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98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / CEREMONY: 2026
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
PREDICTIONS AS OF NOVEMBER 12
Scroll down for Adapted
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ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Tier 1 - Predictions
Stats reflect Screenplay categories only!
* = nominated or won in other categories
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Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
(never nominated)
MARTY SUPREME
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Joachim Trier
(1 nomination*)
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
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Noah Baumbach
(3 noms*) & Emily Mortimer (never nominated)
JAY KELLY |
Jafar Panahi
(never nominated)
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
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Robert Kapownever
(never nominated)
BLUE MOON
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| Tier 2 - Potential Spoilers |
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Ryan Coogler
(never nominated*)
SINNERS
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Noah Oppenheim
(never nominated)
A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
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Kleber Mendoça Filho
(never nominated)
THE SECRET AGENT
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Bradley Cooper (2 noms*) & Will Arnett
(never nominated)
IS THIS THING ON?
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Austin Kolodney
(never nominated)
DEAD MAN'S WIRE |
| Tier 3 - Long Shots |
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FYC -Other Fine "Original" Options... but how many films will the writers branch actually watch?
- If I had Legs I'd Kick You - Mary Bronstein
- Roofman - Derek Cianfrance & Kirt Gunn
- Sorry Baby - Eva Victor
- Twinless - James Sweeney
Previous Nominees that could theoretically return...
- Ella McCay - James L Brooks
- F1 The Movie - by Joseph Kosinski & Ehren Kruger
- Phoenician Scheme - Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
- The Testament of Ann Lee - Mona Fastvold
Still more Original Screenplays to Choose From...
- After the Hunt - Nona Garrett
- Anemone - Ronan Day-Lewis & Daniel Day-Lewis
- Big Bold Beautlful Journey - Seth Reiss
- Eleanor the Great - Tory Kamen
- Eternity -Patrick Cunnane & David Freyne
- Rental Family - Hikari & Stephen Blahut
- The Smashing Machine - Benny Safdie
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ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Tier 1 - Predictions as of November 11
Stats reflect Screenplay categories only!
* = nominated or won in other categories
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Chloe Zhao
(1 nom* ) & Maggie O'Farrell (never nominated)
HAMNET
(Focus)
 Based on the novel of the same name by Maggie O'Farrell
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P.T. Anderson
(5 noms*)
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
(Warner Bros)
Loosely based on Tomas Pynchon's novel "Vineland"
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Guillermo Del Toro
(2 noms*)
FRANKENSTEIN
Based on the novel "Frankenstein; or, The Modern Prometheus" by Mary Shelley
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Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar (1 nom each)
TRAIN DREAMS
Based on the novella of the same name by Denis Johnson
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Will Tracy
(never nom'ed)
BUGONIA
Based on Jang Joon-hwan's film & screenplay Save the Green Planet! |
| Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running |
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Rian Johnson
(2 noms)
WAKE UP DEAD MAN
Based on characters from the Knives Out franchise by Rian Johnson
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Park Chan Wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Jayhe Lee, Don McKellar
NO OTHER CHOICE
Based on the novel "The Ax" by Donald E Westlake
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Nia DaCosta
(never nominated)
HEDDA
Based on the iconic play "Hedda Gabbler" by Henrik Ibsen |
Harry Lighton
PILLION
Based on "Box Kill" by Adam Mars-Jones
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Winnie Holzman & Dana Fox
WICKED FOR GOOD
Based on the novel by Gregory Maguire and the Broadway musical with music and lyrics by Stephen Schwartz
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Other "Adapted" Options this season
- Avatar Fire and Ash - James Cameron, Amanda Silver, and based on the characters created by James Cameron
- Ballad of a Small Player - Rowan Joffe based on the novel by Lawrence Osborne
- Deliver Me From Nowhere - Scott Cooper Based on the nonfiction book "Deliver Me From Nowhere: The Making of Bruce Springsteen's Nebraska" by Warren Zanes
- Don't Let's Go to the Dog Tonight - Embeth Davidtz based on the book by Alexandra Fuller
- Highest 2 Lowest - Spike Lee
- The History of Sound - Ben Shattuck based on two of his own short stories
- Kiss of the Spider Woman - Bill Condon based on the stage musical by Kander & Ebb & Terence McNally and the book by Manuel Puig.
- The Life of Chuck - Mike Flanagan based on the story of Stephen King
- The Lost Bus - Brad Ingelsby & Paul Greengrass Based on the nonfiction book "Paradise: One Town's Struggle to Survive an American Wildfire" by Lizzie Johnson
- Song Sung Blue. - Craig Brewer based on the documentary of the same name about a Neil DIamond Tribute Band.
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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
