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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

OFFICIAL SUBMISSION CHARTS
Last Updated 10/30/2024

CHART 2: GUATEMALA through NORWAY
28 of 85 COMPETING FILMS

 

Guatemala
never nominated | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1994 

🇬🇹

RITA
dir. Jayro Bustamante
Streaming Nov 22nd in US on Shudder

107 minutes
Spanish

A 13 year old runs away from her abusive home and is placed in a safe house. But how safe is it?

This is Bustamante's third submission from Guatemala's five times entering the race

recent finalist
2022 - La Llorona

recent key submission
2015 - Ixcanul

Hong Kong
3 nominations | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1959

🇭🇰

TWILIGHT OF THE WARRIORS: WALLED IN
dir. Soi Cheang
Available to Rent in US

126 minutes
Cantonese & Mandarin

An action thriller about gangsters in the walled city and a troubled young man. Sammo Hung, Raymond Lam, and Louis Koo star.

most recent nominee
2020 -Better Days

recent finalist
2013 - The Grandmaster

classic snub
2001 - In the Mood for Love

 

Hungary
10 noms | 2 wins | + 2 finalists | submitting since 1965

🇭🇺

SEMMELWEIS
dir Lajos Koltai
No US Release News

127 minutes
Hungarian

A period drama about a doctor and an epidemic in a  maternity ward

Koltai was Oscar-nominated for Cinematography for Malena (2000). After he became a director he was submitted for Fateless (2005)

most recent winner
2015 - Son of Saul

most recent nominee
2017 - On Body and Soul

recent key submissions
2021 - Post Mortem
2019 - Those Who Remained
2014 - White God

Iceland
1 nomination | + 3 finalists | submitting since 1980

🇮🇸

TOUCH
dir Baltasur Kormákur
Streaming on Peacock

121 minutes
Japanese, Icelandic, and English

An Icelandic man searches for his lost Japanese love from 50 years prior. 

Kormakur is Iceland's most successful director internationally and was previously submitted for The Sea (2002), Jar City (2007), and The Deep (2012 which made the finals). Will the fourth time be the charm?

most recent finalists
2023 - Godland
2021 - Lamb
2012 - The Deep

recent key submissions
2022 - Beautiful Beings
2019 - White White Day
2018 - Woman at War

India
3 nominations | +1 finalist
submitting since 1957

🇮🇳

LAAPATAA LADIES
dir Kiran Rao
Streaming on Netflix

124 minutes
Hindi

Two newlywed brides  get mixed up en route to their new husbands homes in this comedy.

most recent nominee
2001 - Lagaan

recent finalist
2022 - The Last Film Show

 

Indonesia
never nominated | submitting since 1987

🇮🇩

WOMEN FROM ROTE ISLAND
dir Jeremias Nyangeoen
No US Release News

108 minutes
Rote

A widow wants justice when her two daughters are sexually assaulted.

recent key submissions
2021 -Yuni
2020 - Impetigore

Iran
3 noms | 2 wins | + 2 finalists | submitting since 1977

🇮🇷

IN THE ARMS OF THE TREE
dir Babak Lotfi Khajepasha
No US Release News

88 minutes
Persian

A family drama involving a married couple and their young children.

most recent winners
2016 - The Salesman
2011 - A Separation

recent finalists
2021 - A Hero
2020 - Sun Children

Iraq
never nominated | submitting since 2005

🇮🇶

BAGHDAD MESSI
dir Sahin Omar Kalifa
No US Release News

88 minutes
Arabic and Kurdish

A drama about a 10 year old boy who is obsessed with football

recent key submissions
2022 - The Exam

Ireland
1 nominee | + 1 finalist | submitting spottily since 2005

🇮🇪

KNEECAP
dir Rich Peppiatt
Official Site
Now Playing in US

105 minutes
Irish, English

A comedy about a hip-hop trio with the band members playing themselves. Michael Fassbender co-stars

only nominee 
2022 - The Quiet Girl

key recent submissions
2017 - Song of Granite
2015 - Viva

 

Israel
10 noms | 0 wins | + 1 finalist |  submitting since 1964

🇮🇱

COME CLOSER
dir. Tom Nesher

107 minutes
Hebrew & English

A visually focused drama about a woman grieving her brother


Not Selected:
The winner of the Ophir Awards is always submitted (if eligible otherwise). This year the other nominees are: Eid ( Yousef Abo Madegem), Girls Like Us (Lee Gila) Halisa by (Sophie Artus), The Milky Way ( Maya Kenig ) and Highway 65 (Maya Dreifuss).

most recent nominee
2011 - Footnote

most recent finalists
2017 - Foxtrot

classic snub
2001 - Late Marriage

 

 

Italy
29 noms | 11 wins | + 3 honoraries | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1956

🇮🇹

VERMIGLIO
dir. Maura Delpero

Interview
TIFF REVIEW

119 minutes
Italian

A World War II era drama about a deserter and a local teacher and the teacher's family

Not Selected: 
Italy had 19 features to pick from that qualified for this honor. 

most recent winner
2013 - The Great Beauty

recent nominees
2023 - Io Capitano
2021 -Hand of God

classic snub
2008 - Gomorrah

Japan
15 noms | 2 wins | + 3 honoraries | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1956

🇯🇵

CLOUD
dir. Kiyoshi Kurosawa
No US Release News

95 minutes
Japanese

REVIEW

A psychological thriller about a young man (Masaki Suda) who resells goods online.

The Japanese film industry doesn't get a lot of coverage internationally outside of Anime but Oscar has paid more attention to their cinema than others from Asia

most recent winner
2021 -Drive My Car

recent nominees
2023 - Perfect Days
2018 - Shoplifters

recent key submissions
2019 - Weathering With You

Kazakhstan
1 nomination | + 2 finalists | submitting since 1992

🇰🇿 

BAURYNA SALU
dir. Askhat Kuchencherekov
No US Release News

113 minutes
Kazakh

A 12 year old boy returns to the family he barely knows after his grandmother who raised him dies.

only nominee
2007 - Mongol

recent key submissions
2021 - The Yellow Cat
2018 - Ayka
2009 - Kelin
2008 -Tulpan

Kenya
never nominated |  submitting since 2012

🇰🇪

NAWI
dir multiple directors
no US Release News

unknown minutes
Swahili & English

A young girl in Turkana struggles with traditional societal expectations and modern-day pressures.

recent key submissions
2018 Supa Modo

Kyrgyzstan
never nominated | submitting since 1998

🇰🇬

HEAVEN IS BENEATH MOTHER'S FEET
dir. Ruslan Akun
no US Release News

140 minutes
Kyrgyz

A drama about a special needs man who lives with his 75 year old mother.

recent key submissions
2021 - Shambala
2018 - Centaur
2010 - The Light Thief

 

 

Latvia
never nominated | 
submitting since 1992

🇱🇻

FLOW
dir Gints Zilbalodis
Janus Films in US, date TBA

86 minutes
Latvian

This is the second time Latvia has submitted an animated film. Flow was a big winner at this year's Annecy festival

recent key submissions
2020 - Blizzard of Souls
2017 - Chronicles of...
2014 - Rocks in my...

Lebanon
2 nominations | submitting since 1978

🇱🇧

ARZÉ
Mira Shaib
No US Release News

90 minutes
Arabic

A mother and her teenage son journey through Beirut in search of her stolen scooter.

Diamond Abou Abboud (The Insult) stars as the titular character. 

recent nominees
2018 - Capernaum
2017 - The Insult

classic snub
2011 - Where Do We Go Now?

Lithuania
never nominated | submitting since 2006

🇱🇹

DROWNING DRY 
dir Laurynes Bareiša
no US Release News

88 minutes
Lithuanian

A drama about two wives planning a countryside weekend for their families but tragedy strikes

recent key submissions
2022 - Pilgrims
2021 - Isaac

Malaysia
never nominated | submitting since 2004

🇱🇺

ABANG ADIK
dir Jin Ong
Streaming on Netflix

Golden Horse Awards

115 minutes
Mandarin, Cantonese, Malay

About two orphaned brothers, who who is deaf. Crime drama. Winner of multiple Golden Horse Awards last year.

Malta
never nominated | submitting since 2014

 🇲🇹

CASTILLO
dir. Abigail Mallia
No US Release News

? minutes
Maltese

A crime drama about family secrets and revenge after an assassination.

recent key submissions
2021 - Luzzu
2014 - Simshar

 

 

 

Mexico
9 noms |  1 win | + 5 finalists | submitting since 1957

🇲🇽

SUJO
dir Astrid Rondero & Fernandz Valadez
No US Release News

126 minutes
Spanish

A drama about the orphaned son of a cartel gunman. Winner of the Grand Prix at Sundance.

Not Selected:
The other options : All the Silence, Bad Actor, Disappear Completely, Human Resources, I Don't Want to be Dust, Pedro Paramo, and Valentina or the Serenity.

only winner
2018 -Roma

recent finalists
2023 - Totem
2022 - Bardo
2021 - Prayers for Stolen
2020 - I'm No Longer Here

Mongolia
never nominated | submitting infrequently since 2003

🇲🇳

IF ONLY I COULD HIBERNATE
dir Zoljargal Purevdash
No US Release News

99 minutes
Mongolian

A teenage boy wins a scholarship but his mother abandons him in the middle of winter.

recent key submissions
2023 - City of Wind
2003 - Story of the Weeping Camel

Montenegro
never nominated | submitting since 2013

🇲🇪

SUPERMARKET
dir Nemanja Becanovic
No US Release News

75 minutes
Serbo-Croatian

A dramedy about a homeless man living secretly in a supermarket and a former employee who also "moves in".

recent key submissions
2021 - After the Winter
2015 - You Carry Me

Morocco
never nominated | + 3 finalists | submitting since 1977

🇲🇦

EVERYBODY LOVES TOUDA
dir Nabil Ayouch
no US release news

102 minutes
Arabic

A bar singer dreams of a better life in Casablanca for her and her son. Ayouch is Morocco's most frequently submitted auteur. This is his sixth time at bat.

recent finalists
2023 -Mother of All Lies
2022 - The Blue Caftan
2011 -Omar Killed Me

Nepal
1 nomination | submitting since 1999

🇳🇵

SHAMBHALA
dir. Min Bahadur Bham
no US Release News

150 minutes
Tibetan & Nepali

A drama about a pregnant woman whose husband vanishes

Not Selected:
Pooja, Sir premiered in Venice but perhaps it wasn't yet eligible given the timeframe? 

 

recent key submissions
2020 - Bulbul
2017 - White Sun
1999 - Caravan

 

 

 

The Netherlands
7 noms | 3 wins | + 3 finalists | submitting since 1959

🇳🇱

MEMORY LANE
dir Jelle de Jonge
no US release news

98 minutes
Dutch

A comedy about an elderly man and his wife with dementia travelling.

Not Selected:
 other options: Fox and Hare Save the Forest, 
Gerlach , 
Hardcore Never Dies, 
Last Call, Lost City , 
Melk and 
White Flash 

most recent finalist
2014 - Accused

recent key submissions
2023 - Sweet Dreams
2021 -Do Not Hesitate
2019 - Instinct

classic snub
2006 - Black Book

Nigeria
never nominated | submitting since 2019

🇳🇬

MAI MARTABA
d. Prince Aboki
No US Release News

86 minutes
Hausa

A period drama about the ancient kingdom of Jallaba

recent key submission:
2023 - Mami Wata

Norway
6 nominations | + 2 finalists |  submitting since 1957

🇳🇴

ARMAND
dir. Halfdan Ullmann Tondel
IFC Films in US, 2025

117 minutes
Norwegian

A drama about a conflict between six year olds at an Elementary school. Reinate Reinsve and Ellen Dorit Petersen star.

Not Selected:
WW II drama Quisling - The Final Chapter, and the  dramedy Sex. 

most recent nominees
2021 - Worst Person...
2012 - KonTiki

recent key submissions
2020 - Hope
2017 - Thelma
2015 - The Wave

classic snub
2006 - Reprise

Current Predictions

Pt 1 - ALBANIA through GREECE  
➡️ Pt 3 - PAKISTAN through VIETNAM

Announced submission but disqualified or absent from list
China
Haiti
Jordan
Uruguay

Did not submit this time
Afghanistan
Australia
Azerbaijan
Bhutan
Burkina Faso
Chad
Cuba
Kosovo
Luxembourg
Moldova
Namibia
North Macedonia
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Sudan
Uzbekistan
Yemen

 

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film