Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs
95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2022 / CEREMONY: March 12th, 2023
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
AND THE NOMINEES ARE...
(Scroll down for all visual categories)
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BABYLON
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BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER |
ELVIS
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EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
MRS HARRIS GOES TO PARRIS
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| WHAT SHOULD WIN? | ||||
| HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS? | ||||
| WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? | ||||
| The Fabelmans, All Quiet on the Western Front, and Living were obviously being watched by voters and came from previous Oscar nominees or winners. Other costume heavy films this year included Corsage, The Woman King, Amsterdam, and though they rarely look at contemporary pictures Tar and Glass Onion were both fine examples of contemporary work. | ||||
| WHAT WILL WIN? | ||||
| Catherine Martin has only lost this category once (Australia) so Elvis has a great shot at taking home this prize. We wonder though if Jenny Beavan could win back-to-back Oscars with Mrs Harris Goes to Paris. She won just last year for Cruella. | ||||
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY*stats reflect this category only and number of films reflects only lead DP work. If there's an asterisk they have nominations or wins in other categories, too AND THE WINNER IS ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT |
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ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT James Friend
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BARDO |
ELVIS |
EMPIRE OF LIGHT Roger Deakins (16th nom / 2 wins) |
TAR
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| WHAT SHOULD WIN? | ||||
| HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS? | ||||
| WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? | ||||
| The Batman, Nope, Top Gun Maverick, Babylon, The Fabelmans, and EO were either lensed by famous DPs or excited critics this year in terms of their visuals. But this branch can sometimes surprise and they went in other directions and gave two films (Bardo & Empire of Light) their only Oscar nominations. That's increasingly rare since less films get nominated across the board these days (since the expanded best picture era began there's statistically less spreading of the wealth in terms of nominations) | ||||
| WHAT WILL WIN? | ||||
| With the unexpected snub of Top Gun Maverick and the three arguable BP frontrunners (Banshees, EEAAO, and The Fabelmans) all outside this race, it's really anyone's guess. Right now we're thinking TAR in a surprise. But maybe it'll be All Quiet on the Western Front or Elvis? | ||||
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BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN*stats reflect this category only and number of films reflects only lead production designer or set decorator work. If there's an asterisk they have nominations or wins in other categories, too AND THE WINNER IS ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT |
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ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
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AVATAR WAY OF THE WATER
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BABYLON Florencia Martin & Anthony Carlino (first nomination each!) |
ELVIS |
THE FABELMANS Rick Carter (5th nom, 2 wins), Karen O'Hara (4th nom, 1 win)
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| WHAT SHOULD WIN? | ||||
| HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS | ||||
| WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? | ||||
| Other films that had either Oscar buzz or pedigree this year included Black Panther Wakanda Forever, Bardo, The Batman, and White Noise. We never understood why the incredible production design of either Nope or After Yang weren't fawned over in precursor season either. | ||||
| WHAT WILL WIN? | ||||
| Another craft category that feels like it could go any which way. Avatar won this back in 2009 but we think this time they'll lean either Babylon or Elvis. | ||||
BEST FILM EDITING*stats reflect this category only and number of films reflects only lead production designer or set decorator work. If there's an asterisk they have nominations or wins in other categories, too AND THE WINNER IS EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
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BANSHEES OF INISHERIN |
ELVIS
Jonathan Redmond and Matt Villa (first nomination each!) |
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
TAR Monika Willi (first nomination!) |
TOP GUN MAVERICK Eddie Hamilton (first nomination!) |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? |
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| HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS? | ||||
| WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? | ||||
| It's very strange that All Quiet on the Western Front didn't land here given that war films often show here and they obviously loved the film. Other misses that seemed like they might make an impact in this category at one point or another included Avatar the Way of Water, Babylon, and The Fabelmans, | ||||
| WHAT WILL WIN? | ||||
| We think Top Gun Maverick will take this but it has strong competition from the very showy (and fun) work in Everything Everywhere All At Once. TAR was also an incredible pick but we can't imagine it winning. | ||||
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIR*stats reflect this category only. If there's an asterisk they have nominations or wins in other categories, too AND THE WINNER IS THE WHALE |
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ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT |
THE BATMAN |
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
Joel Harlow (4th nom, 1 win), Camille Friend (first nomination!) |
ELVIS
Mark Coulier (4th nom, 2 wins), Aldo Signoretti (4th nom), Jason Baird (first nomination!)
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THE WHALE |
| WHAT SHOULD WIN? | ||||
| HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS | ||||
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WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? |
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The other finalists were Amsterdam, Babylon, Crimes of the Future, Blonde, and Emancipation. The entire history of this category verifies that it's impossible to ascertain what this branch is looking for. They like old age makeup except when they don't. They like wigs except when they don't. They like special effects prosthetics except when they don't. They like glamour except when they don't. They hate when CGI aids the makeup except when they don't. So anything is possible really. Here are films that did not make the list but could have given their work: Armageddon Time, Downton Abbey: The New Era, The Fabelmans, Down, Glass Onion, A Man Called Otto, Nope, The Northman, Till, White Noise, and The Woman King. |
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| WHAT WILL WIN? | ||||
| We think it'll be The Whale for the prosthetics on Brendan Fraser but truly none of these would surprise as winners. | ||||
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS |
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ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT |
AVATAR THE WAY OF WATER |
THE BATMAN Dan Lemmon (5th nom, 1 win), Dominic Tuohy (4th nom, 1 win), Russell Earl (6th nom), Anders Langlands (3rd nom) |
BLACK PANTHER WAKANDA FOREVER Daniel Sudick (13th nom), R Christopher White (3rd nom), Craig Hammack (2nd nom), Geoffrey Baumann (first nomination!) |
TOP GUN MAVERICK Scott R Fisher (3rd nom, 2 wins), Ryan Tudhope , Seth Hill, Bryan Litson (first nomination each!) |
| WHAT SHOULD WIN? | ||||
| WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? | ||||
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The other finalists were Nope, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Jurassic World Dominion, Thirteen Lives, Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore. In the bakeoffs before that the seminalists were Bardo, Black Adam, Devotion, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All At Once, Good Night Oppy, The Gray Man, RRR, and Thor: Love and Thunder. We're mystified as to why the following films with VFX weren't even considered really: After Yang, Bullet Train, Decision to Leave, The Northman, and Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio |
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| WHAT WILL WIN? | ||||
| Avatar: The Way of Water losing would be the ultimate shock. It won't. | ||||
Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2022 / CEREMONY: March 12th, 2023
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog