OCTOBER 20TH PREDICTIONS
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97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024 CEREMONY: 2025
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
| Tier 1 - Predictions |
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Adrien Brody
(1 nom | 1 win)
THE BRUTALIST
noms: Gotham
wins: --
He hasn't been in the mix since his win but he hasn't had a role as good as The Pianist since then either. Expect to see him on Oscar night.
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Timothee Chalamet
(1 nom)
A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
noms: --
wins: --
If they buy him as Bob Dylan the sky is the limit since there's nothing Oscar likes more than celebrities playing celebrities.
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Ralph Fiennes
(2 noms)
CONCLAVE
noms: --
wins: --
Oscar has ignored him for so long that that could well happen again. But he's front and center here in this Papal thriller.
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Colman Domingo
(1 nom)
SING SING
noms: Gotham
wins: --
He's popular right now (deservedly so) but without Best Picture heat can he stick around as a contender again?
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Cillian Murphy
(1 nom | 1 win)
SMALL THINGS LIKE THESE
noms: --
wins: --
Afterglow nomination? Critics were wild about his work in this Irish drama. But the film's profile is too low right now. Will that change in time?
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| Tier 2 - Potential Spoilers |
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Jesse Eisenberg
(1 nom)
A REAL PAIN
noms: --
wins: --
Will the Sundance heat transfer to Oscar affection? Or does his co-star truly steal the whole show?
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Paul Mescal
(1 nom)
GLADIATOR 2
noms: --
wins: --
Can history repeat itself (Crowe won the Oscar after all) or will this legacy action sequel be (mostly) a commercial play?
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Daniel Craig
(never nom'ed(
QUEER
noms: --
wins: --
The time is definitely right for Oscar to say "uncle" and honor him but this would be an edgy choice for the often "safe" acting branch
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Sebastian Stan
(never nom'ed)
THE APPRENTICE
Date TBA
noms: --
wins: --
Oscar loves biopic performances but this will be tricky since everyone has 'mimic'ed T***p and people probably won't want to watch it.
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Glen Powell
(never nom'ed)
HIT MAN
noms: --
wins: --
Yes, this ranking reads improbably high but he was an utter delight in this early year favourite and his star is most definitely rising. A Globe comedy nod seems likely.
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| Tier 3 - Long Shots |
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Sir Ian McKellen
(2 noms)
THE CRITIC
August
noms: --
wins: --
He's great bitchy fun in this role but he's struggled to win the Academy's attention since his awful loss in 1998 (that shoulda been a slam dunk people!)
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Elliot Heffernan
(never nom'ed)
BLITZ
November
noms: --
wins: --
Oscar rarely goes for male child actors but if they really fall for Blitz he could get some traction as the focal point of this lost-in-war odyssey
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Nicholas Hoult
(never nom'ed
JUROR #2
noms: --
wins: --
It sounds like a plum role for this rising star, as a family man on a jury facing a moral quandary. If Clint Eastwood can recapture Oscar attention...
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Ethan Herisse
(never nominated)
NICKEL BOYS
noms: --
wins: --
Will they watch and love this film? It's hard to get nominated in this category when you're a young actor.
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Joaquin Phoenix
(4 noms | 1 win)
JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX
noms: --
wins: --
People hated the film but we'll see how obsessed the acting branch and awards circuit is with him if he shows up
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| Tier 3 - Other Leading Men Hoping For Votes |
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Previous Nominees
- Austin Butler - The Bikeriders
- Adam Driver - Megalopolis
- Andrew Garfield - We Live in Time
- Brad Pitt - Wolfs
- George Clooney - Wolfs
- Michael Keaton - Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (Globe comedy nod?)
- Michael Shannon - The End
- Tom Hanks - Here
- Jesse Plemons - Kinds of Kindness Cannes win
- Michael Shannon - The End
Never nominated hopefuls
- Jharrel Jerome - Unstoppable
- John David Washington - The Piano Lesson
- Richard Gere - Oh Canada
- Ryan Gosling - The Fall Guy (Globe comedy nod?)
- Keith Kupferer - Ghostlist Gotham nominee
- Ryan Reynolds - Deadpool & Wolvering (Globe comedy nod?)
- Justice Smith - I Saw the TV Glow Gotham nominee
- Sebastian Stan - A Different Man
- Izaac Wang - Didi Gotham Breakthrough nominee
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