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98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / CEREMONY: 2026
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

PREDICTIONS AS OF JUNE 30TH

 

 

Tier 1 - Predictions
   

Stellan Skarsgard
(never nominated)
Sentimental Value (Neon)

Co-Lead? Either category we think he's in given the reviews and his enduring underrecognized career.

Adam Sandler
(never nominated)
Jay Kelly (Netflix)

Co-Lead? Rumored to steal this show. That unsuccessful but "almost" Unsung Gems campaign will definitely help.

Benicio Del Toro
One Battle After Another (Warner Bros)

How large is the role? A potential comic delight here as Leo's "sensei"

Andrew Scott
(never nominated)
Blue Moon
(Sony Pictures Classics)

Supporting? Lead? He won a prize at Berlinale for his take on composer Richard Rodgers in this drama set on opening night of "Oklahoma!"

Albert Brooks
(1 nom)
Ella McKay (20th Century)

It's been a very long time since his nomination (1987!) but if this comeback for James L Brooks is well received his role as a retiring politician could be an awards surprise.

Tier 2 - Or maybe...

Jeremy Strong
(1 nom)
Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century)

Hot off his first nomination he plays Bruce Springsteen's manager. Will be be back for a consecutive nod?

Andrew Garfield
(2 noms)
After the Hunt
(Amazon MGM)

Might be major threat if the fims is well received, as a professor accused of a crime.

Delroy Lindo

never nominated
SINNERS
(Warner Bros)

Even when the Academy likes genre films they don't always spring for the actors therein. (That said don't they kind of owe Lindo for passing over his great work in Da 5 Bloods)

Jonathan Bailey

never nominated
WICKED FOR GOOD
(Universal)

Could that SAG nod last year portend things to come? Or was that just SAG being SAG? Bailey's career is on fire now.

Alexander Skarsgaard

never nominated
PILLION
(A24)

Hear me out.  Oscar voters going for a BDSM drama with Skarsgard as a leather daddy is a big ask but who cool would it be to get father/son nominees at the Oscars?

Tier 3 - Longer Shots? Who the hell knows this early!
     

Jacob Elordi
(never nominated)
Frankenstein
(Netflix)

Playing "The Monster" and surely there's some goodwill building given his work in Euphoria and Saltburn.

Colman Domingo

(2 noms)
Dead Man's Wire
(Distributor TBA)

A classic kind of supporting role (he plays a negotiator) if the film is good and finds a distributor

Murray Bartlett
never nominated
AT THE SEA
Distributor

He's broken through as a prestige TV actor but can he also conquer the big screen. This might just be an Amy Adams showcase but what if they're both great?

William H Macy
1 nom
TRAIN DREAMS
(Netflix)

We've heard he's very good in this but it's been a long time since his heyday. We'll see if this film catches on (and how substantial or not his role is)

Matt Smith
never nominated
CAUGHT STEALING
()

They aren't averse to comic sidebars in this category. But how good is the film?

Tier 4 - Other Supporting Men in 2025.

Previously Nominated Actors

  • Austin Butler - Eddington (A24)
  • Bradley Cooper - Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)
  • Christoph Waltz - Frankenstein (Netflix)

Never Nominated

  • Chris Evans - The Materialists (A24)
  • Damson Idris - F1 (Apple)
  • Fisher Stevens - Song Sung Blue
  • Jack Lowden - Ella McKay (20th Century)
  • Josh O' Connor - A HIstory of Sound (Focus)
  • Lewis Pullman - Ann Lee (Distributor TBA)
  • Lewis Pullman - Thunderbolts* (Disney)
  • Miles Caton - Sinners
  • Pedro Pascale - The Materialists (A24)
  • Pedro Pascale - Eddington (A24)
  • Stephen Graham - Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century)
  • Tonatiuh - Kiss of the Spider Woman (Lionsgate) IF CAMPAIGNED SUPPORTING
  • Tyler the Creator - Marty Supreme
  • Vincent D'Onofrio - Caught Stealing (Sony)