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OCTOBER 20TH PREDICTIONS

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024 CEREMONY: TBA, 2025
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

  

Tier 1 - Predictions

Angelina Jolie
(2 noms | 1 win)
MARIA
December

noms: --
wins: --

Playing the opera star Maria Callas. Pablo Larrain always lands his female actors in the Best Actress circle for his English language biopics

Saoirse Ronan
(4 noms)
THE OUTRUN
September

nomsGotham
wins: --

She won raves at Sundance for this role. Oscar voters are historically thrilled by alcoholicism performances and she's overdue despite being only 30.

Mikey Madison
(never nominated)
ANORA
October

nomsGotham
wins: --

Despite the Cannes hoopla, Hollywood doesn't yet know her. Will she get in front of enough voters and get any critics prizes?

Tilda Swinton
(1 nom | 1 win
THE ROOM NEXT DOOR
December

noms: --
wins: --

 It would be lovely to see this icon back in the mix given her filmography. Since people love the movie, it could well happen (finally!)

 

Marianne Jean-Baptiste
(1 nom)
HARD TRUTHS
December

nomsGotham
wins: --

We hear she's as great as everyone was hoping reuniting with Mike Leigh but will the film get enough overall buzz for voters to watch it?

Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be...

Amy Adams
(6 noms)
NIGHT BITCH
December

noms: --
wins: --

An intriguing role for her. Initial response was mixed but Adams is always a threat.

Nicole Kidman
(1 win
BABYGIRL
December

nomsGotham
wins: Venice Volpi Cup

 The subject matter is likely going to be a turn-off for voters despite the raves she's received. But she's in the conversation at least. Yay!

 

Demi Moore
(never nominated)
THE SUBSTANCE
September

nomsGotham
wins: --

 It would be a blast if comeback traction takes, given the nature of the film but voters can be stick-in-the-muds

 

Karla Sofia Gascon
(never nominated)
EMILIA PEREZ
November

noms: --
wins: Cannes (tied)

 A shared Best Actress win at Cannes and the titular role but the buzz is very Zoe Saldana centric.

 

June Squibb
(1 nom)
THELMA
June

noms: --
wins: --

Well received at Sundance and a Globe Comedy nod seems likely to revive interest.

Tier 3 - Longer Shots

Cynthia Erivo
(1 nom)
WICKED
November

noms: --
wins: --

 Elphaba was an awards-role on stage but film is a different story when it comes to the fantasy genre

 

Julianne Moore
(1 win
THE ROOM NEXT DOOR
December

noms: --
wins: --

We thank her for not pretending to be supporting! If only more stars would campaign correctly. But Tilda has the heat this time.

Fernanda Torres
(never nominated)
I'M STILL HERE
December

noms: --
wins: --

 Can SPC make this Brazilian film happen with Oscar? People are loving the film and Fernanda in it.

 

Kate Winslet
(1 win)
LEE
September

noms: --
wins: --

She's garnering her usual great reviews for this biopic about a war photographer but people don't seem to love the film.

Zendaya
(never nom'ed)
CHALLENGERS
April

noms: --
wins: --

It's fun when Oscar stumps for old fashioned star turns. It doesn't happen enough to think it will regularly but Zendaya is on fire right now. If they're in the mood for a Movie Star ascendance, they could do a lot worse!

Tier 4 - Other hopefuls

Previously nominated

  • Emily Blunt - The Fall Guy (surprise Globe comedy nod?)
  • Florence Pugh -We Live in Time
  • Kristen Stewart - Love Lies Bleeding
  • Lily Gladstone - Fancy Dance
  • Scarlett Johansson - Fly Me to the Moon (surprise Globe comedy nod ?)

Never Nominated...