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93rd Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2020 (for the 2021 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

CONTRARIAN REVIEW OF THIS CATEGORY and
Final Prediction Article

discuss on the blog

Lee Isaac Chung
MINARI
42 yrs old | 4 films | first nomination for directing!

wins: Gold List
noms: Spirit Critics Choice

Emerald Fennel
(debut film as director)
PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
first nomination for directing!

wins: AWFJ (Woman Director), Chicago (Most Promising), OFCS (debut)Florida (First Film), + 1 critics prize (breakthrough)
noms:  Globes, Spirit , OFCS Critics Choice

 

David Fincher
(58 yrs old | 11 films | 3rd nomination for directing)
MANK

wins: --
noms:  Globes, Critics Choice

 

 

Thomas Vinterberg
13th film | first nomination!

ANOTHER ROUND

wins: EFA

Chloe Zhao
(38 yrs old | 3 films | first nomination for directing!)
NOMADLAND

wins: NYFCCBoston, Chicago, OFCSFlorida, San Fran, Toronto, KansasGold ListAWFJ + 14 regional critics groups 
noms: Globes, Spirit , OFCS Critics Choice

WHO SHOULD WIN? READER'S CHOICE. 
 CHLOE ZHAO was your preference by a huge margin with 64% of your votes
HOW'D I DO ON MY PREDICTIONS?
4/5 We feared Aaron Sorkin, who glided through precursors would be nominated. Mostly because devotion hadn't seemed o coalesce behind any one the MANY competitors for the fifth slot.
WHO WAS LEFT OUT?
Aaron Sorkin and Regina King who both had precursor support, Spike Lee and Kelly Reichardt felt like early possibilities for Da 5 Bloods and First Cow but the precursors (and critics awards) mostly abandoned them, and Florian Zeller (Sound of Metal) and Darius Marder (Sound of Metal) who both felt lik they were rising in probability.
WHO WILL WIN?
This is Chloe Zhao's to lose. She'll be the second female winner and the first Asian woman to win. Two previous Asians have won Best Director (Ang Lee twice and Bong Joon Ho)
WHO SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S CHOICE
Given my own ballot, you've guessed that I feel Chloe Zhao and Lee Isaac Chung are most deserving of these five.
HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED? (COMING SOON)
         
TRIVIA SPECIFIC TO THIS CATEGORY, THESE FIVE
First American born Asian  nominated in this category  First woman nominated for her directorial debut  

 First Danish nominee in this category (and fifth Scandinavian)

Previously directed a nominee for Best International Film, The Hunt (2013)

 First woman of color nominated in this category