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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R


 Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. Also loves cats. All material herein is written and copyrighted by him, unless otherwise noted. twitter | facebook | pinterest | tumblr | letterboxd

 

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COMMENT DU JOUR
Love Affair (1994) - as "A Year With Kate" nears its conclusion

A YEAR WITH KATE... 2 episodes left

 "A really beautiful look into the careers of one of my favorite actors, but it's made me consider the careers of so many different actors and how the great ones adapt to eras while still staying true to themselves. This is a special, lovely series. I both cannot wait for and am so sad for the end next week.-John T

 

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Index of Predictions
The 83rd Oscars, Celebrating the Films of 2010, Are History. Congratulations to MELISSA LEO.

WHO WON: Melissa Leo, The Fighter... a worthy choice for sure.
SHOULD'VE WIN: Jacki Weaver. The best performance, maybe even if you include the other categories.

Melissa Leo
THE FIGHTER
50 years old
56 films | 2nd nomination

wins: SAG, NY, Globes, BFCA & critics orgs
noms: OFCS

Helena Bonham-Carter
THE KING'S SPEECH
44 years old
40 films | 2nd nomination 

wins: BAFTA, BIFA
noms: SAG, Globes, BFCA

 Amy Adams
THE FIGHTER
36 years old
26 films | 3rd nomination

wins: critics orgs
noms: SAG, Globes, BFCA, OFCS, Satellite

Hailee Steinfeld
TRUE GRIT
14 years old
5 films | 1st nomination!

wins: OFCS and critics orgs
noms: SAG, BFC

Jacki Weaver
ANIMAL KINGDOM
63 years old
15 films | 1st nomination!

wins: NBR, LA, NY, Satellites plus 2 critics orgs
noms: Globes, BFCA, OFCS

Trivia: If she and Bale both win, it'll be the first blood relative duo to do so since Holly & Anna in THE PIANO (1993) and the first mother & son win since MY LEFT FOOT (1989)
Trivia: Her boyfriend Tim Burton is also currently Oscarless. Living director/Actress pairs where both have Oscars aren't that common. Two that do exist: Helen Mirren & Taylor Hackford and Joel Coen & Frances McDormand.  Are there others?
Trivia: Though people feel that she has racked up her nominations very quickly, it's actually normal for those with multiple nods to rack them up in a short time frame. Oscar gets little crushes.
Trivia:She is the ninth youngest nominee ever in this category (a smidgeon younger than Foster in Taxi Driver.) Of the youngest 10, 2 of them won (Anna Paquin and Tatum O'Neal). Patty Duke, another famous young winner was already 16. Trivia: Only 10 of the 157 female acting Oscars have ever gone to women in their 60s.  Katharine Hepburn won two of them. That said, evil matriarch are a favorite "type" in this category.
 
How'd They Get Nominated
43% Performance. Big, brassy, hard to miss.
24% Role:Alice is 'a real character' both biographically and personality wise
10% Electric chemistry with Christian Bale.
9% Precursors in lockstep
7% Frozen River
5% The Sisters.
2% She wants it. They want you to want it.
66% Triple Bait Role: Biographical  + Supportive Spouse + British Monarchy
14% Frontrunning film
8% Performance. Sly, warm and just what it needs to be.
6% "The Red Queen"
5% Sudden realization of decades of worth: She's so underrated!
1% Red Carpet Curio value
40% Quadruple Bait Role: Biographical + Supporting Girl +  "against type" casting  + hint of DeGlam.
36% Performance. That porch scene! (more...)
13% Celebrity. Oscar crushing for six years...
9% "
Isn't she going to win soon?" momentum and precursor love
2% 'I heard she was an  MTV Girl'
35% Role: Showy and sympathetic. And...
18% LEAD which never hurts in Supporting.
17% Performance.
15% Surprise blockbuster
8% Critical backing
5%Thank heaven for little girls. W'out them what would Oscar do
2% Old pro on the red carpet / campaign trailer despite being a newbie. 
54% Performance. Spectacular. Did justice to
17% ...a great Role. and that combo set in motion a
12% ...Grassroots campaign which brought
11% ...early traction and precursor devotion.
5% "You've done some bad things, sweetie" Catchphrases help.
1% AMPAS's Aussie contingency
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