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93rd Oscars. Predicted Nominees of 2020 (2021 Ceremony)- For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

REVIEW OF THIS CATEGORY 
Final Prediction Article

plus

AND THE NOMINEES ARE...

The Father
Dir Florian Zeller
(Sony Pictures Classics)
Dec 31st / Feb 26th, 2021

Nominees: David Parfitt (2/1), Jean-Louis Livi (1/0), Philippe Carcassone (1/0)

wins: BIFA
noms: Globes

 

 

Judas and the Black Messiah
Dir Shaka King
(Warner Bros)
February 2021

Nominees: Shaka King (2/0), Charles D King (1/0), Ryan Coogler (1/0)

wins: AFI (Top Ten)
noms: --

 

Mank
David Fincher
(Netflix)
Dec 4th

Nominees: Eric Roth (6/1), Ceán Chaffin (3/0), Douglas Urbanski (2/0)

wins: AFI (Top Ten)
noms: Globes , Critics Choice

 

Minari
Lee Isaac Chung
(A24/Apple)
Dec 11th / Feb 12th, 2021

Nominee: Christina Oh (1/0)

wins: AFI (Top Ten), Sundance, Gold List, + 3 more regional critics groups
noms: SpiritSAG (Cast)OFCS, Globes (Foreign), , Critics Choice

 

Nomadland
Chloe Zhao
(Searchlight)
Dec 4th / Feb 19th, 2021

Nominees: Frances McDormand (7/2), Peter Spears (2/0), Mollye Asher (1/0), Dan Javey (2/0), Chloé Zhao (4/0)

wins: AFI (Top Ten), OFCSTIFF, GothamChicago,
 NSFCBoston, San Francisco, AWFJ, London, Toronto, Kansas,  + 7 more regional critics groups
noms: Globes, SpiritBIFA (intl)OFCS , Critics Choice

How'd I do on my predictions?
7/8 I had Sound of Medal at 9

What was left out?
One Night in Miami and Ma Rainey's Black Bottom were the most surprising omissions but judging on nominations maybe News of the World, Soul were just as likely.

Who will win?
We think Nomadland's spiritual heft will carry it down this road.

Who should win? That's up to you in the reader's poll -- see below. You can vote daily

Promising Young Woman
Emeral Fennell
(Focus)
Dec 25th

Nominees: Ben Browning (1/0), Ashley Fox (1/0), Emerald Fennell (3/0), Josey McNamara (1/0)

wins: Kansas +  1 regional critics group
noms: Globes,  OFCS , Critics Choice

 

Sound of Metal
Darius Marder
(Amazon)

Nominees: Bert Hamelinck (1/0), Sacha Ben Harroche (1/0)

wins: Gold List, AFI (Top Ten),
noms: OFCS nom, Critics Choice

 

Trial of the Chicago 7
Aaron Sorkin
(Netflix)
Oct 16th

Nominees: Marc Platt (3/0), Stuart M Besser (1/0)

wins: AFI (Top Ten) + 2 more regional critics group
noms: Globes,  SAG (Cast)OFCS , Critics Choice

 

 
 

 

Ranked in serious and silly ways...

Ranked by Running Time (Shortest to Longest) Ranked by RT / Metacritic Scores Do they pass the Bechdel Test? MPAA Ratings Ranked by Nathaniel's preference
1 The Father (97 min)
2 Nomadland (107 min)
3 Promising (113 min)
4 Minari (115 min)
5 Sound of Medal 120 min
6 Judas (126 min)
7 Chicago 7 129 min
8 Mank (131 min)
1 Nomadland 94/93
2 Father 99/87
3 Minari 98/88
4 Judas 96/85
5 Sound of 96/82
6 Chicago 90/77
7 Mank 83/79
8 Promising 90/72

PASS
Nomadland
Promising

DO THEY PASS?
Father
Minari

FAIL
Chicago 7
Judas
Mank
Sound

R
Judas (violence, language)
Promising (strong violence, sexual assault, language, sexual material, drug use)
Chicago 7 (language, violence, drug use)
Sound of (language, brief nudity)
Mank (language)
Nomadland (nudity)

PG-13
Father (strong language and thematic material)
Minari (thematic elements and rude gesture)
1 Nomadand masterpiece
2 Minari so beautiful
3 Sound of excellent
4 The Father excellent
5 Promising strong
6 Mank impressive but unfulfilling
7 Judas and solid but not much more
8 Chicago 7
aggressively standard
     
Ranked by Horniness (characters, mood, or film) Most likely to become a Broadway musical      
1 Promising
2 Chicago 7
3 Judas
4 Minari
5 Mank
6 Promising
7 Nomadland
8 The Father
1 Chicago 7
2 Mank
3 Minari
4 Promising
5 Judas and
6 The Father
7 Nomadland
8 Sound of Metal