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The 82nd Oscars (honoring 2009 movies) are now history.


WINNER: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds)
He's the fifth actor to be nominated from within Quentin Tarantino's filmography and the first to win. The previous nominees were Thurman, Travolta and Jackson in Pulp Fiction and Forster in Jackie Brown.

READER'S PREFERENCE POLLING: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
NATHANIEL'S VOTE: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

Matt Damon
"Francoise Pinnear"
INVICTUS
39 years old
34 films
2nd nomination
Woody Harrelson
"Capt. Tony Stone"
THE MESSENGER
48 years old
43 films
2nd nomination
Christopher Plummer
"Leo Tolstoy"
THE LAST STATION
80 years old
80(ish) films
(*not including a ton of tv and voice work)
1st nomination!
Stanley Tucci
"George Harvey"
THE LOVELY BONES
49 years old
56 films
1st nomination!
Christoph Waltz
"Col. Hans Landa"
INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
53 years old
21 (?) films
(mostly television work)
1st nom & win!

Other Awards none
Release
Dec 11th
Box Office
$37
Role
Real Person Alert! Francois Pinnear, athlete and champion, trying to inspire South Africa and his team

More On...
Damon | Invictus

Other Awards NBR, Indie Spirit
Release
Nov 13
Box Office
$1
Role
a senior casualty notification officer and recovering alcoholic

More on...
Woody | Messenger

Other Awards none
Release
n/a
Box Office
$3
Role
Real Person Alert! Russian icon, novelist and movement guru

More On...
Plummer| Last Station

Other Awards none
Release
Dec 11th
Box Office
$43
Role
a serial killer of young girls. Unfortunately he's also the neighbor across the street

More On...
Tucci| Lovely Bones

Other Awards
Globes, SAG, BAFTA, BFCA, NY, LA and 14 minor critics awards
Release
Aug 21st
Box Office
$120
Role
Nazi, vicious "Jew Hunter", and multilingual chatterbox

More on...
Waltz | Basterds

How'd They Get Nominated?

29% Eastwood historical drama = instant traction.
29% Voter apathy. Didn't think to look elsewhere when film met with shrugs
28%
Performance & Role: Earnest real person, Accent and sweaty shirtlessness.
5% I repeat: sweaty shirtlessness
4% Clint Eastwood
3%
Matt Damon
2% Morgan Freeman

38% Performance: Effective and moving
33% Role: Alcoholism and grief are classic Bait. Plus: Plenty of screentime
11% Career endurance. Props for that.
9%
Topical film
6%
Timing: late enough to be fresh in memory, not so late that it got trapped in December glut
2%
weed-lovers unite!
1% Zombieland
41% Career Honors. They've ignored him for decades and he's 80 years old. Times a wastin.
33%
Role: It's a lead and you know about the endless Oscar allure of the biopic
9% Performance
8%
Helen Mirren
7% Sorry about The Insider. No, we don't know what we were thinking either.
2%
Bird noises
38% Role: Voters are hot for psycho killers
25%
Performance: Big, sweaty, underlined, scenery chewing
22%
An "it's time" nod. Early traction won from 'He's turning 5o. He's done great work in the past. He's having a big year.'
10%
Voter apathy. They didn't think to look elsewhere once Bones met bad reviews
5% Julie & Julia
55% Performance: witty, funny, scary
27%
Role: big and very well written
7%
"That's a Bingo!" catchphrases that enter public discourse are gold.
5% Hit film and BP nominee
3% WW II factor... even if it's a fantasy version of same
2% Tarantino
1% Fine acceptance speeches all season
Will Win / Should Win
Christoph Waltz has it in the bag. There was no sentimental "career" swell for Woody or Plummer, apart from their nominations. It's a good place to reward the entertaining Tarantino film.
Who Got Robbed?
Anthony Mackie (The Hurt Locker) can't catch a break, can he? Despite repeatedly solid work in Oscar nominated films (8 Mile, Half Nelson, Million Dollar Baby) and now a large role in a Best Picture frontrunner they've never noticed him. What will it take, do you think? Christian McKay (Me and Orson Welles) worked a typical Oscar-Bait role (famous person mimicry) to great reviews and "major debut!" buzz but in the end his film was too small to register with voters.