Screenplays - The Film Experience

98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / CEREMONY: 2026
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

FIRST PREDICTIONS - JUNE 21

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Tier 1 - Predictions Stats reflect Screenplay categories only! * = nominated or won in other categories

Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie (never nominated) MARTY SUPREME	Joachim Trier (1 nomination) SENTIMENTAL VALUE*	Nora Garrett (never nominated) AFTER THE HUNT	Noah Baumbach (3 noms) & Emily Mortimer (never nominated) JAY KELLY*	Robert Kapownever (never nominated) BLUE MOON
Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running

Ryan Coogler (never nominated) SINNERS*	Benny Safdie (never nominated) THE SMASHING MACHINE	Kleber Mendoça Filho (never nominated) THE SECRET AGENT	James L Brooks (3 noms* \| 1 win) ELLA MCKAY*	Derek Cianfrance & Kirt Gunn (never nominated) ROOFMAN
Tier 3 - Other Possibilities in "Original"
PREVIOUS NOMINEES Ann Lee - Mona Fastvold Is this Thing On? - Bradley Cooper, Will Arnett Last Disturbance of Madeline Hynde - Kenneth Branagh F1 The Movie - by Joseph Kosinski & Ehren Kruger Phoenician Scheme - Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola NEVER NOMINATED FOR WRITING Anemone - Ronan Day-Lewis & Daniel Day-Lewis Big Bold Beautlful Journey - Seth Reiss Dead Man's Wire - Austin Kolodney Eleanor the Great - Tory Kamen If I had Legs I'd Kick You - Mary Bronstein Mother Mary - David Lowery Sorry Baby - Eva Victor Twinless - James Sweeney

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Tier 1 - Predictions Stats reflect Screenplay categories only! * = nominated or won in other categories

Chloe Zhao (1 nom* ) & Maggie O'Farrell (never nominated) HAMNET (Focus) Based on the novel of the same name by Maggie O'Farrell	P.T. Anderson (5 noms) ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER* (Warner Bros) Loosely based on Tomas Pynchon's novel "Vineland"	Scott Cooper (never nominated) DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (20th Century) Based on the nonfiction book "Deliver Me From Nowhere: The Making of Bruce Springsteen's Nebraska" by Warren Zanes	Rowan Joffe (never nominated) BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER Based on the novel of the same name by Lawrence Osborne	Will Tracy (never nominated) BUGONIA Based on the screenplay for Save the Green Planet! by Jang Joon-Hwan
Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running

Winnie Holzman & Dana Fox (never nominated) WICKED FOR GOOD Based on the novel of the same name by Gregory Maguire and its Broadway adaptation by (book) Holzman and (music) Schwartz	Guillermo Del Toro (2 noms) FRANKENSTEIN* Based on the novel "Frankenstein; or, The Modern Prometheus" by Mary Shelley	Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar (1 nom each) TRAIN DREAMS Based on the novella of the same name by Denis Johnson	Brad Ingelsby (never nominated) & Paul Greengrass (never nominated) THE LOST BUS* Based on the nonfiction book "Paradise: One Town's Struggle to Survive an American Wildfire" by Lizzie Johnson	Craig Brewer (never nominated) SONG SUNG BLUE Based on the documentary of the same name about a Neil Diamond Tribute band.
PREVIOUS NOMINEES FOR WRITING Highest 2 Lowest - Spike Lee In the Hand of Dante - Julian Schnabel & Louise Kugelberg based on the book by Nick Tosches Kiss of the Spider Woman - Bill Condon based on the stage musical by Kander & Ebb & Terence McNally and the book by Manuel Puig. The Roses - Tony McNamara based on the novel "The War of the Roses" by Warren Adler, previously adapted to film in 1989 NEVER NOMINATED FOR SCREENWRITING. WILL THESE FILMS CATCH ON? Avatar Fire and Ash - James Cameron, Amanda Silver, and based on the characters created by James Cameron Don't Let's Go to the Dog Tonight - Embeth Davidtz based on the book by Alexandra Fuller Hedda - Nia DaCosta based on the classic play "Hedda Gabler" The Life of Chuck - Mike Flanagan based on the story of Stephen King Pillion - Harry Lighton based on "Box Kill" by Adam Mars-Jones Running Man - Edgar Wright and Michael Bacall based on the novel by Stephen King