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FRESHLY UPDATED - DECEMBER 17TH PREDICTIONS

97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024 / CEREMONY: March 2nd, 2025
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

Tier 1 - Predictions

Kieran Culkin (never nom'ed) A REAL PAIN noms: Globe, Gotham, CCA wins: LAFCA, NBR, Atlanta, Chicago, DC, Phoenix, San Diego, St Louis, Toronto, LEAD ROLE.	Denzel Washington (2 wins) GLADIATOR 2 noms: Globe, CCA wins: Las Vegas, One of the Academy's all time favourite actors and people are already excited about his villainous work here. Enough for a third win?	Guy Pearce (never nom'ed) THE BRUTALIST noms: Globe, Gotham, CCA wins: Boston Online, Michigan, He's an enduring screen presence and even potential winner here as a complex and problematic patron to the central architect.	Clarence 'Divine Eye' Maclin (never nom'ed) SING SING noms: Gotham, CCA wins: Chicago (Most Promising), Toronto (Breakthrough), If Colman Domingo gets traction in Best Actor, he could rise given how potent and large his role is.	Edward Norton (3 noms) A COMPLETE UNKNOWN noms: Globe, CCA wins: Boston, The acting branch loves him but how good or large is his role in this Dylan biopic. He's playing Pete Seeger.
Tier 2 - Potential Spoilers

Yura Borisov (never nom'ed) ANORA noms: Globe, Gotham, CCA wins: LAFCA, San Francisco, Toronto, If the film really strikes voters fancy, we could see it compete in lots of unexpected places. He's a rising international actor.	Jeremy Strong (never nom'ed) THE APPRENTICE noms: Globe, wins: -- He's playing Roy Cohn which is a meaty awards magnet role across mediums but will voters even watch this film given the current political turmoil?	Adam Pearson (never nominated) A DIFFERENT MAN noms: -- wins: -- Like Maclan, currently predicted, voters could get excited about his life story/narrative. Unlike Maclan, his lead is not a shoe-in for a nomination.	Peter Sarsgaard (never nom'ed) SEPTEMBER 5 noms: -- wins: -- It seems so ridiculous that he's never been up for gold. Here's a chance to correct that. But will voters watch and embrace this film?	John Magaro (never nom'ed) SEPTEMBER 5 noms: -- wins: -- LEAD ROLE. He's been consistently undervalued. Very fine actor.
Tier 3 - Extreme Long Shots

Brian Tyree Henry (1 nom) THE FIRE INSIDE noms: Gotham wins: -- Oscar loves a mentor/coach figure in this category and actors love Brian Tyree Henry. It's easy to picture this happening if the film gets year-end eyes	Stanley Tucci (1 nom) CONCLAVE noms: -- wins: -- Lots of characters in this Papal thriller. Does Tucci pop enough for them for round two with the Academy?	Brandon Wilson (never nominated NICKEL BOYS noms: Gotham Breakthrough wins: -- Despite critical buzz for Nickel Boys, none of the male actors are getting much attention.	Samuel L Jackson (1 nom) THE PIANO LESSON noms: -- wins: -- If he hadn't just received the Honorary we'd assume this was his Oscar role. But people aren't really talking about the film (yet)	Drew Starkey (never nom'ed) QUEER noms: -- wins: -- If Daniel Craig's traction in Best Actor is stronger than we exact, coattails for Drew is not impossible if highly unlikely.
Tier 4 - Other Hopefuls
Previous Nominees Austin Butler - Dune Part Two Hugh Jackman - Deadpool & Wolverine Javier Bardem - Dune Part Two John Lithgow - Conclave Michael Shannon - The Bikeriders Tom Hardy - The Bikeriders Never nominated - when will they get attention? Alessandro Nivola - The Brutalist Bill Skarsgaard - Nosferatu David Webber - Hard Truths George Mackay - The End Giancarlo Esposito - Megalopolis Harris Dickinson - Babygirl Joseph Quinn - Gladiator 2 Josh O'Connor - Challengers Leigh Gill - Blitz Mike Faist - Challengers Pedro Pascal - Gladiator 2 John Turturro - The Room Next Door Shia Labeouf - Megalopolis Stephen Graham - Blitz