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95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2023 / CEREMONY: March 10th, 2024
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

And the Nominees Are...

Nomination Morning: Tuesday January 23, 2024
Oscar Night: Sunday, March 10, 2024

Sterling K Brown
(47 yrs old | first nomination! )
American Fiction
Dec 15
MGM

Robert DeNiro

(80 yrs old | 8th nom* / 2 wins)
Killers of the Flower Moon

Oct 6th
Paramount/Apple

Robert Downey Jr

(58 yrs old | 3rd nom)
Oppenheimer

July 21
Universal

Ryan Gosling
(43 yrs old | 3rd nom)
Barbie

Jul 21
Universal

Mark Ruffalo

(56 yrs old | 4th nom)
Poor Things
Dec 8
Searchlight

Who Should Win (Vote Daily)
 
How'd I Do on Predictions?
 
Who Was Left Out?
 Charles Melton has early buzz in a difficult role of an emotionally stunted young father in May December but ultimately the industry didn't love his film but we assume it was Oscar darling Willem Dafoe who was just outside the list as the somewhat mad scientist in Poor Things. 
Who Will Win?
 Robert Downey Jr has swept the precursors and will win again on Oscar night. The battle royale between him and Ryan Gosling never quite materalized as awards voters everywhere prefer drama to comedy. 

 

How'd They Get Nominated?
 Great timing + respected actors + Oscar's deep love for straight actors pretending to be gay. He's a legendary actor and they really loved his film. That is usually enough! Plus villains fare well in this category.  A dramatic comeback for "Iron Man" and they want to thank him for the whole career. Plus Oppenheimer is a juggernaut. He co-starred in the year's true phenomenon and surely some actors recognized how genius his comic work was  He's an Oscar favourite with a showy funny role. Plus the industry loved the movie.  
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