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98th Academy Awards. Honoring the Films of 2025
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

  AND THE NOMINEES ARE...

Jessie Buckley 2nd nom HAMNET (Focus)	Rose Byrne first nomination! IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU (A24)	Kate Hudson 2nd nom SONG SUNG BLUE (Focus)	Renate Reinsve first nomination! SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Neon)	Emma Stone 5th nom* | 2 wins BUGONIA (Focus)
READERS CHOICE - VOTE DAILY
online polls
HOW'D SHE GET NOMINATED?
41% Performance. Tremendously incisive about who this woman is spiritually, intellectually, maternally, romantically. 33% Role. Voters always love grieving mothers 12% Precursor / Media Anointment as our "Frontrunner!" 8% Prestige ambience emanating from the book, the director, co-star, and Shakespeare himself 5% Chemistry with Paul & screen children 1% Career momentum. Currently in demand.	50% Performance. Rose Byrne Actressing: The Movie!  20% Early critical enthusiam translating to  15% ...Precursor Support  8% Role. But mostly it's relatability. Woman on the Verge... is zeitgeisty 5% Underrewarded Factor x First Chance to Honor (Oscar math). She's been delivering big for a long time but since they're allergic to comedies... 2% Early Traction  ÷ Divisiveness of late-arrival competition -- only Hudson could find footing.	35% Role. Every Oscar hook for this category present and accounted for including rea person role!  32% Performance. The movie would not have worked if she hadn't been bringing it -- and that singing voice!  14% Surprise / Comeback Factor  --people root for you when you really show up again in full talent. 9% Industry Baby. They know/love her 6% Precursor Support 4% Overall contenders pool. Totally different appeal than the rest.	30% Performance. Affecting 30% Role. Daddy Issues +  Actressing. 14% Worst Person in the World afterglow honors for both the the director (Trier) and his muse (Reinsve). Voters surely know they should have paid more attention then. 9% Milieu -- The industry loves movies about the industry 8% Precursor attention 6% Stellar ensemble support 3% Career momentum. She's international now	33% Performance and/or Director Collab. Stone knows exactly how to sell Lanthimos's auteur particularsand darkly tragic comic vision 30% Role. High powered amoral CEO kidnapped and tortured and playing mindgames with her captors. Memorable! 20% She's Emma Stone. Two time winner still fully in her Oscar era. 10% Precursor support 5% Jesse Plemons 2% Early Traction  ÷ Divisiveness of late-arriving competition.
WHO WAS SHUT OUT?
Aside from these five women, Amanda Seyfried (Testament of Ann Lee), Jennifer Lawrence (Die My Love) and Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another) probably came closest to the shortlist. Further away one assumes that Tessa Thompson (Hedda) also secured some votes but it was not to be. The campaigns for Julia Roberts (After the Hunt) and Cynthia Erivo (Wicked For Good) stalled out quickly and Eva Victor (Sorry Baby) didn't get much "acting" attention though she was honored in multiple places as a writer/director or for having a "breakthrough" this year.  For my money the one big miss of the season that everyone slept on was the French-language star turn from Jodie Foster (Vie Privée)
WHO WILL WIN?
While Jessie Buckley is currently way out front awards season is long. Could Byrne, Reinsve, or Hudson push hard enough to make a dent in her lead? Stone is surely in the 'just happy to be here' spot having recently won two Oscars.
WHO SHOULD WIN?
I don't want to think about this yet as I'm currently in the happy place of liking all five nominated performances quite a lot which doesn't happen all that often!
TRIVIA, STATS, ANECDOTES
36 years old  •  Capricorn • 5'7'  • Married, 1 newborn • Won the Olivier Award for playing Sally Bowles in "Cabaret" in the West End Revival in 2021 but she didn't travel to Broadway with it.  • .BAFTA nominated her for her outstanding work in Wild Rose (2018) before Oscar voters caught on. She recently won the Golden Globe for her Hamnet performance. • Next up for Buckley is The Bride, yet another Frankenstein riff (it's in the zeitgeist for the past few years)	46 years old  •  Leo •  5'6"  • Partnered, 2 children  •  Like many a great actress she is from Australia (seriously what's in the water there?)  • She won the Best Actress Volpi Cup for a film called The Goddess of 1967 back in 2000. Of the 22 Oscar winners who have also won that prize, 8 of them did so before their Oscar-winning turn. • Next up for Byrne is a TV miniseries The Good Daughter and a run on Broadway in the Noel Coward play Fallen Angels with Tony winner Kelli O'Hara	46 years old • Aries  • 5'6'  • Engaged, 3 children • This is the fourth musical or music-heavy movie for Kate Hudson  and it makes far better use of her instrument than the others (Nine, Almost Famous - Golden Globe Award, and Music)   • Hosts a podcast with her actor brother Oliver Hudson called "Sibling Revelry" wherein they invite siblings and/or celebrities to talk about family dynamics and more • Released her Debut Album "Glorious" in 2024	38 years old   •  Leo • 5'10'  • Single, 1 child  • Before her film breakout she was a theater actress (which certainly helps with the Sentimental Value role) winnign Norway's Hedda award for Best Actress in 2014 and BAFTA and EFA nominated her for film work before Oscar voters caught on. • Next up for Reinsve is Cristian Mungiu's Romanian/Norwegian drama Fjord (reuniting her with her Different Man co-star Sebastian Stan)  • Was once a competitive swimmer!	37 years old • Scorpio  • 5'6"  • Married, 1 child • Her real name is "Emily" • Like Jessie Buckley, she has played Sally Bowles on stage in "Cabaret" Emma did it on Broadway but wasnt eligible for awards since he was a replacement for another Oscar regular (Michelle Williams). •  There's no word on Emma Stone's next project. Hmmm. • First actress since Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) to have her shaved onscreen and be rewarded with an Oscar nomination.

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