ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Tier 1 - Predictions

A REAL PAIN
Jesse Eisenberg
(never nom'ed for writing)

noms: CCA. Globe, Spirit
wins: LAFCA, DC,  Chicago, 

 THE BRUTALIST
Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold
(never nom'ed)

noms: CCA. Globe
wins: Las Vegas,

noms: CCA. Globe
wins: Boston, Atlanta, Michigan, San Diego, San Francisco,

 THE SUBSTANCE
Coralie Fargeat (never nom'ed)

noms: CCA. Globe
wins: --

 SEPTEMBER 5
Moritz Binder & Tim Fehlbaum

noms: CCA,
wins: --

THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG
Mohammad Rasoulof
(never nominated)

noms:--
wins: --

SATURDAY NIGHT
Gil Kenan (* never nom'ed for writing) and Jason Reitman (*1 nom)

noms: --
wins: St Louis,

HARD TRUTHS
Mike Leigh
(5 noms for writing)

noms: --
wins: NBR, 

CHALLENGERS
Justin Kurtitzkes
(never nominated)

noms: CCA
wins: --

 A DIFFERENT MAN
Aaron Schimberg

noms: Spirit
wins: -- 

Screenplays from previous writing nominees...

• Civil War - Alex Garland
• Evil Does Not Exist -Ryusuke Hamaguchi Gotham Nominee
• Maria -Steven Knight
• Megalopolis - Francis Ford Coppola

Never nominated for writing

• The Apprentice - Gabriel Sherman
• All We Imagine As Light Toronto win,
• Babygirl - Halina Reijn
• Between the Temples - Nathan Silver, C Mason Wells Gotham Nominee
• Blitz - Steve McQueen
• Didi - Sean Wang* Spirit First Screenplay Nominee
• The End - Rasmus Heisterberg & Joshua Oppenheimer*
• The Feeling That the Time For Doing Something Has Passed - Joanna Arnow Spirit First Screenplay Nominee
• Good One - India Donaldson Spirit First Screenplay Nominee
• Heretic - Spirit Nominee
• His Three Daughters - Azazel Jacobs Gotham Nominee
• I Saw the TV GLow -Jane Schoeburn Spirit Nominee
• Janet Planet - Annie Baker Gotham Nominee, Spirit First Screenplay Nominee
• My Old Ass -Megan Park- Spirit Nominee
• Problemista - Julio Torres Spirit First Screenplay Nominee
• Thelma -Josh Margolin
• We Live in Time - Nick Payne

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Tier 1 - Predictions

noms: CCA. Globe
wins: EFA,

CONCLAVE
Peter Straughan (1 nom)

noms: CCA. Globe
wins: DC,  Las Vegas, St Louis,

THE NICKEL BOYS
RaMell Ross (*never nom'ed for writing) & Joslyn Barnes (never nom'ed)

noms: CCA,
wins: Boston, Atlanta, Chicago, Toronto,

Adapted from the Pulitzer winning novel by Colson Whitehead

SING SING
Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar , Clarence Maclin, John Divine G Whitfeld
(never nom'ed)

noms: CCA,
wins: NBR, San Diego, San Francisco,

Based on the play "Breakin' the Mummy's Code" by Brent Buell and the article "The Sing Sing Follies" by John H Richardson

THE ROOM NEXT DOOR
Pedro Almodóvar (1 nom | 1 win for writing)

Based on "What Are You Going Through" by Sigrid Nunez

A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
James Mangold (*1 nom) & Jay Cocks (2 noms)

Based on "Dylan Goes Electric" by Elijah Wald

 THE WILD ROBOT
Chris Sanders (*never nom'ed for writing)

Based on the series by Peter Brown

QUEER
Justin Kuritzkes (never nominated)

Based on the novel by William S Burroughs

DUNE PART TWO
Denis Villeneuve (*1 nom for writing) and Jon Spaihts (*1 nom for writing)

noms: CCA,
wins: --

WICKED
Winnie Holzman

Based on the Broadway musical by Stephen Schwartz and the novel by Gregory Maguire

noms: CCA,
wins: --

Previous writing nominees...

• The Bikeriders - Jeff Nichols based on "The Bikeriders" by Danny Lyon
• The Fire Inside - Barry Jenkins based on "T-Rex" by Zackary Canepari & Drea Cooper
• Inside Out 2 Meg Le Fauvre, and others based on characters from Inside Out (2015)
• Joker Folie A Deux Scott Silver & Todd Philips - based on DC characters and a sequel to Joker (2019)

Never nominated hopefuls working from preexisting material

• Deadpool & Wolverine - Ryan Reynolds, Rhet Reese, Paul Wernick, Zeb Willis, Shawn Levy - based on Marvel comic book characters
• Femme -Sam H Freeman & Ng Choon Ping  Gotham Nominee
• Gladiator 2 - David Scarpa & Peter Craig based on characters from Gladiator (2000)
• Hit Man - Richard Linklater & Glen Powell based on "Hit Man" by Skip Hollandsworth
• I'm Still Here - Murilo Hauser & Heitor Lorega based on the novel by Marcelo Rubens Paiva Venice Win
• Nightbitch - Marielle Heller based on the novel by Rachel Yoder
• Nosferatu - Robert Eggers based on Murnau's 1922 film and "Dracula" by Bram Stoker
• The Piano Lesson by Malcolm Washington and Virgil Williams bvased on the play by August Wilson
• Small Things Like These - Enda Walsh based on the novel by Claire Keegan