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97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024, 2025 Ceremony: March 2
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
FRESHLY UPDATED - DECEMBER 17TH PREDICTIONS
OSCAR FINALIST LISTS IN SELECT CATEGORIES: Tuesday Dec 17, 2024
OSCAR NOMINATION VOTING: January 8-12, 2025
OSCAR NOMINATIONS: Friday January 17, 2025
OSCAR FINAL VOTING: February 11-18, 2025
OSCAR NIGHT: Sunday March 2, 2025
| Tier 1 - Predictions for the nomination leaders | ||||
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CONCLAVE wins: NBR (Ensemble), Boston Online (Ensemble), DC (Ensemble), Las Vegas (Ensemble), Michigan (Ensemble), St Louis (Ensemble), noms: NBR Top Ten, CCA (Ensemble),
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ANORA wins: Boston, Cannes, Atlanta, Michigan, Phoenix (Comedy), San Francisco, noms: Gotham, NBR Top Ten, CCA (Ensemble),
His indie fame has been building for years with terrific movies consistently. It could be his time. |
EMILIA PEREZ wins: Cannes Jury, EFA noms: AAFCA (Top Ten), CCA (Ensemble),
A thrill at Cannes. But will the Spanish language trans musical be too outre for them? |
WICKED wins: NBR, DC, Las Vegas (Family Film), noms: AAFCA (Top Ten), CCA (Ensemble),
Splitting it into two features is worrying but could be a big hit. Will they take it seriously if it's strong?
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THE BRUTALIST
Brady Corbet (A24) December wins: Boston Online, Chicago, Phoenix, noms:
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| Tier 2 - Also predicted but on shakier ground... | ||||
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A COMPLETE UNKNOWN noms: NBR Top Ten,
One of the Academy's all time favorite genres is the musician doc. Mangold has been a steady director but never quite broken through with voters.
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SING SING (A24) noms: NBR Top Ten, AAFCA (Top Ten),
It's garnered high praise but curiously little buzz (proportionally). Can Paramount campaign this true story well and make it feel like a discovery for voters?
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DUNE PART TWO noms: -- noms: Saturn (14 noms)
Do they vote for this based on scale, sustained quality, and love for the original or do they wait for the finale? |
SEPTEMBER 5 noms: --
It's garnered high praise but curiously little buzz (proportionally). Can Paramount campaign this true story well and make it feel like a discovery for voters?
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THE NICKEL BOYS noms: Gotham
A Pulitzer winning book comes to the screen from another acclaimed documentarian
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| Tier 3 - Potential Spoilers. | ||||
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GLADIATOR 2 noms: NBR Top Ten,
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THE SUBSTANCE noms: --
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A REAL PAIN noms: NBR Top Ten,
Eisenberg's cousins-visiting- Poland dramedy was a sensation at Sundance. Indie Spirits only or Oscar, too? |
THE ROOM NEXT DOOR noms: -- The world's greatest living auteur makes his first English language feature. Will it thrill?
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SATURDAY NIGHT wins: --
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| Tier 4 - Wild Card Long Shots | ||||
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THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG noms: --  A ...b. A S...b. |
ALL THAT WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT noms: -- A ...b. A S...b. |
I'M STILL HERE noms: -- A ...b.
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CHALLENGERS noms: Gotham  A Smb. |
QUEER noms: NBR Top Ten,
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| Tier 5 - Other Films from 2024 That Might Win a Vote or Ten... | ||||
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