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98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / 2026 Ceremony
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
AND THE NOMINEES ARE...
Nominations in call categories here
NOTE: Stats on this chart reflect Best Picture nominations only.
If there's an asterisk they've had history in other categories, too.
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SINNERS Ryan Coogler Trivia: Now holds the records of most nominations of all time, beating the previous three way tie for first with 14 noms each (All About Eve, Titanic, La La Land) |
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER Paul Thomas Anderson Trivia: By far the most nominated PTA. Previously his films had collectively scored 29 nominations: Boogie Nights, Licorice Pizza, Magnolia, The Master, Licorice Pizza (3 each), The Phantom Thread (6 noms), and There Will Be Blood (8 noms) |
MARTY SUPREME Josh Safdie Trivia: This is Chalamet's 8th film to secure a Best Picture nomination. He's collecting them at a record breaking pace, almost one a year since fame hit.
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SENTIMENTAL VALUE Joachim Trier Trivia: Now the most nominated Norwegian film of all time. The past record holder was Joachim Trier & Renate Reinsve's last collaboration (Worst Person in the World) which scored 2 noms.
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FRANKENSTEIN Guillermo Del Toro Trivia: It would have to win 5 Oscars to take the "most Oscar-loved Frankenstein riff" away from 2023's Poor Things and it has two less nominations (and far less quality) to do it with! |
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HAMNET Chloe Zhao Trivia: This is the third film with William Shakespeare as a character to receive Oscar nominations after Shakespeare in Love (1998) which won Best Picture, and Anonymous (2011); the only common thread is that they were all up forCostume Design. |
THE SECRET AGENT Kleber Mendoca Filho Trivia: This is the second consecutive and the third ever Brazilian film to score a Best Picture nod. The first was Hector Babenco's Kiss of the Spider-Woman (1985) which was in the English language. This is the only sole producer nominee this year! |
BUGONIA Yorgos Lanthimos Trivia: This is the third collaboration between Emma Stone & Yorgos Lanthimos. Only the second (Kinds of Kindness) didnt score with Oscar. |
TRAIN DREAMS Clint Bentley PREDICTION: Bentley's trajectory from one good film no one saw (Transpecos) to pockets of critical love (Jockey) to three Oscar nods (Sing Sing) to a Best Picture contender (Train Dreams) in exactly 10 years time suggests he'll be a Best Director nominee soon. |
F1 THE MOVIE Joseph Kosinski Trivia: Brad Pitt has now equalled his acting Oscar record (4/1) with his track record as a producer (4/1). This is also the 8th film he's appeared in to be Best Picture nominated though it's easy to imagine that that number would be higher if Oscar had expanded the BP list before 2009.
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY |
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WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? |
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The precursors and/or general momentum towards the end of the season suggested that It Was Just An Accident, Weapons, had reason to dream while Wicked For Good would be a last minute drop out (and how, though!). If you ask me the films that have a lot to complain about given their quality versus their treatment during awards season the answer would instead be No Other Choice and Roofman. |
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WHAT WILL WIN? |
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Normally we like to hold off on this answer until closer to Oscar night. A win for One Battle After Another felt inevitable at first but maybe Sinners, with that record-breaking nomination tally has something to say about pre-ordaining a winner? |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK |
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While it may not be Paul Thomas Anderson's very best film, One Battle After Another is close enough and therefore yet another reminder that he is a superb filmmaker and it feels good that it's finally his time. My second favourite of the bunch is Hamnet but it's obvious that it can't win. |
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| Longest to Shortest | RT / MetaCritis Scores | Do they pass the Bechdel Test? | MPAA Ratings | Nathaniel's Preference |
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Long but flies by (no filler!) Keepin' it tight! |
Feverishly Praised Strong Reviews |
Yes Possibly? No |
Hard R Soft R PG-13 PG
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Heaven Pleasures |
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| Ranked by Horniness | Most likely to become a Broadway musical | Death Count | Ordered by US Release Date | Ranked by Global Box Office |
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'This pussy pops for you' U Up? Marital Bliss
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Almost there already Assume it's already been done? Probably Not but Someone Might Try... Not A Winning Idea
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Does it count if they keep coming back to "life" "A time of great mischief"... (that's certainly one way to put it given the fatalities) Plentiful Corpses Perpetually aware of the Grim Reaper Sidebar fatalities |
April June September Oct Nov Dec |
01 F1 (631.7) not applicable |
FINAL VOTING: February 26, 2025
OSCAR NIGHT: Sunday March 15, 2026
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