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97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024, 2025 Ceremony: March 2
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
OCTOBER 20TH PREDICTIONS
OSCAR FINALIST LISTS IN SELECT CATEGORIES: Tuesday Dec 17, 2024
OSCAR NOMINATION VOTING: January 8-12, 2025
OSCAR NOMINATIONS: Friday January 17, 2025
OSCAR FINAL VOTING: February 11-18, 2025
OSCAR NIGHT: Sunday March 2, 2025
| Tier 1 - Predictions for the nomination leaders |
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THE BRUTALIST
Brady Corbet
(A24)
December
Venice Review
noms: --
wins: --
A critical sensation at Venice. But will A24 release it quickly or hold it for a year and plan
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EMILIA PEREZ
Audiard
(Netflix)
November
TIFF Review
noms: --
wins: Cannes Jury
A thrill at Cannes. But will the Spanish language trans musical be too outre for them?
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ANORA
Sean Baker
(Neon)
October
Cannes Review
TIFF Review
noms: Gotham
wins: Cannes Palme
His indie fame has been building for years with terrific movies consistently. It could be his time.
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A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
James Mangold
(Searchlight)
December
noms: --
wins: --
One of the Academy's all time favorite genres is the musician doc. Mangold has been a steady director but never quite broken through with voters.
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THE ROOM NEXT DOOR
Almodovar
(Sony Pictures Classics)
December
Venice Review
TIFF Review
noms: --
wins: Venice Lion
The world's greatest living auteur makes his first English language feature. Will it thrill?
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| Tier 2 - Also predicted but on shakier ground... |
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BLITZ
McQueen
(Apple)
November
noms: --
wins: --
A story of Londoners during WW II with an amazing director? Yes please.
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CONCLAVE
Berger
(Focus)
November
TIFF Review
noms: --
wins: --
Hot off of All Quiet we think Berger scores again with this Papal sucession thriller
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A REAL PAIN
Eisenberg
(Searchlight)
October
noms: --
wins: --
Eisenberg's cousins-visiting- Poland dramedy was a sensation at Sundance. Indie Spirits only or Oscar, too?
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GLADIATOR 2
Scott (Paramount)
November
noms: --
wins: --
Nostalgia factor but will it thrill? And is there really room for three sequels when Oscar doesn't like sequels much?
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WICKED
Chu
(Universal)
November
noms: --
wins: --
Splitting it into two features is worrying but could be a big hit. Will they take it seriously if it's strong?
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| Tier 3 - Potential Spoilers. |
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DUNE PART TWO
Villeneuve
(Warner Bros)
March
Theatrical Review
noms: --
wins: --
Do they vote for this based on scale, sustained quality, and love for the original or do they wait for the finale?
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SEPTEMBER 5
(Paramount)
November
noms: --
wins: --
It's garnered high praise but curiously little buzz (proportionally). Can Paramount campaign this true story well and make it feel like a discovery for voters?
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SATURDAY NIGHT
Reitman
(Universal / Sony)
September
noms: --
wins: --
It stands out from the crowd as a tight comedic industry film. But will that be enough?
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THE NICKEL BOYS
Ross
(Amazon / MGM)
October
noms: Gotham
wins: --
A Pulitzer winning book comes to the screen from another acclaimed documentarian
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MARIA
Larrain
(Netflix)
December
Venice Review
noms: --
wins: --
Is the third time the charm for Larrain's famous woman biopics?
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| Tier 4 - Wild Cards |
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THE WILD ROBOT
(Universal)
September
Annecy Review
noms: --
wins: --
It's tough to get an animated film in the big race given their own category. But people love this one.
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HARD TRUTHS
Leigh
(Bleecker Street)
December
TIFF Review
noms: --
wins: --
Where is Mike Leigh's Oscar? We're impatient. Will this be a golden comeback?
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DIDI
Wang
(Focus)
June
noms: --
wins: --
A Sundance hit but it hasn't stayed in the conversation. Oscar often ignores great coming of age stories so it's an uphill climb.
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THE PIANO LESSON
Washington
(Netflix)
November
noms: --
wins: --
Previous August Wilson adaptations have had Oscar success. At least in the acting categories
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NOSFERATU
Eggers
(Focus)
December
noms: --
wins: --
Their well documented horror aversion aside, respect for Eggers has been building. Could this be a surprise Oscar player if it's as striking as his films can be?
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| Tier 5 - Other Contenders |
- 🔺 All We Imagine As Light (Janus Films) Qualifier Cannes - Grand Prix
- ▾ The Apprentice (Briarcliff) October
- Babygirl (A24) December Gotham Nominee
- Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (Warner Bros) September
- Challengers (Amazon) April Gotham Nominee
- Civil War (A24) April
- 🔺 Deadpool and Wolverine (Disney) July
- A Different Man (A24) September Gotham Nominee
- ▾ The End (Neon)
- The Fall Guy (Universal) May
- The Fire Inside (Amazon)
- ▾ Furiosa (Warner Bros) May
- Here (Sony) November
- His Three Daughters (Netflix) October
- 🔺I'm Still Here (Sony Pictures Classics) Qualifier
- Juror No 2 (Warner Bros) October
- ▾ Megalopolis () September
- ▾ Nightbitch (Searchlight) December
- Queer (A24) November
- 🔺The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Neon) November
- Sing Sing (A24) July
- 🔺The Substance (Mubi) September
- Thelma (Magnolia) June
- Vermiglio () December Venice -Grand Jury
- Wolfs (Apple) September
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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
