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98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / CEREMONY: 2026
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

FIRST PREDICTIONS - JUNE 21

 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Tier 1 - Predictions

Stats reflect Screenplay categories only!
* = nominated or won in other categories

Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
(never nominated)
MARTY SUPREME

Joachim Trier
(1 nomination*) 
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
Nora Garrett
(never nominated)
AFTER THE HUNT
Noah Baumbach
(3 noms*) & Emily Mortimer (never nominated)
JAY KELLY

Robert Kapownever
(never nominated)
BLUE MOON

Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running
Ryan Coogler
(never nominated*)
SINNERS

 Benny Safdie
(never nominated)
THE SMASHING MACHINE

Kleber Mendoça Filho
(never nominated)
THE SECRET AGENT

James L Brooks
(3 noms* | 1 win*)
ELLA MCKAY

Derek Cianfrance &
Kirt Gunn 
(never nominated)
ROOFMAN
Tier 3 - Other Possibilities in "Original"

 

PREVIOUS NOMINEES

  • Ann Lee - Mona Fastvold
  • Is this Thing On? - Bradley Cooper, Will Arnett
  • Last Disturbance of Madeline Hynde - Kenneth Branagh
  • F1 The Movie - by Joseph Kosinski & Ehren Kruger
  • Phoenician Scheme - Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola

NEVER NOMINATED FOR WRITING 

  • Anemone  - Ronan Day-Lewis & Daniel Day-Lewis
  • Big Bold Beautlful Journey - Seth Reiss
  • Dead Man's Wire - Austin Kolodney
  • Eleanor the Great - Tory Kamen
  • If I had Legs I'd Kick You - Mary Bronstein
  • Mother Mary - David Lowery
  • Sorry Baby - Eva Victor
  • Twinless - James Sweeney

 

 

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Tier 1 - Predictions

Stats reflect Screenplay categories only!
* = nominated or won in other categories

Chloe Zhao
(1 nom* ) & Maggie O'Farrell (never nominated)
HAMNET
(Focus)

Based on the novel of the same name by Maggie O'Farrell

P.T. Anderson
(5 noms*)
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
(Warner Bros)

Loosely based on Tomas Pynchon's novel "Vineland"

Scott Cooper
(never nominated)         DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
(20th Century)

Based on the nonfiction book "Deliver Me From Nowhere: The Making of Bruce Springsteen's Nebraska" by Warren Zanes

Rowan Joffe
(never nominated)
BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER

Based on the novel of the same name by Lawrence Osborne

Will Tracy
(never nominated)
BUGONIA

Based on the screenplay for Save the Green Planet! by Jang Joon-Hwan
Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running

Winnie Holzman & Dana Fox
(never nominated)
WICKED FOR GOOD

Based on the novel of the same name by Gregory Maguire and its Broadway adaptation by (book) Holzman and (music) Schwartz

Guillermo Del Toro
(2 noms*)
FRANKENSTEIN

Based on the novel "Frankenstein; or, The Modern Prometheus" by Mary Shelley

Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar (1 nom each)
TRAIN DREAMS

Based on the novella of the same name by Denis Johnson

Brad Ingelsby (never nominated) & Paul Greengrass
(never nominated*)
THE LOST BUS

Based on the nonfiction book "Paradise: One Town's Struggle to Survive an American Wildfire" by Lizzie Johnson

Craig Brewer
(never nominated)
SONG SUNG BLUE

Based on the documentary of the same name about a Neil Diamond Tribute band.

 

PREVIOUS NOMINEES FOR WRITING

  • Highest 2 Lowest -  Spike Lee
  • In the Hand of Dante - Julian Schnabel & Louise Kugelberg based on the book by Nick Tosches
  • Kiss of the Spider Woman - Bill Condon based on the stage musical by Kander & Ebb & Terence McNally and the book by Manuel Puig.
  • The Roses - Tony McNamara based on the novel "The War of the Roses" by Warren Adler, previously adapted to film in 1989

NEVER NOMINATED FOR SCREENWRITING. WILL THESE FILMS CATCH ON?

  • Avatar Fire and Ash  - James Cameron, Amanda Silver, and based on the characters created by James Cameron
  • Don't Let's Go to the Dog Tonight - Embeth Davidtz based on the book by Alexandra Fuller
  • Hedda - Nia DaCosta based on the classic play "Hedda Gabler"
  • The Life of Chuck - Mike Flanagan based on the story of Stephen King
  • Pillion - Harry Lighton based on "Box Kill" by Adam Mars-Jones
  • Running Man - Edgar Wright and Michael Bacall based on the novel by Stephen King

 

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film