Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024 / March 2, 2025
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
AND THE NOMINEES ARE....
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COSTUME DESIGN |
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Ariane Philips |
Lisy Christl |
Janty Yates
3rd nom | 1 win Crossman first nomination! GLADIATOR II
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Linda Muir
first nomination! NOSFERATU
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Paul Tazewell |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN ? - VOTE DAILY |
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WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? |
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| We thought that the costume branch's longstanding obsession with Colleen Atwood and their new love for Parrini would bring glory to Beetlejuice Beetlejuice or Maria respectively. We were wrong, this year noone was interested if you weren't either a Best Picture nominee or Nosferatu. | ||||
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WHAT WILL WIN? |
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Tazewell should be writing his speech for Wicked. Anything else would be a shock (which is not an insult to them, just the way things will go). PREDICTION: Wicked |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK |
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| I'd also vote for Wicked from this lineup but my lineup (coming soon) will only feature two of these films since there were some very special contemporary costume design films this year (and Oscar voters have historically ignored those even if the period stuff was weak). | ||||
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CINEMATOGRAPHY |
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Lol Crawley |
Greig Fraser 3rd nom | 1 win DUNE PART TWO |
Paul Guilhaume first nomination! EMILIA PEREZ |
Edward Lachmann 4th nomination MARIA |
Jarin Blaschke |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY |
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WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? |
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| Given the guild nominations we think Jomo Fray's work on Nickel Boys, and work on The Girl With the Needle were both hovering near the outside of this list. But, given that this year leaned so hard into "best picture heat or else!" perhaps the sixth place finisher was either Phedon Papamichael's work on A Complete Unknown. or Alice Brooks lensing of Wicked. And though he had no traction whatsoever Mikhail Krichman had an insanely strong year with both Vermiglio and The End on view. | ||||
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WHAT WILL WIN? |
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That's a really good question. It feels like a toss up doesn't it. We suspect though it's a three way race with The Brutalist's vista vision, Nosferatu's inky darkness and craft achievements, and Dune Part Two as a repeat if they really can't get enough of the whole Feyd Rautha section which screams CINEMATOGRAPHY. PREDICTION: The Brutalist |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK |
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From this lineup my choice is either The Brutalist or Dune Part Two and I'd vote the former given that Frasier already won for the first Dune. (In truth though I'm not overly fond of this quintet as The Five) |
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PRODUCTION DESIGN |
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Judy Becker |
Suzie Davis (2nd nomination) Cynthia Sleiter first nomination! CONCLAVE |
Patrice Vermette (4th nom | 1 win) Shane Vieau (3rd nom | 1 win) DUNE PART TWO |
Craig Lathrop & Beatrice Brentnerova first nomination for each!
NOSFERATU |
Nathan Crowley
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WHO SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY |
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WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? |
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| Color me surprised --given the insanity of Emilia Perez's 13 (THIRTEEN!) nominations that they didn't just place it everywhere. Overall the only one of these nominees that felt like a mild surprise was Conclave. Though previous nominees like Guy Hendrix Dyas and Adam Stockhausen, and Jess Gonchor did fine work in Maria, Blitz, and Saturday Night the films just weren't popular enough for craft attention | ||||
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WHAT WILL WIN? |
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It's finally Nathan Crowley's turn (Wicked)... unless the Academy likes The Brutalist more than we're guessing and appreciates that this category ties in so well to its subject matter. PREDICTION: Wicked |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK |
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| Nathan Crowley will make a terrific winner for Wicked (FINALLY) but we're also HUGE fans of what Judy Becker does in The Brutalist. | ||||
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FILM EDITING
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ANORA |
THE BRUTALIST |
CONCLAVE |
EMILIA PEREZ |
WICKED |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY |
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WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? |
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| We thought Dune Part Two and September 5 would land nominations here but were wrong. Another film that it's easy to imagine was thisclose to a nomination was A Complete Unknown | ||||
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WHAT WILL WIN? |
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When nominations were announced we imagined that Emilia Perez would win this as its only craft Oscar. But times have sure changed. Conclave has continued to rise and Anora has the advantage of being the frontrunner. We think in the end they're going to go with the one that feels most like a taut thriller. PREDICTION: CONCLAVE |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK |
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| Given that The Brutalist flies by despite being nearly four hours long, that speaks highly of David Jancso's work! | ||||
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MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING |
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| ... A DIFFERENT MAN |
EMILIA PEREZ | ... NOSFERATU |
THE SUBSTANCE | WICKED |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY |
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| WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? | ||||
| The other finalists in this category which usess rounds of 'bake-offs' were (alpha order) The Apprentice, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, Dune Part Two, Maria, and Waltzing with Brando | ||||
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WHAT WILL WIN? |
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We imagine that this goes to The Substance (given that it made it to major nominations against all odds) BUT if there are enough voters who don't want to hand it to body horror (which they never even nominate - so this could be seen as a win regardless) the green skinned witch could surprise. PREDICTION: THE SUBSTANCE |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK |
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| I'd choose between The Substance or A Different Man (and I'm just thrilled thrilled thrilled that the latter made it since it was ignored everywhere else and it's such a strong movie. | ||||
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VISUAL EFFECTS |
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ALIEN ROMULUS |
A BETTER MAN | DUNE PART TWO | KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES | WICKED |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY |
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| WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? | ||||
| The other finalists from the 'bake offs' were (in alpha order): Civil War, Deadpool & Wolverine, Gladiator II, Mufasa The Lion King, and Twisters | ||||
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WHAT WILL WIN? |
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We think Dune Part Two repeats (the original installment won six Oscars). Inititally we thought this would be its only Oscar but upon rethink Dune 2 could win as many as three (Cinematography if it's very lucky and Sound if it can ward off the love for Bob Dylan and Joan Baez music). PREDICTION: Dune Part Two |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK |
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| My vote would go to Dune Part Two but Better Man is also strong in this department | ||||