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William Holden in Picnic

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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog 

AND THE NOMINEES ARE...

We almost had an all newbie list this year but for the return of Octavia Spencer (a consecutive nomination and now tied with Viola Davis as the most nominated black actress ever). That nearly all newbie is listed is fascinating considering the age range is skewing older than usual in this particular category with Mary J Blige the youngest at 46 and Laurie Metcalf the oldest at 62.

 

Mary J Blige
46 yrs old | 5 films | 1st nomination!
MUDBOUND
Nov 17th

Role: The mother of a farmhand leaves her own children to work for her landlady

Previous Wins: Spirit (Ensemble)

 

 Allison Janney
57 yrs old | 61 films
1st nomination!
I, TONYA
Dec 8th

Role: The abusive mother of an Olympic hopeful comments from the sidelines 

Previous Wins: Globe , Critics Choice, SAG

Lesley Manville
61 yrs old | 27 films | 1st nomination!
PHANTOM THREAD
Dec 25th

Role: The sister of a famous fashion designer.

Previous Wins: --

Laurie Metcalf
62 yrs old | 27 films | 1st nomination! 
LADY BIRD
Nov 3rd

Role: A much put-upon mother tries to keep it together while her daughter works her last nerves

Previous Wins:NBR LAFCA 

 

Octavia Spencer
47 yrs old | 65 films | 3rd nomination | 1 win
SHAPE OF WATER
Dec 8th

Role: A  protective cleaning lady tries to shield her mute co-worker from the dangers of her romantic impulses

Previous Wins: --

 

WHO SHOULD WIN? Vote Every Day!

 

 

Who was left out?
Both Hong Chau (Downsizing) and Holly Hunter (The Big Sick) did very well in the precursors but lost out at the last moment. Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip) also had her cheering section while BAFTA's embrace of Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour) and the movie's surprisingly hefty Oscar nomination tally suggests she probably wasn't very far off either. Very very tight race this year. So tight that people somehow were able to ignore the grand return of Michelle Pfeiffer (Mother!) not to mention the terrific women of Get Out Catherine Keener and Betty Gabriel... among many others.

 
Will win/Should win: Allison Janney looks like a steamroller though we think Oscar should take this opportunity to finish Laurie Metcalf's Triple Crown since she already has an Emmy and a Tony.