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98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025. CEREMONY: 2026
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

 

first predictions july 

 

Tier 1 - Predictions
   

Ayo Edebiri
never nominated
AFTER THE HUNT
(Amazon MGM)

She's become an awards magnet on TV... can it happen for film too in this college set drama? She's one of the three centered characters so chances are she'll have good screen time to back up a campaign.

Gwyneth Paltrow
1 nom | 1win
MARTY SUPREME
(A24)

Though she rarely acts anymore let's not pretend she isn't great at it. We're hoping for the best with her big screen return. If she can conjure her old magic, watch out! If she doesn't or the role isn't interesting, this could be a hype only thing for marketing. 

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
never nominated
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
(Neon)

Critics were rapturous about the film and the supporting actress race looks thin (at least this far out) so maybe there's room for a key player that Oscar voters aren't yet familiar with. 

Emily Blunt
1 nomination
THE SMASHING MACHINE
(A24)

It took forever for Blunt to nab her first nomination but the second might be easier, especially if they like this biopic in which she plays the lead's supportive wife.

Tilda Swinton
1 nom | 1 win
BATTLE OF A SMALL PLAYER
(Netflix)

Wishful Thinking Pick - We're curious about what it would take to get Swinton back in the Oscar race? What kind of role? If she's playing a character known in the book as "Grandma" (an uber wealthy gambler) she could really eat this one up

Tier 2 - Or maybe...

 

Ariana Grande
1 nom
WICKED FOR GOOD
(Universal)

If the year is thin for actresses (and it weirdly feels like it in July) the Wicked women could easily repeat.

Elle Fanning
never nominated
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
(Neon)

She works so frequently that we suspect it will eventually happen for her. She just needs to find the role. Reviews for this film have mostly focused on Renata & Stellan but perhaps it will catch on in a broad Oscary way and bring kudos to Elle and/or Inga

Regina Hall or Teyana Taylor or Chase Infiniti
never nominated
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
(Warner Bros)

Wild Card Confusion.
Fact: in a weird detour from his early breakout ensemble pictures, Paul Thomas Anderson films have subsequently become extremely focused on men and usually only two characters get much of anything to do.

So... will any of these women pop or have enough screen time to garner traction? Regina and Teyana are strong actors and people would surely be thrilled to see either in the Oscar mix. Oscar loves a discovery so Chase (film debut!) could breakout if she's strong and has significant screentime. But if this is truly an action comedy maybe acting nods are a long shot?

Tier 3 - Longer Shots? Who the hell knows this early!
   

Jennifer Lopez
never nom'ed
KISS OF THE SPIDER-WOMAN
(Lionsgate)

A showcase role for Lopez who they kind of owe for that Hustlers snub. But it will surely be divisive and the musical isn't exactly a classic. That said the source material is, and, Fact: Sonia Braga should have been nominated in 1985 for playing this great trifurcated role.

Jamie Lee Curtis
1 nom | 1 win
ELLA MCKAY
(20th Century)

What's her role like? Curtis works so often that it's hard to know when she's in something because the role is exciting for her or just because she likes to constantly work.  Crossing fingers it's the former since we love her.

America Ferrera
1 nom
THE LOST BUS
(Apple TV+)

If this is a strong film it's easy to imagine the actors catching on too. That said Apple TV+ isn't a strong Oscar player.

Samantha Morton
2 noms
ANEMONE
(Focus)

The only buzz to date really been about Daniel Day-Lewis' comeback but what if the estimable Samantha Morton sweeps in and steals focus? What's her role like?

Emily Watson
2 noms
HAMNET
(Focus)

How large is this role? Who does she play? Is she playing Shakespeare's mother? If she has a key role we can imagine a comeback. She just needs a good showcase again, don't you think?

Tier 4 - Other Possibilities. More Leading Man in 2025.

Previously Nominated Actors

  • Emma Stone - Eddington (A24)
  • Felicity Jones - Train Dreams (Netflix)
  • Hailey Steinfeld - Sinners (Warner Bros)
  • Regina King - Caught Stealing (Sony)
  • Sissy Spacek - Die My Love

Never Nominated

  • Aubrey Plaza - Honey, Don't!
  • Ayo Edebiri - Ella McKay (20th Century)
  • Embeth Davidtz - Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight (SPC)
  • Erin Kellyman - Eleanor the Great (SPC)
  • Fran Drescher - Marty Supreme (A24)
  • Hunter Schafer - Mother Mary (A24)
  • Margaret Qualley - Blue Moon (SPC)
  • Mia Threapleton - The Phoenician Scheme (Focus) - lead but you know how Oscar campaigns go
  • Odessa A'zion - Marty Supreme (A24)
  • Rebecca Hall - Peter Hujar's Day (Janus Films / Sideshow)
  • Virginie Efira - Vie Privee (Distributor?)
  • Wunmi Mosaku - Sinners (Warner Bros)
  • Zoey Deuch - Nouvelle Vague