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97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024 CEREMONY: March 2, 2025
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

OCTOBER 20TH PREDICTIONS

SCREENPLAYS (Scroll Down for Adapted)

OSCAR FINALIST LISTS IN SELECT CATEGORIES: Tuesday Dec 17, 2024
OSCAR NOMINATION VOTING: January 8-12, 2025
OSCAR NOMINATIONS: Friday January 17, 2025
OSCAR NIGHT: Sunday March 2, 2025

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Tier 1 - Predictions

A REAL PAIN Jesse Eisenberg (never nom'ed for writing)	THE BRUTALIST Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold (never nom'ed)	ANORA Sean Baker (never nominated)	SATURDAY NIGHT Gil Kenan (* never nom'ed for writing) and Jason Reitman (*1 nom)	SEPTEMBER 5 Moritz Binder & Tim Fehlbaum
Tier 2 - Potential Spoilers

HARD TRUTHS Mike Leigh (5 noms for writing)	BLITZ Steve McQueen (* never nom'ed for writing)	MARIA Steven Knight (1 nom)	THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG Mohammad Rasoulof (never nomianted)	THE SUBSTANCE Coralie Fargeat (never nom'ed)
Tier 3 - Long Shots
Screenplays from previous writing nominees... *Civil War -* Alex Garland *Evil Does Not Exist* -Ryusuke Hamaguchi Gotham Nominee *Megalopolis* - Francis Ford Coppola Never nominated for writing *The Apprentice* - Gabriel Sherman *Babygirl* - Halina Reijn *Between the Temples* - Nathan Silver, C Mason Wells Gotham Nominee *Challengers* - Justin Kuritzkes *A Different Man* -Aaron Schimberg *Didi* - Sean Wang* *The End* - Rasmus Heisterberg & Joshua Oppenheimer* *Femme* -Sam H Freeman & Ng Choon Ping Gotham Nominee *His Three Daughters* - Azazel Jacobs Gotham Nominee *Janet Planet* - Annie Baker Gotham Nominee *Thelma* -Josh Margolin *We Live in Time* - Nick Payne

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Tier 1 - Predictions

EMILIA PEREZ Jacques Audiard (*never nom'ed) Based on "Listen" by Boris Razon	THE ROOM NEXT DOOR Pedro Almodóvar (1 nom \| 1 win for writing) Based on "What Are You Going Through" by Sigrid Nunez	INSIDE OUT 2 Meg Le Fauvre (1 nom) Kelsey Mann, Dave Holstein (never nom'ed) Based on characters from Inside Out (2015)	A COMPLETE UNKNOWN James Mangold (*1 nom) & Jay Cocks (2 noms) Based on "Dylan Goes Electric" by Elijah Wald	CONCLAVE Peter Straughan (1 nom) Adapted from the suspense novel by Robert Harris
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be...

THE PIANO LESSON Malcolm Washington and Virgil Williams (never nom'ed) Based on the play by August Wilson	THE WILD ROBOT Chris Sanders (*never nom'ed for writing) Based on the series by Peter Brown	THE NICKEL BOYS RaMell Ross (*never nom'ed for writing) & Joslyn Barnes (never nom'ed) Adapted from the Pulitzer winning novel by Colson Whitehead	SING SING Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar , Clarence Maclin, John Divine G Whitfeld (never nom'ed) Based on the play "Breakin' the Mummy's Code" by Brent Buell and the article "The Sing Sing Follies" by John H Richardson	DUNE PART TWO Denis Villeneuve (1 nom for writing) and Jon Spaihts (1 nom for writing)
Tier 3 - Long Shots
Previous writing nominees... *The Bikeriders* - Jeff Nichols based on "The Bikeriders" by Danny Lyon *The Fire Inside* - Barry Jenkins based on "T-Rex" by Zackary Canepari & Drea Cooper *Joker Folie A Deux* Scott Silver & Todd Philips - based on DC characters and a sequel to Joker (2019) Never nominated hopefuls working from preexisting material *Deadpool & Wolverine -* Ryan Reynolds, Rhet Reese, Paul Wernick, Zeb Willis, Shawn Levy - based on Marvel comic book characters *Gladiator 2* - David Scarpa & Peter Craig based on characters from Gladiator (2000) *Hit Man* - Richard Linklater & Glen Powell based on "Hit Man" by Skip Hollandsworth *I'm Still Here* - Murilo Hauser & Heitor Lorega based on the novel by Marcelo Rubens Paiva Venice Win *Nightbitch* - Marielle Heller based on the novel by Rachel Yoder *Nosferatu* - Robert Eggers based on Murnau's 1922 film and "Dracula" by Bram Stoker *Queer -* Justin Kuritzkes based on the novel by William S Burroughs *Small Things Like These* - Enda Walsh based on the novel by Claire Keegan *Wicked* Winnie Holzman based on the Broadway musical by Stephen Schwartz and the novel by Gregory Maguire