Locked for months.

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Laustsen
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Khondji
MARTY SUPREME
•
Bauman
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Arkapaw
SINNERS
•
Veloso
TRAIN DREAMS

✅

Probably a tight race but the Academy wanted to break records and they did!

COSTUME DESIGN

Scott
AVATAR: FIRE & ASH
•
Hawley
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Turzanska
HAMNET
•
Bellizzi
MARTY SUPREME
•
Carter
SINNERS

✅

And the "Most" Costume  Design goes to...

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Deverell & Vieau
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Crombie & Felton
HAMNET
•
Fisk & Willis
MARTY SUPREME
•
Martin & Carlino
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Beachler & Champagne
SINNERS

✅

And the "Most" Production Design goes to...

FILM EDITING

Mirrione
F1: THE MOVIE
•
Bronstein & Safdie
MARTY SUPREME
•
Jurgensen
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Coutté
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
•
Shawyer
SINNERS

✅

Tight race but I guessed the combo of and already classic action setpiece and Best Picture heat would prevail.

MAKEUP & HAIR

Hill, Samuel, Furey
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Toyokawa, Hibino, Nishimatsu
KOKUHO
•
Hiro, Griffin, Rehbein
THE SMASHING MACHINE
•
Diaz, Fontaine, Terry
SINNERS
•
Foldberg & Sauerberg
UGLY STEPSISTER

✅

Figuring Frankenstein's popularity would put it over the edge.

VISUAL EFFECTS

AVATAR FIRE AND ASH
•
F1
•
JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH
•
THE LOST BUS
•
SINNERS

✅

No franchise has ever won more than 3 Oscars in this category. Is this the last statue for Avatar's visual effects?

ORIGINAL SCORE

Fendrix
BUGONIA
•
Desplat
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Richter
HAMNET
•
Greenwood
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Goransson
SINNERS

✅

Goransson is now three-for-three in this category

ORIGINAL SONG 

"Dear Me"
DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS
•
"Golden"
KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
•
"I Lied To You"
SINNERS
•
"Train Dreams"
TRAIN DREAMS
•
"Sweet Dreams of Joy"
VIVA VERDI

❌

I was being silly and decided to take a WILD swing and predict an upset. Obviously once KPop Demon Hunters became a phenomenon this race was over.

SOUND

INTERNATIONAL FILM 

France
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
•
Brazil
THE SECRET AGENT
•
Norway
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
•
Spain
SIRAT
•
Tunisia
THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB

❌

I had this hunch that The Secret Agent had the momentum. I was wrong. So happy for Norway! Their first Oscar

ANIMATED FILM

ARCO
•
ELIO
•
KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
•
LITTLE AMELIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
•
ZOOTOPIA 2

✅

Locked for months.

DOCUMENTARY

ALABAMA SOLUTION
•
COME SEE ME IN THE GOOD LIGHT
•
CUTTING THROUGH ROCKS
•
MR NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
•
THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR

✅

I took a risk and it paid off.

SHORTS, DOCUMENTARY

ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
•
ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA
•
CHILDREN NO MORE: WERE AND ARE GONE
•
THE DEVIL IS BUSY
•
PERFECTLY A STRANGENESS

✅

This is the first time I've ever gotten all three shorts categories correct!

SHORTS,
LIVE ACTION

BUTCHER'S STAIN
•
FRIEND OF DOROTHY
•
JANE AUSTEN'S PERIOD DRAMA
•
THE SINGERS
•
TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA

✅✅

This is the first time I've ever gotten all three shorts categories correct! It's even cooler here as I predicted one of them to win and the other as its possible spoiler.

SHORTS,
ANIMATED

BUTTERFLY
•
FOREVER GREEN
•
THE GIRL WHO CRIED PEARLS
•
RETIREMENT PLAN
•
THREE SISTERS

✅

This is the first time I've ever gotten all three shorts categories correct!