Oscar Predictions
for the 98th Academy Awards
2025 FILM YEAR / 2026 OSCAR CEREMONY
CURRENT DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS RACE

AND THE NOMINEES FOR THE 98TH ACADEMY AWARDS ARE...

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(more details to follow - charts are barebones right now)

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PICTURE

NEW CHART UP

BUGONIA
•
F1: THE MOVIE
•
FRANKENSTEIN
•
HAMNET
•
MARTY SUPREME
•
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
THE SECRET AGENT
•
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
•
SINNERS
•
TRAIN DREAMS

prediction score: 9/10 - I missed F1 (which I had in 11th place) and predicted It Was Just An Accident instead

ACTRESS

NEW CHART UP

BUCKLEY
Hamnet
•
BYRNE
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
•
HUDSON
Song Sung Blue
•
REINSVE
Sentimental Value
•
STONE
Bugonia

prediction score: 5/5 - It felt sorta volatile... but not really. A lot of people thought Infiniti or Seyfried (my 6th and 7th) would squeeze in but it didn't come to pass.

ACTOR

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CHALAMET
Marty Supreme
•
DICAPRIO
One Battle After Another
•
HAWKE
Blue Moon
•
JORDAN
Sinners
•
MOURA
Secret Agent

prediction score: 4/5 - missed Jordan in fav of surprise for Edgerton

DIRECTOR 

NEW CHART UP

ANDERSON
One Battle After Another
•
COOGLER
Sinners
•
SAFDIE
Marty Supreme
•
TRIER
Sentimental Value
•
ZHAO
Hamnet 

prediction score: 4/5 - missed Zhao (who I had in 7th due to pessimism) and predicted Panahi in her place

CASTING

NEW CHART UP

HAMNET
Gold
•
MARTY SUPREME
Venditti
•
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
Kulukundis
•
SECRET AGENT
Domingues
•
SINNERS
Maisler

prediction score: 3/5 - missed Hamnet & Secret Agent (which I had in 6th and 7th place) and predicted Weapons & Sentimental Value

SUPPORTING
ACTRESS

NEW CHART UP

FANNING
Sentimental Value
•
LILLEAAS
Sentimental Value
•
MADIGAN
Weapons
•
MOSAKU
Sinners
•
TAYLOR
One Battle After Another

prediction score: 4/5 - I missed Fanning (who I had in 8th place) and predicted A'Zion instead

SUPPORTING
ACTOR 

DEL TORO
One Battle After Another
•
ELORDI
Frankenstein
•
LINDO
Sinners
•
PENN
One Battle After Another
•
SKARSGÅRD
Sentimental Value

prediction score: 4/5 - I missed Lindo (who I had in 6th place) and predicted Mescal

ORIGINAL
SCREENPLAY

Kaplow
BLUE MOON
•
Panahi
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
•
Bronstein & Safdie
MARTY SUPREME
•
Trier
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
•
Coogler
SINNERS

prediction score: 4/5 - Missed Blue Moon (which I had in 8th place) in favor of Sorry Baby

ADAPTED
SCREENPLAY

Tracy
BUGONIA
•
Del Toro
FRANKENSTEIN
•
O'Farrell & Zhao
HAMNET
•
Anderson
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Bentley & Kwedar
TRAIN DREAMS

prediction score: 5/5 I was right about Wake Up Dead Man missing but so sad about No Other Choice

CINEMATOGRAPHY

NEW CHART UP

Laustsen
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Khondji
MARTY SUPREME
•
Bauman
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Arkapaw
SINNERS
•
Veloso
TRAIN DREAMS

prediction score: 4/5 Missed Marty Supreme (which I had in 8th place) and predicted Hamnet

COSTUME DESIGN

NEW CHART UP

Scott
AVATAR: FIRE & ASH
•
Hawley
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Turzanska
HAMNET
•
Bellizzi
MARTY SUPREME
•
Carter
SINNERS

prediction 4/5
Missed Avatar (a genuine schock which I didn't have in the top ten) and Marty Supreme (my 6th placer) and predicted Wicked For Good and Kokuho as a surprise

PRODUCTION DESIGN

NEW CHART UP

Deverell & Vieau
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Crombie & Felton
HAMNET
•
Fisk & Willis
MARTY SUPREME
•
Martin & Carlino
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Beachler & Champagne
SINNERS

prediction score: 4/5 missed One Battle (which I didn't have in the top 10) in favor of Wicked for Good repeating

FILM EDITING

NEW CHART UP

Mirrione
F1: THE MOVIE
•
Bronstein & Safdie
MARTY SUPREME
•
Jurgensen
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Coutté
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
•
Shawyer
SINNERS

prediction score: 4/5 missed Sentimental Value (9th on my chart) and predicted Frankenstein. But I'm happy!

MAKEUP & HAIR

NEW CHART UP

Hill, Samuel, Furey
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Toyokawa, Hibino, Nishimatsu
KOKUHO
•
Hiro, Griffin, Rehbein
THE SMASHING MACHINE
•
Diaz, Fontaine, Terry
SINNERS
•
Foldberg & Sauerberg
UGLY STEPSISTER

prediction score: 4/5 missed Ugly Stepsister (which I had in 7th) in favor of Wicked but happy with the switch!

VISUAL EFFECTS

NEW CHART UP

AVATAR FIRE AND ASH
•
F1
•
JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH
•
THE LOST BUS
•
SINNERS

prediction score: 3/5
missed Sinners & Jurassic World Rebirth (which I had in 6th and 7th) in favor of Tron Ares (due to their love of the franchise) and Superman

ORIGINAL SCORE

NEW CHART UP

Fendrix
BUGONIA
•
Desplat
FRANKENSTEIN
•
Richter
HAMNET
•
Greenwood
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
•
Goransson
SINNERS

prediction score: 4/5 missed Bugonia (which I had in 8th) in favor of Train Dreams but it was not to be.

ORIGINAL SONG 

NEW CHART UP

"Dear Me"
DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS
•
"Golden"
KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
•
"I Lied To You"
SINNERS
•
"Train Dreams"
TRAIN DREAMS
•
"Sweet Dreams of Joy"
VIVA VERDI

prediction score:
4/5 missed "Sweet Dreams of Joy" (which wasn't in my predicted top 10) in favor of "Girl in the Bubble"

SOUND

NEW CHART UP

INTERNATIONAL FILM 

NEW CHART UP

France
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
•
Brazil
THE SECRET AGENT
•
Norway
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
•
Spain
SIRAT
•
Tunisia
THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB

prediction score: 4/5
missed Sirat (which I had in 7th) in favor of Belen

ANIMATED FILM

NEW CHART UP

Neon
ARCO
•
Disney/ Pixar
ELIO
•
Netflix
KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
•
GKids
LITTLE AMELIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
•
Disney
ZOOTOPIA 2

prediction score 5/5
but it was looking so obvious so I can't take much credit.

DOCUMENTARY

NEW CHART UP

ALABAMA SOLUTION
•
COME SEE ME IN THE GOOD LIGHT
•
CUTTING THROUGH ROCKS
•
MR NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
•
THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR

prediction score: 3/5
Missed Alabama Solution and Come See Me in the Good Light in favor of 2000 Meters and Cover-Up but I'm thrilled about Good Light

SHORTS, DOCUMENTARY

NEW CHART UP

ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
•
ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA
•
CHILDREN NO MORE: WERE AND ARE GONE
•
THE DEVIL IS BUSY
•
PERFECTLY A STRANGENESS

prediction score 2/5. Ouch. Only guessed All the Empty Room and Children No More... but at least I had Armed Only and the Devil is Busy as my two "spoilers" in 6th and 7th.

SHORTS,
LIVE ACTION

NEW CHART UP

BUTCHER'S STAIN
•
FRIEND OF DOROTHY
•
JANE AUSTEN'S PERIOD DRAMA
•
THE SINGERS
•
TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA

prediction score: 2/5. Ouch. Only correctly guessed Period Drama and Singers. Though I had Two People Exchanging Saliva in 7th

SHORTS,
ANIMATED

NEW CHART UP

BUTTERFLY
•
FOREVER GREEN
•
THE GIRL WHO CRIED PEARLS
•
RETIREMENT PLAN
•
THREE SISTERS

prediction score: 3/5 Missed Butterfly, Retirement Plan, and Three Sisters and incorrectly guessed Night Boots, Playing God, and Shyness of Trees (and am genuinely surprised at the results!)

sound off on the Oscar race

FINAL TALLIES

16 nominations
SINNERS (13) - most nominations of all time and the leader this year

13 nominations
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (12) - presumed frontrunner but Sinners walloping the nomination record has to sting a little.

9 nominations
FRANKENSTEIN (9)
MARTY SUPREME (8) 
SENTIMENTAL VALUE (8) 

8 nominations
HAMNET (8) 

4 nominations
BUGONIA (3)
F1: THE MOVIE (3)
THE SECRET AGENT (3)
TRAIN DREAMS (6)  
---- a four way tie for "least nominations for a Best Picture nominee"

2 nominations
AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (2)
BLUE MOON (1)
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (4) 
KPOP DEMON HUNTERS (2) 
SIRAT (1) 

1 nomination
ARCO (1)
DIANE WARREN RELENTLESS (1)
ELIO (1)
IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU (1)
KOKUHO (1)
LITTLE AMELIE (1)
SMASHING MACHINE (1) 
THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (1)
WEAPONS (2) 
ZOOTOPIA (1) 

ENTIRELY SHUT OUT 
2000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA (1), BELEN (1), COVER-UP (1), THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS (0), HEDDA (0), HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (0), JAY KELLY (0), KISS OF THE SPIDER-WOMAN (0), NOUVELLE VAGUE (0), SORRY BABY (1), THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (0),  TRON ARES (1), WAKE UP DEAD MAN (0), WICKED FOR GOOD (4)