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97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024 / CEREMONY: March 2nd, 2025
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

OCTOBER 20TH PREDICTIONS 

Tier 1 - Predictions

Guy Pearce
(never nom'ed)
THE BRUTALIST

noms: Gotham
wins: --

 He's an enduring screen presence and even potential winner here as a complex and problematic patron to the central architect.

 

Kieran Culkin

(never nom'ed)
A REAL PAIN

noms:  Gotham
wins: --

A co-lead but you know how Oscar voters do. Everyone agrees he steals the show. Could he win?

Denzel Washington
(2 wins)
GLADIATOR 2

noms: -- 
wins: --

 One of the Academy's all time favourite actors and people are already excited about his villainous work here. Enough for a third win?

 

John Magaro

(never nom'ed)
SEPTEMBER 5

noms: -- 
wins: --

 The leading role but we suspect they'll campaign everyone supporting. He's been consistently undervalued. Very fine actor.

 

Clarence 'Divine Eye' Maclin
(never nom'ed)
SING SING

noms:  Gotham
wins: --

 If Colman Domingo gets traction in Best Actor, he could rise given how potent and large his role is.

 

Tier 2 - Potential Spoilers

Peter Sarsgaard
(never nom'ed)
SEPTEMBER 5

noms: -- 
wins: --

 It seems so ridiculous that he's never been up for gold. Here's a chance to correct that. But will voters watch and embrace this film?

 

Stanley Tucci
(1 nom)
CONCLAVE

noms: -- 
wins: --

Lots of characters in this Papal thriller. Will Tucci pop enough for round two with the Academy?

Drew Starkey
(never nom'ed)
QUEER

noms: -- 
wins: --

 If Daniel Craig gets traction in Best Actor and Drew enough media attention, it's not impossible.

 

Jeremy Strong
(never nom'ed)
THE APPRENTICE

noms: -- 
wins: --

 He's playing Roy Cohn which is a meaty awards magnet role across mediums but will voters even watch this film given the current political turmoil?

 

Edward Norton

(3 noms)
A COMPLETE UNKNOWN

noms: -- 
wins: --

 The acting branch loves him but how good or large is his role in this Dylan biopic. He's playing Pete Seeger.

 

Tier 3 - Long Shots ?

Yura Borisov

(never nom'ed)
ANORA

noms:  Gotham
wins: --

 If the film really strikes voters fancy, we could see it compete in lots of unexpected places. He's a rising international actor.

 

John Turturro
(never nom'ed)
THE ROOM NEXT DOOR

noms: -- 
wins: --

A mainstay on screens but Almodovar films dont tend to get much attention for their supporting players.

Brian Tyree Henry
(1 nom)
THE FIRE INSIDE

noms:  Gotham
wins: --

Oscar loves a mentor/coach figure in this category and actors love Brian Tyree Henry. It's easy to picture this happening if the film gets year-end eyes

Samuel L Jackson
(1 nom)
THE PIANO LESSON

noms: -- 
wins: --

 If he hadn't just received the Honorary we'd assume this was his Oscar role. But people aren't really talking about the film (yet)

 

Jeff Goldblum
(never nom'ed)
WICKED

noms: -- 
wins: --

Seems far-fetched until you realize how easy a career narrative could emerge if people really love the film and him in it

Tier 4 - Other Hopefuls

Previous Nominees

  • Austin Butler - Dune Part Two
  • Hugh Jackman - Deadpool & Wolverine
  • Javier Bardem - Dune Part Two
  • John Lithgow - Conclave
  • Michael Shannon - The Bikeriders
  • Tom Hardy - The Bikeriders

Never nominated - when will they get attention?

  • Adam Pearson - A Different Man  Gotham nominee
  • Alessandro Nivola - The Brutalist
  • Bill Skarsgaard - Nosferatu
  • David Webber - Hard Truths
  • George Mackay - The End
  • Giancarlo Esposito - Megalopolis
  • Harris Dickinson - Babygirl
  • Joseph Quinn - Gladiator 2
  • Josh O'Connor - Challengers
  • Leigh Gill - Blitz
  • Mike Faist - Challengers
  • Pedro Pascal - Gladiator 2
  • Brandon Wilson - Nickel Boys  Gotham Breakthrough nominee
  • Shia Labeouf - Megalopolis
  • Stephen Graham - Blitz