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93rd Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2020 (for the 2021 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 Final Prediction Article

discuss on the blog 

AND THE NOMINEES ARE...

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Da 5 Bloods - Terence Blanchard (2nd nomination)

wins: --
noms:   HMM  

 Mank

Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross (3 noms| 1 win each)

wins: --
noms: Critics Choice,   HMM 

Minari
Emile Mosseri
first nomination!

wins: Boston  , HMM prize
noms: Critics Choice

News of the World
James Newton Howard (9th nom)

wins: HMM win (feature)
noms: Critics Choice

Soul
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross (3 noms | 1 win) and John Batiste (first nomination!)

wins: Chicago, San Francisco, OFCS,  Florida + 8 regional critics groups, HMM win (animated)
noms: Critics Choice 

 

What SHOULD win? 
 The readers chose SOUL here in a resounding victory with 52% of the vote.
What will win?
The signs point to Soul especially since its about a musician.
What got stiffed?
The Little Things (Newman), The Invisible Man (Wallfisch), Ammonite (Bertelmann & O'Halloran), Blizzard of Souls (Ritmanis), Jingle Jangle (Debney), The Life Ahead (Yared), Mulan (Gregson-Williams) were also finalists.
 

 

BEST SOUND - CATEGORY REVIEW

Greyhound
Warren Shaw and David Wyman (first nomination for both), Beau Borders (2nd nom) and Michael Winkler (13th nom, 3 wins)

Mank
Jeremy Molod and Nathan Nance (first nominations for both!), Drew Kunin (3rd nom), Ren Klyce (9 noms), David Parker (11 noms, 2 wins)

News of the World
William Miller (first nomination!), Mike Prestwood Smith (2nd nom), John Pritchett (3rd nom), Oliver Tarney (4th nom)

Soul
Coya Elliott (first nomination), Ren Klyce (9 noms), David Parker (11 noms, 2 wins)

Sound of Metal
Nicholas Becker, Jaime Baksht, Michelle Couttolenc, Carlos Cortés Navarrete, and Phillip Bladh first nominations for all!

1 special critics prize, OFCS technical achievement

 
 
What SHOULD win? READERS CHOICE
 SOUND OF METAL won with the highest percentage win in any category taking 89% of the votes. Whoa!
What will win?
Initially we thought that Sound of Metal was too good to be a winner, in that innovative work is sometimes too challenging for the layperson voter. But it's plentiful nominations elsewhere suggest its loved so we think this is its likeliest win. If it's a disappointing Oscar night perhaps Soul will prove the spoiler?
What got stiffed?
We thought that Nomadland, Invisible Man, and Trial of the Chicago 7 might appear but our own ballot goes like so...
 

 

BEST ORIGINAL SONG - CATEGORY REVIEW

EUROVISION

"Husavik"

by Savan Kotencha, Rickard Goransson, and Fat Max Gsus first nominations for all!

Critics Choice nomination,  HMM nom

JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH

"Fight For You"

by H.E.R., D'Mile, and Tiara Thomas first nominations for all!

Critics Choice nomination,  HMM nom

THE LIFE AHEAD

"lo Si (Seen)"

by Diane Warren (12 noms) and Laura Pasini (first nomination!)

Critics Choice nominationHMM win

 

ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI

"Speak Now"

🔺 by Leslie Odom Jr and Sam Ashworth first nominations for both!

2 regional critics group wins, Critics Choice nomination,  HMM nom

 

TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7

"Hear My Voice"

🔺 by Daniel Pemberton & Celeste first nominations for both

 HMM nom

 

What SHOULD win? Vote Daily
 HUSAVIK was the readers choice for Best Original Song scoring 42% of your votes
What will win?
While this should be the perfect "Husavik" which is beautiful, central to its movie, and a believable Eurovision send-up simultaneously in a walk, we suspect voters are going to go with either "Speak Now" or "Fight For You" as a way of honoring either One Night in Miami or Judas and the Black Messiah.
What got stiffed?
It's disappointing that Oscar's music branch is now so into end credits songs. They ignored songs that were actually a key part of the movie like "Make It Work" from Jingle Jangle which would have made a fine nominee and "Wuhan Flu" for Borat (not a great loss but important to the film). Other finalists were the haunting "Green" from Sound of Metal, "Free" from One and Only Ivan, "Loyal Brave and True" from Mulan, the very lovely "Rain Song" from Minari, "Never Break" from Giving Voice, "Show Me Your Soul" from Mr Soul, "See What You've Done" from Belly fo the Beast, and Janelle Monae's "Turntables" from All In: Fight for Democracy. Our own ballot looked like so...