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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / CEREMONY: 2026
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

PREDICTIONS AS OF SEPTEMBER 14TH

 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Tier 1 - Predictions

Stats reflect Screenplay categories only!
* = nominated or won in other categories

Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
(never nominated)
MARTY SUPREME

Joachim Trier
(1 nomination*) 
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
Noah Baumbach
(3 noms*) & Emily Mortimer (never nominated)
JAY KELLY
Noah Oppenheim
(never nominated)
A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE

Robert Kapownever
(never nominated)
BLUE MOON

Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running

Ryan Coogler
(never nominated*)
SINNERS

Jafar Panahi
(never nominated)
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT

Kleber Mendoça Filho
(never nominated)
THE SECRET AGENT

Benny Safdie
(never nominated)
THE SMASHING MACHINE

Austin Kolodney
(never nominated)
DEAD MAN'S WIRE
Tier 3 - Other Possibilities in "Original" in Alphabetical Order

 

PREVIOUS NOMINEES

  • Ella McCay - James L Brooks 
  • Is this Thing On? - Bradley Cooper, Will Arnett
  • F1 The Movie - by Joseph Kosinski & Ehren Kruger
  • Phoenician Scheme - Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
  • The Testament of Ann Lee - Mona Fastvold

NEVER NOMINATED FOR WRITING 

  • After the Hunt - Nona Garrett
  • Anemone  - Ronan Day-Lewis & Daniel Day-Lewis
  • Big Bold Beautlful Journey - Seth Reiss
  • Eleanor the Great - Tory Kamen
  • Eternity -Patrick Cunnane & David Freyne
  • If I had Legs I'd Kick You - Mary Bronstein
  • Rental Family - Hikari & Stephen Blahut
  • Roofman - Derek Cianfrance & Kirt Gunn
  • Sorry Baby - Eva Victor
  • Twinless - James Sweeney - WORTHY LONGSHOT. BUT HOW MANY MOVIES WILL THEY SEE? 

 

 

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Tier 1 - Predictions as of September 14 

Stats reflect Screenplay categories only!
* = nominated or won in other categories

Chloe Zhao
(1 nom* ) & Maggie O'Farrell (never nominated)
HAMNET
(Focus)

Based on the novel of the same name by Maggie O'Farrell

P.T. Anderson
(5 noms*)
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
(Warner Bros)

Loosely based on Tomas Pynchon's novel "Vineland"

Guillermo Del Toro

(2 noms*)
FRANKENSTEIN

 Based on the novel "Frankenstein; or, The Modern Prometheus" by Mary Shelley

 

Rowan Joffe
(never nominated)
BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER

Based on the novel of the same name by Lawrence Osborne

Will Tracy
(never nominated)
BUGONIA

Based on the screenplay for Save the Green Planet! by Jang Joon-Hwan
Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running

Rian Johnson
(never nominated)
WAKE UP DEAD MAN

Based on characters from the  Knives Out franchise by Rian Johnson

Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar (1 nom each)

TRAIN DREAMS

Based on the novella of the same name by Denis Johnson

Scott Cooper

(never nominated)         DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
(20th Century)

 Based on the nonfiction book "Deliver Me From Nowhere: The Making of Bruce Springsteen's Nebraska" by Warren Zanes

 

Brad Ingelsby (never nominated) & Paul Greengrass
(never nominated*)
THE LOST BUS

Based on the nonfiction book "Paradise: One Town's Struggle to Survive an American Wildfire" by Lizzie Johnson

Nia DaCosta
(never nominated)
HEDDA

 Based on the iconic play "Hedda Gabbler" by Henrik Ibsen

 

PREVIOUS NOMINEES FOR WRITING

  • Highest 2 Lowest -  Spike Lee
  • Kiss of the Spider Woman - Bill Condon based on the stage musical by Kander & Ebb & Terence McNally and the book by Manuel Puig.
  • The Roses - Tony McNamara based on the novel "The War of the Roses" by Warren Adler, previously adapted to film in 1989

NEVER NOMINATED FOR SCREENWRITING. WILL THESE FILMS CATCH ON?

  • Avatar Fire and Ash  - James Cameron, Amanda Silver, and based on the characters created by James Cameron
  • Don't Let's Go to the Dog Tonight - Embeth Davidtz based on the book by Alexandra Fuller
  • The History of Sound - Ben Shattuck based on two of his own short stories
  • The Life of Chuck - Mike Flanagan based on the story of Stephen King
  • Pillion - Harry Lighton based on "Box Kill" by Adam Mars-Jones
  • Running Man - Edgar Wright and Michael Bacall based on the novel by Stephen King
  • Song Sung Blue. - Craig Brewer based on the documentary of the same name about a Neil DIamond Tribute Band.
  • Wicked For Good - Winnie Holzman & Dana Fox based on the novel by Gregory Maguire and the Broadway musical with music and lyrics by Stephen Schwartz

 

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film