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94th Oscars Honoring the Films of 2021 CEREMONY: March 27th, 2022
JANE CAMPION WON
AND THE NOMINEES WERE...
Stats involve directing category only. An asterisks indicates they have additional nominations in other categories.
Paul Thomas Anderson wins: NBR For his 1970s set San Fernando Valley comedy of first love. |
Kenneth Branagh wins: -- For his auto-fiction memoir of his innocent childhood during "The Troubles" in Belfast |
Jane Campion WINNER wins: Globes, NYFCC, LAFCA, Gotham Tribute, and over 25 critics groups For her tense psychosexual Western set in 1920s Montana
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Ryusuke Hamaguchi wins: NSFC, and a couple more critics groups (plus many international film wins) For his existential drama about a theater director staging a production after his wife's death |
Steven Spielberg wins: 1 critics group For his reinvention of the classic Leonardo Bernstein musical about warring gangs in 1950s New York. |
READERS CHOICE - VOTE DAILY | ||||
How'd I do on my predictions?
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4/5 Though I predicted Hamaguchi I had the wrong director (Spielberg) falling to his critical darling stature | ||||
Who was left out? | ||||
The big shocking snub was Denis Villeneuve who had picked up Globes, Critics Choice, and DGA nominations for helming the majestic space opera Dune. Perhaps they're waiting for Part Two to reward him? Other directors with smaller buzz but who were probably in their minds (given the other nominations) included Pedro Almodovar, Joel Coen, Guillermo del Toro, Maggie Gyllenhaal, and Adam McKay. | ||||
Who Will Win? | ||||
This is Jane Campion's Oscar to lose. It's hard to imagine any of the others amassing enough votes either because there are other places to award them (Original Screenplay) or because they dont have a long history with Hollywood or Cinephilia (Hamaguchi has a lot of new fans but this is essentially his rising master breakthrough year), or because they've been amply rewarded before for more popular films (Spielberg) | ||||
WHO SHOUL WIN? (Nathaniel's Choice) | ||||
Jane Campion forever. Here's what my ballot looks like | ||||
HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED? |
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44% He's Paul Thomas Anderson. Other directors greatly admire him and vice-versa as a longtime cinephile 24% Rapturous critical reception (as per usual) and lockstep precursor support 10% Nostalgia. Most voting members lived through the 1970s 7% Bradley Cooper insane scenes and Alana Haim's breakthrough appeal 6% How is he still Oscar-less? Let's fix that! 4% They've always liked films about California 3% Philip Seymour Hoffman tribute via casting 2% Can Maya Rudolph please host the Oscars? |
26% Passion Project Memoir. Voters respect / relate: everyone has a story to tell 26% Rapturous festival launch + early frontrunner status went a long way 16% "Sir Kenneth Branagh" respect 15% Chosen ensemble. Oscar's collective Dench Obsession and handing her that perfect ending + the glamour of Balfe & Dornan and harnessing that for... 11% ...the FYC campaign; Jamie sings! 3% He's still Oscarless? 2% Joy of going to the movies scene 1% We forgive you for Artemis Fowl etc... |
30% Triumphant return. Oscar loves a comeback 25% Rapturous critical response + Venice kicking things off with the "Silver Lion" for Best Director 18% Committed FYC campaign. Netflix focusing on this film as their top priority early / relentlessly 15% She's Jane f***ing Campion. (They respected her even before the world demanded they honor more women) 11% A mountain of Best Director citations from critics groups 8% Directors could definitely see what Peter and Phil saw gazing at the mountain. 4% The Piano nostalgia |
54% NYFCC, LAFCA, and NSFC, the Holy Trinity of US critics groups, unanimous declared that Drive My Car was *the* film of the year. Worked like a megaphone 16% Oscar's increasingly international demographics 15% Pandemic Relatability / Main Character: A film about a director strugginlg with grief, his art, and connection. 10% Janus Films no budget campaign allowed voters to feel their own sense of discovery about it 5% Cannes launch prestige and Hamaguchi's international breakthrough year (see also Wheel of Fortune and Fantasy ) |
50% He's Steven Spielberg, the GOAT, and he finally made that musical he's dreamt of (Degree of Difficulty: High!) 18% West Side Story (Instant prestige + notalgia) is canon 17% And he pulled it off beautifully (Raves / Precursor support) 10% Discovery Power Reminder- What an (appropriate) cast of fresh stars. He's always had a great eye for new talent 5% Sympathy / Relatability for this branch. Why does the press keep dinging movies for not lighting the box office on fire when nothing does? |
TRIVIA TRIVIA TRIVIA |
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• Star Sign: CANCER • Birthplace: Studio City, California • Partnered with comic genius Maya Rudolph in real life since 2001. They have four children. • Has long directed music videos inbetween his films so his relationship with Alana Haim, his star for Licorice Pizza, goes way back as he's shot many HAIM videos. • While he is a creature of habit in terms of collaborators the only people who've been on every single feature are Costume Designer Mark Bridges and Producer Daniel Lupi |
• Star Sign: SAGITTARIUS • Birthplace: Belfast, Ireland • Married to art director Lindsay Brunnock. • He was knighted in 2012 so he is actually "Sir Kenneth Branagh" now • This is his first directing nomination since his debut at 29 with Henry V (1989). He was then and remains the third youngest director ever nominated. • He holds the all time record of nominations across the most Oscar categories with 7: Director, Original Screenplay, Adapted Screenplay, Live Action Short, Lead Actor, Supporting Actor, Best Picture |
• Star Sign: TAURUS • Birthplace: Wellington, New Zealand • Single • Her daughter Alice Englert starred in the second season of Campion's Top of the Lake and has a cameo in Power of the Dog • Campion is the first woman to receive two Oscar nominations in this category and at age 67, the oldest female nomineee ever in this category. • Only two directors from New Zealand have ever been nominated. The other is Peter Jackson (2 noms / 1 win... which might soon be Campion's record, too) |
• Star Sign: SAGITTARIUS • Birthplace: Kanagawa, Japan • Single • His features vary wildly in length (from 54 minutes up) but he likes 'em long. His 2012 drama Intimacies is four hours and 15 minutes and his 2015 drama Happy Hour is five hours and 17 minutes. • His other 2021 release, Wheel of Fortune and Fantasy was largely ignored in the US with all the attention going to Drive My Car but it won the Silver Bear at Berlinale. |
• Star Sign: SAGITTARIUS • Birthplace: Cincinatti, Ohio • Married to Kate Capshaw for 30 years now. They have seven children • Spielberg has been nominated in six consecutive decades (an all time record)... • Related Trivia: He is the 10th youngest director ever nominated (Close Encounters at 31) and the 9th oldest director ever nominated (now at 75) • He's the third most nominated director of all time in a tie with Billy Wilder (8 noms each) after William Wyler (12) and Martin Scorsese (9) |
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