Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2023 / CEREMONY: March 10th, 2024
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
OCTOBER 20TH
PREDICTED FINALISTS
87 Films Announced To Date (Oct 28)
The deadline to submit is past. Are there any titles we aren't yet aware of?
(the Academy no longer releases an official list so it's harder to keep track than it once was)
15 Finalists Announced in this Category: Dec 17, 2024
Nomination Morning: January 17, 2025
Oscar Night: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Tier 1 - Predicted Nominees | ||||
THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG TIFF Review Germany Germany's been on a roll. |
I'M STILL HERE Brazil Walter Salles comeback. |
EMILIA PEREZ TIFF Review France Could compete in other categories too with Netflix big push |
ARMAND Norway The winner of the Camera d'Or at Cannes. A nominee for the EUFA Award |
VERMIGLIO Interview Italy Period drama. Popular in Venice. |
Tier 2 - Potential Spoilers and Predicted Finalists |
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UNIVERSAL LANGUAGE Canada Might stand out from the crowd on the more comic side |
GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE Denmark Second only to Germany in the 21st century with voter favor in this category |
IN HER PLACE Chile
Maite Alberdi is already popular with Oscar voters |
TOUCH Iceland If they're feeling romantic. |
SUJO Mexico Mexico has been a consistent finalist presence of late |
Tier 3 - Predicted Finalists, Continuted |
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MEETING WITH POL POT Cambodia Oscar voters like journalism dramas. |
THE HUNGARIAN DRESSMAKER Slovakia The WW II subject matter could appeal |
IRELAND Kneecap It'll stand out from the crowded list. Plus a familiar face in the cast. A nominee for the EUFA award. |
DAHOMEY Senegal Mati Diop is a rising auteur and this documentary about the legacy of colonialism in Africa could resonate. |
EVERYBODY LOVES TOUDA Morocco Nabil Ayouch is a frequently submitted director. When will it happen? |
Tier 4 - They wouldn't be a surprise on the finalist list! | ||||
MY LAST SUMMER Bosnia & Herzegovina Voters have gone for Danis Tanovic films in the past |
FLOW Latvia Though it's more likely to show up in animated feature |
ARZÉ Lebanon
A mother/son dramedy starring Diamand Abou Abooud (The Insult) |
BEHIND THE MIST Ecuador A 3D documentary could stand out from the crowd. |
FAMILY TIME Finland If they're moved by it. |
87 Official Submissions |
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CHART 1 - 28 submissions
CHART 2 - 30 submissions
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OSCAR STATS & FUN TRIVIA ABOUT THIS CATEGORY | ||||
Most wins for a foreign film
FOUR WAY TIE Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon (Taiwan 2000), Fanny & Alexander's (Sweden 1983), and All Quiet... (2022) share the record with 4 wins (Foreign Film plus crafts). Parasite (South Korea, 2019) tied that number but in 'bigger' categories: Picture, Director, Screenplay, and International |
Most nominations for a foreign film Roma went on to three wins and Crouching four but neither film was able to win Best Picture. |
Most competitive wins in the category by director |
Most competitive wins & nominations w/out winning International Feature Pan's Labyrinth (2006) won 3 awards from 6 nominations but lost its own category to The Lives of Others. |
Most nominated country France leads with 38 nominees (they were also given 3 honoraries before nominations began proper in 1956). Their most recent win was 30 years ago with Indochine (1992) starring Catherine Deneuve. |
Most winning country ITALY leads with 14 wins (3 of which were honoraries). Some of the most famous films among their winners are The Bicycle Thief (1949), 8 1/2 (1963), The Garden of the Finzi-Continis (1971), Cinema Paradiso (1989), and Life is Beautiful (1998). Italy has struggled since the 21st century began, though, with only 1 win (The Great Beauty, 2013)
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Most popular country with Oscar these past two decades That would be GERMANY. In the 21st century (i.e. the past 24 years) Germany has been nominated 10 times and won thrice. More details on last row of this chart |
First foreign language film nominated for Best Picture Grand Illusion (1938). But Oscar didn't start giving statues to foreign films until 11 years later and foreign films didn't get their own competitive category until 1956 |
Most influential snub of the past two decades You have the horror of the snubbing of Romania's Palme d'or winner 4 Weeks, 3 Months and 2 Days (2007) to thank for the creation of the Academy's Executive Committee. Nominations immediately improved after this committee process began. |
First foreign language film to win an acting Oscar Italy's Two Women (1961) won Best Actress for Sophia Loren who was, not unimportantly, already a major star in the US. But Italy did not submit her vehicle for Foreign Film, choosing Michelangelo Antonioni's La Notte instead (which was not nominatd) |
First country to break through Oscar's midcentury France/Italy/Japan obsession For the first 12 years of foreign-language film honors only France, Italy, or Japan ever won. Sweden was the first country to break up that strangehold with back to back Ingmar Bergman wins for The Virgin Spring (1960) and Through a Glass Darkly (1961) |
First foreign language film to win any Oscar Switzerland's Marie-Louise (1944) won Best Screenplay, years before the Best International Feature Film category began. |
First foreign language film winner to win more than one Oscar Japan's Gate of Hell (1954) won the Honorary for Foreign Film and also took home Costume Design. |
Only directors of foreign film nominees to go on to direct a Best Picture winner Czech director Milos Forman for Loves of a Blonde (1965)/ Fireman's Ball (1967) + One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest (1975)/ Amadeus (1984) was the first to do it. Two Mexican filmmakers have followed suit: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Amores Perros (2000)/Biutiful (2010) + Birdman (2014) and Guillermo del Toro for Pan's Labyrinth (2006) + Shape of Water (2017) Only Bong Joon-ho has done both simultaneously (with Parasite, 2019) |
Only Best International Film winners to also win Best Director Bong Joon-ho (Parasite for South Korea) and Alfonso Cuarón (Roma for Mexico) are the only directors to accomplish this feat and both were very recent. It's worth noting that Ang Lee (Taiwan) has won the Best Director category twice but curiously neither time was that win connected to either a Best Picture Winner or a Best International Film winner. Very interesting stat for Mr. Ang Lee there, showing how often he's delivered in a major way. |
Most Overall Nominations for a Best Foreign Language Film Nominee That Didn't Win Anything (Not Even This Category) This is a three-way tie. The most recent is the French comedy Amélie (2000) which scored 5 nominations but suffered a surprise loss to Bosnia in the foreign category. |
Biggest Comeback / Revenge for a Film that Was Snubbed In This Category This answer is subjective (how to define comeback or revenge?) but the answer is probably Brazil's City of God which failed to receive a nomination in 2022 when submitted. In 2023 after its US release it scored 4 shocking nominations including Best Director. Truly no pundits or media types saw that coming that year. Other snubbees that got sweet revenge after their snub? Germany's Run Lola Run (1998/1999) became an influential art house sensation. Films like Sweden's Persona (1966) and Hong Kong's In the Mood for Love (2000/2001) now regularly make lists of the greatest films of all time. |
Directors with Most Success In This Category Though *Technically* the Country Wins special cases 4 noms / 4 wins 4 noms / no wins 3 noms / 3 wins 3 noms / no wins |
Stars Who've Appeared in Most Best International Feature Film Nominees
in 3 nominated films Way too many actors have appeared in two nominated films to list but some still working include: Javier Bardem, Antonio Banderas, Toni Servillo, Daniel Bruhl, Benno Furman, Sebastian Koch |
Only Best International Film Nominees to Also Compete in Best Picture Z (1969) Nominated for Best Picture but NOT Submitted for International by Their Country Cries and Whispers (1972) Nominated for Best Picture Before International Feature Existed as a Category Grand Illusion (1938) |
Most Popular Countries with Oscar 1. FRANCE 9. POLAND 10. CZECHOSLOVAKIA* 11 [tie] ISRAEL & YUGOSLAVIA* * country no longer exists, having split into multiple countries |
Most Popular Countries with Oscar 1. GERMANY 9. SWEDEN 10. ISRAEL runners up: Austria, Iran, Russia |
Most Popular Countries with Oscar 1. FRANCE 2. ITALY 3. GERMANY 4. SPAIN 5. SWEDEN 6. JAPAN 7. DENMARK 8. POLAND 9. HUNGARY 10. ISRAEL 11. SOVIET UNION* runners up: Mexico, Argentina, Belgium, Russia * country no longer exists, having split into multiple countries |
"NEVER GIVE UP"
03. BULGARIA (35 submissions | 1 finalist) 04. VENEZUELA (34 submissions | 1 finalist) 05. CROATIA (34 submissions) 06. PHILIPPINES (33 submissions BUT THIS YEAR?) 07. TURKEY (31 submissions | 1 finalist) 08 THAILAND (30 submissions BUT THIS YEAR?) 09 [tie] SLOVAKIA & SLOVENIA (27 submissions Slovakia...but this year? 28 submissions Slovenia) 11 INDONESIA 12 URUGUAY (24 submissions | 1 disqualified nom) runners up: |
Longest Consecutive Nomination Streaks 6 YEARS 5 YEARS 4 YEARS 3 YEARS Mexico (1960-1962) in the past 14 years no country has accomplished this - Germany could break that drought this season since they've been nominated in both of the previous two seasons. |
Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film