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96th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2023 / CEREMONY: March 10th, 2024
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

AND THE NOMINEES ARE...
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Nomination Morning: Tuesday January 23, 2024
Oscar Night: Sunday, March 10, 2024


Oppenheimer Chris Nolan Universal July 21 13 nominations	Poor Things Yorgos Lanthimos Searchlight Dec 8 11 nominations	Killers of the Flower Moon Martin Scorsese Paramount /Apple Oct 6 10 nominations	Barbie Greta Gerwig Warner Bros July 21 8 nominations	Maestro Bradley Cooper Netflix Nov 22 7 nominations

American Fiction Cord Jefferson MGM Dec 15 5 nominations	Anatomy of a Fall Justine Triet Neon Oct 13 5 nominations	The Holdovers Alexander Payne Focus Nov 10 5 nominations	The Zone of Interest Jonathan Glazer A24 Dec 15 5 nominations	Past Lives Celine Song A24 June 2 2 nominations
WHAT SHOULD WIN? (You can vote daily!)
online polls
WHAT WILL WIN?
*Oppenheimer* will be nearly impossible to beat with the combination of being a critical darling, beautifully executed in all craft categories, a box office phenomenon and substantive in ways the Academy generally wants in their winners (historical, "important", and prestigious)
WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?
Before the summer of "Barbenheimer" stretched on into the fall it looked like other early year releases like Air, Asteroid City, and Across the Spider-Verse might be contenders (in one way or another) but it was not to be. Later in the year high profile awards hopefuls like May December, Ferrari, Napoleon, The Color Purple were met with either shrugs or divisive reactions from the public, industry, or media. Festival International titles that looked like they had crossover potential like The Taste of Things, and Society of the Snow fell victims to a lack of campaigning or the "international" dominance of Sandra Hüller's lauded double feature. If we had to guess which film landed in the 11th spot, it'd be Saltburn.
HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS?
...

Longest to Shortest	RT / MetaCritis Scores	Do they pass the Bechdel Test?	MPAA Ratings	Nathaniel's Preference
desperately wants to be a miniseries Killers of The Flower Moon (206) needs an intermission Oppenheimer (180) Anatomy of a Fall (151) pushing it Poor Things (141) Holdovers (133) Maestro (129) just under two hours American Fiction (117) Barbie (114) perfect length Past Lives (105) Zone of Interest (105)	ecstatic response Past Lives 96 /94 Poor Things 94/87 Killers 93/89 Oppenheimer 93 /89 Zone of 92 /90 raves Holdovers 97/82 Anatomy of 96/86 widely liked American Fiction 93/82 Barbie 88/80 well reviewed but divisive Maestro 80/77	Definitely Barbie Poor Things Anatomy of a Fall Technically if not spiritually Holdovers Maestros Killers of Flower Moon er... American Fiction Past Lives no Zone of Interest Oppenheimer	Hard R Killers of Poor Things Soft R Anatomy of... Oppenheimer American Fiction Very Soft R Holdovers R on account of... the MPAA's homophobia? Maestro PG-13 Zone of... Past Lives PG-13 but surely only because they barely use PG anymore Barbie	heaven Past Lives Poor Things also loved Barbie Maestro Anatomy of Zone of Interest Holdovers admired / liked Oppenheimer American Fiction mixed feelings Killers of The Flower Moon

Ranked by Horniness	Most likely to become a Broadway musical	Death Count	Ordered by US Release Date	Ranked by Global Box Office
furious jumping forever Poor Things Maestro (surprisingly) DTF Oppenheimer under the right circumstances... American Fiction Killers of... genitalia free but emotionally / conceptually curious about it! Barbie Past Lives it's been a while... Holdovers the last thing on its mind at the moment Zone of... Anatomy of a Fall	It's already a musical, really... Barbie A Christmas musical even! Holdovers Doable with artistry - but maybe don't Killers of ... Past Lives Poor Things "a play with music" Maestro They often try with hits, however ill-judged the attempt American Fiction Oppenheimer Anatomy of... God forbid Zone of Interest	Genocides / massacres. It's a brutal world Oppenheimer Zone of Interest Killers of... one or two fatalities Maestro Anatomy of a Fall American Fiction Poor Things "do you ever think about death?" Barbie Past Lives Holdovers	June Past Lives July Barbie Oppenheimer Oct Killers of... Anatomy of... Nov Holdovers Maestro Dec Poor Things Zone of American Fiction	1 Barbie ($1.4 bil) 2 Oppenheimer ($952) 3 Killers of the Flower Moon ($156) 4 Poor Things ($33) 5 Holdovers ($26) 6 Anatomy of a Fall ($23) 7 Past Lives ($22) 8 American Fiction ($8) 9 Zone of Interest ($1) 10 Maestro (n/a)