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94th Oscars Honoring the Films of 2021 CEREMONY: March 27th, 2022
- discuss on the blog
TROY KOTSUR WON.
AND THE NOMINEES WERE...
stats reflect acting categories only
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Ciarán Hinds wins: NBR, and 1 critics prize A kindly grandfather becomes ill while his son's family faces "The Troubles" in Ireland.
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Troy Kotsur WINNER wins: Gotham, and a handful of critics prizes A proud deaf fisherman struggles to understand why his daughter wants to become a singer.
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Jesse Plemons wins: -- A lonely wealthy rancher marries a widow who his brother immediately begins to torment. |
JK Simmons wins: 1 critics prize TV sitcom star William Frawley who has no patience for the neuroses of his costars. |
Kodi Smit-McPhee wins: Globes, NYFCC, LAFCA, and around two dozen critics prizes A college student spends a summer at a ranch where his stepdad's brother is making life miserable for his mother. |
| READER'S CHOICE - Vote Daily | ||||
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| How'd I do on my predictions? | ||||
| 3/5 Missed JK Simmons (Being the Ricardos) who I feared placing here as well and Jesse Plemons (Power of the Dog) who I suspected might given the strength of his film. But instead I assumed incorrectly that voters would stick closely to the precursors and go with Bradley Cooper (Licorice Pizza) and Jared Leto (House of Gucci) | ||||
| Who was left out? | ||||
| In a surprising season several of those who scored well with precursors were left out including Ben Affleck (Globe, SAG), Bradley Cooper (SAG), Jamie Dornan (Globe, Critics Choice), Jared Leto (SAG, Critics Choice), and less surprisingly Mike Faist (BAFTA) was shut out despite totally reinventing "Riff" in West Side Story | ||||
| Who WILL win? | ||||
| This is Kodi Smit-McPhee's to lose but he could. Though he has the lead given Power of the Dog's overall strength and a small mountain of critics prizes, the Academy can be stingy with young actors. He's only 25 which would make him the second youngest of all time to win in this category after Timothy Hutton in Ordinary People. The other real possibility here feels like Troy Kotsur given a moving performance, a great narrative, and a film they probably won't be awarding elsewhere but might really love. | ||||
| Who SHOULD win (Nathaniel's choice) | ||||
| My vote goes to Kodi Smit-McPhee among this lineup but my ballot is much different | ||||
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HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED |
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| 50% Film/ Narrative/ Campaign: In a film that held frontrunner status for month. Like the director, he grew up in Belfast 20% Role: Kindly charismatic grandfather types are a draw 18% Performance. He's good as always 17% The type of enduring character actor this category was designed for 10% Steady precursors 5% It was him or Dornan and Oscar always keeps the hunks waiting |
26% Oscar Clips / Performance. He's the spotlight actor in both the funniest scene and the most moving one. 23% Lockstep precursor support, which is essential if you aren't famous 21% Campaign / Narrative. Hollywood is trying to become more inclusive. Only the second deaf actor ever nominated. 16% Film. It always helps to be in a Best Picture. 9% Role. Endearing. 5% Marlee Matlin cheerleading for him |
38% Film / Co-Stars. He's in the frontrunner. While you're nominating everyone else... 33% Career momentum / Very well respected. He's been in a Best Picture nominee for 5 consecutive years now. 18% Performance / Role. It's the least juicy role but he makes it interesting. Watch the way he both loves / keep his distance from that toxic brother. Relatable! 10% That dancing scene! (Hello, Oscar Clip) 1% His & Hers nods. Cute |
57% Coattails. They only watched __ of their screeners and while voting for Nicole & Javi... 15% Clip / Performance. He could do this in his sleep but the bar advice scene surely sealed it. 12% His competition was in either a) films they didnt watch b) from nonfamous actors or c) tiny roles 8% Role / I Love Lucy Nostalgia. 5% We blame the Critics Choice nomination 2% Whiplash nostalgia. 1% J Jonah Jameson |
29% Performance. Complex with fascinating choices. 28% SPOILERS. Role / Oscar loves unsettling killers in male acting categories. Plus lots of screen time. 20% Film / Campaign. It never ever hurts to be in a Best Picture frontrunner and to show up regularly on the campaign trail. 20% Noisy emphatic precursor support 3% Career Prestige. He was nominated for / winning awards even as a child star |
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TRIVIA TRIVIA TRIVIA |
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• Star Sign: Aquarius • Birthplace: Belfast, Ireland • Partnered with actress Hélène Patarot for 35 years now. They have one daughter. • He and Kodi are tallest of the nominees at 6'1" • Has co-starred with Helen Mirren five times beginning with Excalibur (1981) |
• Star Sign: Leo • Birthplace: Mesa, Arizona • Married to another deaf actor Deanne Bray. They have 1 child.
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• Star Sign: Aries • Birthplace: Dallas, Texas • Engaged to Kirsten Dunst for the past four years. They have two little boys now, Ennis & James. They met on the TV series Fargo |
• Star Sign: Capricorn • Birthplace: Grosse Pointe, Michigan • In addition to roles in 84 live action films he also does extensive voice work, and lots of television. Truly ubiquitous. |
• Star Sign: Gemini • Birthplace: Adelaide, Australia • Supposedly is still with his high school sweetheart • He and Hinds are the tallest of the nominees at 6'1" (the internet claims he's 6'1" but having talked to him at a party, we think inaccurate. He's tall! • Has now played the son of two Oscar nominees onscreen: Kirsten Dunst & Viggo Mortensen (The Road) |
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