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Index of Predictions

 

The 83rd Oscars (Celebrating the Films of 2010) Are History

Who Won: COLIN FIRTH, The King's Speech with some gargantuan percentage of the votes. It was like Helen Mirren in the Queen all over again.
Should've Won:
JESSE EISENBERG, The Social Network. Sure, some of the spark and magic here is in the casting but that's a part of every great performance. Eisenberg has rarely been this subtle, carefully modulated and expertly both deployed in the service of and as master of the film's mood and shape.  He's the easy winner for me here, with a performance full of dark wit, great line deliveries, and barely understood emotional undercurrents. But it's a great lineup. Well done Oscar.

Snubbed for nominations
: The precursors gave both ROBERT DUVALL in Get Low and RYAN GOSLING in Blue Valentine cause to hope for a nomination.  Click For My Ballot 2/5 similarities

Discuss THE OSCAR RACE with Nathaniel and other Oscar nuts

 Colin Firth
"King George VI"
THE KING'S SPEECH
50 years old
43 films | 2nd consecutive nomination | first win!

wins: LA, NY, many critics orgs, OFCS, Satellites, Globes, BFCA, BAFTA, SAG
noms: SAG

James Franco
127 HOURS
32 years old
34 films | 1st nomination!

wins: some critics
noms: SAG, Globes, Spirit, BFCA, OFCS, Satellites

 Jesse Eisenberg
THE SOCIAL NETWORK
27 years old
15 films | 1st nomination!

wins: NBR, some critics
noms: SAG, Globes, BFCA, OFCS, Satellites

Jeff Bridges
TRUE GRIT
61 years old
59 films | 6th nomination, 1 previous win

wins: n/a
noms: SAG, BFCA, OFCS

Javier Bardem
BIUTIFUL
41 years old
36 films | 3rd nomination, 1 previous win

wins: Cannes, Goya
noms: BAFTA, Satellites

TRIVIA
6' 1" (the tallest of nominees by hair), married with two kids. His Pride & Prejudice love (Jennifer Ehle) is married to his co-star Geoffrey Rush in The King's Speech. He also speaks Italian.
Debut:
Another Country (1984) with Rupert Everett
middle name:
Andrew
TRIVIA
5'10" single and cultivating a rather amazing sort of mainstream hipster jack of all trades persona. Will also be hosting the Oscars which is more than a little unusual for a nominee.
Debut:
Never Been Kissed (1999) with Drew Barrymore
middle name:
Edward 
 TRIVIA
at 5'9" the shortest of our Best Actors. Not that 5'9" is short for an actor. Single. Speaks Polish.
Debut:
Roger Dodger (2002) with Campbell Scott (which were were just mentioning on the podcast)
middle name:
Adam 
 TRIVIA
6' 1" . This Son of Hollywood was finally crowned last year for Crazy Heart. True Grit marks his long awaited reunion with the Coens after The Big Lebowski. He's also an amazing photographer. Married for 33+ years now with 3 kids.
middle name:
Leon
TRIVIA
6' married to Penélope Cruz since July. They're one of only two married Oscar-winning acting couples. Newborn at home.
Debut:
Las edades de Lulu (1990) with Francesca Neri who he'd go on to costar with for Pedro Almodóvar in Live Flesh (1997). He is also in Pedro's High Heels (1991)
middle name:
Angel
 
HOW DID THEY GET NOMINATED?
49% (Biographical) Role: Playing British Royalty is as Baity as having some sort of physical/mental obstacle to overcome. HEY! Wait a minute....
20% Performance: strong, pained, controlled.
15% Precursor lockstep for frontrunning film.
10% A Single Man -runner up last year!
5% "BECAUSE I HAVE A VOICE!"
1% It's Mr Darcy! He makes women swoon.
41% Performance: lively, varied, entertaining. And it basically has to be.
21% Bravery points. Talk about carrying a movie!
20% (Biographical) Role: Inspirational story. Oscar loves a man with a physical impairment 
9% The scene. An endless talking point like Viggo in the steam bath a few years back.
8% Precursor fever.
1% The Gays.
49% Performance: Funny, cerebral, darkly emotional.
19% (Biographical) Role: Playing world's youngest billionaire who...
15% ...was also focus of media attention. Free Publicity.
11% Precursors but particularly the NBR
6% Quotable lines
5% Doesn't come across as arrogant at all in public appearances, underlining that he's playing a role.
1% Zombieland
 30% He's Jeff Bridges, Hollywood Royalty and Great American Actor
29% Performance. Very funny and even moving.
16% Crazy Heart afterglow. We love him as a grizzled drunk. Encore!
11% Surprise hit.
9% Role: John Wayne won the Oscar for this. Media angle +  Old Hollywood appeal.
5% Highly quotable line delivery... and a great entrance scene.

39% Performance: People who see it do rave
24% Role: Cancer stricken. Oscar loves disease and hard times. They also love
11% Innaritu movies
10% Cannes win marked it immediately as quality.
9% Julia Roberts Queen of Campaigning for Friends
6% He's Javier Bardem, Hollywood's favorite Latin lover since Anthony Quinn.
1% in lieu of wedding and baby shower gifts...

 DISCUSS ON THE BLOG