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98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / CEREMONY: 2026
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
PREDICTIONS AS OF SEPTEMBER 14TH
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Tier 1 - Predictions
Stats reflect Screenplay categories only! * = nominated or won in other categories
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Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie (never nominated) MARTY SUPREME
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Joachim Trier (1 nomination*) SENTIMENTAL VALUE
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Noah Baumbach (3 noms*) & Emily Mortimer (never nominated) JAY KELLY |
Noah Oppenheim (never nominated) A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE |
Robert Kapownever (never nominated) BLUE MOON
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Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running |
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Ryan Coogler (never nominated*) SINNERS
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Jafar Panahi (never nominated) IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
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Kleber Mendoça Filho (never nominated) THE SECRET AGENT
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Benny Safdie (never nominated) THE SMASHING MACHINE
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Austin Kolodney (never nominated) DEAD MAN'S WIRE |
Tier 3 - Other Possibilities in "Original" in Alphabetical Order |
PREVIOUS NOMINEES
- Ella McCay - James L Brooks
- Is this Thing On? - Bradley Cooper, Will Arnett
- F1 The Movie - by Joseph Kosinski & Ehren Kruger
- Phoenician Scheme - Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
- The Testament of Ann Lee - Mona Fastvold
NEVER NOMINATED FOR WRITING
- After the Hunt - Nona Garrett
- Anemone - Ronan Day-Lewis & Daniel Day-Lewis
- Big Bold Beautlful Journey - Seth Reiss
- Eleanor the Great - Tory Kamen
- Eternity -Patrick Cunnane & David Freyne
- If I had Legs I'd Kick You - Mary Bronstein
- Rental Family - Hikari & Stephen Blahut
- Roofman - Derek Cianfrance & Kirt Gunn
- Sorry Baby - Eva Victor
- Twinless - James Sweeney - WORTHY LONGSHOT. BUT HOW MANY MOVIES WILL THEY SEE?
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ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Tier 1 - Predictions as of September 14
Stats reflect Screenplay categories only! * = nominated or won in other categories
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Chloe Zhao (1 nom* ) & Maggie O'Farrell (never nominated) HAMNET (Focus)
Based on the novel of the same name by Maggie O'Farrell
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P.T. Anderson (5 noms*) ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Warner Bros)
Loosely based on Tomas Pynchon's novel "Vineland"
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Guillermo Del Toro
(2 noms*) FRANKENSTEIN

Based on the novel "Frankenstein; or, The Modern Prometheus" by Mary Shelley
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Rowan Joffe (never nominated) BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER
Based on the novel of the same name by Lawrence Osborne
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Will Tracy (never nominated) BUGONIA
Based on the screenplay for Save the Green Planet! by Jang Joon-Hwan |
Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running |
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Rian Johnson (never nominated) WAKE UP DEAD MAN
Based on characters from the Knives Out franchise by Rian Johnson |
Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar (1 nom each)
TRAIN DREAMS
Based on the novella of the same name by Denis Johnson
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Scott Cooper
(never nominated) DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (20th Century)

Based on the nonfiction book "Deliver Me From Nowhere: The Making of Bruce Springsteen's Nebraska" by Warren Zanes
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Brad Ingelsby (never nominated) & Paul Greengrass (never nominated*) THE LOST BUS
Based on the nonfiction book "Paradise: One Town's Struggle to Survive an American Wildfire" by Lizzie Johnson |
Nia DaCosta (never nominated) HEDDA
Based on the iconic play "Hedda Gabbler" by Henrik Ibsen |
PREVIOUS NOMINEES FOR WRITING
- Highest 2 Lowest - Spike Lee
- Kiss of the Spider Woman - Bill Condon based on the stage musical by Kander & Ebb & Terence McNally and the book by Manuel Puig.
- The Roses - Tony McNamara based on the novel "The War of the Roses" by Warren Adler, previously adapted to film in 1989
NEVER NOMINATED FOR SCREENWRITING. WILL THESE FILMS CATCH ON?
- Avatar Fire and Ash - James Cameron, Amanda Silver, and based on the characters created by James Cameron
- Don't Let's Go to the Dog Tonight - Embeth Davidtz based on the book by Alexandra Fuller
- The History of Sound - Ben Shattuck based on two of his own short stories
- The Life of Chuck - Mike Flanagan based on the story of Stephen King
- Pillion - Harry Lighton based on "Box Kill" by Adam Mars-Jones
- Running Man - Edgar Wright and Michael Bacall based on the novel by Stephen King
- Song Sung Blue. - Craig Brewer based on the documentary of the same name about a Neil DIamond Tribute Band.
- Wicked For Good - Winnie Holzman & Dana Fox based on the novel by Gregory Maguire and the Broadway musical with music and lyrics by Stephen Schwartz
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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film