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98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025. CEREMONY: 2026
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

PREDICTIONS AS OF JUNE 30TH

 

 

Tier 1 - Predictions as of June 30

Jeremy Allen White
never nominated
DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
(20th Century)

He's already an awards magnet so can he now do movie star via rock star biopic?

Leonardo DiCaprio
6 noms * | 1 win
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
(Warner Bros)

We're hoping he challenges himself here -- will he. And how will Oscar voters react to what looks like an odd violent poitical comedy?

Timothee Chalamet
2 noms
MARTY SUPREME
(A24)

While he's still young for an Oscar (that's just the way they vote, not a value judgement!) he surely came close to winning last year. It's only a matter of time... but how much?

Dwayne Johnson
never nominated
THE SMASHING MACHINE
(A24)

We all know that the acting branch goes crazy for biographical pictures -- they also like famous non-prestige stars to "surprise" them in dramatic efforts. We shall see. 

Ethan Hawke
2 noms*
BLUE MOON
(Sony Pictures Classics)

SPC is good at campaigning but will Oscars go for this biographical miniature? Hawke is well liked which will help.

Tier 2 - Potential Spoilers
 

George Clooney
4 noms *| 1 win*
JAY KELLY
(Netflix)

Much depends on the succcess of the film overall. But if it's true that Adam Sandler completely steals it...

Colin Farrell
1 nom
BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER (Netflix)

Could be another great showcase. We'll have to wait and see on reviews.

Paul Mescal
1 nom
HAMNET
(Focus)

Our hunch is that Hamnet will be more of Jesse Buckley's show in Best Actress but if it's a powerhouse drama, more acting nods could happen.

Jesse Plemmons

1 nom
BUGONIA
(Focus)

Oscar loves a transformation and he looks completely different here. They have also warmed to Yorgos Lanthimos oddness. 

Wagner Moura

never nominated
THE SECRET AGENT
(Neon)

NEON has that Cannes Best Actor win to work with -- if this is Brazil's submission that will also help. 

Tier 3 - Wild Cards

Joel Edgerton
never nominated
TRAIN DREAMS
(Netflix)

Early viewers love the performance but will this quiet drama land... Netflix always has a lot of internal competition for their campaign efforts. 

Tonatiuh
never nominated
KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
(Lionsgate)

Buzz is good on his breakout work (and William Hurt won the Oscar playing this role) but given the shenanigans awards campaigns play these days will be be campaigned supporting?

Michael B Jordan
never nominated
SINNERS
(Warner Bros)

It's a shame he's never been nominated but the acting branch resists genre performances. We shall see.

Ralph Fiennes
3 nominations
THE CHORAL
(Sony Pictures Classics)

His paltry nomination count given his career is a problem but if there's afterglow from Conclave and this one is a minor hit, It could happen.

Dylan O'Brien
(never nominated)
TWINLESS
(Lionsgate)

Too young for Oscar votes, probably, but if critics and fans respond it could change his career.

Tier 4 - Other Possibilities. More Leading Man in 2025.

Previously Nominated Actors

  • Austin Butler - Caught Stealing
  • Brad Pitt - F1
  • Benedict Cumberbatch - The Roses 
  • Benedict Cumberbatch - The Thing With Feathers
  • Benicio Del Toro - The Phoenician Scheme
  • Colin Farrell - Big Bold Beautiful Journey
  • Daniel Day-Lewis - Anemone
  • Denzel Washington - Highest 2 Lowest
  • Hugh Jackman - Song Sung Blue
  • Joaquin Phoenix - Eddington
  • Matthew McConaughey - The Lost Bus
  • Paul Mescal - The History of Sound

Never Nominated

  • Ben Whishaw - Peter Hujar's Day
  • Bill Skarsgaard - Dead Man's Wire
  • Channing Tatum - The Roof Man
  • Daniel Craig - Wake Up Dead Man
  • Diego Luna - Kiss of the Spider-Woman (if campaigned lead)
  • Glenn Powell - Running Man
  • Guillaume Marbeck - Nouvelle Vague
  • Harry Melling - Pillion
  • Josh O'Connor - Mastermind
  • Oscar Isaac - Frankenstein
  • Robert Pattinson - Mickey 17
  • Adam Sandler - Jay Kelly (if campaigned lead)
  • Stellan Skarsgaard - Sentimental Value (if campaigned lead)
  • Tom Hiddleston - The Life of Chuck
  • Will Arnett - Is This Thing On?

 

 

 

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Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film