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97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024 CEREMONY: March 2, 2025
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

  

OCTOBER 20th Predictions

 OSCAR FINALIST LISTS IN SELECT CATEGORIES: Tuesday Dec 17, 2024
OSCAR NOMINATION VOTING: January 8-12, 2025
OSCAR NOMINATIONS: Friday January 17, 2025
OSCAR NIGHT: Sunday March 2, 2025 

Tier 1 - The Predicted Five

For this year's April Foolish predictions we're imagining that the narrative of Best Director will be "documentarians are auteurs, too" with Oscar nominated documentarians Oppenheimer and Ross getting attention for their narrative debuts. Either that or "Attack of the Octogenarians" if Francis Ford Coppola and Ridley Scott are both in play again for the first time in ages. 

*stats reflect this category only. The asterisk indicates that they have Oscar history in some other category instead or in addition to.

 Brady Corbet
(never nominated)
THE BRUTALIST
(A24)
December

 

noms: -- 
wins: Venice Silver Lion

 Jacques Audiard
(*never nominated)
EMILIA PEREZ

 

(Netflix)
November

noms: --
wins: --

 Sean Baker
(never nominated)
ANORA

 

(Neon)
October

noms: Gotham
wins: --

 Pedro Almodovar(*1 nom)

 

THE ROOM NEXT DOOR

(Sony Pictures Classics)
December

noms: --
wins: -- 

 James Mangold
(*never nom'ed)
A COMPLETE UNKNOWN

 

(Searchlight)

noms: --
wins: --

Tier 2 - Also predicted to be significant players

Edward Berger
(*never nom'ed)
CONCLAVE
(Focus)
November

noms: --
wins: --

 

Steve McQueen
(*1 nom)
BLITZ
(Apple)
November

noms: --
wins: --

 

Jon M Chu
(*never nom'ed)

WICKED
(Universal)
November

noms: --
wins: --

 

 Ridley Scott

 

(*3 noms)
GLADIATOR 2 (Paramount)
November

noms: --
wins: --

Denis Villeneuve
(*1 nom)
DUNE PART TWO
(Warner Bros)
March

 

noms: --
wins: --

Tier 3 - Potential Spoilers

RaMell Ross
(*never nom'ed)

THE NICKEL BOYS
(Amazon / MGM)
Date TBA

 

noms: Gotham
wins: --

Pablo Larraín
(*never nom'ed)
MARIA
(tba)
Date TBA

 

noms: --
wins: --

Jesse Eisenberg
(*never nom'ed)
A REAL PAIN
(Searchlight)

 

noms: --
wins: --

Mike Leigh
(noms)
HARD TRUTHS
(Bleecker Street)
Date TBA

 

noms: --
wins: --

 Jason Reitman
(noms)
SATURDAY NIGHT
(Sony)
September

 

noms: --
wins: --

 

Tier 4 - Wild Cards. How passionate will their year-end fanbases be?

 Coralie Fargeat
THE SUBSTANCE (Mubi)
September

 

noms: --
wins: --

 Walter Salles
I'M STILL HERE
(Sony Pictures Classics)
Qualifier

noms: --
wins: --

 

 Tim Fehlbaum
SEPTEMBER 5
(Paramount)

 

noms: --
wins: --

Clint Eastwood
JUROR NO 2
(Warner Bros)
November

noms: --
wins: --

Robert Eggers
(never nom'ed)
NOSFERATU
(Focus)
December

noms: --
wins: --

Tier 4 - Other Directors Who Could Land on Some Ballots

Previous Nominees in this Category

  • Kevin Costner, Horizon
  • Francis Ford Coppola, Megalopolis
  • Clint Eastwood, Juror #2
  • Yorgos Lanthimos, Kinds of Kindness
  • Mike Leigh, Hard Truths
  • George Miller, Furiosa
  • Todd Philips, Joker Folie A Deux

Never nominated in this category

  • Tim Burton, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice
  • John Crowley, We Live in Time
  • Alex Garland, Civil War
  • Luca Guadagnino, Challengers OR Queer
  • Marielle Heller, Nightbitch
  • Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine As Light - Gotham nominee
  • Rachel Morrison, The Fire Inside
  • Joshua Oppenheimer, The End
  • Malcolm Washington, The Piano Lesson
  • Sean Wang, Didi

Also honored this year at other places...