Index of Predictions
The 83rd Oscars, Celebrating the Films of 2010, Are History. Congratulations to MELISSA LEO.
WHO WON: Melissa Leo, The Fighter... a worthy choice for sure.
SHOULD'VE WIN: Jacki Weaver. The best performance, maybe even if you include the other categories.
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Melissa Leo wins: SAG, NY, Globes, BFCA & critics orgs |
Helena Bonham-Carter THE KING'S SPEECH 44 years old 40 films | 2nd nomination wins: BAFTA, BIFA |
Amy Adams wins: critics orgs |
Hailee Steinfeld noms: SAG, BFC |
Jacki Weaver wins: NBR, LA, NY, Satellites plus 2 critics orgs |
 Trivia: If she and Bale both win, it'll be the first blood relative duo to do so since Holly & Anna in THE PIANO (1993) and the first mother & son win since MY LEFT FOOT (1989) |
Trivia: Her boyfriend Tim Burton is also currently Oscarless. Living director/Actress pairs where both have Oscars aren't that common. Two that do exist: Helen Mirren & Taylor Hackford and Joel Coen & Frances McDormand. Are there others? |
Trivia: Though people feel that she has racked up her nominations very quickly, it's actually normal for those with multiple nods to rack them up in a short time frame. Oscar gets little crushes. |
Trivia:She is the ninth youngest nominee ever in this category (a smidgeon younger than Foster in Taxi Driver.) Of the youngest 10, 2 of them won (Anna Paquin and Tatum O'Neal). Patty Duke, another famous young winner was already 16. | Trivia: Only 10 of the 157 female acting Oscars have ever gone to women in their 60s. Katharine Hepburn won two of them. That said, evil matriarch are a favorite "type" in this category. |
| How'd They Get Nominated |
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| 43% Performance. Big, brassy, hard to miss. 24% Role:Alice is 'a real character' both biographically and personality wise 10% Electric chemistry with Christian Bale. 9% Precursors in lockstep 7% Frozen River 5% The Sisters. 2% She wants it. They want you to want it. |
66% Triple Bait Role: Biographical + Supportive Spouse + British Monarchy 14% Frontrunning film 8% Performance. Sly, warm and just what it needs to be. 6% "The Red Queen" 5% Sudden realization of decades of worth: She's so underrated! 1% Red Carpet Curio value |
40% Quadruple Bait Role: Biographical + Supporting Girl + "against type" casting + hint of DeGlam. 36% Performance. That porch scene! (more...) 13% Celebrity. Oscar crushing for six years... 9% "Isn't she going to win soon?" momentum and precursor love 2% 'I heard she was an MTV Girl' |
35% Role: Showy and sympathetic. And... 18% LEAD which never hurts in Supporting. 17% Performance. 15% Surprise blockbuster 8% Critical backing 5% ♪ Thank heaven for little girls. W'out them what would Oscar do ♫ 2% Old pro on the red carpet / campaign trailer despite being a newbie. |
54% Performance. Spectacular. Did justice to 17% ...a great Role. and that combo set in motion a 12% ...Grassroots campaign which brought 11% ...early traction and precursor devotion. 5% "You've done some bad things, sweetie" Catchphrases help. 1% AMPAS's Aussie contingency |
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